Sunday Week 7... Las Vegas Raiders (2-4 vs LA Rams (1-4) Analysis and Bet's

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*****Handicapping information copied & pasted from DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders ~ Bobby Lancer NFL Analyst Handicapper, Bobby Exclusive Ratings with Statistics and Indicators Compliments From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT ~



Las Vegas Raiders (2-4 vs LA Rams (1-4) This is a good setup, as Los Angeles is coming off of a bye, as well as potentially getting Cooper Kupp (ankle) back in the mix. The Las Vegas Raiders continue to throw out an inexperienced quarterback, they're banged up and now just traded away Davante Adams. The Raiders are going nowhere fast, and I want little to do with them. They are also coming out of their bye week so they have had extra time to prepare for this game and also heal their banged-up players. Meanwhile, the Raiders have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-4 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC West. They just traded away their star receiver, Davante Adams, and their offense hasn't looked that great anyway. They just gave up 32 points in their last game against a weaker Steelers offense and they aren't going to be able to stop this Rams offense at home with some players coming back to the lineup. The Rams aren't as bad as the way they have been playing lately and this is a great game for them to get right coming out of their bye week against one of the worst teams in the NFL. The Los Angeles Rams should be as healthy as they've been in a while, and they've had an extra week to prepare. The Ram's coaching staff is one you can trust most weeks, and an extra week magnifies the advantage. Furthermore, Vegas just traded star WR Davante Adams to the Jets, and they have a loaded injury report, including DE Maxx Crosby (ankle), LB Tommy Eichenberg (hamstring), RB Zamir White (groin), and WR Jakobi Meyers (ankle). Los Angeles is getting healthy, and they have a massive edge in both coaching and quarterbacking, so I’ll ride with them. I think this is a great buy-low spot on the Rams.

  • Heading into Week 7, the Rams rank 1st in the NFL in Q4 win percentage (80.0) this season.
  • Heading into Week 7, the Rams rank 31st in the NFL in Q1 points per game (1.2) this season.
  • Heading into Week 7, the Raiders rank 1st in the NFL in average yards per punt (52.9) this season.
  • Heading into Week 7, the Raiders rank 31st in the NFL in rushing yards per game (79.5) this season.
  • This season, Las Vegas is bottom-10 in points allowed, placing 27th in the NFL with 163 points given up (27.2 per game). It also ranks 15th in total yards allowed (1,959).
  • Against the run, the Raiders’ defense has sputtered this season, as it ranks 24th in the league with 842 rushing yards allowed (140.3 per game).
  • The QB change didn’t really help the Raiders all that much, and I think this game boils down to what’s more broken? The Raiders? Or the Rams’ defense, and while both are broken, I think I can still trust the Rams to be able to come through offensively. The Rams at least have some idea of what they’re doing, and I think at home, they get it done.... Rams -6 [Buying A Full Point] /////Hedging Money Line-$320 X 10 [press]///// & 6 Point 2 Team Teaser Detroit +7 1/2 & Rams - 1
 
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These 3 bets I made for Sunday will be only games I bet. My betting system is heavily dependent on statistics, requiring some data gathering and assumption building regarding future performance. My analysis with information using three Power ratings with a comparison factoring in home team edges. Trying to analyze a clear idea what teams are inflated with the point spread. Looking at stats from many different media sources with the point spreads compared to all three power ratings. Looking at all of Sunday's game, My analysis came up with 4 games, with that Rams were my number one pick on the money with a big move. Detroit was my second-best choice, so I deceased in 6-point teaser with the Rams. Detroit with +7 1/2 on the road looks more attractive then + 1 1/2... watch this game could come down in 7 points Vikings win!!!! LOL!!! LOL!!! If that happens guys, put me in the Rx Hall of Fame //LOL!!!LOL!!!
 
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Offensive Stat Comparison​

StatLVLAR
Yards/Play4.95.1
Points/Play0.3040.298
Rush Play %35.75%39.05%
Pass Play %64.25%60.95%
Completion %68.40%67.05%
3D Conv %33.33%40.32%
RZ Scoring %66.67%45.00%

Defensive Stat Comparison​

StatLVLAR
Opp Yards/Play5.46.2
Opp Points/Play0.4480.463
Opp Completion %67.22%69.53%
Opp 3D Conv %30.14%44.23%
Opp RZ Scoring %59.09%61.11%
 
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These 3 bets I made for Sunday will be only games I bet. My betting system is heavily dependent on statistics, requiring some data gathering and assumption building regarding future performance. My analysis with information using three Power ratings with a comparison factoring in home team edges. Trying to analyze a clear idea what teams are inflated with the point spread. Looking at stats from many different media sources with the point spreads compared to all three power ratings. Looking at all of Sunday's game, My analysis came up with 4 games, with that Rams were my number one pick on the money with a big move. Detroit was my second-best choice, so I deceased in 6-point teaser with the Rams. Detroit with +7 1/2 on the road looks more attractive then + 1 1/2... watch this game could come down in 7 points Vikings win!!!! LOL!!! LOL!!! If that happens guys, put me in the Rx Hall of Fame //LOL!!!LOL!!!
Harry , you have already been inducted as a first ballot RX hall famer back in 2020.
 
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Rams -6 [Buying A Full Point] Lost

Hedging Money Line-$320 X 10 [press]///// Big Win

6 Point 2 Team Teaser Detroit +7 1/2 & Rams - 1 Win

The last 2 Sundays Pick s& Bets .. My Record of bets cashed in 8 winning tickets, Lost 2 with a big win Money Line-$320 X 10 [press.
 

"Calling All The Shots"
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Great Job Harry!
The NFL Is Tough!
Keep Up The Good Work!

--ShotDoc--
 

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