Tampa Bay will have a hard time keeping up in this game. Tampa's offense is only 27th in scoring and 29th in rushing offense. Buffalo's offense is 3rd in scoring and will easily cover this spread. The Buccaneers pass defense ranks 27th in the league allowing 246.7 yards per game. “Can the Bills win by more than a touchdown?” I’m going to say yes. Factoring in a home-field advantage, I think Buffalo will find enough offense to win this contest by double digits. This is a tough matchup stylistically for the Bucs, who are essentially one-dimensional, and rely way too much on the pass game. Predicted final score for Tampa Bay vs. Buffalo at Highmark Stadium in Week 8 has the Bills winning 25-16. Buffalo should be able to hit that mark and come away with the cover. However the whales with sharps are laying the money line at 4-1[ -$400 ] This point spread will go up near game time by a point or maybe point and a half, because of money movement. Laying 4 dimes to win 1 dime is the safe bet by the whales.. and me too!!!!!. even if they win this contest by double digits.
The Buccaneers can’t run the ball. And despite still being relatively impressive on third down, they didn’t have enough juice to score more than a single touchdown against the Falcons defense. Tampa Bay has always had a bit of a “bend but don’t break” defensive philosophy, but they’ve allowed some big plays so far in 2023.
Tampa Bay at Buffalo Betting Trends
- Tampa Bay’s record against the spread in 2023 is 3-3-0.
- One Tampa Bay game (out of six) has gone over the point total this season.
- Buffalo’s ATS record is 3-4-0 this season.
- The Bills have no wins ATS (0-1) as an 8.5-point favorite or greater this year.
- The teams have hit the over in three of Buffalo’s seven games with a set total.
- Buffalo games with a set total have hit the over three times this season (42.9%).
- One of Tampa Bay’s six games has hit the over.
- Tampa Bay are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
- Tampa Bay are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division.
- Buffalo are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference South division.
B&Rs Expert Consensus Rating>>>>> Offensively, Tampa Bay has struggled all season, ranking 25th in team offense with an average of 17.2 points per game. Their 13-point performance in the recent loss further exacerbated this issue. The run game has been particularly ineffective, with one of the league’s poorest ground games, averaging around 75 rushing yards per game.
WR Stefon Diggs >>>>There is a legitimate case to be made for Diggs as the NFL's most consistent receiver in recent years. He has exceptional route-running ability and separation skills and makes the difficult catches. His speed and agility make him a threat after the catch and he possesses great hands and body control that make him a problem for defenders. He is quite simply put, a playmaker. The Buccaneers provide a good opportunity for Buffalo to figure things out in the aerial attack. Tampa Bay is allowing 246.7 yards per game through the air, as well as 6.8 yards per attempt. As much as the Bills have looked like a struggling offense over the last three weeks, they’re still fourth in quarterback rating (99.9), and are completing passes at a 70.7% rate, second-best in the NFL.
That sets up well for a big game through the air from Allen, and should be the biggest beneficiary. Diggs is already averaging nearly 97 yards receiving per game, and is by far Allen’s favorite target, catching 31.6% of Buffalo’s passes and getting 33% of the targets in this offense. My bet > Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Over 85 1/2 -$115 [BetMGM] ~If I win both bets that will make me 13 in row with winning bets~
That sets up well for a big game through the air from Allen, and should be the biggest beneficiary. Diggs is already averaging nearly 97 yards receiving per game, and is by far Allen’s favorite target, catching 31.6% of Buffalo’s passes and getting 33% of the targets in this offense. My bet > Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Over 85 1/2 -$115 [BetMGM] ~If I win both bets that will make me 13 in row with winning bets~
The Bills use to score. NOT LATELY.
IN the last 3 games they re only averaging 20pts per game and allowing 21.
They are no where near the team they were a month ago.
Lowest ML I see is -430 (-9.5) and most are 450-500.
BOL ON THE PLAY.
