Underdogs have dominated the Super Bowl in recent years, posting a 12-3 ATS mark in the last 15 games, with covers and straight-up wins in five straight.
History also indicates that if you like the Falcons to cover, you’d be right to pick them to win outright as well, as 44 of the 50 Super Bowl winners (88%) have also covered the spread.
History also indicates that if you like the Falcons to cover, you’d be right to pick them to win outright as well, as 44 of the 50 Super Bowl winners (88%) have also covered the spread.
When tabbed as a favorite, the Patriots are on a very profitable run that’s seen them go 19-9-2 ATS, while Falcons backers are hitting the jackpot when their team is an underdog as they’ve gone 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games when getting points. That stretch of 27 games began on November 13, 2013, and no team in the NFL has a better ATS win percentage as an underdog over that span than the Falcons.
FIRST FALCON TO SCORE TD (From Boomaker)
Julio Jones +200
Devonta Freeman +350
Tevin Coleman +500
Mohamed Sanu +800
Taylor Gabriel +1000
Austin Hooper +1200
Aldrick Robinson +2220
Justin Hardy +2220
Levine Toilolo +2500
Matt Ryan +3050
Patrick DiMarco +5000
Field +1200
No Falcons TD scored +2500
Bill Belichick is renowned for taking away the opponent's top threat. In Super Bowl LI, that's Julio Jones.
The Patriots rarely give up rushing touchdowns: They yielded an NFL-low six this season.
Which brings us to Mohamed Sanu, an increasingly popular red-zone target for Matt Ryan. The 6-2, 210-pound Sanu has caught a TD in three straight games, including both playoff wins.
Last Sunday in the NFC Championship Game, Sanu opened the scoring. He capped the game's first drive, one-handing a 2-yard flip pass from Matt Ryan, to put the Falcons up 7-0.
With great hands and physicality, Sanu hauled in nine of 11 red-zone targets during the regular season. He dropped one pass en route to a career-high 59 catches.
It's clear the Patriots will be ready for a Sanu trick play -- the high school option quarterback is 5 for 5 as an NFL passer, including hitting A.J. Green for a 73-yard TD in 2012. With Sanu not even attempting a pass as a Falcon yet, it's not something to worry about now.
At +800, Sanu to score the first Falcons' touchdown in Super Bowl LI is worth a look.
Julio Jones +200
Devonta Freeman +350
Tevin Coleman +500
Mohamed Sanu +800
Taylor Gabriel +1000
Austin Hooper +1200
Aldrick Robinson +2220
Justin Hardy +2220
Levine Toilolo +2500
Matt Ryan +3050
Patrick DiMarco +5000
Field +1200
No Falcons TD scored +2500
Bill Belichick is renowned for taking away the opponent's top threat. In Super Bowl LI, that's Julio Jones.
The Patriots rarely give up rushing touchdowns: They yielded an NFL-low six this season.
Which brings us to Mohamed Sanu, an increasingly popular red-zone target for Matt Ryan. The 6-2, 210-pound Sanu has caught a TD in three straight games, including both playoff wins.
Last Sunday in the NFC Championship Game, Sanu opened the scoring. He capped the game's first drive, one-handing a 2-yard flip pass from Matt Ryan, to put the Falcons up 7-0.
With great hands and physicality, Sanu hauled in nine of 11 red-zone targets during the regular season. He dropped one pass en route to a career-high 59 catches.
It's clear the Patriots will be ready for a Sanu trick play -- the high school option quarterback is 5 for 5 as an NFL passer, including hitting A.J. Green for a 73-yard TD in 2012. With Sanu not even attempting a pass as a Falcon yet, it's not something to worry about now.
At +800, Sanu to score the first Falcons' touchdown in Super Bowl LI is worth a look.
New England is drawing most of the early attention at CG’s books, including those at The Cosmopolitan, M and the Venetian. It’s not surprising, as that’s been the case at pretty much every sportsbook. CG is far from even considering going to 3.5, but over the past day or so did adjust the Patriots’ price to -115 at the steady line of -3, moving Atlanta to +3 (-105).
Jason Simbal, vice president of CG Technology in Las Vegas ...
“We’ve seen a lot more Patriot action come in early on here throughout this first week,”
“In fact, there’s been two times as many bets on the Patriots and about 1.7, 1.8 times more money on New England.”
Simbal indicated the public is pushing the Pats, but there is a little sharp action.
“It’s kind of a mix of both. Mostly public money, no huge bets,” he said. “We haven’t taken any bets in the six-figure range, we’re not even close to that yet. Generally, those won’t come in until we get closer to kickoff. So it’s been a lot of kind of the smaller accumulation of bets that have really added up on New England, which forced us to go from -110 to -115.”
Jason Simbal, vice president of CG Technology in Las Vegas ...
“We’ve seen a lot more Patriot action come in early on here throughout this first week,”
“In fact, there’s been two times as many bets on the Patriots and about 1.7, 1.8 times more money on New England.”
Simbal indicated the public is pushing the Pats, but there is a little sharp action.
“It’s kind of a mix of both. Mostly public money, no huge bets,” he said. “We haven’t taken any bets in the six-figure range, we’re not even close to that yet. Generally, those won’t come in until we get closer to kickoff. So it’s been a lot of kind of the smaller accumulation of bets that have really added up on New England, which forced us to go from -110 to -115.”
Scott Kaminsky from The Greek Sportsbook ...
"We got some smart action on ATL." Sharps hit +3/-105 and -110, moving price to -115
"I'm a little stunned. Taking 3 today doesn't seem like good strategy when there's a good possibility the number is gonna go higher next weekend."
"We got some smart action on ATL." Sharps hit +3/-105 and -110, moving price to -115
"I'm a little stunned. Taking 3 today doesn't seem like good strategy when there's a good possibility the number is gonna go higher next weekend."
