Does this game feel trappy to anyone else? ULL has scored less than 90 @ home once. Texas St on the other hand has broken 70 away from home just one time. What gives here? Line is at 9.5 but I think it should be more like 14-15.5.
So I ended up taking ULL -8.5 and again at -7.5. Final margin: ULL by 23. The lesson is: trust the numbers! No idea why the line came down, but this is proof that you should never take line movement too seriously.