Teams to bet against "regularly"....would like some input

[_wheredatreezat]

No specific order but I think we may have some value betting against these teams consistently...

Nets
Milwaukee
Utah
Seattle

Will be laying some pts against the Nets, but anytime they play a team who can put up points, that should equate to $$$. The Nets just do not have players to keep up with scoring teams.

On that note, take the Lakers tonight and am leaning to Denver and Minne as well.

Would love to hear some input.

Treez

 

[_wheredatreezat]

This is over the next few weeks.

Add Utah to the list...

 

[charleslanger]

Team...........................ATS....................................actual........................................OFF...............................DEF
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupCells>ATL</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3-6-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-7-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells></TD><TD class=matchupCells>85.9</TD><TD class=matchupCells>98.2</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>DET</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>2-7-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>5-4-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite></TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>96.4</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>98.9</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupCells>GS</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3-7-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-8-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells></TD><TD class=matchupCells>85.3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>93.3</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupCells>MIN</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-6-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>6-3-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells></TD><TD class=matchupCells>95.8</TD><TD class=matchupCells>93.1</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[kidslick]

fwiw 2nd half unders when the nuggets play at home


have been golden the last 2 years.

i remember last year the under in the 2nd half came in 1 times in a row..

you can search it if you like.

kidslick

 

[Doug]

1 Times in a row ? What's the real number ?

 

[kidslick]

lol doug..13 times

it figures will be a loser tonight..

 

[_wheredatreezat]

any more teams we can add to here?

Nets still suck
Utah has been sucking
Milwaukee is about even
Seattle is unstoppable...shall we still be waiting for the collapse or is this team for real? One thing for certain is until they start losing they definitely don't belong on this list.
Charlotte is pretty bad, but not sure how they have been fairing against the spread. I have taken some time off in the NBA being that I was getting my ass killed in this sport.

On the flip side of this, teams where there is some value to bet with...

Seattle fits in here although I still don't like this team
Lakers


Finally, can someone help me out and point me to some database which keeps ATS standings thus far for each team with breakdowns of individual games. Thanks.

GL

Treez

 

[MadCapper]

i would always bet against the lakers.

 

[_wheredatreezat]

Well, I most certainly would take your picks over mine, but from what I have noticed is some generous lines with the Lake show (getting points from Milwaukee the other night was the latest).

Also, as I have mentioned, not sure really how any of these teams have performed ATS, but I would guess Lake show is above .500 for sure.

 

[FNGinFL]

According to what I read, the Lake Show is 8-8 ATS. Golden State is now 4-10 ATS. Chicago at only 2-10 SU is actually 6-6 ATS.


But the BIG shocker ATS is Miami! Who would've thought a Shaq team would be this bad ATS? The bookmakers, THAT's who!!! Do you know this team is 4-11-1 ATS, BUT IS 0-8-1 ATS AT HOME SO FAR THIS YEAR????? That's right, they haven't won a SINGLE game at home ATS this year!!!!! Now that's a trend!!!

 

[_wheredatreezat]

Thanks for the input.

Infalted lines will do it. Can you provide me a link which shows how teams have performed ATS thus far. Thanks.

 

[GameBreaker]

There has been value in betting Indiana since "the incident" because the reserves on the team are undervalued and lines are inflated. These guys relish the opportunity to show what they got.

http://basketballmatchups.com/NBA_ats.html that is a link for ATS stats

 

[_wheredatreezat]

Thanks GameBreaker, and yes, there has been much value betting Indi backups early. I think they will start to falter, and if not, more props to Carlisle.

 

[ATSHotSheet]

_wheredatreezat
Thats is a good long-run strategy. There are a few, not too many, teams in the NBA who wont cover the ATS much. I remember about 4 years ago, I was doing those ATS stats, and I had NETS and ORLANDO on the list. They covered the spreads like 20 times in the season and 64 they didnt. So if you can pick them out early, you can make a nice profit. But picking too many teams will even things out and it will take money away from you. This year, I would pick Detroit to go against on the road, and at home if they are favored of 7 or more pts. (most likely won't cover) So, best of luck to ya!
Detroit ( 4 - 10 ATS ) = ( +560 )
Detroit ( Home Fav. 7+ pts | 0-2 ) = ( +300 )
GL!