Warren Sharp
In addition to:
Leonard Fournette over 3.5 receptions -120 (0.75 units)
Longshot: Ronald Jones most rushing yards +275 (0.5 units)
Patrick Mahomes over 18.5 rushing yards -115 (0.6 units)
Under 10.5 total accepted penalties +100 (0.5 units)
Longshot: Cameron Brate to score 1st TD for Tampa +1400 (0.1 units) and any time TD +333 (0.2 units)
Second half + OT more points than first half -112 (0.5 units)**
**note: betting this in lieu of betting the first half under 27.5, which is what my model leans towards
Tampa Bay 3rd down conversions over 5.5 +125 (0.5 units)
Will Kansas City convert a 4th down YES -135 (0.4 units)
Will Tampa Bay convert a 4th down YES -135 (0.4 units)
Longshot: Will there be a missed extra point YES +210 (0.2 units)
Patrick Mahomes over 40.5 pass att (-125) (0.75 units)
Darrell Williams rushing yards Under 30.5 -125 (0.5 units)
Rob Gronkowski longest catch over 15.5 yards -112 (0.75 units)
Rob Gronkowski receiving yards over 28.5 -115 (0.2 units)
Mecole Hardman longest catch over 15.5 -120 (0.5 units)
Add:
If its still up at your book: National Anthem length over 120.5 seconds -105 (0.5 units)
___
Welcome to the Super Bowl LV Props Package! Even with 10 full days until kickoff, props are now up at many spots. We will be digging into these throughout these next 10 days, but we do have one longshot TD prop we want to share today. Know that we will have action rolling out in a gradual basis, starting today, thru Super Bowl Sunday!
In addition to:
Leonard Fournette over 3.5 receptions -120 (0.75 units)
Longshot: Ronald Jones most rushing yards +275 (0.5 units)
Patrick Mahomes over 18.5 rushing yards -115 (0.6 units)
Under 10.5 total accepted penalties +100 (0.5 units)
Longshot: Cameron Brate to score 1st TD for Tampa +1400 (0.1 units) and any time TD +333 (0.2 units)
Second half + OT more points than first half -112 (0.5 units)**
**note: betting this in lieu of betting the first half under 27.5, which is what my model leans towards
Tampa Bay 3rd down conversions over 5.5 +125 (0.5 units)
Will Kansas City convert a 4th down YES -135 (0.4 units)
Will Tampa Bay convert a 4th down YES -135 (0.4 units)
Longshot: Will there be a missed extra point YES +210 (0.2 units)
Patrick Mahomes over 40.5 pass att (-125) (0.75 units)
Darrell Williams rushing yards Under 30.5 -125 (0.5 units)
Rob Gronkowski longest catch over 15.5 yards -112 (0.75 units)
Rob Gronkowski receiving yards over 28.5 -115 (0.2 units)
Mecole Hardman longest catch over 15.5 -120 (0.5 units)
Add:
If its still up at your book: National Anthem length over 120.5 seconds -105 (0.5 units)
___
Welcome to the Super Bowl LV Props Package! Even with 10 full days until kickoff, props are now up at many spots. We will be digging into these throughout these next 10 days, but we do have one longshot TD prop we want to share today. Know that we will have action rolling out in a gradual basis, starting today, thru Super Bowl Sunday!
Hit man
HITMAN | NFL ML - Sunday, Feb 7 2021 6:30PM
ML 101 KAN (-165) Pinnacle vs 102 TAM double-dime bet
Analysis: I'll likely be sending a prop update out every day or two. If some of my personal props become more widely available I might add them into the official prop section. A lot of Vegas books will be putting up props tonight and I assume a lot of locals will follow.
Official Props:
Chiefs Punts U3.5 -150 (DK)
Tyreek Hill O87.5 rec yds -115 (MGM)
Travis Kelce O94.5 Rec Yds -125 (DK)
YES Brady INT -130 (South Point)
Fournette>Williams rush yds -135 (Fox Bet)
Last play of game YES QB run -170 (Fanduel/WHill)
Byron Pringle U1.5 Receptions +105 (WHill)
U10.5 Penalties +100 (WHill/BET365)
Cameron Brate U3.5 Receptions -130 (PB/DK)
Props I bet (if you have a similar line, fire)
U2.5 Players with a pass attempt -165
U2.5 Players complete a pass -260
Shortest TD U1.5 -140
Last play of the game QB kneel -135
No score first 5 min -135
KC scores more points in 2H/OT versus 1H -105
Robinson U2.5 -240
Pringle U18.5 -110
White NO sack -120
Suh NO sack -165
Jones NO sack -125
Clark NO sack -140
Bucs punt first -120
Bucs +10.5 rush yds VS KC -110
Opening kickoff touchback -220
Last play of 1H NO QB run -200
CEH U60.5 toal yds -110
Chiefs shortest punt O32.5 -130
Bucs shortest punt O32.5 -130
CEH YES TD +220
Mahomes>Brady pass yds -150
O7.5 Players with a rush attempt -120
Darrell Williams U7.5 1Q Rush Yds -125
Mathiue No INT -300
Tampa to receive ball first -110
O3.5 Sacks -160
HITMAN | NFL ML - Sunday, Feb 7 2021 6:30PM
ML 101 KAN (-165) Pinnacle vs 102 TAM double-dime bet
Analysis: I'll likely be sending a prop update out every day or two. If some of my personal props become more widely available I might add them into the official prop section. A lot of Vegas books will be putting up props tonight and I assume a lot of locals will follow.
Official Props:
Chiefs Punts U3.5 -150 (DK)
Tyreek Hill O87.5 rec yds -115 (MGM)
Travis Kelce O94.5 Rec Yds -125 (DK)
YES Brady INT -130 (South Point)
Fournette>Williams rush yds -135 (Fox Bet)
Last play of game YES QB run -170 (Fanduel/WHill)
Byron Pringle U1.5 Receptions +105 (WHill)
U10.5 Penalties +100 (WHill/BET365)
Cameron Brate U3.5 Receptions -130 (PB/DK)
Props I bet (if you have a similar line, fire)
U2.5 Players with a pass attempt -165
U2.5 Players complete a pass -260
Shortest TD U1.5 -140
Last play of the game QB kneel -135
No score first 5 min -135
KC scores more points in 2H/OT versus 1H -105
Robinson U2.5 -240
Pringle U18.5 -110
White NO sack -120
Suh NO sack -165
Jones NO sack -125
Clark NO sack -140
Bucs punt first -120
Bucs +10.5 rush yds VS KC -110
Opening kickoff touchback -220
Last play of 1H NO QB run -200
CEH U60.5 toal yds -110
Chiefs shortest punt O32.5 -130
Bucs shortest punt O32.5 -130
CEH YES TD +220
Mahomes>Brady pass yds -150
O7.5 Players with a rush attempt -120
Darrell Williams U7.5 1Q Rush Yds -125
Mathiue No INT -300
Tampa to receive ball first -110
O3.5 Sacks -160
Stanford Steve:
TB+3 vs KC
Chris Godwin over 5.5 receptions
Mahomes under 331.5 pass yards
Tyreek Hill over 6.5 receptions
Travis Kelce under 97.5 receiving yards
Edwards-Helaire over 29.5 rush yards
Edwards-Helaire over 48.5 rush+receiving yards
Brady over 305.5 pass yards
Mike Evans over 4.5 receptions
Ronald Jones II over 35.5 rush yards
Chris “The Bear” Fallica:
KC-3 vs TB
Mahomes under 331.5 pass yards
Tyreek Hill under 6.5 receptions
Travis Kelce over 97.5 receiving yards
Edwards-Helaire over 29.5 rush yards
Travice Kelce anytime TD (-162)
TB+3 vs KC
Chris Godwin over 5.5 receptions
Mahomes under 331.5 pass yards
Tyreek Hill over 6.5 receptions
Travis Kelce under 97.5 receiving yards
Edwards-Helaire over 29.5 rush yards
Edwards-Helaire over 48.5 rush+receiving yards
Brady over 305.5 pass yards
Mike Evans over 4.5 receptions
Ronald Jones II over 35.5 rush yards
Chris “The Bear” Fallica:
KC-3 vs TB
Mahomes under 331.5 pass yards
Tyreek Hill under 6.5 receptions
Travis Kelce over 97.5 receiving yards
Edwards-Helaire over 29.5 rush yards
Travice Kelce anytime TD (-162)
