[h=4]LATEST PICKS! 10/13/19[/h]
October 13, 2019
NFL
There’s some lines out there I just can’t believe. WHY are the Saints catching points vs Jacksonville? Why are the Chiefs only laying 3.5 vs Houston? Why aren’t the Cowboys double-digit favorites over the hapless NY Jets? And who’s doing all the scoring in the Atlanta/Arizona game that the O/U is sitting at 53? These lines are out of whack, and they are the games I’m zeroing in on today.
Kansas City -3.5
Yes, Sammy Watkins is out, but Tyrek Hill returns. Mahomes still has plenty of weapons, and is still having a great year. The Texans have played well, but travelling to KC is always tough, and some of their warts are going to shine through today. This line should be sitting at -8, not -3.5. I’m buying a ½ point and getting this down to -3.
New Orleans +3
This is a game I think the Saints win outright. Jacksonville and Minshew are going to crash down to earth – in front of their own crowd. Bridgewater is a fine QB who would be starting on most teams, so it’s not like the Saints are completely crippled with Brees being out. And Kamara is going to play despite reports of his ankle bothering him. That’s enough to get the win. I had this line at Saints -6.5. So now that I’m catching points, I’m thrilled.
Dallas -7
This could be the biggest blowout of the week. Dallas should be at LEAST 13 point favorites over the Jets, who by the way should thank Miami and Washington for being even MORE crummy, lest they be the laughing stocks of the NFL. This line reflects the return of Sam Darnold. Let’s face it, he’s not that much of a difference maker, and this Jet team is LOADED with issues. While Dallas needs a win after dropping 2 straight, and they need to boost their confidence by rubbing the Jets nose in the dirt. This is a laugher.
Atlanta/Arizona under 52.5
I’m not sure who’s doing all this scoring down in the desert. Out of all the plays, this is the one I’m least confident in, and I’ll wait to see how my Sunday is shaping up before moving on this game. But if I’m up big, I’ll wager 25% of my early winnings on the Under. If I’m down (and if you’re down) pass on this game. I do expect Arizona to play tough, as 4 of their next 5 games are on the road. The Cardinals offense is like an old car, it takes time to warm up. And the Falcons look like a car headed for the junk heap. Neither team is going anywhere, and I expect this to be a low scoring snoozer.
BOL
Jack
