Sunday Service Play Thread 11/07/2021

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Here is a collection of NFL picks I gathered this week while working on college football. I have no plans to track or grade these picks so they are provided purely for your entertainment.

Doug Kezirian:
49ers-3 vs Cardinals
Rams-7 vs Titans
Dolphins-5.5 vs Texans

Joe Fortenbaugh:
49ers-3 vs Cardinals
Rams-7 vs Titans
Bengals-2.5 vs Browns
Ravens-6 vs Vikings
Packers+7 vs Chiefs
Patriots vs Panthers under 41.5

Tyler Fulghum:
Bengals vs Browns under 47.5
Ravens vs Vikings over 50.5
Packers+7 vs Chiefs
Titans vs Rams over 52.5
Cowboys-10 vs Broncos
Saints vs Falcons under 42

Anita Marks:
Chargers-1 vs Eagles
Raiders-3 vs Giants

Todd Fuhrman:
Patriots vs Panthers 1H under 20.5
Browns+2.5 vs Bengals
Titans+7.5 vs Rams
Packers vs Chiefs under 48
49ers PK vs Cardinals

Pete Prisco:
Bengals-2.5 vs Browns
Ramvs-7.5 vs Titans, over 53.5
Packers+7.5 vs Chiefs
49ers PK vs Cardinals
Patriots-3.5 vs Panthers
 

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Demarco Crew

Al Demarco - Bengals
Brandon Lang - Bengals
Chris Jordan - Eagles
Chuck O'Brien - Cowboys
Gus Augustine - Minnesota
Jack Brayman - Green Bay
Jay McNeil - New England
Kirby Maxwell - San Francisco
Mitchell Newman - Baltimore
Tommy Brunson - Tennessee
Trace Adams - Buffalo
 
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Bob Balfe

1:00 PM EST
Rotation #463-464
Raiders/Giants Over 46.5
I look at the Giants and I see a team that is really trying. They were [/COLOR]embarrassed at home a few weeks ago by the Rams and to make it worse guys keep dropping left and right with injury. The Giants have looked good the last few weeks and I think can put some points on the Raiders team via the air. The Las Vegas secondary is not talented and can be beaten. Daniel Jones is a duel threat QB that should be able to keep this defense honest enough to hit a few deep shots. The Raiders are a better team, but they are on a new coach, are coming off a bye and playing an early game on the east coast. The Giants do have decent players in their secondary, but Derek Carr is a great nickel and dimer that can work the ball down the field. Vegas has a ton of talent at the skilled positions and their offensive line should be able to take care of this front seven. This should be a great game with a lot of points. Take the Over.
 

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Maddux - All 10's - Lines when released (LW 3-3 -4, YTD 29-38 -130.5)

Balt -5'
Mia OV 45'
Cin OV 46'
Ind -10 (Won)
Hst +6
Den +10
LAC -1(15)
Cle +8' KC-1 (2 team Teas)
 

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Indian cowboy

Unit Play. #458. Take Panthers +3.5 Over Patriots (Sunday @ 1:00 pm est)

We are backing the Panthers as home dogs. This is a tough spot for the Pats as they come in off an outright win on the road as +3.5 dogs against the Chargers. Not sure I am comfortable laying points with the Pats on the road as favorites as they likely have a let down here. All signs are pointing to no Darnold out with concussion and in comes PJ Walker which we are fine with. Who did Walker play for? Temple. Who was his coach at Temple? Matt Rhule. These two have chemistry and familiarity with each other. Walker I think actually poses different challenges for the Pats. Belichick said "Walker appears to be more elusive than Darnold, whose status isn't likely to be resolved until the weekend. The New England coach said Walker's arm strength has been evident, even referencing what he has seen by reviewing Carolina's preseason games." So I think we actually get an upgrade at QB for the Panthers with Walker. Add in the fact that news out of camp is that it is quite possible that McCaffrey might go this week which will add another weapon and dynamic for the Panthers and Walker on offense extending drives. CB Gilmour will play against his former team since being cut and traded a few weeks ago to the Panthers and I expect him to be motivated and have an impact on the defensive side. This line opened Pats -2.5 with the public all over them but at -3.5 we have value with the home team here and the points. I would not be surprised to see the Panthers win outright at home but we will take the points. The Patriots are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Panthers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.
3-Unit Play. #469. Take Packers +7.5 Over Chiefs (Sunday @ 4:25 pm est)
We roll with the Packers here as I think this is a big overreaction to the Rogers news being out with Covid. The Chiefs cannot cover against anyone these days and could not cover as -10.5 favorites at home against the Giants so how are they going to cover against the Packers even without Rogers. Jordan Love will make his first start and lets not forget he was drafted in the first round for a reason. He has been with this team for a few years and is learning under Rogers. This is not a new system or team for him and will have all week to prepare. If there is anyone motivated here it's Jordan Love to prove to Packers brass that when his time comes he can and will take over for Rogers and what a better signature win then to do so over the Chiefs. The Packers will likely get Adams back this week who was out last week with Covid. We saw this last week with the Packers when Adams and Lazard were out that there was a big over reaction and they managed to win outright against the Cardinals. Given the state of the Chiefs right now this is simply too many points for them to be laying here against a well oiled machine like the Packers. We will gladly take the points here with the Packers and this over reaction and expect them to hang tough and keep this within a FG type game. Chiefs are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. Chiefs are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite.
7-Unit Play. #467. Take Chargers ML (-130) Over Eagles (Sunday @ 4:05 pm est)
We love the Chargers here in this spot. The Chargers were in the drivers seat for the division but now come off back to back losses. They need a win here to keep up with the Raiders for top spot in the division. One question is who are you going to back in this spot Herbert or Hurts. No question we back Herbert in this spot and the weapons he has available. What I dont understand is the sudden love for the Eagles? This line opened Chargers -3 but money has come pouring in on the Eagles which makes no sense. They come off a game where they beat up the Lions who were coming in on a letdown after laying it all out there against the Rams and we were on the Eagles for that game last week. The big question here is how are the Eagles going to stop Herbert and the Chargers. The Eagles gave up 33 points to the Raiders, 28 to the Bucs, 42 to the Chiefs, and 41 against Dallas. Hurts and the Eagels cannot trade points and they will not be able to keep up with the Chargers. The Chargers cannot afford to take this game likely as they need this win and on deck they have the Vikings another non conference opponent so this is not a look ahead spot for them. I trust Herbert and the Chargers more off back to back losses over Hurts and the Eagles. We saw what happened a few weeks ago when the sharps took the Eagles from +3 to -1 against the Raiders and got destroyed. I will gladly take the more talented team here in the Chargers on the ML to just win the game. If you look at the Eagles losses they all came against elite teams in or bound for the playoffs. If you look at their wins they all came against teams .500 or below. They will struggle here again today and we like the Chargers to bounce back.
3-Unit Play. #475. Take Bears +6.5 Over Steelers (Monday @ 8:15 pm est)
We like the Bears to hang tough there today. I think this is a bad spot for the Steelers and likely have a let down coming off that upset win over the Browns last week. This is a Steelers team that clearly struggles in the favorite role as we have seen this season. They are still winless as a favorite at 0-3 losing as -5.5 favorites against Geno and the Seahawks, -5.5 favorites against the Raiders, and losing to the Bengals as -2.5 favorites. They have always been a good team to back as a dog but not a favorite. If they could not cover against Geno and the Seahawks not sure they can cover -6.5 against the Bears. The other factor you have to consider is on a low total of 40 it is clear points are going to be valuable in what will likely be a close game which gives us value on the Bears. This is more of a play fading the Steelers than a play on the Bears. I just dont see how the Steelers will get up by more than a touchdown here especially on a low total of 40. If you wait till Monday we likely see some -7 pop up once more of the public money comes in on gameday and that is just too many points for the Steelers to be laying. Bears just put up 22 points against a good 49ers defense which is impressive. Take the Bears to keep this one close. Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Steelers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
 

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Brad Feinberg

49ers
Deebo over 66.5
d Henderson over 70.5
C sutton under 66.5
jalen hurts under 239.5, i think he gets less then 200. J Landry over 49.5 he has gone over this 7 of his last 9 and i think no odell will take pressure off mayfield to waste targets his way.

Gaskin over 11.5 attempts
Zay Jones under 31.5
Ekeler under 65.5 rush
 

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ProFootballDoc was 1-4 last Sunday. Beware. 2-3 prior week, and 4-1 week before that. Allegedly he is 24-16 YTD. No way to confirm.
 

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Bill Simmons - been great this season

Rams, Cowboys and Patriots 3 team 7 point tease.
bengals -2.5
Chargers -1.5
packers +7.5

underdog longshot ml parlay falcons & Vikings
 

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ProFootballDoc was 1-4 last Sunday. Beware. 2-3 prior week, and 4-1 week before that. Allegedly he is 24-16 YTD. No way to confirm.
Although I've only posted his picks the past 3 weeks, I've been following him since week 1, so I can vouch for his record. Also, he's not a tout, he's a former NFL doctor that now has his own analytics company that focuses on the impact of player injuries. He doesn't charge for his opinion, it's just take it or leave it information.
 

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Allen East man

H-Unit Play. Take #471 Arizona (-1) over San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 7)
F* clev
D* bal
D* no
 
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