2012 MLB O/U Playoff Record: 11-10-1, -$53
2011 MLB O/U Playoff Record: 14-11-3, +$5
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2012 MLB O/U Season Record: 361-329-47, -$1,490 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Season Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Well, certainly a very satisfying under victory in Game 2 for The Cat, as it was my biggest bet of the playoffs (Which will probably stand when this World Series is said and done) and won with ease, as I could not have been anymore 100-percent right with that Fister vs Bumgarner under, with both starting pitchers contributing fabulous efforts. Tonight, I’m looking to continue my World Series dominance, much like last year when I was 5-1-1 in those games, so let’s see what’s on tap for Game 3 on this final baseball Saturday night of the year…
World Series Game 3
San Francisco Giants @ Detroit Tigers - Price TBD
Ryan Vogelsong vs Anibal Sanchez
UNDER 7 (Wait to see if line goes up to 7.5, which it just might do)
It’s been a truly unique journey for Mr. Ryan Vogelsong. I don’t know how many times I’ve covered it this year, because of how truly incredible it is, but you can still gain appreciation from it in a nutshell: For a few years in the mid-2000’s, Vogelsong was an obscure mediocre-at-best pitcher with the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates, leading him to fade out of baseball soon after, with no hope of returning in sight. After years of drifting around in areas including Japan (Much like my boy Eric Stults did before returning this year, although Stults had a better Major League track record prior to his re-emergence), Vogelsong somehow found himself in the Giants’ rotation early last year, and the rest was history. If you know how bad this guy was circa 2006, you realize how remarkable his comeback was, and now his odyssey has advanced a step further onto baseball’s grandest stage. Aside from an extensive rough patch this year in mid/late-August and early-September, Vogelsong has been very good, especially since that little slump in which he has made six starts, three of which coming in this postseason, and he STILL has not allowed more than a run in any such outing. He’s been absolutely terrific, something I anticipated after he ended the regular season strong with his confidence back intact and his mechanics back to where they’ve been that propelled him in the first place, and I believe it can continue. In fact, I’ve taken the under in all three of his playoff assignments, and had it not been for a fluke bad beat in Game 1 of the NLCS (In which unlikely errors from the sure-handed Cardinals defense led to a bunch of unearned runs, not to mention an admitted BLOWN CALL by the umps late in that game that led to the deciding two runs. The loss was a ridiculous bad break for those of us on the under so it was 0-percent my fault), I would be 3-0 in Vogelsong’s postseason starts. Despite that excellent success with him in projecting his outlook in each of his outings, I’m going to be a little cautious here and not bet anything big because this being his first World Series contest, anything can happen. That’s a variable that is always tough to deal with, and aside from that, the Law of Averages dictates that he does not pump out yet another effort where he gives up one run or less for the seventh straight time. That’s just very tough to do, but with the line at 7, as long as Vogelsong gives a similar effort to his recent past playoff success, then that gives us a chance to win.
Of course, that’s only half the equation, as we will also need a significant contribution from Tigers’ mid-season acquisition Anibal Sanchez, who, if you remember from that time he was dealt, was doing anything but contributing positive stats to the Detroit organization. In fact, Sanchez had given up 19 runs (18 earned) in his first four starts with his new team, making everyone question whether or not the former Marlin could handle the rigors of the American League. After that, however? They skipped his turn in the rotation (I don’t remember off the top of my head if it was because of injury or ineffectiveness but it certainly played a key role in the turnaround mentally), and from there, Sanchez allowed just 13 runs in his final eight starts down the stretch, including 6 of which that saw him yield two runs or less. Clearly, the former prized prospect figured things out, as he has also been dealing in the playoffs, posting an impressive 1.35 ERA in his two postseason starts, while striking out 10 in 13 innings of work and maintaining a WHIP of just under 1.00. At the end of the day, this is a quality pitcher who’s in a groove right now, and I figure he can continue it because despite this being a high-pressure World Series game, he handled himself well in a similar scenario his last playoff start, that being a high-pressure ALCS game in New York (The toughest place to pitch in the world, without question, in an important game), but there’s always the possibility that pressure gets to him, which he admitted was a big reason why he struggled after initially coming over to Detroit. Thus, that is another reason why you shouldn’t make this any sort of big bet because there’s precedence for him failing and succeeding in the clutch in the recent past. I’m going to lean on him churning out more of a successful effort, given the groove he’s been in over the past couple of months, so mentally, he does have to be feeling very confident regardless. At the same time, this could very well easily be a 5-3/6-2 game on this Saturday night so again, I urge you not to make a considerable bet on this under. Lay an okay wager and settle with that, as a close under loss is very possible. Let’s see what happens.
**May Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**
2011 MLB O/U Playoff Record: 14-11-3, +$5
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2012 MLB O/U Season Record: 361-329-47, -$1,490 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Season Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Well, certainly a very satisfying under victory in Game 2 for The Cat, as it was my biggest bet of the playoffs (Which will probably stand when this World Series is said and done) and won with ease, as I could not have been anymore 100-percent right with that Fister vs Bumgarner under, with both starting pitchers contributing fabulous efforts. Tonight, I’m looking to continue my World Series dominance, much like last year when I was 5-1-1 in those games, so let’s see what’s on tap for Game 3 on this final baseball Saturday night of the year…
World Series Game 3
San Francisco Giants @ Detroit Tigers - Price TBD
Ryan Vogelsong vs Anibal Sanchez
UNDER 7 (Wait to see if line goes up to 7.5, which it just might do)
It’s been a truly unique journey for Mr. Ryan Vogelsong. I don’t know how many times I’ve covered it this year, because of how truly incredible it is, but you can still gain appreciation from it in a nutshell: For a few years in the mid-2000’s, Vogelsong was an obscure mediocre-at-best pitcher with the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates, leading him to fade out of baseball soon after, with no hope of returning in sight. After years of drifting around in areas including Japan (Much like my boy Eric Stults did before returning this year, although Stults had a better Major League track record prior to his re-emergence), Vogelsong somehow found himself in the Giants’ rotation early last year, and the rest was history. If you know how bad this guy was circa 2006, you realize how remarkable his comeback was, and now his odyssey has advanced a step further onto baseball’s grandest stage. Aside from an extensive rough patch this year in mid/late-August and early-September, Vogelsong has been very good, especially since that little slump in which he has made six starts, three of which coming in this postseason, and he STILL has not allowed more than a run in any such outing. He’s been absolutely terrific, something I anticipated after he ended the regular season strong with his confidence back intact and his mechanics back to where they’ve been that propelled him in the first place, and I believe it can continue. In fact, I’ve taken the under in all three of his playoff assignments, and had it not been for a fluke bad beat in Game 1 of the NLCS (In which unlikely errors from the sure-handed Cardinals defense led to a bunch of unearned runs, not to mention an admitted BLOWN CALL by the umps late in that game that led to the deciding two runs. The loss was a ridiculous bad break for those of us on the under so it was 0-percent my fault), I would be 3-0 in Vogelsong’s postseason starts. Despite that excellent success with him in projecting his outlook in each of his outings, I’m going to be a little cautious here and not bet anything big because this being his first World Series contest, anything can happen. That’s a variable that is always tough to deal with, and aside from that, the Law of Averages dictates that he does not pump out yet another effort where he gives up one run or less for the seventh straight time. That’s just very tough to do, but with the line at 7, as long as Vogelsong gives a similar effort to his recent past playoff success, then that gives us a chance to win.
Of course, that’s only half the equation, as we will also need a significant contribution from Tigers’ mid-season acquisition Anibal Sanchez, who, if you remember from that time he was dealt, was doing anything but contributing positive stats to the Detroit organization. In fact, Sanchez had given up 19 runs (18 earned) in his first four starts with his new team, making everyone question whether or not the former Marlin could handle the rigors of the American League. After that, however? They skipped his turn in the rotation (I don’t remember off the top of my head if it was because of injury or ineffectiveness but it certainly played a key role in the turnaround mentally), and from there, Sanchez allowed just 13 runs in his final eight starts down the stretch, including 6 of which that saw him yield two runs or less. Clearly, the former prized prospect figured things out, as he has also been dealing in the playoffs, posting an impressive 1.35 ERA in his two postseason starts, while striking out 10 in 13 innings of work and maintaining a WHIP of just under 1.00. At the end of the day, this is a quality pitcher who’s in a groove right now, and I figure he can continue it because despite this being a high-pressure World Series game, he handled himself well in a similar scenario his last playoff start, that being a high-pressure ALCS game in New York (The toughest place to pitch in the world, without question, in an important game), but there’s always the possibility that pressure gets to him, which he admitted was a big reason why he struggled after initially coming over to Detroit. Thus, that is another reason why you shouldn’t make this any sort of big bet because there’s precedence for him failing and succeeding in the clutch in the recent past. I’m going to lean on him churning out more of a successful effort, given the groove he’s been in over the past couple of months, so mentally, he does have to be feeling very confident regardless. At the same time, this could very well easily be a 5-3/6-2 game on this Saturday night so again, I urge you not to make a considerable bet on this under. Lay an okay wager and settle with that, as a close under loss is very possible. Let’s see what happens.
**May Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**