2012 MLB O/U Record: 88-86-7,-$365
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42,+$1,104
Very nice 5-1 day yesterday of over/unders to bring in $175. I actually SHOULD have been a perfect 6-0, as my Jackson vs Burnett under 7.5 bet was 3-2 in the ninth inning, meaning I could not have been anymore right about the pitching matchup and with my analysis, but I received yet another tough break (Factually, that’s ten games I’ve HAD won but lost in the past WEEK because of fluke BS. I’ll review each of them again if you want me to) when each closer for both teams blew the save in the ninth. Of course, the Nationals blew it in the bottom ofthe ninth with two outs. But you take it and move on, and thankfully, I am back over .500 after what was easily the most embarrassing stretch in my career. Obviously I’d like to soar much past that at this point, since it is May, as to finally get it out of my mind, because I’d be lying if I said this pathetic record of mine isn’t in my head after the great success I had last year. Today, though, will be kind of a laid back day, as I will probably only stick with four games from the slate. Wednesday’s have been my toughest day this year (7-14 on Wednesdays…yeesh. 55-40-4 on Wednesdays last year, however), so I’m not going to potentially let one day that has given me problems throw me back off the wagon. In any case, here they are…
**Dollar Amounts To Be Posted Later Leading Up To Gametime**
Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners (Best Bet… albeit a small one)
Drew Smyly vs Jason Vargas
UNDER 7
One tip I provide to bettors when it comes to over/unders is that if you feel like you have a good beat on a series while it’s playing out, that means you have avery good chance of nailing the latter game(s) in said series. In this example of the on-going Tiger/Mariner series, I’ve won the first two games (Fister vsBeavan under, Verlander vs Millwood over), thus putting me in a fine position to go for the sweep, based on my knowledge of how these two teams match up at the current moment. The pitching matchup appears it can provide us with an under, as first off, it features Drew Smyly, who has been marvelous up to this point of his rookie season. While I’m 0-2-1 in his starts (All overs), I feel I finally have learned about him, and the truth is he looks like a guy who is for real and that is making a significant impact on the Tigers’ 2012 season. Infact, he could be a reason why they’ll recover from their current stretch of mediocre play to ultimately win the AL Central. Right now, he’s 1-0 with a 1.61 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in five starts, which is outstanding for a guy getting his first taste of the big leagues. In addition, he has 29 Ks in 28 innings, and most impressive is that he’s been gunning down good lineups like the Yankees (On the road! You're a special kid if you can go into storied Yankee Stadium and have your way within your first five career starts!) and Rangers. That said, he’s got to be a in great state of mind as he’s just absolutely cruising, and against some weaker competition like the Mariners’ offense, hopefully he can continue to excel. He has shown no signs of slowing down, as he has given up two runs or less in each of his starts. That’s consistency at its finest for a rookie!
Then we have Jason Vargas, a guy I will admit I’ve never had a real good beat on. He always puts up solid numbers, especially at pitcher-friendly Safeco Field, but there’s just something about him that I haven’t been able to fully understand, which is probably why I was 5-6-1 on his over/unders last year. Vargas has looked real solid all year in 2012, compiling a 3-2 record with a 3.09 ERA and fabulous 1.03 WHIP. He also has good strikeout numbers sitting down 32, while also only walking 8. Furthermore, for this specific matchup, I love that he’s a lefthander going up against the Tigers, as Prince Fielder has historically beena less effective hitter against southpaws so hopefully that should be enough to minimize that huge power source in the lineup. Vargas is miraculously making his eighth start of the year in this game (As a result of the early Japan series), and has only really had one off outing: 6.2 innings of 4-run ball… in Texas. Yeah, that can happen. I am banking on this being a nice duel between two lefties who are currently in cruise control at the moment; let’s hope they can maintain their great consistency in this ballgame.
Other 5/9 MLB Over/Under Bets I’m Taking:
Jon Lester vs Bruce Chen UNDER 8.5
Brandon Morrow vs Tyson Ross OVER 7
Dillon Gee vs Cliff Lee UNDER 7
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42,+$1,104
Very nice 5-1 day yesterday of over/unders to bring in $175. I actually SHOULD have been a perfect 6-0, as my Jackson vs Burnett under 7.5 bet was 3-2 in the ninth inning, meaning I could not have been anymore right about the pitching matchup and with my analysis, but I received yet another tough break (Factually, that’s ten games I’ve HAD won but lost in the past WEEK because of fluke BS. I’ll review each of them again if you want me to) when each closer for both teams blew the save in the ninth. Of course, the Nationals blew it in the bottom ofthe ninth with two outs. But you take it and move on, and thankfully, I am back over .500 after what was easily the most embarrassing stretch in my career. Obviously I’d like to soar much past that at this point, since it is May, as to finally get it out of my mind, because I’d be lying if I said this pathetic record of mine isn’t in my head after the great success I had last year. Today, though, will be kind of a laid back day, as I will probably only stick with four games from the slate. Wednesday’s have been my toughest day this year (7-14 on Wednesdays…yeesh. 55-40-4 on Wednesdays last year, however), so I’m not going to potentially let one day that has given me problems throw me back off the wagon. In any case, here they are…
**Dollar Amounts To Be Posted Later Leading Up To Gametime**
Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners (Best Bet… albeit a small one)
Drew Smyly vs Jason Vargas
UNDER 7
One tip I provide to bettors when it comes to over/unders is that if you feel like you have a good beat on a series while it’s playing out, that means you have avery good chance of nailing the latter game(s) in said series. In this example of the on-going Tiger/Mariner series, I’ve won the first two games (Fister vsBeavan under, Verlander vs Millwood over), thus putting me in a fine position to go for the sweep, based on my knowledge of how these two teams match up at the current moment. The pitching matchup appears it can provide us with an under, as first off, it features Drew Smyly, who has been marvelous up to this point of his rookie season. While I’m 0-2-1 in his starts (All overs), I feel I finally have learned about him, and the truth is he looks like a guy who is for real and that is making a significant impact on the Tigers’ 2012 season. Infact, he could be a reason why they’ll recover from their current stretch of mediocre play to ultimately win the AL Central. Right now, he’s 1-0 with a 1.61 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in five starts, which is outstanding for a guy getting his first taste of the big leagues. In addition, he has 29 Ks in 28 innings, and most impressive is that he’s been gunning down good lineups like the Yankees (On the road! You're a special kid if you can go into storied Yankee Stadium and have your way within your first five career starts!) and Rangers. That said, he’s got to be a in great state of mind as he’s just absolutely cruising, and against some weaker competition like the Mariners’ offense, hopefully he can continue to excel. He has shown no signs of slowing down, as he has given up two runs or less in each of his starts. That’s consistency at its finest for a rookie!
Then we have Jason Vargas, a guy I will admit I’ve never had a real good beat on. He always puts up solid numbers, especially at pitcher-friendly Safeco Field, but there’s just something about him that I haven’t been able to fully understand, which is probably why I was 5-6-1 on his over/unders last year. Vargas has looked real solid all year in 2012, compiling a 3-2 record with a 3.09 ERA and fabulous 1.03 WHIP. He also has good strikeout numbers sitting down 32, while also only walking 8. Furthermore, for this specific matchup, I love that he’s a lefthander going up against the Tigers, as Prince Fielder has historically beena less effective hitter against southpaws so hopefully that should be enough to minimize that huge power source in the lineup. Vargas is miraculously making his eighth start of the year in this game (As a result of the early Japan series), and has only really had one off outing: 6.2 innings of 4-run ball… in Texas. Yeah, that can happen. I am banking on this being a nice duel between two lefties who are currently in cruise control at the moment; let’s hope they can maintain their great consistency in this ballgame.
Other 5/9 MLB Over/Under Bets I’m Taking:
Jon Lester vs Bruce Chen UNDER 8.5
Brandon Morrow vs Tyson Ross OVER 7
Dillon Gee vs Cliff Lee UNDER 7