SUNDAY NBA BEST BET

OccamsRazor · Jan 4, 2004

RECORD YTD 24-11 (.685)
SIDES 15-8 (.652)
TOTALS 9-3 (.750)

A healthy Dallas brought home the money here last night.

Seattle/Sac meet at ARCO and will try to top the highest TOTAL posted for either team this year at 209'

Out of 18 games at home, Sac has allowed only 4 teams to top the Century mark. Kings tighten that defense at home. Sac is on a backtoback today. In all backtobacks this season, Sac games all have had a lower total score in the second game. Sac games are averaging 182 TOTAL in their second of their backtoback.

Seattle has been on fire since Allens return and have to pay the price tonight by trying to overcome their highest posted TOTAL of the season. Seattle games average out to 192 points as an away dog. Seattle has topped 209' twice on the road this season out of 13 tries.

UNDER 209'

jaygordo · Jan 4, 2004

Nice analysis Occam- I usually go with the over when I see an usually high total posted but I've only gone about 50% in the last year. My theory was that they could never go high enough to keep sharp on certain games without the $ bringing the total down. I've seen it happen many times. But I really do like the under here on a back to back and I think the public and many others underestimate the D of the Kings. The thing is that playing D takes more energy and Seattle can really run with their new healthy team and Allen back. Hope Sac turns it up.

MrsCheater · Jan 4, 2004

Im on this one as well, GL to us!

Zapster · Jan 4, 2004

I couldn't figure this game for the life of me....but I have done well placing "friendly wagers" on your picks and I am looking for a team to parlay my big play with, so Seattle UNDER it is.

I also want to thank you for the analysis.

MrsCheater · Jan 4, 2004

zapster.. im kinda new to this thing, but whats a friendly wager mean

Zapster · Jan 4, 2004

MrsC...

It is just what the term implies. When I have a game listed as a pick, I post the number of units and keep track of them. If I visit someone else's thread (Like Tater or Razor) and they have a play that sounds good but is outside my system, I (in an attempt to be sociable) throw a few units on it and so I call it a "friendly wager...." 'cause that's more or less what it is