Yes sir, I think Pats win in a close game. All of the Pats superbowl wins have been really close. Instead of laying the -160 on Pats ML, I'll take Brady to win MVP at -110. I think the line will only go higher...possibly to -130.
Of course its not a sure thing that Brady will win MVP if Pats win, but I'll take my chances on the best QB I've ever seen play in my 20+ years of watching NFL.