not true. they dont put out the line they think will draw even action, they put out the line where they feel it should be and if the action is slanted one way they adjust.
they could have had even action on the Pittsburgh/Baltimore game yesterday at 3.5, but they sent it out at 6 because that's where it SHOULD have been. Turns out the action was on Baltimore, but Pittsburgh covered. That is why vegas makes a ton of money.
Still doesn't mean it has anything to do with predicting the final score. . .
Also, while the books may want to shade the action to one side or the other for the vast majority of games, the Super Bowl would be one of the few exceptions (although 6.5 instead of 7 always makes one think they want people taking the favorite. . . )
Agree 100 % and of course since you were in the business... who would know better ? The books sets the line as close as possible to where they feel the public will take it to.They are not in the business to predict scores or trying to minipulate the public into taking a bad side. I hear people all the time talking about how the books did this or that ! Nonsense ! In reality, it is the public who set the lines and the books simply try to get their opening line as close as possible to where the public decides is correct. A perfect opening number for the books is a line that goes absolutedly nowhere.
Clueless post! Pitt opened 4.5, and moved to 6 during the week. On Sunday there was plenty of 6.5(sharps took +7 -15 and -20). Books got their ass handed to them on this game. Using your line of ignorant thinking, 7 should have been the opener. By the way, VEGAS can't wipe their ass until they see what the "talent" of the offshores are doing.
I'm not an insider, never have been, but I agree with this. Everytime there's a thread about line setting/book operation/etc, a lot of people here talk as if it's them vs the big bad book. Your book is just the market. In reality it's you vs the other players in the market (public and sharps). Books don't give a shit about predicting scores and way too much respect and fear is given to their lines as if they hold a crystal ball that allows them to be within a couple pts off a spread or total. That's bullshit imo. Obviously the people who set the lines know a shit lot more and given all the tools they have they could probably come closest to guessing what a final score on any given game would be if they were in the predicting business, but they're not in that business which is the point. Funny how many people can't view all the other books the way they see Matchbook. Maybe it's b/c Matchbook clearly states that they're just a fucking market that matches u with another joe who happens to like the other side. Same shit with all the other books.
