Swirv - Wild Card Player Props - YTD 302-214-14 +63.4 units

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2013 Summary
UnitsRecord
Week 17.6312-4
Week 2-2.3910-10
Week 30.5713-10-2
Week 4-0.8212-11-1
Week 54.2515-9
Week 62.9917-10-1
Week 7-3.3212-13-2
Week 8 -6.2311-16
Week 9 0.7615-12-1
Week 10-1.7916-15-1
Week 117.6320-9
Week 127.4224-12-1
Week 133.9621-13-2
Week 14-4.7621-21-1
Week 159.7922-9
Week 16-1.0311-10-1
Week 171.6311-8
Regular Season26.31264-195-14
Playoffs
2013 Futures37.0938-19
2013 Total63.40302-214-14
 

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For anyone with a Bovada acct.

*1 COACHING SPECIALS - What will Jim Schwartz role be by Game 1 of the 2014 NFL Regular Season?
NFL Coordinator or Position Coach (even)


Rotoworld link
http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/8345/jim-schwartz
 

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Some good Bovada player props are already up. Took 13 of them today.
Dang!! I saw them but want to wait until the others come out before making them. Bovada hardly moves their lines unless something is way off, I didnt see anything that was too far off.
 

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Six lines moved already. Was thinking the same thing but lately (college bowls) they have changed lines multiple times.

Took 4 of the 6 before the changes (Hilton over 62.5, Matthews under 88.5, Luck over 235.5, graham over 70.5). The other two changes I did not have.
 

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Credit to Maris on this one.

*3 Sproles over 4 receptions. P. Thomas out...
 

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Six lines moved already. Was thinking the same thing but lately (college bowls) they have changed lines multiple times.

Took 4 of the 6 before the changes (Hilton over 62.5, Matthews under 88.5, Luck over 235.5, graham over 70.5). The other two changes I did not have.
What else you grab from them?
 

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Don't have the Sproles prop. Would love that one! In addition to above I have Charles over, Rivers over (this, along with the four above are my biggest), Green over, Gore over and Green Ellis more rush yards over Bernard. During season I take 70% unders, 30% overs. On future props I take 100% unders only, and try to middle when I like the overs (hit four middles). Looks like more overs this weekend in winner take all format.

Rest of my plays involve who will have most passing, rushing, receiving yards for weekend.

Looking forward to what you have this weekend. Do you approach playoffs differently?
 

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Just checked my excel prop results from 2012 playoffs (only thing I kept from '12 NFL). Lots of overs did hit. Hoping for the same, but I think weather was not as much an issue last year???
 

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Six lines moved already. Was thinking the same thing but lately (college bowls) they have changed lines multiple times.

Took 4 of the 6 before the changes (Hilton over 62.5, Matthews under 88.5, Luck over 235.5, graham over 70.5). The other two changes I did not have.
great number on mathews btw. sb at 73.5 laying off
 

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Don't have the Sproles prop. Would love that one! In addition to above I have Charles over, Rivers over (this, along with the four above are my biggest), Green over, Gore over and Green Ellis more rush yards over Bernard. During season I take 70% unders, 30% overs. On future props I take 100% unders only, and try to middle when I like the overs (hit four middles). Looks like more overs this weekend in winner take all format.

Rest of my plays involve who will have most passing, rushing, receiving yards for weekend.

Looking forward to what you have this weekend. Do you approach playoffs differently?
Nope nothing different on my part for the playoffs. Have time to dig a little more into a few things and really look at each one, rather than rushing and trying to get some done. I'm sure I miss a lot each week just because the prop wasn't on my radar so I don't look at it closely enough
 

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Just checked my excel prop results from 2012 playoffs (only thing I kept from '12 NFL). Lots of overs did hit. Hoping for the same, but I think weather was not as much an issue last year???

Just did the same for 2012 and on my bets 27 overs hit to 20 unders for the entire playoffs. Hard to break it down, but it does appear to be a trend since its usually the other way around
 

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More to come. SB took all theirs down for the night so couldn't those, and want to compare a few others to Bovada when they post all of theirs.

*1 Cobb over 5
*1 LaVon Brazil under 22.5 receiving
*.8 DeSean Jackson under 79.5 receiving
*.9 P. Rivers under 264.5 passing
 

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Glad for the agreement. I try to find unders, but if a low # stares me in the face in the playoffs then I can go over. I am limited at a couple of books but do what I can to make prop $$$. Good luck this weekend!

Just did the same for 2012 and on my bets 27 overs hit to 20 unders for the entire playoffs. Hard to break it down, but it does appear to be a trend since its usually the other way around
 

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*.75 Alex Smith under 30.5 longest completions
*1 Antonio Gates under 50.5 receiving
*.9 Coby Fleener under 3.5 receptions -150
*.8 Frank Gore over 79.5 rushing
*.9 DeSean Jackson under 4.5 receiving (E)
*.7 Zach Ertz over 29.5 receiving

Will have a few more for Sunday games I am sure
 

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Any chance we can keep the Luck to Hilton show going all game?

Six lines moved already. Was thinking the same thing but lately (college bowls) they have changed lines multiple times.

Took 4 of the 6 before the changes (Hilton over 62.5, Matthews under 88.5, Luck over 235.5, graham over 70.5). The other two changes I did not have.
 

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*.75 Alex Smith under 30.5 longest completions

Should lose this one twice for having two completions over 30.5. This is why I don't normally take these. Before I made the bet I went back and looked and he has had 3 games with a completion over 30.5 since wk 6. And 1 wk was when Charles did all the work vs Oakland
 

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Thanks. Have Luck at 12/1 to have most pass yards this weekend (Bo), needs to beat longer shot Alex Smith to stay alive. Have Hilton at 9/1 to be top WR of the 10 posted at Bo. He needs to stay ahead of Bowe to be in play. Won't win with Indy SU but could care less if I can get one of these home with two of my top 4 props already winners.

Nailed those both well done.. Well Luck will hit over easy will throw for 300 here, he aint getting benched/pulled
 

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