Texas St @ ULL

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Nov 14, 2013
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Does this game feel trappy to anyone else? ULL has scored less than 90 @ home once. Texas St on the other hand has broken 70 away from home just one time. What gives here? Line is at 9.5 but I think it should be more like 14-15.5.
 

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Dec 13, 2008
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Yeah my numbers say they win by 14. Not going to overthink this line too much. If it hits -8 I'm jumping on it.
 

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Dec 13, 2008
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So I ended up taking ULL -8.5 and again at -7.5. Final margin: ULL by 23. The lesson is: trust the numbers! No idea why the line came down, but this is proof that you should never take line movement too seriously.
 

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