Super Bowl line movement vol. reverse movement

[SerfCap]

Public is all over Denver, yet the line just moved in their favor from -2.5 to -2. Time to unload on Seattle moneyline?

 

[Akillies]

:aktion033:aktion033

 

[SerfCap]

Haha. I got shit on another thread too. Since I'm a Seattle backer I felt this was good news.

 

[JimmyVegas]

Be careful just because the public is on denver doesn't mean the "BIG" money is on denver.

 

[3pointdog]

Be careful just because the public is on denver doesn't mean the "BIG" money is on denver.

I think big money is yet to come. It should come towards the end of the week, and in my opinion will be backing Seattle. I took +2.5 as I think the line will be closer to pick by kickoff. I do not see it going to -3 ( except bovada) but they are not a credible book. I don't look to them for line movement. Look at pinny and 5 dimes.

Go Seahawks .....!

 

[seer]

Seattle +2½ -105 $1,801,629 36.32%

Denver -2½ -105 $4,217,577 63.68%

 

[seer]

fairly evident where the money is. i have a guy at work that is a casual watcher of sports. he wanted to bet me $40 if i take seattle su i said ok. he said the spread must be den -7 i said no it is only -2 but seattle was the fav. he said is that is?!?! in horror and astonishment
when these casual bettors come out of the woods... they go down to the meadowlands like sheep

 

[Albatross]

Seattle +2½ -105 $1,801,629 36.32%

Denver -2½ -105 $4,217,577 63.68%

Where do you get this info? Curious what it will look like next weekend. Always seen the percentages and have been skeptical but the cash value is nice to see.

thank ya!

 

[seer]

i will update it and i wont tell where i got it from.

 

[3pointdog]

good info seer

thanks

 

[lt56]

i plan on doing something outside the box this game. i'm going to handicap it and base my pick on that instead of basing it on meaningless information. it's nuts, i know.

 

[SerfCap]

i plan on doing something outside the box this game. i'm going to handicap it and base my pick on that instead of basing it on meaningless information. it's nuts, i know.

Only a fool would blind himself to practices that have been developed for decades.

I have done plenty of capping and have a great gauge on the game. This is just another aspect to include with any well-rounded analysis.

 

[Samhain]

Capped this game at 26-24 in favor of Denver.
More value in the total than the spread IMO..

 

[seer]

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=982156

in case computer group or some other dude bumps this article back to page 9^^

 

[sendacash]

Looks like line down to Den -2 offshore. Think we are gonna see a -1.5?

 

[seer]

maybe back to a pickem once ppl realize that they should respect seattle more

 

[sendacash]

Better get those Seabird bets in soon then

 

[Slurve~Ball]

Seattle +2½ -105 $1,801,629 36.32%

Denver -2½ -105 $4,217,577 63.68%

Those percentages are off
SEA 29.93%
DEN 70.07%

 

[lt56]

Only a fool would blind himself to practices that have been developed for decades.

I have done plenty of capping and have a great gauge on the game. This is just another aspect to include with any well-rounded analysis.

a fool??? i have been a professional gambler for over 20 yrs and hit at a % that would compare to anyone in the world. made quite a living at it. i don't factor in public bullshit information. only a fool does that.

 

[packer2012]

56,

Can you tell us some examples of where and how big of plays and man can make and expect to get paid consistently?

Thank you very much Sir.