4-Star Packers at Chiefs UNDER 47.5 Andy Reid is not a genius, but we think he has enough football savvy to avoid making this an Aaron Rodgers vs Matt Moore battle. We are on the UNDER.
The Chiefs struggled on offense without Mahomes and here they will be without him for the entire game. NFL teams that won more than ten games the previous season are 0-26 OU when they are off a road game in which they got a first down on fewer than 26% of their offensive plays, rushed for more than 25 yards and punted the ball away more than three times. The SDQL text is:
PRSW>10 and p:A and p:FD/(p:OFPL)< 0.26 and p:RY>25 and p
unts>3 and season >= 2016 As a team, Kansas City is 0-10 OU (-6.70 ppg) at home off a win in which they failed on at least one goal-to-go attempt, 0-8 OU (-9.25 ppg) as a dog on grass off a road game in which fewer than 40 points were scored, and 0-13 OU (-9.58 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent when their rushing yardage increased in each of their last two games and they are facing a team that has allowed an average of 170-plus passing yards per game. The SDQL for the last of this trio is:
team=Chiefs and NDIV and ppp:RY
=170 and date>=20091200
The Packers are 0-10 OU on the road on grass when they off a win as a favorite and they played their last two at home and they are 0-9 OU on grass off a win when they are facing a team that has averaged at least 375 offensive yards per game and 0-10 OU during the regular season on the road on grass when they are off a win and they are facing a team with an average takeaway margin of better than plus one-half.
This should be a much different game without Mahomes. We are on the UNDER.
MTis FORECAST: Packers 23 Chiefs 16
