Understandable, but when I said there was no "lucky break" in the Straily vs Williams over, I was referring to how the under was relatively luck to even hang on until the latter innings. After all, No. 1, Jerome Williams was absolutely horrendous, not even making it out of the fourth inning, and if someone were to take an under that was less than 9, and with a performance like that, then more times than not, they deserve to lose. Perhaps most glaring is the fact that the Angels, easily one of the top offenses in the league, constantly were squandering easy opportunitis that they would score on 90-percent of the time, which allowed Straily, who wasn't that great either, to pitch into the seventh inning (Ex. Angels had 1st and 3rd, nobody out in the 1st inning, with the incredibly talented 3, 4, and 5 hitters coming up, and couldn't even score one run. Another situation was in the very next inning with 1st and 3rd and one out, and couldn't score a run in that situation either, even with Tori Hunter and Albert Pujols up in that scenario).
I'm very consistent with my commentary. I'll acknowledge the times that things don't go my way when they clearly should, and I'll acknowledge when it happens vice versa. In this situation, I'll have to settle on acknowledging that yes, given how that specific game played out, it did require a bit of a break getting some runs in the ninth inning, BUT, it was a break for under bettors that the under even hung on that late. So, I guess at the end of the day, it's pretty even as it pertains to that particular matchup.
And your point on Addison Reed is justifiable, especially lately when it appears he has unfortunately cooled off. However, I always stick by my guys that I contend for (Ex. Blake Beavan, my No. 1 sleeper coming into the year, even after he was sent down, which wasn't even his fault by the way, and he's been marvelous ever since coming back and will be a big-name in the near-future, especially as that Mariner team continues to make significant strides), and I will continue to stick by Reed in even tabbing him a future all-star. His stats at the moment have a lot to do with his poor performance in non-save situations, whether it be in a blow-out or a tie game, but you are absolutely right that a clean inning with him is not a given. He's actually taken a bit of a step back, I believe, in terms of effectiveness over the past month-and-change, but I'll just chalk that up as a little bit of a slump for him. The jury still has a lot of deliberating to do as it concerns Reed being an elite closer in the future, which I still think he can be.
