You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.

You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.

You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.

- Thread starter HateTheRiverCard
- Start date

On the river you will make your hand 19.57% of the time. Instead of 47 cards there is now only 46 cards as the turn card has been revealed. Divide 9 (possible winners) into 46 and you get that answer providing you didn't hit your flush on the turn.

I'm with lurker on this one. Your math is fine for each INDIVIDUAL (turn OR river) event but when you COMBINE the two events, you have odds of something like 2 to 1 (against) to make your flush once you flop four to a flush. Bottom line is that you have TWO shots to make the flush. Mathematically (according to my recollection of my intro stats class from YEARS ago), you have to ADD the probabilities of EACH individual event so add the 19.57% for the turn PLUS the 19.17% for the river and you get the combined probablilty of hitting the flush once you flop four to the flush.

But I want to make sure that everyone knows the difference between LOW limit and NO LIMIT like the play on TV. It is a TOTALLY different ballgame on TV guys.

I have played no limit holdem for many years and I can tell you that the above rules dont apply in those games if you have a full 10 person table or at least 7 people.

The betting change in these cases depending on who is still in your game

Fishhead - surely you are joking? LOL. I'm not in the top 300 players on this site, let alone the world. You like to bust my balls don't you.

read my post further up.

when u combine the events u r 2.58 to 1

1/3.58 = 28% according to my calculations.

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> If you flop 4 to the flush you are a 1.85 to 1 dog to hit your flush on either of the last 2 cards.

Thats 38.7% chance you will complete. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

a 1.85 to 1 dog as a % is 35.1

i'm interested to see how you got the probability of 1.85 to 1

there's only so much you can learn from reading poker strategy, but still, why educate people?

htrc, people from 1 day might pull a move on you that you taught them, now that's a funny thought.

If you flop 4 to a flush or straight, the odds of getting it on the turn or river are:

35.0% or 1.85 to 1

If you flop 4 to a straight the odds of getting it on the turn or river are:

31.5% or 2.17 to 1

I would like to note that adding 19% and 19% as some of you have done to get 38%. You can't just add it like that. The correct equation is 35.0 percent or 1.85 to 1.

you must take 1 - the probability of not hitting your hand which would be:

1- (38/47)*(37/46) = 35%

or another way would be to take the probability of hitting it on the turn PLUS the probability of not hitting in on the turn AND hitting it on the river

9/47 + (38/47)*(9/46) = 35%

There are also other ways to do it but all basic probability. If you guys are interested in poker calculations it's important you learn probability theory.

One thing that nobody considered. You can come up with probability all day long, but on a hand by hand basis you'll never know how many cards of your suit have been mucked or in others hands.

Flushes are played based upon betting action (is it worth the call) and from the gut.

Also never raise or bet until you complete your st8/flush. You just decide if it's worth the call. Sitting back also takes the focus off your play.

When it's your money, sit back and wait for *the nuts*, take your shots on their money.

Remember, if you find the finish line in this game...YOU LOSE!