TCU/LOUISVILLE

Search

SixthSense

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
494
TCU -1.5 Louisville 50.5

This play becomes an automatic play because of the situation it qualifies in. TCU qualifies in a home momentum situation, which is now 127-50-3 and 9-1 this year, including an easy win with Texas last week. The average cover has been by 6.5 points and by 11.5 points this year. The Louisville offense is better, gaining 6.7 yppl against teams allowing 5.8 yppl versus the TCU offense, which is gaining just 5.6 yppl against 5.5 yppl. The TCU defense is better, allowing 5.1 yppl against 5.0 yppl, while Louisville is allowing 5.0 yppl against 4.7 yppl. Both offenses are above average and both defenses are below average. But Louisville runs the ball 59% of the time and they are averaging 5.4 ypr against 4.5 ypr but the TCU defense is allowing just 2.6 ypr against teams averaging 3.7 ypr. Both teams throw the ball well but Louisville has defended the pass better this year. Final numbers indicate TCU winning by about two points but with the added value of the great situation they are in, that makes their final number closer to about seven points. I also like this game over the total. As I said, both teams have above average offenses and below average defenses and these two have played each other the last two years with TCU dominating on the scoreboard, but both games were very high scoring, 45-31 at Louisville last year and 37-22 at TCU two years ago. TCU 34 LOUISVILLE 24

YTD 25-33-1 -26.70%

2% TCU -1.5
2% TCU/LOUISVILLE OVER 50.5
 

jwunderdog

New member
Joined
Jun 20, 2001
Messages
4,398
I don't have an opinion but I am going to ride with you on this one and take TCU. GL
 

CedarCreaker

Having the time of my life!!
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
2,012
6th...have been studying game myself (live in DFW area and alot of info on the HorneyFrogs here) and have looked at alot of posts but have decided go w/the Frogs and over and your info was a deciding help...don't know if win or lose but thanx for post...$$$$$$
suomi.gif
 

wasu55

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
11
hey 6th, i decided to go with you on the game tonight and it worked out great. i appreciate it and just wanted to tell you to keep it going. what do you think about tomorrow night? if its not too early. thanks

Wayne
 

SixthSense

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
494
Thanks guys.

wasu - The same situation applies tomorrow night on Arkansas BUT, and I caution a big BUT,the situation only applies because of all the points Arkansas scored in their last game, but those points came because of the OT and not because of what they did in regulation. Because of that, I will not play the game. My numbers favor Arkansas but I am not comfortable laying those points against S. Carolina. Final score is right on the total and a non play as well.

If NM State would become a favorite, I would lean pretty favorably to Utah State but I doubt they will become the favorite.

Sorry I couldn't give you a better opinion but I'll just be watching tomorrow. Good luck in whatever you do.
 

CedarCreaker

Having the time of my life!!
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
2,012
thanx 6th!!!!!!...like they say in golf...its not how..its how many!!!...loved those missed FGs..another winner both ways..Over and TCU
applaudit.gif
applaudit.gif
bowdown.gif
bowdown.gif
 

SixthSense

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
494
Thanks.

Nice start to the weekend. The same situation pops once more on Saturday. And another situation, which I have won with each of the past five weeks (actually four weeks because I skipped one of the plays) and is now 5-0 this year and 65-21 over the last 15 years, pops again on Saturday.
 

Guest

Guest
Sixth,

Nice job...I was on the under and got smacked around pretty good. Hope you clean up this weekend.

sb
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,038,592
Messages
12,889,797
Members
96,119
Latest member
george12