I ran across a thread in another forum a couple days ago. I thought I bookmarked it but I can't seem to find it now. Anyways, the poster said to bet against a team that's playing it's 3rd consecutive road game. He said last year those teams lost the last game 3 out of 4 times. I don't know if those games were ats or straight up. I checked this year and there were 4 teams playing 3 straight road games (Jacksonville, Miami, Buffalo and Atlanta). Jacksonville played 3 straight road games earlier this year and lost the last game on 10/11 to Tampa Bay 38-31 and Jax didn't cover the spread. Miami is playing it's third straight road game tomorrow against Philly. Buffalo has 3 consecutive road games coming up 11/12, 11/23/ and 11/29 (last game at Atlanta). Atlanta has 3 consecutive road games coming up 12/6, 12/13 and 12/20 (last game at Jacksonville). I know this is a small sample size but I thought someone could use this info when they're capping the games. GLTA
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct...sg=AFQjCNHUnRYLCOF_MCB7pKnYC46X2hM1_A&cad=rja
"Let's use the Falcons, Bills, Dolphins, Jaguars as examples. Of the 32 teams in the NFL, those are the only four that have to play three straight road games this season.
Playing three straight road games is almost always a recipe for disaster.
Since 1990, there have been 125 instances where a team had to play three straight road games and of those 125 road trips, the visiting team only came away with a winning record (3-0 or 2-1) 36.8 percent of the time. That means on 63.2 percent of those three-game road trips (or 79 times), the visiting team either went 1-2 or 0-3.
Teams have actually gone 0-3 (22 times) on three-game road trips more than twice as often as they've gone 3-0 (10)."
"Let's use the Falcons, Bills, Dolphins, Jaguars as examples. Of the 32 teams in the NFL, those are the only four that have to play three straight road games this season.
Playing three straight road games is almost always a recipe for disaster.
Since 1990, there have been 125 instances where a team had to play three straight road games and of those 125 road trips, the visiting team only came away with a winning record (3-0 or 2-1) 36.8 percent of the time. That means on 63.2 percent of those three-game road trips (or 79 times), the visiting team either went 1-2 or 0-3.
Teams have actually gone 0-3 (22 times) on three-game road trips more than twice as often as they've gone 3-0 (10)."
Many years ago, I'm going back.to.the late 90's, teams would cover the 3rd str road game if they didn't the first 2......& if they covered the first 2 road games, they wouldn't cover the 3rd.......haven't followed it much past couple years.
So go against Miami +6 at Philly?
So go against Miami +6 at Philly?
[So go against Miami +6 at Philly?[/QUOTE]
I liked Philly earlier in the week so this was another reason for me to pull the trigger. I took Philly -6 because their defense seems solid and they have a lot of potential on offense. I think they finally gel and put some points on the board. Then again, I know quite a few people on Miami. You never know with the NFL. A fumble here, an interception there and the whole game changes real quick. Good luck with your picks.
I liked Philly earlier in the week so this was another reason for me to pull the trigger. I took Philly -6 because their defense seems solid and they have a lot of potential on offense. I think they finally gel and put some points on the board. Then again, I know quite a few people on Miami. You never know with the NFL. A fumble here, an interception there and the whole game changes real quick. Good luck with your picks.
You have my attention on this Philly play.......I'm gonna look into it more, thanks Man......& good luck with all your plays as well!
If You Were Going By The Case Stated Above....
You Would Play ON MIAMI This Week, BC They
Didn't Cover Either Of Their Previous 2 Games.
--ShotDoc--
I know Shot, that's why I gotta look more into this game.......maybe something has changed from.the 90's to now a days.......of course the offenses are more prevalent now a days........but travel hasn't changed.......so I'm trying to figure out why the results have changed.
Teams coming off playing 3 consecutive home games is what you should focus on. Particularly if they're hitting the road against a Non-Division opponent and favored by more than 3 points
Hmm......gonna look into this, looks very promising & the Tits would be a play.
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oints) <= 27.5 and otA(margin) > -12 and otA(o
