Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Feb 3 2019 6:30PM
102 LOS 3.0(-110) William Hill vs 101 NEP single-dime bet
Analysis:
PROPS:
1. NO OT, -1000, Risk 10 units to make 1 unit.
OTHER NFL PROPS 2 STARS:
2. NE 3rd down conversions OVER 5.5 -110
3. Rams' Cooks UN 74 pass yards
4. Rams to have more penalty yards -155
5. Shortest TD UN 1.5 yards -175
6. 2nd half -.5 -120 to Outscore 1st half
7. No Score in 1st 5:30 of game -130
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Rams:
NO PLAY at +3-120 or +2.5. The +3-110 line is not currently available, but play this if you see it as a 1 star.
Note: I made this game NE -2.3!
fyi, I did bet NE +1 and pk'm at the opener, but I am hoping to play Rams +3 on the weekend...........
The Rams would need to be +3-110 for it to be an official play
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I am passing the TOTAL......... at the current number
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OTHER PLAYS FEZ BET (not as widely available)
PROPS BET: SB total points -1.5 -110 to outscore James Harden Salami (P, R, A)
102 LOS 3.0(-110) William Hill vs 101 NEP single-dime bet
Analysis:
PROPS:
1. NO OT, -1000, Risk 10 units to make 1 unit.
OTHER NFL PROPS 2 STARS:
2. NE 3rd down conversions OVER 5.5 -110
3. Rams' Cooks UN 74 pass yards
4. Rams to have more penalty yards -155
5. Shortest TD UN 1.5 yards -175
6. 2nd half -.5 -120 to Outscore 1st half
7. No Score in 1st 5:30 of game -130
************
Rams:
NO PLAY at +3-120 or +2.5. The +3-110 line is not currently available, but play this if you see it as a 1 star.
Note: I made this game NE -2.3!
fyi, I did bet NE +1 and pk'm at the opener, but I am hoping to play Rams +3 on the weekend...........
The Rams would need to be +3-110 for it to be an official play
****************
I am passing the TOTAL......... at the current number
********
OTHER PLAYS FEZ BET (not as widely available)
PROPS BET: SB total points -1.5 -110 to outscore James Harden Salami (P, R, A)
| Rams more penalty Yards | -135 | |
| Game lands "odd" | -110 | |
| 3rd Qtr outscore 1st Qtr | -145 | |
| NE: Shortest TD | -115 | |
| 1Q UNDER 10.5 | -120 | |
| 3Q OVER 10 | -110 | |
| Penalties UN 12.5 | -110 | |
| Team scores 1st wins gm | -155 | |
| Team to score 30 1st : Pats | -120 | |
| Rams UN 28.5 points | -110 | |
| Rams UN 14 points 1h -120 | -120 |
11th: SUPER BOWL, 8u: We're grabbing this line, quickly, you should, too: 102 LAR+1.5 1st H. LAR+2.5gm. LAR O 28 1st H. LAR O 58gm. ML: LAR+115gm
11th: Super Bowl Prop Bets, 6u: Brady, Total Completions: Under 26.5. Total Pass Yards: Under 296.5. Brady, Interception: Yes-115.
11th: NFL Super Bowl Prop Plays, 5u: RAMS-6.5+200. RACE to 10 POINTS: RAMS-110. PLAYER TO SCORE FIRST: GURLEY+500.
11th: Super Bowl Prop Bets, 6u: Brady, Total Completions: Under 26.5. Total Pass Yards: Under 296.5. Brady, Interception: Yes-115.
11th: NFL Super Bowl Prop Plays, 5u: RAMS-6.5+200. RACE to 10 POINTS: RAMS-110. PLAYER TO SCORE FIRST: GURLEY+500.
Bob Balfe
SUPER BOWL LIII
6:30 PM EST (Sunday)
Rotation #101-102
Rams +2.5 over Patriots
Rams/Patriots Over 56
There is no need for me to point out how incredible Tom Brady is. I would be pointing out something you already know. I look at the entire body of work in the NFL Season and see a Patriots team that should not be favored on the road. This team could be playing the Arizona Cardinals and still shouldn’t be a favorite. The Patriots have stunk on the road this year. Let’s just be honest about it. This team lost the Jags, Lions, Titans, Dolphins and Steelers this year on the road. How many of those teams made the playoffs? This dynasty has been the most impressive run in all of sports history, but it’s coming to a close and these current Patriots are not an elite team outside of Foxboro. I also want to point out that no QB has ever won a Super Bowl in their 40’s. Brady is 41. Offensively, this Patriots team has all the tools to win this game. The Defense is the major concern I have with them. This is a below average defensive line and this current defense does not measure up to some of the prior units the Patriots have fielded in their Super Bowl runs. Brady is great when playing indoors. This man is the best player to ever play in the NFL. Even if he has a Super Bowl like last year the question is will it be enough?
Let’s talk about the Rams. The city of L.A. got two teams back in the area and are building a billion dollar stadium. Things are really looking up for L.A area football. Jared Goff has been sensational this season. Todd Gurley has been on another planet up until he got hurt. CJ Anderson came out of nowhere and looks better than Gurley. If Gurley is healthy this 1-2 combo is going to be tough to stop. The loss of Cooper Kupp was big for this team, but they have overcome a lot and are worthy of their appearance. The New Orleans Saints game will go down as the worst call in NFL History, but let’s not blame the Rams for that. The most impressive thing about this team is their rock solid offensive line. Not one player has missed a start. This well-oiled machine should have their way with the weaker Patriots Defensive Line. When I look at the Rams I see little flaw in them. This is a team that had as bad of a first quarter on the road two weeks ago and still never quit against the Saints. The Rams are lead upfront by nightmare players like Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh who can force turnovers. This team has the advantage in the trenches. Sean McVay has done a tremendous job. This guy is 33 years old. Wade Phillips is a tremendous guru for the defensive side. The Rams have a bright future for years to come.
I believe this will be a very entertaining football game. The Patriots just get things done no matter what the critics say and look..here they are again back in the Super Bowl. The Rams built a team with many new faces and have molded themselves into a power house. I believe New England will win this game in dramatic effect, but they will NOT cover. It’s a bold prediction, but L.A just has so many weapons on offense that I don’t think the Patriots can stop. Bill Belichick is a master of second half adjustments, but this year that has not been the case. A lot of teams have stormed their way back against New England. Last week the Chiefs held the ball for like 4 minutes and scored 24 fourth quarter points. This defense is not at a Super Bowl quality level. The fact that this is a neutral site where the crowd noise won’t be a factor is huge for both offenses. Both defenses are poor at stopping the run so I believe both QB’s will have their way. This is why I am taking the OVER. Both QB’s are great on 3rd down as well. As for the side, I like the Rams. I think the Rams have all of the tools to win this game, but in the final seconds I could see New England winning at the gun in typical dramatic fashion. The NFL probably would love to avoid controversy with New Orleans fans as well. L.A. winning would really set the sports talk radio and TV stations on fire for the next week. Either way on paper this Rams team is much better, but Tom Brady is a miracle maker. This should come right down to the wire again. Just for fun I say 35-34 Patriots. Take the Rams and the Over (Both straight bets. No Parlays.)
SUPER BOWL TOP 10 PROP BETS
Rams Team Total Over 27.5 Points -115
Tom Brady (NE) Over 0.5 Interceptions -135
Jared Goff Passing Yards (LA) Over 285.5 -115
Jared Goff Total TD Passes (LA) Over 2 -125
Total Passing Receptions Sony Michel (NE) Over 0.5 -110
Total Tackles John Johnson (LA) Over 6.5 -100
First Rams Touchdown Gerald Everett +1200
First Patriots Touchdown James White +400
Will James White (NE) score a touchdown = YES -105
Will Cordarrelle Patterson (NE) score a touchdown = YES +375
SUPER BOWL LIII
6:30 PM EST (Sunday)
Rotation #101-102
Rams +2.5 over Patriots
Rams/Patriots Over 56
There is no need for me to point out how incredible Tom Brady is. I would be pointing out something you already know. I look at the entire body of work in the NFL Season and see a Patriots team that should not be favored on the road. This team could be playing the Arizona Cardinals and still shouldn’t be a favorite. The Patriots have stunk on the road this year. Let’s just be honest about it. This team lost the Jags, Lions, Titans, Dolphins and Steelers this year on the road. How many of those teams made the playoffs? This dynasty has been the most impressive run in all of sports history, but it’s coming to a close and these current Patriots are not an elite team outside of Foxboro. I also want to point out that no QB has ever won a Super Bowl in their 40’s. Brady is 41. Offensively, this Patriots team has all the tools to win this game. The Defense is the major concern I have with them. This is a below average defensive line and this current defense does not measure up to some of the prior units the Patriots have fielded in their Super Bowl runs. Brady is great when playing indoors. This man is the best player to ever play in the NFL. Even if he has a Super Bowl like last year the question is will it be enough?
Let’s talk about the Rams. The city of L.A. got two teams back in the area and are building a billion dollar stadium. Things are really looking up for L.A area football. Jared Goff has been sensational this season. Todd Gurley has been on another planet up until he got hurt. CJ Anderson came out of nowhere and looks better than Gurley. If Gurley is healthy this 1-2 combo is going to be tough to stop. The loss of Cooper Kupp was big for this team, but they have overcome a lot and are worthy of their appearance. The New Orleans Saints game will go down as the worst call in NFL History, but let’s not blame the Rams for that. The most impressive thing about this team is their rock solid offensive line. Not one player has missed a start. This well-oiled machine should have their way with the weaker Patriots Defensive Line. When I look at the Rams I see little flaw in them. This is a team that had as bad of a first quarter on the road two weeks ago and still never quit against the Saints. The Rams are lead upfront by nightmare players like Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh who can force turnovers. This team has the advantage in the trenches. Sean McVay has done a tremendous job. This guy is 33 years old. Wade Phillips is a tremendous guru for the defensive side. The Rams have a bright future for years to come.
I believe this will be a very entertaining football game. The Patriots just get things done no matter what the critics say and look..here they are again back in the Super Bowl. The Rams built a team with many new faces and have molded themselves into a power house. I believe New England will win this game in dramatic effect, but they will NOT cover. It’s a bold prediction, but L.A just has so many weapons on offense that I don’t think the Patriots can stop. Bill Belichick is a master of second half adjustments, but this year that has not been the case. A lot of teams have stormed their way back against New England. Last week the Chiefs held the ball for like 4 minutes and scored 24 fourth quarter points. This defense is not at a Super Bowl quality level. The fact that this is a neutral site where the crowd noise won’t be a factor is huge for both offenses. Both defenses are poor at stopping the run so I believe both QB’s will have their way. This is why I am taking the OVER. Both QB’s are great on 3rd down as well. As for the side, I like the Rams. I think the Rams have all of the tools to win this game, but in the final seconds I could see New England winning at the gun in typical dramatic fashion. The NFL probably would love to avoid controversy with New Orleans fans as well. L.A. winning would really set the sports talk radio and TV stations on fire for the next week. Either way on paper this Rams team is much better, but Tom Brady is a miracle maker. This should come right down to the wire again. Just for fun I say 35-34 Patriots. Take the Rams and the Over (Both straight bets. No Parlays.)
SUPER BOWL TOP 10 PROP BETS
Rams Team Total Over 27.5 Points -115
Tom Brady (NE) Over 0.5 Interceptions -135
Jared Goff Passing Yards (LA) Over 285.5 -115
Jared Goff Total TD Passes (LA) Over 2 -125
Total Passing Receptions Sony Michel (NE) Over 0.5 -110
Total Tackles John Johnson (LA) Over 6.5 -100
First Rams Touchdown Gerald Everett +1200
First Patriots Touchdown James White +400
Will James White (NE) score a touchdown = YES -105
Will Cordarrelle Patterson (NE) score a touchdown = YES +375
Props - and there will be more:
James White over 4.5 receptions (-190) - NE will screen an aggressive Rams defense all day
Winning margin under 3.5 points (+252)
NE more yards penalized (+120) - one long PI call
Over 2.5 players with a pass attempt (-110) - Edelman was a QB - Hekker - a QB gets hurt for one play
Brady scores a TD (+625) He'll do ANYTHING to win
Rex Burkhead scores a TD (+205)
Cordarell Patterson rush/rec yards over 18.5 (-110)
Aqib Talib an interception (+500)
Marcus Peters and interception (+500)
1. Most penalties by team. Patriots -110.
2. More points scored in the second half by both teams combined as opposed to first half total combined points. Second half + OT. -140
3. Will there be a defensive or special teams TD scored. Yes +200
4.Rams total TD's over 3.5 +125
5.Will both teams MAKE a FG over 33 yards or more. No, +120.
Carmine Bianco
Analysis:
NFL - New England Patriots at Los Angeles Rams
The play is Los Angeles Rams +121
PROP BETS
Brandon Cooks 75.5 Receiving Yards - UNDER -120
Total Rushing Yards James White - 17.5 - OVER -112
Total Receptions James White - 4.5 - OVER -226 (Higher juice than I'd normally lay but love this prop)
Total Receiving Yards Josh Reynolds 47.5 - UNDER -108
Total Receptions Julian Edelman 6.5 - OVER -153
Team to have most Penalty Yards - RAMS -136
Total Rushing Yards Rex Burkhead 22.5 - UNDER -117
Analysis:
NFL - New England Patriots at Los Angeles Rams
The play is Los Angeles Rams +121
PROP BETS
Brandon Cooks 75.5 Receiving Yards - UNDER -120
Total Rushing Yards James White - 17.5 - OVER -112
Total Receptions James White - 4.5 - OVER -226 (Higher juice than I'd normally lay but love this prop)
Total Receiving Yards Josh Reynolds 47.5 - UNDER -108
Total Receptions Julian Edelman 6.5 - OVER -153
Team to have most Penalty Yards - RAMS -136
Total Rushing Yards Rex Burkhead 22.5 - UNDER -117
