Texas +13, Florida +6

[Albatross]

I think UGA hammers Texas

The UF game will be a snoozer......but I see them winning SU.

 

[TomandJerry]

good luck today Roll.................................TJ

 

[Bull24]

Against a pissed off georgia squad...I’ll take the Dogs all day. Tx overrated all year

 

[Acebb]

Washington State is a favorite after losing their conference championship game.

 

[Serbone]

Washington State is a favorite after losing their conference championship game.

Yes but they lost in frigid weather, windy, snowy, hurt their top notch passing game, helped Washington.
Now they play in a dome. That'll help.

I do not like backing Pac 12 teams in bowls but this might be a spot to do so. Iowa State is experienced playing against top passing offenses, of course, in the Big 12.

 

[1osubucks]

Rolltide, can you please run the numbers on teams that lost last two games of season SU and are favorites in bowl game? I had a running total but lost it.

thanks

F and game type = BG and p:L and pp:L
SU: 42-33-1 (5.39, 56.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 30-45-1 (0.07, 40.0%) avg line: -5.3 +6: 50-23-3 (68.5%) -6: 21-55-0 (27.6%) +10: 58-16-2 (78.4%) -10: 20-55-1 (26.7%) O/U: 18-19-0 (-1.35, 48.6%) avg total: 56.2 +6: 10-26-1 (27.8%) -6: 21-15-1 (58.3%) +10: 7-30-0 (18.9%) -10: 26-10-1 (72.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.5 156.5 32.8 246.8 20.1 1.6 7.8 8.4 6.8 7.7 29.4 Opp 36.3 129.3 33.9 235.6 18.9 2.2 5.6 6.9 5.1 6.2 24.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 28, 2018 Friday 18 2018 WVA SYR neutral -1.5 68.0 0 Jan 01, 2018 box Monday 18 2017 MICH SCAR neutral 6-0 3-3 10-13 0-10 19-26 -8.0 43.0 -7 -15 2 -6.5 8.5 L L O 0 Dec 28, 2017 box Thursday 18 2017 NAVY VIR home 14-7 14-0 14-0 7-0 49-7 -2.0 54.0 42 40 2 21.0 -19.0 W W O 0 Dec 27, 2017 box Wednesday 18 2017 ARZ PUR neutral 14-14 0-17 14-0 7-7 35-38 -3.0 66.0 -3 -6 7 0.5 6.5 L L O 0 Dec 22, 2017 box Friday 17 2017 OHU UAB neutral 13-0 14-3 14-3 0-0 41-6 -7.5 57.0 35 27.5 -10 8.8 -18.8 W W U 0 Dec 22, 2017 box Friday 17 2017 WYO CMCH neutral 21-7 6-0 3-7 7-0 37-14 -3.0 46.5 23 20 4.5 12.2 -7.8 W W O 0 Jan 02, 2017 box Monday 18 2016 FLA IOWA neutral 3-3 7-0 7-0 13-0 30-3 -2.5 40.5 27 24.5 -7.5 8.5 -16.0 W W U 0 Dec 28, 2016 box Wednesday 18 2016 UTAH IND neutral 10-7 7-10 6-0 3-7 26-24 -4.5 54.0 2 -2.5 -4 -3.2 -0.8 W L U 0 Dec 27, 2016 box Tuesday 18 2016 WAST MIN neutral 3-0 3-3 0-7 6-7 12-17 -8.5 61.0 -5 -13.5 -32.0 -22.8 -9.2 L L U 0 Dec 23, 2016 box Friday 17 2016 LTCH NAVY neutral 17-7 14-17 0-7 17-14 48-45 -6.0 68.0 3 -3 25 11.0 14.0 W L O 0 Dec 17, 2016 box Saturday 16 2016 CFL AKST neutral 0-17 10-0 3-7 0-7 13-31 -4.0 50.0 -18 -22 -6 -14.0 8.0 L L U 0

 

[exploited17]

Bumpers
Go Texas

 

[Ballzie]

Against a pissed off georgia squad...I’ll take the Dogs all day. Tx overrated all year

+1

 

[Loves2kickass]

Good call. Something to remember for next year

 

[rolltide]

Texas, Florida, and Oklahoma State ... none even needed the points

 

[indiana]

R/Tide......you and your family have a great and prosperous New Year buddy......thank you for all your do here...…..indy

 

[candylicker]

Great Job both won outright

 

[REDEYE]

good job RT.. Had Texas + 11 1/2 and Fla + 7 1/2... very solid plays... would have been a better weekend if Ohio St didn't let up

 

[bookiereport]

Great calls as usual RollTide!!!

 

[SunDodger]

oppose Missouri -12.5 ... great system to oppose 8+ power-5 favs in december bowl games when facing fairly poor teams (<8 wins). 27-6 ATS and 15-1 L16

Must be another tightener somewhere, best I can get is 33-11-3 ATS.



game type=BG and conference in [P10,P12,SEC,B10,B12,ACC] and line<=-8 and o:wins<8 and month=12


Cool system anyway.

 

[UncleMeat]

Rolltide, as usual, great capping. Thanks sir and have a happy healthy New Year!

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

@rolltide bump this for 2019 bowls?

 

[AcesandFaces]

So, this year, based on RT's posts from last season, we would have the following plays:

Bet against Teams that lost their final regular season game (or conference title game), that are then installed as favorites in Bowl games:

Bet against: Utah, Alabama, Georgia, and Cincinnati. BET ON: Texas +7', Michigan +7, Baylor+7, and Boston College +7

Also: OPPOSE 8+ power-5 favorites in December when facing teams with less than 8 Wins:

OPPOSE NOTRE DAME (IF you consider N.D. a Power 5) PLAY ON IOWA STATE
OPPOSE UTAH (PLAY ON Texas)
OPPOSE VA. Tech (PLAY ON Kentucky)

Hopefully RT will verify.

A&F

 

[NoCoke]

I imagine Baylor fits the bill.. Rhule is 34-14 as a dog too.

 

[Ubuksi]

A&F no parlays this year??