Portland has only lost 2 games in the last month but are getting no respect as the market is over reacting to the injury to Nurkic. Oklahoma City just doesn’t play good enough defense for me to back them on the road here in a Game 1 setting. Portland knows that they are the Underdog in this series even though they have Home Court advantage. Portland makes a statement in Game 1. Note that following a game in which they scored 120 or more points this year Portland is 18-9 ATS. Add in the fact that Oklahoma City is just 12-26 ATS vs division opponents the last 2 seasons. My numbers have Portland wining by 7-9 points.
Love the Rockets here since they have been waiting for the playoffs to begin for most of the season - look for them to bring a full effort here and they get to take on a Utah team that is much better at home than on the road. Harden will be on full display here and he will be a handful for the Jazz to deal with. Take Houston here to get this win and cover.