Super Bowl 51 props thread

[captain_vood]

I didn't see one of these so I figured I would start one. Anyone have any favorites or ones they like this year?

Here is what I like so far:

Total Penalties >9.5
(These teams average around 11.25)

Game tied after 0-0? YES
(This worked great in Super Bowl 49, it was tied 7-7 late in the 2nd quarter)

Game tied at half time / NE WIN
Game tied at half time / ATL WIN
(This again worked in Super Bowl 49, it was 14-14 at the half. Paid 15:1)

Will there be OT? YES
(Everyone seems to think the game will be close, why not? ...pays +550)

LeGarette Blount rushes >16.5
(This happened in 12 of 16 regular season games)

Will LeGarette Blount get a TD? YES
(This happened in 13 of 16 regular season games, and half the playoff games)

Will Patriots score in every quarter? YES
(Pats only had 9 scoreless quarters out of 72, 4 of which were in one game vs the Phins, and 7 of the 9 were without Brady. So only 2 scoreless quarters with Brady and that includes the playoffs.)

 

[PeePee]

I like game tie prop and Blount TD... ATL D line is not that great.

 

[Saints2016]

Maybe not a prop, but Bovada has Brady for MVP +140. 5Dimes has it at +100. Good chance that Brady gets it if NE wins it.

 

[LENBO]

Brady MVP odds should be flat or - vig.
Looks like a mistake if anything.

What do you see for Ryan ?

 

[Buckeyefan80]

Brady was -115 on 5d Monday when I got it. +105 now. I'm kinda thinking that if NE wins it may be because of the D so I put a little on all the main D guys that could be the reason they win. Hell only players below 10:1 are Brady and Matty ice. Probably one of those two win but the value is on everyone else. Except Julio. I think NE shuts him down.

 

[Saints2016]

Still +140 for Brady & +250 for Ryan. Weird, but hopefully someone can confirm. What is also weird is that Bovada has Patriots ML -145 vs 5Dimes -150/155. Bovada is always more expensive when it comes to favorites.

Might be worth putting in a bet for Brady for MVP

 

[X-Files]

Pinnacle had Brady earlier today at minus.

Bet the game ends in a tie after 60 minutes should be worth something above +1000.

 

[LENBO]

Still +140 for Brady & +250 for Ryan. Weird, but hopefully someone can confirm. What is also weird is that Bovada has Patriots ML -145 vs 5Dimes -150/155. Bovada is always more expensive when it comes to favorites.

Might be worth putting in a bet for Brady for MVP

I can view the Bovada lines but don't have an account there.
Those MVP lines on Ryan and Brady are showing and are way out of line with the market.
I know they are considered square but Jeez.
Anybody with an account there should be jumping all over them if they are legit.
Can't see how the hell they are available.
Does anybody reading use this book ?

 

[Saints2016]

I will put something on Brady. Still at +140 this am

 

[captain_vood]

This probably falls more into the 'interesting' column more so than the 'making money on props' column, but...

Team to score first wins game - YES (~ -155)
(Last 7 Super Bowls this was 6/7)

Team to score last wins game - YES (~ -175)
(Last 7 Super Bowls this was 7/7)

 

[RaekwonTheChef]

Kickers missing was around +260 in the NE/Pitt game, and both shanked an XP