2012 MLB O/U Playoff Record: 6-9, -$199
2011 MLB O/U Playoff Record: 14-11-3, +$5
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2012 MLB O/U Season Record: 361-329-47, -$1,490 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Season Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Well, unfortunately, there’s really nothing we can do about yesterday. I mean, if you had the under, you made the right bet. Period. That was the bet you were supposed to make. But a bad beat is a bad beat, and these playoffs have been chock full of them to the point where luck is becoming wayyyy too heavily involved. It’s not supposed to be like that, but hey, this isn’t the regular season anymore so as a lot of us figured, some strange things were going to happen in the playoffs, and this 2012 postseason has been as bizarre and as notable as any in recent memory. I’m trying to overcome this recent rough patch, which has mostly been due to lost Yankee over/unders, which I acknowledged beforehand were one of my biggest weaknesses (Because Yankee games, especially at home, are just so hard to have a beat on. They’re not normal, as everyone is once again finding out this postseason), but whatever. It is what it is, and my mind is obviously more into football at this point, as I’m 53-30-4 (63.8%) over there, so it’s human nature for me to be more invested into that mentally. Even so, I know there’s one good run left in me for baseball, even in the much tougher postseason, as I was 5-1-1 with World Series over/unders last year so I know I’ll produce something like that before we say goodbye to baseball in 2012. Let’s see if there’s potential for that to start today…
Phil Hughes vs Justin Verlander UNDER 7 - Price TBD
I look at this pitching matchup and I just laugh. I laugh because I know there’s a very good chance we’ll all be surprised about what’s going to happen. First off, you have to take the under. The over, while I do have a vibe for it, is unacceptable because the Yankees’ pitiful postseason offense is involved, which is now missing their best player and team captain. They have done jack shit this entire postseason, and now they’re facing the best American League pitcher over the past few years. Uh, normal logic says the Yankees score one or two runs at tops against Justin Verlander (Especially since Verlander was good against them during the regular season), but unfortunately, this is the New York Yankees we’re talking about, where normal logic just doesn’t apply. Thus, it is definitely possible that they somehow scratch across a surprising solid effort against the reigning American League Cy Young, despite literally doing absolutely nothing against everyone from Wei-Yin Chen to Anibal Sanchez. If you want to take it a step further, you could also throw in some obscure scrubs they struggled against in the final month of the season, like Corey Kluber and Esmerling Vasquez. Is it possible that a team that couldn’t hit ESMERLING VASQUEZ in an important September game with first place in the balance could suddenly hit the best pitcher in the league - and on the road?? Since this is the New York Yankees, the unexpected happens more times than not so you have to be careful. Hence why this will be a small bet no matter what.
And then there is Phil Hughes, the emerging star in that Yankees’ rotation. Give him credit where credit is due: He was outstanding his ALDS effort against Baltimore, and that came at home in the hitter’s haven known as Yankee Stadium. While I’m taking the under, I do fear Yankee starting pitching is due to get hit, and given Hughes’ surprising struggles on the road (5-9, 4.76 ERA) this year compared to his surprising success at home (11-4, 3.74 ERA), it is obviously not out of the realm of possibility for that potent Detroit offense to stock up on runs against the right-hander. In fact, I’d say there’s a pretty good chance of that happening. With my luck, he will single-handedly surrender this under, but at the very least, Hughes has had success against the Tigers this year, specifically twirling his only complete game of 2012 opposing them - and that performance came in Detroit. The end result was a brilliant four-hit, eight-strikeout masterpiece, and while I don’t think he will duplicate that same exact success, all we really need him to do is keep up with what Verlander should give us, and we’ll be fine. But I really do fear Hughes’ outlook this evening.
Can’t stress it enough, though: Small Bet. Small Bet. Small Bet. A lot of times, there are games that look obvious, only for the exact opposite to occur, and I actually believe the Yankees are in more such games than anybody else in baseball. Why? Because they’re the Yankees. The unexpected should always be cautioned. We’ll see what happens.
**May Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**
2011 MLB O/U Playoff Record: 14-11-3, +$5
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2012 MLB O/U Season Record: 361-329-47, -$1,490 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Season Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Well, unfortunately, there’s really nothing we can do about yesterday. I mean, if you had the under, you made the right bet. Period. That was the bet you were supposed to make. But a bad beat is a bad beat, and these playoffs have been chock full of them to the point where luck is becoming wayyyy too heavily involved. It’s not supposed to be like that, but hey, this isn’t the regular season anymore so as a lot of us figured, some strange things were going to happen in the playoffs, and this 2012 postseason has been as bizarre and as notable as any in recent memory. I’m trying to overcome this recent rough patch, which has mostly been due to lost Yankee over/unders, which I acknowledged beforehand were one of my biggest weaknesses (Because Yankee games, especially at home, are just so hard to have a beat on. They’re not normal, as everyone is once again finding out this postseason), but whatever. It is what it is, and my mind is obviously more into football at this point, as I’m 53-30-4 (63.8%) over there, so it’s human nature for me to be more invested into that mentally. Even so, I know there’s one good run left in me for baseball, even in the much tougher postseason, as I was 5-1-1 with World Series over/unders last year so I know I’ll produce something like that before we say goodbye to baseball in 2012. Let’s see if there’s potential for that to start today…
Phil Hughes vs Justin Verlander UNDER 7 - Price TBD
I look at this pitching matchup and I just laugh. I laugh because I know there’s a very good chance we’ll all be surprised about what’s going to happen. First off, you have to take the under. The over, while I do have a vibe for it, is unacceptable because the Yankees’ pitiful postseason offense is involved, which is now missing their best player and team captain. They have done jack shit this entire postseason, and now they’re facing the best American League pitcher over the past few years. Uh, normal logic says the Yankees score one or two runs at tops against Justin Verlander (Especially since Verlander was good against them during the regular season), but unfortunately, this is the New York Yankees we’re talking about, where normal logic just doesn’t apply. Thus, it is definitely possible that they somehow scratch across a surprising solid effort against the reigning American League Cy Young, despite literally doing absolutely nothing against everyone from Wei-Yin Chen to Anibal Sanchez. If you want to take it a step further, you could also throw in some obscure scrubs they struggled against in the final month of the season, like Corey Kluber and Esmerling Vasquez. Is it possible that a team that couldn’t hit ESMERLING VASQUEZ in an important September game with first place in the balance could suddenly hit the best pitcher in the league - and on the road?? Since this is the New York Yankees, the unexpected happens more times than not so you have to be careful. Hence why this will be a small bet no matter what.
And then there is Phil Hughes, the emerging star in that Yankees’ rotation. Give him credit where credit is due: He was outstanding his ALDS effort against Baltimore, and that came at home in the hitter’s haven known as Yankee Stadium. While I’m taking the under, I do fear Yankee starting pitching is due to get hit, and given Hughes’ surprising struggles on the road (5-9, 4.76 ERA) this year compared to his surprising success at home (11-4, 3.74 ERA), it is obviously not out of the realm of possibility for that potent Detroit offense to stock up on runs against the right-hander. In fact, I’d say there’s a pretty good chance of that happening. With my luck, he will single-handedly surrender this under, but at the very least, Hughes has had success against the Tigers this year, specifically twirling his only complete game of 2012 opposing them - and that performance came in Detroit. The end result was a brilliant four-hit, eight-strikeout masterpiece, and while I don’t think he will duplicate that same exact success, all we really need him to do is keep up with what Verlander should give us, and we’ll be fine. But I really do fear Hughes’ outlook this evening.
Can’t stress it enough, though: Small Bet. Small Bet. Small Bet. A lot of times, there are games that look obvious, only for the exact opposite to occur, and I actually believe the Yankees are in more such games than anybody else in baseball. Why? Because they’re the Yankees. The unexpected should always be cautioned. We’ll see what happens.
**May Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**