Sunday Service Play Thread 12/01/2019

[sdf]

JUst spreads or most interesting Washington

4-Star Redskins +10 over PANTHERS With the runing game that they have, it might be surprising to some that the Panthers have the highest percentage of their first downs through the air at 67.3%. Washington has committed an average of 1.55 turnovers per game, and this is only slightly more than the league average. These facts slots the Redskins into a strong play-ON system.

Teams that have averaged fewer than 1.7 turnovers per game are 27-0 ATS as a regular season road dog with at least normal rest when they are off a game as a home dog and they are facing a team that has averaged at least 12.75 first downs per game. The SDQL text is:

REG and AD and rest>=6 and surface=grass and tA(TO)<1.7 and p:HD and oA(PFD)>=12.75 and date>=20141200

Teams are 5-0 ATS in this spot this season with three outright wins.

The Panthers are averaging 1.82 turnovers per game this season and this is FIFTH-MOST in the entire league. The Redskins have done better than expected against turnover-prone teams, as they are 9-0 ATS (+9.67 ppg) as a dog on grass facing an opponent that is committing an average of 1.75-plus turnovers per game. The SDQL text is:

team=Redskins and D and surface=grass and oA(TO)>=1.75 and season >= 2014

The Redskins have won seven of the nine straight up.

Also, Washington is 9-0 ATS since the start of the 2016 season when they are off a game in which they benefited from a two-plus takeaway margin and did not win by 20-plus points and 9-0 ATS (+10.44 ppg) when they are off a home game and they are facing a non-divisional opponent that allowed more than 400 total yards in their last game.

Carolina had a chance last week. They were 5-5 and in a tie game with the Saints, which they lost 34-31 on a field goal as time expired to fall below 500 on the season. It will be very challenging both mentally and physically to recover from this defeat in what was a must-win game. The Redskins are not a team that is going to inspire a heroic effort.

The Panthers are 0-7 ATS (-10.93 ppg) as a favorite on grass off a one to three point loss as a dog, losing each of their last four straight up. They were in this spot in week two this season after losing 27-30 to the Rams in their opener. The lines makers made them a six-point favorite against the Buccaneers and they lost 20-14 to Tampa. A similar result would not surprise us here.

MTis FORECAST: Redskins 17 PANTHERS 20

 

[SportsBookData]

4-Star Redskins +10 over PANTHERS With the runing game that they have, it might be surprising to some that the Panthers have the highest percentage of their first downs through the air at 67.3%. Washington has committed an average of 1.55 turnovers per game, and this is only slightly more than the league average. These facts slots the Redskins into a strong play-ON system.

Teams that have averaged fewer than 1.7 turnovers per game are 27-0 ATS as a regular season road dog with at least normal rest when they are off a game as a home dog and they are facing a team that has averaged at least 12.75 first downs per game. The SDQL text is:

REG and AD and rest>=6 and surface=grass and tA(TO)<1.7 and p:HD and oA(PFD)>=12.75 and date>=20141200

Teams are 5-0 ATS in this spot this season with three outright wins.

The Panthers are averaging 1.82 turnovers per game this season and this is FIFTH-MOST in the entire league. The Redskins have done better than expected against turnover-prone teams, as they are 9-0 ATS (+9.67 ppg) as a dog on grass facing an opponent that is committing an average of 1.75-plus turnovers per game. The SDQL text is:

team=Redskins and D and surface=grass and oA(TO)>=1.75 and season >= 2014

The Redskins have won seven of the nine straight up.

Also, Washington is 9-0 ATS since the start of the 2016 season when they are off a game in which they benefited from a two-plus takeaway margin and did not win by 20-plus points and 9-0 ATS (+10.44 ppg) when they are off a home game and they are facing a non-divisional opponent that allowed more than 400 total yards in their last game.

Carolina had a chance last week. They were 5-5 and in a tie game with the Saints, which they lost 34-31 on a field goal as time expired to fall below 500 on the season. It will be very challenging both mentally and physically to recover from this defeat in what was a must-win game. The Redskins are not a team that is going to inspire a heroic effort.

The Panthers are 0-7 ATS (-10.93 ppg) as a favorite on grass off a one to three point loss as a dog, losing each of their last four straight up. They were in this spot in week two this season after losing 27-30 to the Rams in their opener. The lines makers made them a six-point favorite against the Buccaneers and they lost 20-14 to Tampa. A similar result would not surprise us here.

MTis FORECAST: Redskins 17 PANTHERS 20

Any chance you can post the Oakland write up too? TIA!

 

[Mensae]

Therainman.com

10 stars: Philadelphia
5 stars: chargers
3 stars: Indy
1 star: NE

 

[sdf]

Miles Sanders Over 61.5 rushing yards risking 0.5 units​

Zach Pascal over 34.5 receiving yards to win 0.75 units​

[FONT=&quot]Benny Snell over 49.5 rushing yards to win 0.75 units[/FONT]​

 

[SportsBookData]

Sports Book Crushers NFL
Denver and LA Chargers Under 38

Killer Sports NBA
Detroit -2.5

Britney DeLuca at WinningSportsPlays won her CFB Banger Play of the Year with Michigan Over. That's now a 22-2 run!
She has a NFL Banger Play of the Year today and is hitting over 60% this year.
Again, just passing along... not shilling or self-promoting like some of you paranoid conspiracy theorists think. It's one of the most impressive runs I have seen in my 20+ years of betting and just having fun watching and sharing.

 

[MisterK.]

Or 5 and 0!!

Slapping-silly90))

 

[bowlda]

Sportsbook data stop asking to inconvenience people

 

[RCJhawk]

So, SportsBookData, what's the "NFL Banger Play of the Year?" Would appreciate it if you find it and could pass along.

 

[sdf]

Sports Book Crushers NFL
Denver and LA Chargers Under 38

Killer Sports NBA
Detroit -2.5

Britney DeLuca at WinningSportsPlays won her CFB Banger Play of the Year with Michigan Over. That's now a 22-2 run!
She has a NFL Banger Play of the Year today and is hitting over 60% this year.
Again, just passing along... not shilling or self-promoting like some of you paranoid conspiracy theorists think. It's one of the most impressive runs I have seen in my 20+ years of betting and just having fun watching and sharing.

someone can DM me the BD plays and I'll rewrite/post them so you dont get pulled from your subscription

 

[sdf]

Any chance you can post the Oakland write up too? TIA!

4.5-Star Raiders +10 over CHIEFS The Chefs are off a 24-17 win over the Chargers in which Travis Kelce had seven catches for 92 yards and San Diego punted only three times and converted five third downs. The Chiefs were forced to punt six times. We are on the Raiders.

Kansas City is 0-8 ATS at home after a game in which Travis Kelce had more the 70 receiving yards.
The SDQL text is:

team=Chiefs and H and Travis Kelce:receiving yards >= 70 and date>=20181028

Kansas City is 1-4 straight up their last five in this spot.

The Chiefs are also 0-9 ATS (-6.72 ppg) at home off a win as a favorite in which their previous opponent had more third down conversions than punts and 0-8 ATS (-6.12 ppg) and 0-6 ATS (-7.00 ppg) after a game in which Tyrek Hill had fewer than 2 receptions

Last week the Chiefs intercepted Phillip Rivers 4 times and this was the difference in the game. The Raiders have committed only 1.09 turnovers per game this season and unless they turn the ball over a lot here, the Chiefs will have a tough time covering the number.

Kansas City is 0-12 ATS as a favorite over a team that has averaged 1.3 or fewer turnovers per game and is not undefeated on the season. The SDQL text is:

team=Chiefs and F and oA(TO)<=1.3 and o:losses >0 and date>=20171019

The Chiefs have lost each of the last six straight up

Oakland had a terrible game last week vs the Jets, but perhaps they were looking ahead to this game. Whatever the case, the Raiders have responded well as a big dog off a bad loss. Oakland is 16-0 ATS as a dog or more than four points off a loss by more than a FG in which they got a first down on 25 percent or less of their offensive plays.

Finally, the Raiders are 8-0 ATS (+7.44 ppg) as a road dog off a double-digit loss when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 5.75 rushing first downs per game and 11-0 ATS (+10.00 ppg) on the road on grass vs a divisional opponent when they are off a loss in which more than 30 percent of their first downs were from third down.

MTis FORECAST: CHIEFS 23 Raiders 20

 

[SportsBookData]

Sportsbook data stop asking to inconvenience people

My question is fair and harmless so not sure why you took such offense to it but put on some big boy panties!
Some people here make me laugh! They beg for everything, offer nothing and yet are the first to bash others who actually contribute.

 

[sdf]

sharp premimum

NFL Premium Plays are 3-0 on the year. Today there is an early Premium Play. It is on, brace yourself, Cincinnati +3 over NY Jets

 

[kowboykarl]

***

 

[kowboykarl]

sharp premimum

NFL Premium Plays are 3-0 on the year. Today there is an early Premium Play. It is on, brace yourself, Cincinnati +3 over NY Jets

Wow lol

 

[mcot1016]

Freddy Wills has released a premium pick. The play is on, Steelers +2.5 5.5% NFL POD. Good luck!

 

[sailfish]

totals 4 u

Totals 4 You NFL Football Selections for Early Sunday, Dec 1st
2019 NFL Powerhouses Showdown Super Total of the Year!!!!!
San Francisco/Baltimore over 45

Early NFL Football Bonus Winners
Green Bay/NY Giants over 44 1/2
Philadelphia/Miami over 44 1/2
Tampa Bay/Jacksonville over 47 1/2
NY Jets/Cincinnati under 42

 

[vivaatlanticcity]

nbaclubinfo?

 

[sailfish]

Rockdeman Sports (CBB Play of the Day 10-4 last 14) - Yale -1.5

 

[Kyrieswirving]

Miles Sanders Over 61.5 rushing yards risking 0.5 units​

Zach Pascal over 34.5 receiving yards to win 0.75 units​

ty for sharing.. any totals?

 

[sailfish]

Big Al

division total of year

Colts/Titans Over