One play for tonight. Keep in mind, I am playing these games very small (1%). While the strategies I'm using have been very well researched, this is still preseason football and many things can happen.
MIAMI -3 TAMPA BAY 32.5
TB looked good last week in Tokyo in their 30-14 win over the Jets. TB qualifies in a situation tonight that plays on teams who have already played a game versus a team who hasn't played yet. That situation is 36-10-4 since 1983. Much has been made that the second game versus a team's first game "system" has ran it's course but this situation has seen only one losing season since 1983 and held it's own during the last 10 years (13-7-1) where the second game versus first game system has gone only 22-25-4.
I've also seen plenty written this week about the short work week for TB since returning from Tokyo. But, in checking my database, 28 games have been played where a team was returning from an overseas trip. Those teams have gone 20-5-3 ats, including 15-5-3 when playing their second game versus a team playing their first game and laying less than six points (or an underdog). If our overseas team is playing on seven or less days rest, they are 20-4-3 (laying less than six points) and if they are on six or less days rest, they are 13-2-3. Underdogs of more than two points are 6-1-1. If you think Miami has the advantage tonight because of TB's trip to Tokyo, you may want to think again.
I like the TB quarterbacks they will use tonight and Miami, without Fiedler, is down one experienced quarterback. I'll grab the points.
Remember, my normal plays during the season are 3% and I am playing this for only one-third of that. That's all I can play during a preseason game, where you rely on many players who won't even be on the field come September.
1% TAMPA BAY +3
MIAMI -3 TAMPA BAY 32.5
TB looked good last week in Tokyo in their 30-14 win over the Jets. TB qualifies in a situation tonight that plays on teams who have already played a game versus a team who hasn't played yet. That situation is 36-10-4 since 1983. Much has been made that the second game versus a team's first game "system" has ran it's course but this situation has seen only one losing season since 1983 and held it's own during the last 10 years (13-7-1) where the second game versus first game system has gone only 22-25-4.
I've also seen plenty written this week about the short work week for TB since returning from Tokyo. But, in checking my database, 28 games have been played where a team was returning from an overseas trip. Those teams have gone 20-5-3 ats, including 15-5-3 when playing their second game versus a team playing their first game and laying less than six points (or an underdog). If our overseas team is playing on seven or less days rest, they are 20-4-3 (laying less than six points) and if they are on six or less days rest, they are 13-2-3. Underdogs of more than two points are 6-1-1. If you think Miami has the advantage tonight because of TB's trip to Tokyo, you may want to think again.
I like the TB quarterbacks they will use tonight and Miami, without Fiedler, is down one experienced quarterback. I'll grab the points.
Remember, my normal plays during the season are 3% and I am playing this for only one-third of that. That's all I can play during a preseason game, where you rely on many players who won't even be on the field come September.
1% TAMPA BAY +3
