SUNDAY BEST BET LATE GAME

OccamsRazor · Dec 28, 2003

RECORD YTD 20-9 (.689)
SIDES 14-6 (.700)
TOTALS 6-3 (.666)

Lost my second in a row here last night, as Miami faltered badly at home.

Lakers will try to right their faltering ship (4-4 SU 0-8 ATS) as they face the 3 point loving Boston Celtics at Staples. Both teams top 10 in offensive FG% and defensive FG%.

Lakers defend the 3point shot at home better than any one in the league and will be stressing defense to make things happy again in Laker land. Remember that long home win streak earlier in the season, seems far removed. Jackson will be reminding team that their glory lies in the defensive side of the court.

Lakers step up to the foul line more than any one but their freethrow pct is near the bottom thanks to Shaq. Lakers 4-10 to the UNDER at home

These two teams average 189' points combined from their road/home stats.

Why the astronomical 207' total in this game? Well these two have combined for an 11-1 OVER record when meeting each other, (5-0 OVER at Staples), last 12 games. Linemaker knows that public and touts love outrageous technical streaks and he has to compensate accordingly.

An 18 point compensation from that very raw 189' seems a tad too much.

UNDER 207'

hardcorecap · Dec 28, 2003

razor i like it.... we will get em tonight

MYFOOTBALLGAME · Dec 28, 2003

Great call Oscar. Keep up the great work. I cashed with you.

OccamsRazor · Dec 28, 2003

Little blue guy pounds down another UNDER.That 18 point compensation was a tad too much as the total landed on 187, one basket away from tha raw 189 average between these two. Laker defense righted the ship after the half. Lakers, the league leading 3 point defenders played to form.

"Very good analysis Occam, your writeups are well reasoned." "Thanks Razor, I try."Why are you talking in the third and fourth person,OccamsRazor?" "No reason, no one's around late Sunday nights." "Oh"

Back at em tomorrow.

Phaedrus · Dec 28, 2003

posted by Occam's Razor:
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>
"Very good analysis Occam, your writeups are well reasoned." "Thanks Razor, I try."Why are you talking in the third and fourth person,OccamsRazor?" "No reason, no one's around late Sunday nights." "Oh"
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Hey, I'm around, and came in for the express purpose of giving you a high-five for yet another winner. This makes you .700 overall and in sides, plus 11.1% on the money for people using standard 1% units and playing -110 lines.

Phaedrus

jaygordo · Dec 29, 2003

ME-2 My Man- I always tell people if I have a day to play I know a solid capper I can usually count on. You do a great job Occam- congrats here and NFL best bet. What a day!! I'll be checking in again soon thanks to you. Gnite
jaygordo