TB-MIAMI

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One play for tonight. Keep in mind, I am playing these games very small (1%). While the strategies I'm using have been very well researched, this is still preseason football and many things can happen.

MIAMI -3 TAMPA BAY 32.5

TB looked good last week in Tokyo in their 30-14 win over the Jets. TB qualifies in a situation tonight that plays on teams who have already played a game versus a team who hasn't played yet. That situation is 36-10-4 since 1983. Much has been made that the second game versus a team's first game "system" has ran it's course but this situation has seen only one losing season since 1983 and held it's own during the last 10 years (13-7-1) where the second game versus first game system has gone only 22-25-4.

I've also seen plenty written this week about the short work week for TB since returning from Tokyo. But, in checking my database, 28 games have been played where a team was returning from an overseas trip. Those teams have gone 20-5-3 ats, including 15-5-3 when playing their second game versus a team playing their first game and laying less than six points (or an underdog). If our overseas team is playing on seven or less days rest, they are 20-4-3 (laying less than six points) and if they are on six or less days rest, they are 13-2-3. Underdogs of more than two points are 6-1-1. If you think Miami has the advantage tonight because of TB's trip to Tokyo, you may want to think again.

I like the TB quarterbacks they will use tonight and Miami, without Fiedler, is down one experienced quarterback. I'll grab the points.

Remember, my normal plays during the season are 3% and I am playing this for only one-third of that. That's all I can play during a preseason game, where you rely on many players who won't even be on the field come September.

1% TAMPA BAY +3
 

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Some trends


Dave Wannstedt is 1-9-2 ATS as a favorite of less than 3 points

The under is 7-0 the last 7 preseason meetings since 1996
 

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Great call! How about STL and over in the next one.STL may want to show off a little being healthy again.GL
 

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Thanks SJ

UnderDogg - Don't really have any feelings on the Rams game. I'm 95% a situational player and I don't have anything on their game. BUT, like you said, Martz is the kind of coach who might like to play well to keep the fans, owners and players happy so he might do what it takes to win the game.

Good luck.
 

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SIXTH SENSE

GLAD TO SEE YOU ARE HERE FOR ANOTHER GO ROUND.GERAT WRITE UP.TAMPA LOOKS LIKE A GOOD PLAY.


BEST OF LUCK THIS SEASON MY FRIEND!
 

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Nice job Sixth Sense
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