Super Bowl Future Odds Insane Value

Search

New member
Joined
Nov 6, 2007
Messages
4,223
Tokens
Putting a little on the Lions, Raiders, Texans, Dolphins. Insane odds. Worth a shot.
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,646
Tokens
You wouldbe much better off just betting the moneyline by week for each 1.
Code:
Also, the 4 worst teams in a 12 team field can't all really be insane value unless you really think the top tier teams are overpriced.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 6, 2007
Messages
4,223
Tokens
You wouldbe much better off just betting the moneyline by week for each 1.
Code:
Also, the 4 worst teams in a 12 team field can't all really be insane value unless you really think the top tier teams are overpriced.

[/QUOTE]


Wrong. For example If you put $10 on the Lions ML game 1 and put all the money on the remaining 3 Lions games ML you would not win $1000
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,646
Tokens
Tough to say since we don't know their opponents but good chance it would get into that range.

Youre likely talking 4 games of between +250 to +400

If you have some type of thesis that all the top teams are overvalued and have a better chance to get beat than the market thinks then I do suppose it would be better to get on all 4 right now.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 6, 2007
Messages
4,223
Tokens
Tough to say since we don't know their opponents but good chance it would get into that range.

Youre likely talking 4 games of between +250 to +400

If you have some type of thesis that all the top teams are overvalued and have a better chance to get beat than the market thinks then I do suppose it would be better to get on all 4 right now.


True but I dont see every game even being +250.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 6, 2007
Messages
4,223
Tokens
Tough to say since we don't know their opponents but good chance it would get into that range.

Youre likely talking 4 games of between +250 to +400

If you have some type of thesis that all the top teams are overvalued and have a better chance to get beat than the market thinks then I do suppose it would be better to get on all 4 right now.


I take that back you're prob right. At +250 I would be over...easily
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,646
Tokens
+350 at sea, probably 400 for dal then likely +250ish at GB/atl/nyg on avg

Maybe +200 in the SB, no clue.....Obviously at that point they would likely be perceived a bit differently.

as far as the 3 afc eams, I'd just bet the 1 you like the most. Houston and Oak are playing each other, so tough to say they're both value unless you just think the top teams are way overrated.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 6, 2007
Messages
4,223
Tokens
+350 at sea, probably 400 for dal then likely +250ish at GB/atl/nyg on avg

Maybe +200 in the SB, no clue.....Obviously at that point they would likely be perceived a bit differently.
Don't see +400 at Dallas. They were +225 just 2 weeks ago at Dallas. But you never know, public would prob push it up a lot higher
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,646
Tokens
Off a bye, Dallas with much more to play for and Dallas did put it on them that game. Cant see them being less @ Dallas than they are at Seattle since Dallas is considered much better than Seattle.
 

Member
Joined
Apr 14, 2006
Messages
26,039
Tokens
I took GB nfc
 

New member
Joined
Nov 6, 2007
Messages
4,223
Tokens
Off a bye, Dallas with much more to play for and Dallas did put it on them that game. Cant see them being less @ Dallas than they are at Seattle since Dallas is considered much better than Seattle.


True +400 is pushing it though. I see +305 against the Seahawks. Prob be +350 against Dallas
 

Member
Joined
Jun 19, 2007
Messages
823
Tokens
You wouldbe much better off just betting the moneyline by week for each 1.
Code:
 [/QUOTE]

This is always the way to do it in my opinion. Especially with the Lions in this case because they are going to be pretty heavy dogs all 4 games. For example:

Risk $10 on them

Game 1 vs. Seahawks: +300 - Win $30 so balance is now $40
Game 2 Risk $40 vs. Cowboys: +250 (conservative guess) - Win $100 so balance is now $140
Game 3 Risk $140 vs. Pack/NYG/Falcons: +200 (conservative guess) - Win $280 so balance is now $420
Game 4 Risk $420 vs. Pats/Chiefs/Steelers: +175 (conservative guess) - Win $735 so balance is now $1155.

So in this case you are essentially getting 114.5/1 odds. I currently see 90/1 at 5dimes.

This strategy also allows you to hedge at any point or take your winnings and run at any point.
 

Banned
Joined
Dec 1, 2016
Messages
239
Tokens
To select the best odds better to open accounts directly with several bookmakers.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 31, 2004
Messages
44,505
Tokens
And also if you go the ML route you can make money on some of these teams possibly even if they don't win the super bowl.
You have to take that into account as well.

Betting the future wager its all or nothing .
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 31, 2004
Messages
44,505
Tokens
And also if you go the ML route you can make money on some of these teams possibly even if they don't win the super bowl.
You have to take that into account as well.

Betting the future wager its all or nothing .


This is assuming you hold back some of the money and don't go all in on every bet .

And just imagine the money and hedging possibilities on something like a Lions Vs Dolphins SB
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 31, 2004
Messages
44,505
Tokens
But after schooling me on my election predictions I'm sure whatever you decide will be correct because you always right
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 31, 2004
Messages
44,505
Tokens
6 months ago I would have told you the odds of a Miami / Detroit SB would be higher then a trump presidency
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,858
Messages
13,574,195
Members
100,877
Latest member
businesstalkmag
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com