Porkchop said:
Results $100/unit players ( all totals @ -110):
1st set +3260
2nd set +1010
3rd set -2250
4th set -1800
166-123 +2.2 units.
Unfortunately, your numbers are incorrect for a one unit bet. You should have specified $110/bet for your numbers to be correct. WS is up around 11 units, if for each set, the weighted units were bet on each play.
However, in the 1st set, I believe WS had several weighted double plays (went 6-1 or so) which were dropped from his recordkeeping. So you would have to add 5 units or so.
I started tracking the representative Pinnacle lines for WS's plays over several stretches, one week or so had 22 plays, 11 lines were equal or worse than -120 and 16 were equal or worse than -110, only 3 were positive. Yesterday was an anomaly, all 3 were less than -110, with 2 being slightly positive. Of course, all 3 lost. I'd say for long stretches, his average line was between -115 and -120.
For comparision purposes, with an average line of -120 and double weighted plays in set 1, with his weighted unit betting, I have WS at about -3 units.
Total number units risked is around 510 plus 40 for the pushes or 550 units wagered.