Sunday Service Play Thread 9/29/2019

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Virgobbi Sports

TEN +3.5 (-113)
CLE +6.5 (+101)
TBB +9 (-106)
JAX +2.5 [1st HALF] (-114)
NOS +2.5 (+101)
 

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Root

Mill- Wash

No limit- Bears

Perfect- Lions

Inner circle- Bills

Pinnacle- Arizona.
 

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Micah Roberts

FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
YESTERDAY 2:46 PM
ATLANTA -3.5
TENNESSEE @ ATLANTA | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Both these teams have way underachieved so far, and it’s only Week 4. The Titans offense has looked out of sync the past two weeks following its opening blowout win at Cleveland. The Falcons have at least shown some fight the past two weeks with a 24-20 home win against the Eagles and a 27-24 loss at Indy last week. I’ll take the Falcons at home to cover.

8-3 IN LAST 11 ATL ATS PICKS | +469

11-7 IN LAST 18 TEN ATS PICKS | +314


FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
THU 9/26
OVER 54.5
KANSAS CITY @ DETROIT | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
The Chiefs have gone Over in 16 of their last 21 road games, and this is a good spot at Detroit where I expect the trend to continue. Their average score has been 31-23 this season, and the Lions have shown they can put up some points as well, which will help the cause. The Chiefs defense shows little resistance. Look for an entertaining shootout, and take the Over.

5-1 IN LAST 6 DET O/U PICKS | +395
 

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R.J. White

SUPER STAT GEEK
FRI 9/27
TENNESSEE +4
TENNESSEE @ ATLANTA | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
A lot of reasons to like the Titans here. The Falcons are 0-12 ATS in their last 12 matchups against AFC teams, and they just suffered a big blow on defense (sound familiar?) with the Keanu Neal injury. The Atlanta has struggled with turnovers (7) while Tennessee's hasn't (1). The Titans are coming off a minibye after losing on Thursday night, and I think they have the coaching edge, plus a good enough defense (eighth in points allowed per drive) to slow down the Falcons enough.

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24-12 IN LAST 36 ATL ATS PICKS | +1065

19-10 IN LAST 29 TEN ATS PICKS | +783


SUPER STAT GEEK
FRI 9/27
KANSAS CITY -6.5
KANSAS CITY @ DETROIT | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
The Chiefs are dealing with a few key injuries, but the absence of Tyreek Hill hasn't slowed them down yet and they still took it to Baltimore while dealing with issues to Eric Fisher and Damien Williams. I think Detroit has been underrated and have been on them each week from the jump, but I don't know how their offense, which is 23rd in points scored per drive, keeps up here with a Chiefs offense that can score whatever they want. With late news that Matthew Stafford is dealing with a hip injury, which has him listed as questionable, that's even more reason to love the Chiefs here.

11-4 IN LAST 15 NFL ATS PICKS | +659
12-7 IN LAST 19 KC ATS PICKS | +440

5-3 IN LAST 8 DET ATS PICKS | +153
 

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Emory Hunt

THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
THU 9/26
TENNESSEE +4
TENNESSEE @ ATLANTA | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Losing safety Keanu Neal is a huge blow to the Falcons defense, which has played better than expected this season. His loss shouldn't affect Atlanta's ability to pressure the quarterback, which is what the Falcons will need to do. The Titans have to hope that their extended week of prep for this game has helped them solve some of their protection issues. I believe they have and that this game will be closer than many expect.

5-0 IN LAST 5 ATL ATS PICKS | +500

2-1 IN LAST 3 TEN ATS PICKS | +90


THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
THU 9/26
KANSAS CITY -6.5
KANSAS CITY @ DETROIT | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is on pace to throw for more than 6,000 yards, which would be the first time in NFL history that has been done. He'll continue at a record pace against a Lions team that is the most vulnerable undefeated team in the NFL right now because of a lack of an identity on offense. When that's a question against Kansas City, you don't have a shot to keep it close. Take the Chiefs.

12-8 IN LAST 20 KC ATS PICKS | +339
 

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Brett Anderson

THE DOG WHISPERER
THU 9/26
KANSAS CITY -6.5
KANSAS CITY @ DETROIT | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
This will be Patrick Mahomes’ first indoor game as a pro after playing his first 20 games outdoors, and that could be bad news for the Lions. Mahomes played four indoor games in college ... and averaged 492 passing yards and 4.75 TDs per game in them. The Lions are unbeaten, but also aren't really that far from being 0-3. Detroit doesn’t have the firepower to hang with this Chiefs offense. With the line at less than a touchdown, lay the points.

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Mike Tierney

TOP DOG
THU 9/26
UNDER 54.5
KANSAS CITY @ DETROIT | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Kansas City's totals are creeping up week by week. This one is the highest of the season even though Detroit’s defense ranks 11th in yards allowed per pass. QB Patrick Mahomes might not have his way this time. An Over would snap a streak of a half-dozen Unders at home for the Lions. They gave up an average of 11 ppg in their last four outings of 2018 and have not allowed more than 24 points in regulation this season.

5-1 IN LAST 6 DET O/U PICKS | +390
 

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For all the people that beg for plays. Why not just buy them ?
If nobody else buys it for you would you not bet today ?
 

Let's go Brandon!
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2019 Westgate Las Vegas NFL SuperContest Player Picks and Standings

2019 Westgate Las Vegas Hilton SuperContest Player Picks and Standings

Top Five Contestants and their picks for today:

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Most popular five picks for today
 

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If it's not in the newsletter. But you could get the info you want from it. Couldn't you just figure it out ?

No Consensus doesn't mean the best guys are on those plays As you can see KC was the biggest consensus play and none of the top 5 guys played that game. Consensus 2 is Minnesota and they picked Minnesota. Consensus three was NE and they played 2-1 Buffalo. So, of the 3 one wasn't played at all and the other two are split

THX for the picks Buzz
 

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