2012 MLB O/U Record: 305-276-34, -$1,107 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Okay, only a 1-1 day yesterday, but that one win was yet another best bet victory, allowing me to be up for the day, which is always the most important thing. Wednesday’s performance also made me 52-32-7 (62%) for the month of August, which, if this pace continues, would be the greatest record I’ve had in a month for my career (My best month last year, record-wise, was September, when I went 58-37-8), so hopefully it continues over these final two days. As for today, I’m starting bright and earlywith a very familiar pitcher of mine, with whom I’ve been absolutely dominant this year, so let’s see this strong success continue on this second-to-last-day in August…
Oakland Athletics @ Cleveland Indians - $66 for $55
Jarrod Parker vs Justin Masterson
UNDER 8.5
Cleveland was the sight of my best bet yesterday, and I’m staying in that same series for today. I’m not sure if this is going to be my best bet for today, as I have a few other games later as well, but this will certainly be one of my biggest ones on this Thursday, if not my biggest. In any case, it’s a rather interesting one, and I’d like someone to attempt to try and explain this logic to me:
Okay, yesterday’s pitching matchup between these two teams, in which I won the over, was Travis Blackley vs Corey Kluber. The line for that game was 8. So can someone please try and figure out how today’s pitching matchup, between two CLEAR SUPERIOR PITCHERS, is 8.5? Listen, I’ve been studying this stuff awhile now - every single day and night, that is, for hours at a time, over the past two years - and I don’t recall seeing such a huge obvious discrepancy in back-to-back games. Think about it: Blackley is obviously not better than teammate Jarrod Parker, who has been fantastic this year. And also in obvious fashion, there’s no way freaking Corey Kluber, the scrub that he is who once again cashed me an over, is on the same level as 2011 Cy Young candidate Justin Masterson, who, despite his inconsistency this year, is still having a far superior season compared to the youngster Kluber. I mean, is this a rare case of Vegas not paying attention to their own details? There’s something very fishy about that because usually they’re spot-on with just about everything. I suppose this is one of the rare instances where they just didn’t realize it, at least at first, because now I see the line has indeed fallen to 8. Still, it shouldn’t be labeled with the same total as yesterday’s far lesser-talented pitching affair.
Anyway, with that head-spinning logic put aside, let’s break down what we have here. As I alluded to in the intro paragraph of today’s article, I’ve been nearly flawless with Masterson this season (I’m pretty sure 7-1; won’t officially know until the end of the year when I do my full stat breakdown. You can verify by looking up “Masterson” through the search engine and attaching my name to it), despite his clear inconsistencies. Even so, there are times when he can pump out a real, real quality start as if it was 2011 again, and I believe this afternoon will be one of those instances. While the A’s did knock him around for seven runs only 11 days ago (Against today’s counterpart, Jarrod Parker, actually. I had the under in that game, remember), that was set in Oakland, unlike today, where Masterson will be pitching at home in Progressive Field, where he is significantly better. In fact, his ERA at home (3.14 in 14 starts) is basically HALF of what it is on the road (6.48 in 13 starts), with a sizable difference in WHIP as well. Furthermore, Masterson is coming off one of his finer starts as of late, when he contained the Yankees to one run over six-plus innings, so the confidence factor should certainly be in our favor as it pertains to the Indians’ ace. On the other side of the equation, there is Jarrod Parker, who has just been absolutely terrific this year in his rookie season with Oakland. Like Masterson, he also faced his opponent for today very recently, and unlike Masterson, he fared very well, shutting the Indians out over eight brilliant innings, allowing just seven baserunners in the process. Parker has been mostly consistent this year, and given the Indians’ well-documented struggles as of late, I expect the A’s AL Rookie of the Year candidate (Well, by that I mean Mike Trout’s closest competitor for the award) to continue his marvelous season with another quality outing this afternoon. Even with the line currently set at 8, the under is still a nice bet to kick your Thursday off.
Other 8/30 MLB Over/Unders I’m Taking
Blake Beavan vs Brian Duensing UNDER 9 - $33 for $30
One of my main rules of over/unders isto not let the line dictate your opinion on any given game, nor to let it be the main reason in making a wager, but this is one of the few exceptions. My under vibe for this pitching matchup wasn’t necessarily a strong one, but I said to myself before I looked at the lines that if it was 9, I was going to roll with it, and thus, here I am taking this game. Blake Beavan, as all of you know, is one of my top five favorite pitchers in baseball and was actually my No. 1 sleeper coming into 2012. Since being recalled from a brief minor league stop (Which wasn’t his fault, remember. You try getting hit by a line-drive and see if you can pitch the same exact way right after), Beavan has been nothing short of excellent, as he’s rolling with confidence. When a young pitcher on the rise is cruising along the way he has, it just snowballs and continues, due to the fun he’s having and increased sense of urgency he’s gaining. Brian Duensing will be the tough factor in all of this, but he’s capable of having a fine start, and with the line at 9, there’s even room for error. Personally, I think he can be okay, which is all we’ll need as he’s matched up against Blake Beavan’s greatness.
**Will DEFINITELY Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don’t bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff several hours every single day and night**
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Okay, only a 1-1 day yesterday, but that one win was yet another best bet victory, allowing me to be up for the day, which is always the most important thing. Wednesday’s performance also made me 52-32-7 (62%) for the month of August, which, if this pace continues, would be the greatest record I’ve had in a month for my career (My best month last year, record-wise, was September, when I went 58-37-8), so hopefully it continues over these final two days. As for today, I’m starting bright and earlywith a very familiar pitcher of mine, with whom I’ve been absolutely dominant this year, so let’s see this strong success continue on this second-to-last-day in August…
Oakland Athletics @ Cleveland Indians - $66 for $55
Jarrod Parker vs Justin Masterson
UNDER 8.5
Cleveland was the sight of my best bet yesterday, and I’m staying in that same series for today. I’m not sure if this is going to be my best bet for today, as I have a few other games later as well, but this will certainly be one of my biggest ones on this Thursday, if not my biggest. In any case, it’s a rather interesting one, and I’d like someone to attempt to try and explain this logic to me:
Okay, yesterday’s pitching matchup between these two teams, in which I won the over, was Travis Blackley vs Corey Kluber. The line for that game was 8. So can someone please try and figure out how today’s pitching matchup, between two CLEAR SUPERIOR PITCHERS, is 8.5? Listen, I’ve been studying this stuff awhile now - every single day and night, that is, for hours at a time, over the past two years - and I don’t recall seeing such a huge obvious discrepancy in back-to-back games. Think about it: Blackley is obviously not better than teammate Jarrod Parker, who has been fantastic this year. And also in obvious fashion, there’s no way freaking Corey Kluber, the scrub that he is who once again cashed me an over, is on the same level as 2011 Cy Young candidate Justin Masterson, who, despite his inconsistency this year, is still having a far superior season compared to the youngster Kluber. I mean, is this a rare case of Vegas not paying attention to their own details? There’s something very fishy about that because usually they’re spot-on with just about everything. I suppose this is one of the rare instances where they just didn’t realize it, at least at first, because now I see the line has indeed fallen to 8. Still, it shouldn’t be labeled with the same total as yesterday’s far lesser-talented pitching affair.
Anyway, with that head-spinning logic put aside, let’s break down what we have here. As I alluded to in the intro paragraph of today’s article, I’ve been nearly flawless with Masterson this season (I’m pretty sure 7-1; won’t officially know until the end of the year when I do my full stat breakdown. You can verify by looking up “Masterson” through the search engine and attaching my name to it), despite his clear inconsistencies. Even so, there are times when he can pump out a real, real quality start as if it was 2011 again, and I believe this afternoon will be one of those instances. While the A’s did knock him around for seven runs only 11 days ago (Against today’s counterpart, Jarrod Parker, actually. I had the under in that game, remember), that was set in Oakland, unlike today, where Masterson will be pitching at home in Progressive Field, where he is significantly better. In fact, his ERA at home (3.14 in 14 starts) is basically HALF of what it is on the road (6.48 in 13 starts), with a sizable difference in WHIP as well. Furthermore, Masterson is coming off one of his finer starts as of late, when he contained the Yankees to one run over six-plus innings, so the confidence factor should certainly be in our favor as it pertains to the Indians’ ace. On the other side of the equation, there is Jarrod Parker, who has just been absolutely terrific this year in his rookie season with Oakland. Like Masterson, he also faced his opponent for today very recently, and unlike Masterson, he fared very well, shutting the Indians out over eight brilliant innings, allowing just seven baserunners in the process. Parker has been mostly consistent this year, and given the Indians’ well-documented struggles as of late, I expect the A’s AL Rookie of the Year candidate (Well, by that I mean Mike Trout’s closest competitor for the award) to continue his marvelous season with another quality outing this afternoon. Even with the line currently set at 8, the under is still a nice bet to kick your Thursday off.
Other 8/30 MLB Over/Unders I’m Taking
Blake Beavan vs Brian Duensing UNDER 9 - $33 for $30
One of my main rules of over/unders isto not let the line dictate your opinion on any given game, nor to let it be the main reason in making a wager, but this is one of the few exceptions. My under vibe for this pitching matchup wasn’t necessarily a strong one, but I said to myself before I looked at the lines that if it was 9, I was going to roll with it, and thus, here I am taking this game. Blake Beavan, as all of you know, is one of my top five favorite pitchers in baseball and was actually my No. 1 sleeper coming into 2012. Since being recalled from a brief minor league stop (Which wasn’t his fault, remember. You try getting hit by a line-drive and see if you can pitch the same exact way right after), Beavan has been nothing short of excellent, as he’s rolling with confidence. When a young pitcher on the rise is cruising along the way he has, it just snowballs and continues, due to the fun he’s having and increased sense of urgency he’s gaining. Brian Duensing will be the tough factor in all of this, but he’s capable of having a fine start, and with the line at 9, there’s even room for error. Personally, I think he can be okay, which is all we’ll need as he’s matched up against Blake Beavan’s greatness.
**Will DEFINITELY Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don’t bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff several hours every single day and night**