Marc Lawrence
NFL - 5* Game 311 - Rams (+3.5) - Playoff GOY
Edges - Rams: Dogs in the Championship Round of the playoffs coming off consecutive wins are 14-0 ATS if they scored 35 or fewer points and allowed 24 or fewer points in their last game and were favored in each of their last three games; and away teams in the playoffs on a three-game ATS in streak are 4-0 SUATS when facing foes that scored 20 or fewer points in their last game … Saints: 0-5 ATS as playoff home favorites of less than 7 points; and teams who defeated the defending Super Bowl champions in a playoff game are 0-7 SUATS when coming off a win of 5 or more points when facing opponents that were favored in their previous game; and playoff home favorites coming off three consecutive home games are 0-3 SUATS … With the Rams 14-3 SU away behind Sean McVay and looking to avenge a loss here 45-35 loss here as 2-point favorites in November, we recommend a 5* play on the LA Rams. Thank you and good luck as always.
NFL - 3* Game 314 - Chiefs (-3)
Edges - Chiefs: allowing 17.4 PPG at home this season as opposed to 34.6 PPG away; and .600 or greater home teams in the playoffs that have scored 30 or more points in each of their last three games are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS when not favored by 7 or more points … Patriots: Away teams in the playoff coming off three straight home game are 0-13 ATS as dogs of 3 or more points; and playoff teams who won 15 or more games last season that scored 24 or more points in their last game are 0-11 ATS when coming off a home game in which they were favored by 4 or more points and facing a foe that was favored by 7 or fewer points in its last game; and teams who scored 40 or more points at home in a playoff game are 3-24-1 ATS since 1996. … With New England having never reached the Super Bowl after losing in it the previous year, failing all five times, we recommend a strong 3* play on the Kansas City. Thank you and good luck as always.
NFL - 5* Game 311 - Rams (+3.5) - Playoff GOY
Edges - Rams: Dogs in the Championship Round of the playoffs coming off consecutive wins are 14-0 ATS if they scored 35 or fewer points and allowed 24 or fewer points in their last game and were favored in each of their last three games; and away teams in the playoffs on a three-game ATS in streak are 4-0 SUATS when facing foes that scored 20 or fewer points in their last game … Saints: 0-5 ATS as playoff home favorites of less than 7 points; and teams who defeated the defending Super Bowl champions in a playoff game are 0-7 SUATS when coming off a win of 5 or more points when facing opponents that were favored in their previous game; and playoff home favorites coming off three consecutive home games are 0-3 SUATS … With the Rams 14-3 SU away behind Sean McVay and looking to avenge a loss here 45-35 loss here as 2-point favorites in November, we recommend a 5* play on the LA Rams. Thank you and good luck as always.
NFL - 3* Game 314 - Chiefs (-3)
Edges - Chiefs: allowing 17.4 PPG at home this season as opposed to 34.6 PPG away; and .600 or greater home teams in the playoffs that have scored 30 or more points in each of their last three games are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS when not favored by 7 or more points … Patriots: Away teams in the playoff coming off three straight home game are 0-13 ATS as dogs of 3 or more points; and playoff teams who won 15 or more games last season that scored 24 or more points in their last game are 0-11 ATS when coming off a home game in which they were favored by 4 or more points and facing a foe that was favored by 7 or fewer points in its last game; and teams who scored 40 or more points at home in a playoff game are 3-24-1 ATS since 1996. … With New England having never reached the Super Bowl after losing in it the previous year, failing all five times, we recommend a strong 3* play on the Kansas City. Thank you and good luck as always.
Allen *******
6-Unit Play. Take First Half #311 L.A. Rams (+3) over New Orleans (3 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 20)
This play is from my NFL 411 System.
I love the value of this first half line. The full game spread is 3.5. I am getting nearly that much value for just half the game. I think that is a big advantage for the underdog. The Saints were behind at halftime last week. They have been trailing at halftime in three of their last four games. The Saints are on a 1-5 ATS run overall. They have not been up by more than a field goal in their last six games. New Orleans was up 35-17 when these two teams met back in early November. I think that the Rams will be much more ready to play in this game since the winner of this one goes to the Super Bowl. The Saints were fortunate that they had a big second half in their comeback win against the Eagles. I think that they will have to do the same thing in this game against the Rams and I think that Los Angeles will have the lead in the first half. Go with Los Angeles here.
7-Unit Play. Take #313 New England (+3) over Kansas City (6:40 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 20)
This play is from my NFL 411 System.
I will take the points in this game. The New England Patriots have won the AFC Championship Game each of the last two years and three times in the last four years. The Patriots are 8-4 straight up in AFC Championship Games and I think that they will get another win here. I will take the points in case this game comes down to a field goal. Although I like the Patriots to win this one outright. New England has already beaten the Chiefs once this year and they outgained them 500-446 in that game. Bill Belichick is a better coach than Andy Reid. Tom Brady is a better quarterback than Patrick Mahomes. I think that the big game experience of New England will play a big role in this game. The Patriots are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games in January. New England is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 road games and 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games overall. Kansas City is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven playoff home games. The Chiefs are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. Go with the Patriots in this one.
Allen *******
_____________
6-Unit Play. Take First Half #311 L.A. Rams (+3) over New Orleans (3 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 20)
This play is from my NFL 411 System.
I love the value of this first half line. The full game spread is 3.5. I am getting nearly that much value for just half the game. I think that is a big advantage for the underdog. The Saints were behind at halftime last week. They have been trailing at halftime in three of their last four games. The Saints are on a 1-5 ATS run overall. They have not been up by more than a field goal in their last six games. New Orleans was up 35-17 when these two teams met back in early November. I think that the Rams will be much more ready to play in this game since the winner of this one goes to the Super Bowl. The Saints were fortunate that they had a big second half in their comeback win against the Eagles. I think that they will have to do the same thing in this game against the Rams and I think that Los Angeles will have the lead in the first half. Go with Los Angeles here.
7-Unit Play. Take #313 New England (+3) over Kansas City (6:40 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 20)
This play is from my NFL 411 System.
I will take the points in this game. The New England Patriots have won the AFC Championship Game each of the last two years and three times in the last four years. The Patriots are 8-4 straight up in AFC Championship Games and I think that they will get another win here. I will take the points in case this game comes down to a field goal. Although I like the Patriots to win this one outright. New England has already beaten the Chiefs once this year and they outgained them 500-446 in that game. Bill Belichick is a better coach than Andy Reid. Tom Brady is a better quarterback than Patrick Mahomes. I think that the big game experience of New England will play a big role in this game. The Patriots are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games in January. New England is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 road games and 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games overall. Kansas City is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven playoff home games. The Chiefs are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. Go with the Patriots in this one.
Allen *******
_____________
Jason Sharpe
5 Unit Play Take #314 Kansas City -3 over New England (6:40pm est):
The New England Patriots went 11-5 overall during the regular season but at times this year they didn't look like the same Patriots that have dominated the NFL for over a decade. After last week's playoff win the Patriots finished a perfect 9-0 at home this year but on the road it's been a totally different story as New England has went just 3-5 in away games this season. The Patriots were easily beat in three of those five games losing by an average of 17 points per defeat and this coming from a Patriots franchise that had went 71 straight games coming into this year without losing a game by 17 points or more. Even New England's three road wins leave a lot to be desired as they scored two special teams touchdowns in their win at Chicago and their other two road wins at Buffalo and at the New York Jets came against bad teams and both were also starting backup quarterbacks.
The Kansas City Chiefs have the best resume of any team in the NFL this season. They went 12-4 overall during the regular season and by my count they never played a bad football game this year. All four of the Chiefs losses this season came by one just possession and their lone home loss was by only one point to the LA Chargers in a game that KC probably should have won. Lots of talk going into this big game about the mystique of Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots but a few things to keep in mind here, Andy Reid's offense has scored 40 points or more three of the last four times that he's went up against a Bill Belichick defense. Also, there's no arguing about all of the Patriots playoff success thru the years but a closer look shows that most of that came in post-season games played at home or at the neutral site of the Super Bowl. In fact New England is just 1-4 in their last five road playoff games coming into this one here.
Take Kansas City minus the points. Big run right now in the NBA with a 27-11 record my last 38 plays in pro hoops including going 16-5 my last 21 side plays. I'm coming off my best regular season in the NBA ever last year with over $5,000 in profits won and I'm on pace this year to shatter that record. Lots of great specials up right now and still over half the NBA season remains. Join in the winning!!
Thank you and good luck,
Jason Sharpe
5 Unit Play Take #314 Kansas City -3 over New England (6:40pm est):
The New England Patriots went 11-5 overall during the regular season but at times this year they didn't look like the same Patriots that have dominated the NFL for over a decade. After last week's playoff win the Patriots finished a perfect 9-0 at home this year but on the road it's been a totally different story as New England has went just 3-5 in away games this season. The Patriots were easily beat in three of those five games losing by an average of 17 points per defeat and this coming from a Patriots franchise that had went 71 straight games coming into this year without losing a game by 17 points or more. Even New England's three road wins leave a lot to be desired as they scored two special teams touchdowns in their win at Chicago and their other two road wins at Buffalo and at the New York Jets came against bad teams and both were also starting backup quarterbacks.
The Kansas City Chiefs have the best resume of any team in the NFL this season. They went 12-4 overall during the regular season and by my count they never played a bad football game this year. All four of the Chiefs losses this season came by one just possession and their lone home loss was by only one point to the LA Chargers in a game that KC probably should have won. Lots of talk going into this big game about the mystique of Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots but a few things to keep in mind here, Andy Reid's offense has scored 40 points or more three of the last four times that he's went up against a Bill Belichick defense. Also, there's no arguing about all of the Patriots playoff success thru the years but a closer look shows that most of that came in post-season games played at home or at the neutral site of the Super Bowl. In fact New England is just 1-4 in their last five road playoff games coming into this one here.
Take Kansas City minus the points. Big run right now in the NBA with a 27-11 record my last 38 plays in pro hoops including going 16-5 my last 21 side plays. I'm coming off my best regular season in the NBA ever last year with over $5,000 in profits won and I'm on pace this year to shatter that record. Lots of great specials up right now and still over half the NBA season remains. Join in the winning!!
Thank you and good luck,
Jason Sharpe
Vernon Croy
7-Unit Play. Take #313-314 New England/Kansas City GAME TOTAL OVER 55.5 (Sunday, January 20 at 6:40 PM ET)
Take New England/Kansas City GAME TOTAL OVER as my 7-Unit NFL Smash for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and the Patriots have averaged 34.3 points per game over their last 5 games well averaging 421 yards per game. The Patriots defensively have given up 29.4 points per game on a grass field this season with opponents averaging 421.4 yards per game against them. The Chiefs have averaged 32.2 points per game at home this season while averaging 400.7 yards per game and they have averaged 32.3 points per game over their last 3 games. Opponents of averaged 25.5 points per game against the Chiefs overall the season and 397.1 yards per game against them. The Patriots just put up 41 points against a Chargers defense that is better than this Chiefs defense so you can expect the Patriots to put up a big number here Sunday. You can also expect the Chiefs put up a big number against this Patriots defense that did allow Miami to put up 34 points against them in their 2nd last road game and the Titans to put up 34 points against them in their 4th last road game. The over/under is 6-1 for the Patriots in their last 7 playoff games and the over/under is 4-0 in the last 4 games play between these 2 teams. Play the OVER.
7-Unit Play. Take #313-314 New England/Kansas City GAME TOTAL OVER 55.5 (Sunday, January 20 at 6:40 PM ET)
Take New England/Kansas City GAME TOTAL OVER as my 7-Unit NFL Smash for Sunday. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and the Patriots have averaged 34.3 points per game over their last 5 games well averaging 421 yards per game. The Patriots defensively have given up 29.4 points per game on a grass field this season with opponents averaging 421.4 yards per game against them. The Chiefs have averaged 32.2 points per game at home this season while averaging 400.7 yards per game and they have averaged 32.3 points per game over their last 3 games. Opponents of averaged 25.5 points per game against the Chiefs overall the season and 397.1 yards per game against them. The Patriots just put up 41 points against a Chargers defense that is better than this Chiefs defense so you can expect the Patriots to put up a big number here Sunday. You can also expect the Chiefs put up a big number against this Patriots defense that did allow Miami to put up 34 points against them in their 2nd last road game and the Titans to put up 34 points against them in their 4th last road game. The over/under is 6-1 for the Patriots in their last 7 playoff games and the over/under is 4-0 in the last 4 games play between these 2 teams. Play the OVER.
