2012 MLB O/U Record: 293-271-33, -$1,534 (Was making bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Keeping that hot August going, as yesterday’s 2-1-1 performance, including a victorious best bet, pushed me to 40-27-6 for the month, which is a nifty winning percentage of 59.7%, and if you count the pushes, that’s a win-or-tie percentage of 63%. Not bad. The key, of course, is to not get caught up in whatever run you may be on, which is why I simply take it one day at a time, which is a strategy everyone should utilize, rather than dwelling on past or future contests, as that could take you out of rhythm. That said, let’s see what’s on the slate for Friday…
Drew Pomeranz vs Jeff Samardzija UNDER 10 - $19 for $15
Just a small over/under for the minimum to kick off my Friday, as this game stuck out to me when I first saw it, with the hope that the line would be 10, and I was nicely granted that this morning in the opening line. Yes, the wind is blowing out, which is why the line is where it’s at, but it’s not so significant enough that it more-than-likely could single-handedly ruin this under. It’s also important to note that these aren’t the same Rockies we were getting accustomed to again of putting up a boatloadof runs every single night, as a result of their many injuries, and luckily for us, they’re set to square off with a good pitcher to boot. While Jeff Samardzija has fallen off from his first two really hot months, the fact remains that he’s still put up some very solid numbers overall (8-11, 4.17 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 146 Ksin 144 IP), and today we’re catching him at home, where he actually pitches better (3.36 ERA, 1.18 WHIP) than on the road (4.82 ERA, 1.36 WHIP). The only drawback is that he’s been far better at night than during the day, but I believe that’s something that will level off a bit more in time. Drew Pomeranz is the wildcard for this under, and I’ve written about him before being underrated, although that’s kind of hard to see when Colorado inexplicably still keeps that ridiculously moronic 70-85 pitch-limit on their starters, which, oh by the way, hasn’t worked, as their pitching staff has an ERA north of 6 since instituting this policy. Yikes. But Pomeranz has been one of the bright spots for an otherwise disastrous rotation, as despite his 1-7 record (I had the under in that lone victory of his in which he masterful on the road against the Nationals), he’s recorded an acceptable 4.87 ERA, while maintaining a fairly high strikeout rate (56 Ks in 64 IP). That’s a key element, as both guys are fine strikeout pitchers, and that’s a little advantage we gain in these games where wind can become a factor, as no matter what potential rally might be caused by the wind, it could be just as neutralized by each starter’s ability to punch-out opposing batters and keep the runners where they are. I wouldn’t take this under if the line was any lower, so at 10, it’s a fine afternoon bet.
**Will Definitely Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don’t bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff several hours every single day and night**
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Keeping that hot August going, as yesterday’s 2-1-1 performance, including a victorious best bet, pushed me to 40-27-6 for the month, which is a nifty winning percentage of 59.7%, and if you count the pushes, that’s a win-or-tie percentage of 63%. Not bad. The key, of course, is to not get caught up in whatever run you may be on, which is why I simply take it one day at a time, which is a strategy everyone should utilize, rather than dwelling on past or future contests, as that could take you out of rhythm. That said, let’s see what’s on the slate for Friday…
Drew Pomeranz vs Jeff Samardzija UNDER 10 - $19 for $15
Just a small over/under for the minimum to kick off my Friday, as this game stuck out to me when I first saw it, with the hope that the line would be 10, and I was nicely granted that this morning in the opening line. Yes, the wind is blowing out, which is why the line is where it’s at, but it’s not so significant enough that it more-than-likely could single-handedly ruin this under. It’s also important to note that these aren’t the same Rockies we were getting accustomed to again of putting up a boatloadof runs every single night, as a result of their many injuries, and luckily for us, they’re set to square off with a good pitcher to boot. While Jeff Samardzija has fallen off from his first two really hot months, the fact remains that he’s still put up some very solid numbers overall (8-11, 4.17 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 146 Ksin 144 IP), and today we’re catching him at home, where he actually pitches better (3.36 ERA, 1.18 WHIP) than on the road (4.82 ERA, 1.36 WHIP). The only drawback is that he’s been far better at night than during the day, but I believe that’s something that will level off a bit more in time. Drew Pomeranz is the wildcard for this under, and I’ve written about him before being underrated, although that’s kind of hard to see when Colorado inexplicably still keeps that ridiculously moronic 70-85 pitch-limit on their starters, which, oh by the way, hasn’t worked, as their pitching staff has an ERA north of 6 since instituting this policy. Yikes. But Pomeranz has been one of the bright spots for an otherwise disastrous rotation, as despite his 1-7 record (I had the under in that lone victory of his in which he masterful on the road against the Nationals), he’s recorded an acceptable 4.87 ERA, while maintaining a fairly high strikeout rate (56 Ks in 64 IP). That’s a key element, as both guys are fine strikeout pitchers, and that’s a little advantage we gain in these games where wind can become a factor, as no matter what potential rally might be caused by the wind, it could be just as neutralized by each starter’s ability to punch-out opposing batters and keep the runners where they are. I wouldn’t take this under if the line was any lower, so at 10, it’s a fine afternoon bet.
**Will Definitely Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don’t bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff several hours every single day and night**