Of all the teams listed IMO: Detroit, Jacksonville, Cinncy, St.Louis, and Seattle will lose you money.... K.C., Oakland on the other hand are great picks this week especially in an inner-division game. As far as Cleaveland goes.. stay away.
The only team I'm staying away from in spite of showing a little value ATS this week is Detroit. When a team starts to pack it in it usually occurs defensively in the second half of a game in which they're down by a couple of scores. Detroit rates highly to be in that situation this week so you could see Chester or AP break off of a couple of big TD runs in the 4th quarter like Slaton did last night for the Texans versus an uninspired Jags' defense. Offenses will generally always put in a good effort, so Overs tend to hit more. I liked the Under 48.5 in Houston last night, but 4 touchdowns in the last 4 minutes of the game shows you what can happen when defenses get soft at the end of a blowout/no chance for the playoffs game.