I've been working on a companion system based on Number Freak's excellent Pulse Plays system. Without getting into the details, it's essentially a big dig through the scrap heap of games that get kicked out by his system. I've back tested this to July 6th (when Number switched over to letter grades) and found 2 very distinct trends.
The first trend tested to a 9-0 record. Once games pass the appropriate check points, they must also have a line of -145 or higher to qualify. Three particular games that met all check points that lost had lines of -142, -140, and -128 so I've drawn -145 as the cutoff as I've seen winners of -148, -153, -154, -160, and -163.
The second trend tested to a 7-0 record. It simply requires the team to be a favorite but all 7 teams had a line of -115 or higher so that may very well be the cutoff point. We will have to wait and see once a team makes it in as a cheapo favorite.
Anyways, tonight is the first night that I'm going to play these plays so I thought I would go ahead and start tracking it on RX as well.
Trend 1 play...
Boston Red Sox -164
Trend 2 plays...
Washington Nationals -116
Seattle Mariners -124
Colorado Rockies -127
Los Angeles Dodgers -150
A few things of note:
- The Red Sox play is an interesting one in the system. The play does nothing to NOT qualify for the current system. However, it doesn't 100% qualify either. There are 4 checks that a pick has to pass in System 1 and the Red Sox passed the 3 most important ones. On the fourth check, it equals the level that other teams that qualified had. However, the other 3 that qualified met the other check points at higher levels than the Red Sox so this is somewhat of a test to find out if the Red Sox truly belong or if I can possibly disregard the 4th check point.
- After only providing 7 plays over 20 days...system 2 spits out 4 plays the day I decide to take it live so it might require additional testing. Proceed with caution.
Finally, if Number Freak decides to discontinue his system in the near future then this system will also disappear as it is based on his number crunching.
The first trend tested to a 9-0 record. Once games pass the appropriate check points, they must also have a line of -145 or higher to qualify. Three particular games that met all check points that lost had lines of -142, -140, and -128 so I've drawn -145 as the cutoff as I've seen winners of -148, -153, -154, -160, and -163.
The second trend tested to a 7-0 record. It simply requires the team to be a favorite but all 7 teams had a line of -115 or higher so that may very well be the cutoff point. We will have to wait and see once a team makes it in as a cheapo favorite.
Anyways, tonight is the first night that I'm going to play these plays so I thought I would go ahead and start tracking it on RX as well.
Trend 1 play...
Boston Red Sox -164
Trend 2 plays...
Washington Nationals -116
Seattle Mariners -124
Colorado Rockies -127
Los Angeles Dodgers -150
A few things of note:
- The Red Sox play is an interesting one in the system. The play does nothing to NOT qualify for the current system. However, it doesn't 100% qualify either. There are 4 checks that a pick has to pass in System 1 and the Red Sox passed the 3 most important ones. On the fourth check, it equals the level that other teams that qualified had. However, the other 3 that qualified met the other check points at higher levels than the Red Sox so this is somewhat of a test to find out if the Red Sox truly belong or if I can possibly disregard the 4th check point.
- After only providing 7 plays over 20 days...system 2 spits out 4 plays the day I decide to take it live so it might require additional testing. Proceed with caution.
Finally, if Number Freak decides to discontinue his system in the near future then this system will also disappear as it is based on his number crunching.
hno:
