Testing my model

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Z/3....let's get'em today buddy....
BOL with your action tonight...indy
 

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How many simulations do you plan on running?
Im running it at least a year and see how it peforms. Im running 2 models this playoffs: this exact one and other one with some tweaks and see how it goes. But yeah, at least start using it for real (if it works) on march/april next year.

Im also working on a MLB model that last year gave pretty good results. I just need a around 2 months of the new season to collect data and start posting picks.
 
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Im running it at least a year and see how it peforms. Im running 2 models this playoffs: this exact one and other one with some tweaks and see how it goes. But yeah, at least start using it for real (if it works) on march/april next year.

Im also working on a MLB model that last year gave pretty good results. I just need a around 2 months of the new season to collect data and start posting picks.
Couldn't you use the previous seasons to back test it, or would the data be to old? You must be using data that is current and relevant, and changing from day to day. That's the way to go.
 

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Maybe 15-20 years ago using previews season
Couldn't you use the previous seasons to back test it, or would the data be to old? You must be using data that is current and relevant, and changing from day to day. That's the way to go.
Perhaps 15-20 years ago, you could use information from previous seasons, but in my view, the game has changed a lot. Everything is computerized, everything is meticulously researched as teams change day by day. Moreover, player movement between teams has increased significantly in recent years; nobody is loyal to their team anymore, they are loyal to their bank account. So, I believe that's why using data from previous seasons isn't very useful.

And yes, the model uses information from 1-3-10-20 days prior (each with its respective weight), as well as overall power rankings, both defensively and offensively, along with many other data points.
 

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Indiana/LA Clippers Under 233 1U
great bounce back Z
 

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nice sweep and thanks for the winners
 

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