TENNESSEE AT DETROIT
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THERE IS NO WAY THAT I WILL PICK DETROIT TO BEAT THE SPREAD THE REST OF THIS SEASON. I DON’T CARE IF IT’S A TRAP LINE, OR OTHER INTANGIBLES LEANING TOWARDS THE LIONS FAVOR. ANY CHANCE I GET I WILL EITHER BET AGAINST THEM, OR PLACE NO BET. SO I DID SOME HOMEWORK ON THIS GAME. THE PUBLIC’S MONEY IS ALL OVER THE TITANS 64% TO 79%. THE LINE LOOKS LEGIT, AND I DON’T SEE ANY TRAP PLAYS. I TOOK LAST YEARS NUMBERS, AND COMPARED THEM TO THIS SEASON’S NUMBERS. DETROIT WENT 7-9 IN 2007, AND SCORED 346 POINTS, AND ALLOWED 348 POINTS IN 16 GAMES, (AVER. 21.63 OFF, AND 21.75 DEF).
IN 2008, THE LIONS SANK AVERAGING ONLY 17.60 POINTS, AND ALLOWING 31.50 POINTS. THE DEFENSE HAS ALREADYALLOWED 346 POINTS AFTER 11 GAMES, ONLY 2 POINTS SHY OF THEIR 16 GAME SCHEDULE IN 2007. BY COMPARISON FROM 2007 – 2008 SEASONS DETROIT IS AVERAGING –4.03 PTS LESS OFFENSIVELY, AND ALLOWING +9.75 MORE PTS DEFENSIVELY. TENNESSEE’S AVERAGING +4.59 MORE OFFENSIVE PTS , AND HAS ALLOWED –3.56 PTS LESS DEFENSIVELY. COMBINING THESE TOTALS, TENNESSEE SHOULD WIN BY 21.93 POINTS. IN ADDITION THE TITAN’S HAVE COME OFF THEIR FIRST LOSS, AND WILL BE READY FOR THIS CONTEST. WHY DID THE TITANS LOSE LAST WEEK TO THE JETS?, THE ANSWER IS SIMPLE. SINCE THAT COLT GAME ABOUT 4 WEEKS AGO. THE TITANS ABANDONED THE RUN , AND PASS THE BALL TO VICTORY. THE TITANS IF YOU COULD RECALL COULDN’T RUN VS ONE OF THE WORST RUSH DEFENSIVE UNITS IN THE NFL. THIS CARRIED OVER FOR WEEKS TO FOLLOW, AND MORE AND MORE THE TITANS ABANDONED THEIR SUCCESSFUL RUNNING GAME. TENNESSEE’S IDENTITY IS TO RUN THE BALL, AND RUN THE BALL WELL. SO, LIKE A FASTBALL BASEBALL PITCHER THAT DISCOVERS THAT HE HAS A GOOD CHANGE UP, HE FALLS IN LOVE WITH IT, AND FORGETS THAT THE HEAT IS HIS PRIMARY WEAPON. SOONER OR LATER THE HITTERS SEE MORE AND MORE OF HIS CHANGE UP, THE BATTERS ARE NO LONGER FOOLED, AND CATCH UP TO IT. THE SAME THING HAPPENED TO THE TITANS LAST WEEK WHEN THEY LOST TO THE JETS. THE JETS PLAYERS, COACHES STUDIED FILM, AND THE TITAN CHANGE UP OFFENSE AND THEY WERE NO LONGER FOOLED.FORGET ABOUT ALL THIS RAMBLING, THE HAPLESS DETROIT DEFENSE WILL HELP THE TITANS GET BACK ON THE RIGHT TRACK. WATCH FOR THE TITANS TO ESTABLISH THE RUN, AND GET BACK TO BASICS. THEN WATCH TENNESSEE GO TO PLAY ACTION WHEN THEY DRAW 8 IN THE BOX, AND WORK ON THE LIONS CONERBACKS THAT ARE TERRIBLE IN ONE ON ONE COVERAGE. THE LION’S PROBLEM IS THAT THEIR BEST PASS RUSHER IS PLAYING HURT, AND IS FAR FROM 100%. THEY WILL NOT BE ABLE TO GENERATE BLITZ PACKAGES TO KEEP QB KERRY COLLINS IN CHECK. BESIDES THE TENNESSEE TITAN OFFENSIVE LINE IS OUTSTANDING VS THE PASS RUSH, AND COLLINS WILL HAVE PLENTY OF TIME TO LOCATE ALL OF HIS TALENTED RECEIVERS. AS FOR DEFENSE, THE TITANS CORNERBACKS ARE MY SUPERSTARS. ANY CHANCE I GET, I LOVE TO WATCH THE CORNERBACK TANDEM OF CORTLAND AND FINNEGAN, AND ESPECIALLY SS CHRIS HOPE THAT MAKE THINGS HAPPEN. THE DETROIT PLAYBOOK IS SO SIMPLE NOW, AND SO BASIC, THAT IT READS LIKE A “CAT IN THE HAT” CHILDREN’S BOOK. THE COMBINATION OF A WASHED UP CULPEPPER, THE LACK OF TALENTED OR SKILLED PLAYERS, WILL NOT STOP THE TITAN’S QUEST . BELIVE ME HEAD COACH JEFF FISHER WILL REMIND HIS PLAYERS OF LAST WEEK’S LOSS, AND WILL STRESS WINNING IS THE MOMENTUM THEY NEED TO MAKE IT DEEP INTO THE PLAYOFFS, AND POSSIBLY A SUPERBOWL.
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RECOMMENDATION: BESIDES ALL MY RAMBLING, MY HOMEWORK REVEALED THAT DETROIT ON THANKSGIVING PLAYED CLOSER SCORING GAMES WHEN THEY PLAYED A DIVISION RIVALS. IN 2007 THEY PLAYED GREEN BAY (13-3) AND LOST BY 11 POINTS. KEEPING IN MIND THAT 2007 WAS DETROIT’S BREAK OUT SEASON AT (7-9). IN 2006 PLAYED OUT OF DIVISION MIAMI (6-10) LOST 27-10, 2005 ATLANTA (8-8) LOST 27-7, 2004 INDIANAPOLIS (12-4) LOST 41-9. I DON’T CARE IF 100% OF THE MONEY IS FOLLOWING TENNESSEE, THE TITANS ARE MY PICK.
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MONEYLINE: TENNESSEE
ATS: TENNESSEE –11.0
OVER/UNDER TOTALS: OVER 44.5
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PREDICTED SCORE:
TENNESSEE 33
DETROIT 13
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GOOD LUCK TOO ALL.
BROOKLYNWORM
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o></o>THERE IS NO WAY THAT I WILL PICK DETROIT TO BEAT THE SPREAD THE REST OF THIS SEASON. I DON’T CARE IF IT’S A TRAP LINE, OR OTHER INTANGIBLES LEANING TOWARDS THE LIONS FAVOR. ANY CHANCE I GET I WILL EITHER BET AGAINST THEM, OR PLACE NO BET. SO I DID SOME HOMEWORK ON THIS GAME. THE PUBLIC’S MONEY IS ALL OVER THE TITANS 64% TO 79%. THE LINE LOOKS LEGIT, AND I DON’T SEE ANY TRAP PLAYS. I TOOK LAST YEARS NUMBERS, AND COMPARED THEM TO THIS SEASON’S NUMBERS. DETROIT WENT 7-9 IN 2007, AND SCORED 346 POINTS, AND ALLOWED 348 POINTS IN 16 GAMES, (AVER. 21.63 OFF, AND 21.75 DEF).
IN 2008, THE LIONS SANK AVERAGING ONLY 17.60 POINTS, AND ALLOWING 31.50 POINTS. THE DEFENSE HAS ALREADYALLOWED 346 POINTS AFTER 11 GAMES, ONLY 2 POINTS SHY OF THEIR 16 GAME SCHEDULE IN 2007. BY COMPARISON FROM 2007 – 2008 SEASONS DETROIT IS AVERAGING –4.03 PTS LESS OFFENSIVELY, AND ALLOWING +9.75 MORE PTS DEFENSIVELY. TENNESSEE’S AVERAGING +4.59 MORE OFFENSIVE PTS , AND HAS ALLOWED –3.56 PTS LESS DEFENSIVELY. COMBINING THESE TOTALS, TENNESSEE SHOULD WIN BY 21.93 POINTS. IN ADDITION THE TITAN’S HAVE COME OFF THEIR FIRST LOSS, AND WILL BE READY FOR THIS CONTEST. WHY DID THE TITANS LOSE LAST WEEK TO THE JETS?, THE ANSWER IS SIMPLE. SINCE THAT COLT GAME ABOUT 4 WEEKS AGO. THE TITANS ABANDONED THE RUN , AND PASS THE BALL TO VICTORY. THE TITANS IF YOU COULD RECALL COULDN’T RUN VS ONE OF THE WORST RUSH DEFENSIVE UNITS IN THE NFL. THIS CARRIED OVER FOR WEEKS TO FOLLOW, AND MORE AND MORE THE TITANS ABANDONED THEIR SUCCESSFUL RUNNING GAME. TENNESSEE’S IDENTITY IS TO RUN THE BALL, AND RUN THE BALL WELL. SO, LIKE A FASTBALL BASEBALL PITCHER THAT DISCOVERS THAT HE HAS A GOOD CHANGE UP, HE FALLS IN LOVE WITH IT, AND FORGETS THAT THE HEAT IS HIS PRIMARY WEAPON. SOONER OR LATER THE HITTERS SEE MORE AND MORE OF HIS CHANGE UP, THE BATTERS ARE NO LONGER FOOLED, AND CATCH UP TO IT. THE SAME THING HAPPENED TO THE TITANS LAST WEEK WHEN THEY LOST TO THE JETS. THE JETS PLAYERS, COACHES STUDIED FILM, AND THE TITAN CHANGE UP OFFENSE AND THEY WERE NO LONGER FOOLED.FORGET ABOUT ALL THIS RAMBLING, THE HAPLESS DETROIT DEFENSE WILL HELP THE TITANS GET BACK ON THE RIGHT TRACK. WATCH FOR THE TITANS TO ESTABLISH THE RUN, AND GET BACK TO BASICS. THEN WATCH TENNESSEE GO TO PLAY ACTION WHEN THEY DRAW 8 IN THE BOX, AND WORK ON THE LIONS CONERBACKS THAT ARE TERRIBLE IN ONE ON ONE COVERAGE. THE LION’S PROBLEM IS THAT THEIR BEST PASS RUSHER IS PLAYING HURT, AND IS FAR FROM 100%. THEY WILL NOT BE ABLE TO GENERATE BLITZ PACKAGES TO KEEP QB KERRY COLLINS IN CHECK. BESIDES THE TENNESSEE TITAN OFFENSIVE LINE IS OUTSTANDING VS THE PASS RUSH, AND COLLINS WILL HAVE PLENTY OF TIME TO LOCATE ALL OF HIS TALENTED RECEIVERS. AS FOR DEFENSE, THE TITANS CORNERBACKS ARE MY SUPERSTARS. ANY CHANCE I GET, I LOVE TO WATCH THE CORNERBACK TANDEM OF CORTLAND AND FINNEGAN, AND ESPECIALLY SS CHRIS HOPE THAT MAKE THINGS HAPPEN. THE DETROIT PLAYBOOK IS SO SIMPLE NOW, AND SO BASIC, THAT IT READS LIKE A “CAT IN THE HAT” CHILDREN’S BOOK. THE COMBINATION OF A WASHED UP CULPEPPER, THE LACK OF TALENTED OR SKILLED PLAYERS, WILL NOT STOP THE TITAN’S QUEST . BELIVE ME HEAD COACH JEFF FISHER WILL REMIND HIS PLAYERS OF LAST WEEK’S LOSS, AND WILL STRESS WINNING IS THE MOMENTUM THEY NEED TO MAKE IT DEEP INTO THE PLAYOFFS, AND POSSIBLY A SUPERBOWL.
<o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: BESIDES ALL MY RAMBLING, MY HOMEWORK REVEALED THAT DETROIT ON THANKSGIVING PLAYED CLOSER SCORING GAMES WHEN THEY PLAYED A DIVISION RIVALS. IN 2007 THEY PLAYED GREEN BAY (13-3) AND LOST BY 11 POINTS. KEEPING IN MIND THAT 2007 WAS DETROIT’S BREAK OUT SEASON AT (7-9). IN 2006 PLAYED OUT OF DIVISION MIAMI (6-10) LOST 27-10, 2005 ATLANTA (8-8) LOST 27-7, 2004 INDIANAPOLIS (12-4) LOST 41-9. I DON’T CARE IF 100% OF THE MONEY IS FOLLOWING TENNESSEE, THE TITANS ARE MY PICK.
<o
></o>MONEYLINE: TENNESSEE
ATS: TENNESSEE –11.0
OVER/UNDER TOTALS: OVER 44.5
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></o>PREDICTED SCORE:
TENNESSEE 33
DETROIT 13
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></o>GOOD LUCK TOO ALL.
BROOKLYNWORM
ohno
, this looks like a WINNER! 
