For this thread I will add a thought. I realize the importance of taking into account the relative strengths of schedules when evaluating matchups. I would add that, when determining the strength of the schedule of a team, one should not only be looking at that team’s opponents during a specified time frame, but also incorporate the strength of schedule of the opponents’ opponents of that team during the specified time. For example, if San Francisco plays Seattle a certain week, one would look at the strength of schedules for each team for a given time period (season to date, last 4 games, etc.) Let’s say, all stats being equal and based on the opponent performance, it is determined that SF had the tougher strength of schedule. But what if, during the specified time frame, SF’s opponents all did well against below average, or weak teams.Then, let’s say Seattle’s opponents during that time frame were forced to play top tier teams and didn’t perform as well.
During the time frame Seattle’s opponents appear to be weaker, giving Seattle the weaker strength of schedule. In actuality, it was the tougher “opponents’ strength of schedule” that caused this result. If you correctly account for the strength of schedule of the opponents you are using to calculate the strength of schedule of a team you are handicapping your conclusions are not only more precise, they are closer to reality. The closer your opinion of a game is to reality, the better you are able to stand that opinion up against the market to see if you have a bet. It's a matter of keeping up, staying flexible and not trapping yourself into one strategy or line of thought. Utilizing a system that takes into account home-field advantage, overall performance, strength of schedule and margin of victory, If you do that, you'll put yourself into a position where you can succeed in your elimination of weekly team games and bring in those fat stacks of cash. I Use money lines as a evaluation, with and against the point spreads, Weather, injures, J.J. Bascus Power ratings, Defense and Offense analyzes, Team coaches comparisons]
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT
PS...I hope this will helpful in making your decisions and bets? Look for my threads for coming season and very good luck on your picks for the opening season of NFL. Looking forward to your replys,feedbacks any questions you might have with our picks and also yours.
~OurCrew~
J.J. Bascus Power Rating and Picks [Reno NV.//// System Smity Ryann II, J.J. Bascus NFL Analyst [ Las Vegas N.V.]/// Mr.HarryTheHat[ Las Vegas N.V./// Back Room Benny The Jew [ Brooklyn N.Y./// Sammy Sea Way [ Boston Mass] ///.Bee Bee Black widow [ Henderson N.V.]/// Little Bobby Lancer[ St. Paul Minnesota ] Angelo[ Pee-Wee] Moretti [Cicero Chicago] Guest Handicapper for the 1st 3 weeks of NFLseason
During the time frame Seattle’s opponents appear to be weaker, giving Seattle the weaker strength of schedule. In actuality, it was the tougher “opponents’ strength of schedule” that caused this result. If you correctly account for the strength of schedule of the opponents you are using to calculate the strength of schedule of a team you are handicapping your conclusions are not only more precise, they are closer to reality. The closer your opinion of a game is to reality, the better you are able to stand that opinion up against the market to see if you have a bet. It's a matter of keeping up, staying flexible and not trapping yourself into one strategy or line of thought. Utilizing a system that takes into account home-field advantage, overall performance, strength of schedule and margin of victory, If you do that, you'll put yourself into a position where you can succeed in your elimination of weekly team games and bring in those fat stacks of cash. I Use money lines as a evaluation, with and against the point spreads, Weather, injures, J.J. Bascus Power ratings, Defense and Offense analyzes, Team coaches comparisons]
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT
PS...I hope this will helpful in making your decisions and bets? Look for my threads for coming season and very good luck on your picks for the opening season of NFL. Looking forward to your replys,feedbacks any questions you might have with our picks and also yours.
~OurCrew~
J.J. Bascus Power Rating and Picks [Reno NV.//// System Smity Ryann II, J.J. Bascus NFL Analyst [ Las Vegas N.V.]/// Mr.HarryTheHat[ Las Vegas N.V./// Back Room Benny The Jew [ Brooklyn N.Y./// Sammy Sea Way [ Boston Mass] ///.Bee Bee Black widow [ Henderson N.V.]/// Little Bobby Lancer[ St. Paul Minnesota ] Angelo[ Pee-Wee] Moretti [Cicero Chicago] Guest Handicapper for the 1st 3 weeks of NFLseason
