$$$$$$$$$ System for 2/21 Weekend $$$$$$$$$

[jbragg10]

TEAMS THAT NORMALLY DO NOT HAVE LINED GAMES:
PLAY ON:
LIBERTY +8
VERMONT -5.5
N DAKOTA ST. CONFLICT PASS
S. DAKOTA ST. +3.5
GARDNER WEBB +10
MARYLAND BALTIMORE COUNTY +8.5
BOSTON UNIV. -5
MORGAN ST. CONFLICT PASS
WINTHROP PK (potential conflict)
HARTFORD +8
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON +13
BUCKNELL +2

BRACKETBUSTER DOUBLE DIGIT DOGS (PLAY ON ALL):
TOLEDO +10
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON +13
GARDNER WEBB +10 (ALREADY A PLAY IN TEAMS WITHOUT LINES PLAYS)
MOREHEAD ST +10

These are subject to change as we get closer to tipoff, there are many at +9.5 now, so this list could change.

:UNDERDOGS OF 1-3.5::
***We all saw the value of a half point last night, with VCU losing by 1 with a line of +1.5, so make sure these stay within the range, do not buy points, the worst betting philosophy ever with few exceptions.

BUCKNELL +2.5 (ALREADY INCLUDED IN UNLINED TEAMS)
WICHITA ST. +1
MIAMI,O. +1.5
TOWSON +2 (CONFLICT NO PLAY)
LOY,CHI. +2
LONG BEACH ST. +3
OHIO,U. +2.5
ELON +1
HOFSTRA +2.5
JACKSONVILLE ST. +1.5
MISC-MILW +1.5 (CONFLICT PASS)
SE MISSOURI ST. +3.5
PACIFIC +1.5
SD ST +3.5
CS NORTHRIDGE +3.5
LIST SUBJECT TO CHANGE

:TOTALS:
ALL THE FOLLOWING TEAMS ARE TO BE PLAYED OVER::
LIBERTY 135.5
DAVIDSON 133
WILL & MARY 122
B GREEN 122
W. MICH 123
INDIANA ST. 123
BALL ST. 130
MURRAY ST. 121.5
SIENA 140
WICHITA ST 118.5
EVANSVILLE 117.5
LOY,CHI 127.5
E. MICH 116.5
YOUNG ST. 124.5
ST. MARY'S 131
LONG BEACH ST 142
E. KENTUCKY 133
NC WILM 143
FAIRFIELD 129.5
KENT ST. 131
TN MTN 139
PORT ST 144.5
ILL CHI 128
VALPO 120.5
TENN ST. 130.5
DRAKE 139
SE MISS ST. 144.5
SAN DIEGO 115.5
CREIGHTON 134.5
UC SANTA BARBARA 131
SAN JOSE ST 122.5
IDAHO 137
HAWAII 125
NC GREEN 141

I have not locked in on any of these, and will adjust lines and games accordingly for official grading. I won't be able to change them until after tip-off as I use 7 books, and take the best possible lines.


I know it's a lot of games and some of them may change when it gets closer to game time. As you can see in the past, these games have done well in each of their section, so that might be a good decision for many people.

 

[papicker]

hey bragg why is south dakota st in there they are a 3.5 underdog i thought 3.5 was a conflict of 2 rules.

 

[papicker]

o wait nevermind im readin that wrong they fall into 2 rules actually.

 

[HarleyRoadKing]

Thanks for breaking all the games down Braggster.. That must have been a lot of work... BOL..

 

[METFAN]

Good luck today

 

[jbragg10]

ADD WRIGHT ST. OVER 113.5 <br/>
ADD LOY,MD +11 <br/>

 

[tlee4lizard]

No way i am betting all these games or any for that matter but!!!!!! Great work man alot of time and effort you have put in and i hope it pays off for you best of luck!!!!

 

[jbragg10]

No way i am betting all these games or any for that matter but!!!!!! Great work man alot of time and effort you have put in and i hope it pays off for you best of luck!!!!

yea ... I understand that. I am using money that I have won of this system in the past (I saved it) so it's all good. It could be a good guideline if you are looking at possible plays as well. Just a thought.

 

[Haystacks]

hey bragg why is south dakota st in there they are a 3.5 underdog i thought 3.5 was a conflict of 2 rules.

duh, actually it is a dual qualifier (underdogs of 1-3.5) and (teams who don't play lined games)

 

[Bobbflo]

keep an eye on georgia st vs e mich...in some places they are +1

 

[rowdy]

JB, love the info. One question, did you track at all the breakdown within the system the last few years? Like the win % for non lined teams, over 145, dogs 1.5-3 etc. No biggie, just curious.

 

[LockBuster]

Are you playing all of them Bragg? Or will you be narrowing it down and posting actual plays?

 

[jbragg10]

rowdy: yes. I have personally played this system for 3 years now. The system has been in tact for 6 years with average winning % at mid 60's. That doesn't mean it will cash every year We have been lucky to this point. The breakdown for each section (percentage wise) is on page 4 of this thread.

LockBuster: I play all of the plays. I play them small (with money that I have saved up from this system in the past).

 

[docslep]

just curious, how many bets are you laying today, and for how many units? i've never seen anyone bet 70 games in 1 day and actually win 65%. btw, i always check your threads, you've been posting winners, good luck today. i'm not sure "cherry picking" 1-2 picks is the way to go, for small bit players like me, though.

 

[jbragg10]

yea ... I would say most people won't play all these ... and I understand why. I will play probably .25 - .5 unit on every game. I have the money, so I will take my chance (again). It has paid off. It is mostly for tracking and if it works again this year, you can look at it next year.

 

[docslep]

yea ... I would say most people won't play all these ... and I understand why. I will play probably .25 - .5 unit on every game. I have the money, so I will take my chance (again). It has paid off. It is mostly for tracking and if it works again this year, you can look at it next year.

:toast: gl friend

 

[stockisup]

I am with you jbragg. Just 1 question though. Do we still play a team that normally does not have a lined game, but they are a 1-3.5 favorite

 

[LockBuster]

Good luck on your card. Hope you hit at a monster percentage. I like a few of them. Especially some of the teams that normally don't have lines and a couple of the small dogs. I normally look for spots to play under the total so all your overs are a bit scary to me. Good luck though and I hope you cash large.

Hypothetically, if you were playing any non bracket buster games, what would your leans be?

 

[jbragg10]

I am with you jbragg. Just 1 question though. Do we still play a team that normally does not have a lined game, but they are a 1-3.5 favorite

no. If there is any conflict on the games, that makes it a no play.

 

[boyzfan]

bragg could you play them all except overs and still be profitable