Sunday 9/18/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[FadingTouts]

Does anyone have the Prediction machine Lock of the Week and all the over 57% plays? Thanks in advance.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

NFL

Hondo eyes rapid rebound

Hondo started slowly in Week 1, muddling his way to a 7-9 mark (1-2 in Best Bets) that left him one game out of the of Bettor’s Guide dungeon.

There are, of course, consequences for the nine betrayals, so it’s off to Mr. Aitch’s “basket of deplorables” for the Panthers, Bengals, Titans, Packers, Saints, Chiefs, Colts, Cards, and Redskins.

As for Week 2:

Giants over Saints: Both teams are loaded offensively, but the Saints again have decided not to assemble a professional defense. Hondo would have made the Giants a Best Bet, but there’s a chance they could be on the receiving end of a karma kick in the butt for re-signing Josh Brown.

Lions over Titans: Two audience members at a recent taping of “Dancing with the Stars” charged at disgraced Olympic swimmer Ryan Lochte, according to news reports. That’s one version of the story. Lochte has a slightly different version: “Seven armed men surrounded me with their semi-automatic weapons pointed at my head, but I just stared them down until help arrived.”

Texans over Chiefs: Houston, giving a measly three, is desperately seeking vengeance for January’s playoff pounding by K.C. Lay ’em and slay ’em.

Patriots over Dolphins: Dolphin coaches had better beware: Bill Belichick, always looking for an edge, intends to provide them with Samsung Gallery Note 7 phones for in-game communication.

Browns over Ravens: Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh denied he went digging for a nose nugget then slipped it into his mouth during Saturday’s rout over Central Florida, despite damning video evidence to the contrary. Clearly, Harbaugh is in denial and could benefit from entering the 12-step AB-EA (Adult Booger-Eaters Anonymous) program. “Hello, my name is Jim, and I am an adult booger-eater …”

Emailer BarkingMut weighs in with his first woof of the season: After the game, Harbaugh changed up his “Who’s got it better than us” catchphrase, proudly shouting to his team: “Who’s got a better booger than me!”

John Harbaugh can’t be happy about the nose-oriety his brother is getting. Many people probably figure if Jim’s a snot-snacker, then John probably is too.

Steelers over Bengals: Fun factoids of the week: Jim Harbaugh’s favorite song is “Boogie Fever” and his favorite movie is “Boogie Nights.”

Cowboys over Redskins: “Moobs,” aka man breasts, has been added to the Oxford English Dictionary. They are not to be confused with “SuperSaggers” — which are much larger and were often used to describe Ted Kennedy’s rack.

49ers over Panthers: Since Roger Goodell and the refs seem to be allowing helmet-to-helmet hits on Cam Newton this season, Hondo suggests you take a stand with the 49ers. Goodell told an amusing joke when he announced the NFL will donate $100 million to concussion research. Quipped the commish: “I care about our players.”

Cardinals over Buccaneers: Hillary Clinton’s personal physician, Dr. Lisa Bardack, claims the candidate is in “excellent mental health.” That’s only if you don’t include that pathological lying thing she has going on. In the wake of Hillary’s near collapse last Sunday, Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post had to walk back his comment that there is “zero evidence” anything is wrong with Hillary’s health. And that, folks, is the price you pay when you believe a Clinton.

Seahawks over Rams: With Hillary on the mend, Bill Clinton filled in for her at a couple of stops this week. Says the ol’ Horndog-in-Chief: “It’s just good to get back on the campaign tail.”
Modal Trigger

Broncos over Colts: Even though Brandon Marshall was fined $24,309 for a helmet-to-helmet hit on Cam Newton, he defiantly proclaimed, “I’ll do it again.” Apparently, his craving for an end to injustice in the streets, which he expresses by kneeling during the national anthem, doesn’t extend to the football field.

Raiders over Falcons: Hondo would be lyin’ if he said you won’t be cryin’ if you bet on Matt Ryan.

Chargers over Jaguars: After last week’s loss to the Packers, Gus Bradley fell to 12-37 as head coach of the Jaguars. Gus maybe should have gone into a less results-oriented business, such as weather forecasting.

Packers over Vikings: Minnesota coach Mike Zimmer won’t say which of his QB rejects will start, Shaun Hill or Sam Bradford. In the words of Hillary Clinton: “What difference does it make?”

Bears over Eagles: There’s a new product out called the Little Rooster S Vibrator, which serves as an alarm clock when set and strategically placed. The only complaint about it so far is that all the loud moaning and groaning wakes up the whole house.

Best bets: Jets, Texans, Raiders.
Thursday: Jets (W).

 

[superbeets]

Spanish La Liga TODAY 11:00

Osasuna

v

Celta Vigo

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS5		2	21/10	6/4	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT OSASUNA	RECENT FORM
AWHWAWADHLAL​ Most recent​	0 - 2 1 - 0 0 - 1 2 - 0	HWALHLALHLAD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Both teams have scored in only one of the last nine meetings between the sides

EXPERT VERDICT: Newly-promoted Osasuna have struggled to cope with life back in La Liga. Enrique Martin’s men have conceded eight goals in their opening three matches and their defensive frailties will provide Celta Vigo with plenty of optimism. Celta have had a slow start of their own, losing all three La Liga matches, but they should find this affair easier.

RECOMMENDATION: Celta Vigo
1

 

[superbeets]

Italian Serie A TODAY 11:30

Udinese

v

Chievo

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT2		Evs	9/4	3	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT UDINESE	RECENT FORM
ADHLHLALHWAW​ Most recent​	0 - 0 1 - 1 3 - 0 3 - 1	ALHDHWHWALHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Udinese have lost only once of their last ten meetings with Chievo

EXPERT VERDICT: Back-to-back wins for Udinese have gone some way to disregard their 4-0 opening day defeat to Roma and they look good value to claim the scalp of Chievo. Udinese impressed with the way they kept Milan quiet last weekend and they are fancied to do likewise against Chievo, who have not scored in any of their last four Serie A games on the road.

RECOMMENDATION: Udinese
2

 

[superbeets]

Premier League TODAY 12:00

Watford

v

Man Utd

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT1		5	29/10	13/20	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT WATFORD	RECENT FORM
HDADHLHD*HLAW​ Most recent​	1 - 2 1 - 4 1 - 2 0 - 3	NWAWHWAWHLAL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Watford have conceded eight league goals this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Manchester United took a significant early blow in the title race after last Saturday’s 2-1 derby defeat to Manchester City, but they should respond with victory at Watford. The Red Devils have so much attacking quality at their disposal that it’s difficult to see the hosts, who have conceded in all their games this term, keeping United quiet.

RECOMMENDATION: Man Utd-Man Utd double result
3


REFEREE: Michael Oliver STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Italian Serie A TODAY 14:00

Torino

v

Empoli

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT S		3/4	12/5	4	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT TORINO	RECENT FORM
HLALHWALHWAL​ Most recent​	0 - 1 0 - 1 0 - 1 1 - 0	ALHWHWHLALHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Empoli have lost their last seven Serie A away games

EXPERT VERDICT: Twelve of Torino’s last 13 Serie A encounters have produced three goals or more with both sides scoring in 13 of their last 14. England keeper Joe Hart’s going to be a busy man in Turin and can expect to be worked by Empoli, who did the double over Torino last season.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
3

 

[superbeets]

Premier League TODAY 14:15

Southampton

v

Swansea

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		7/10	14/5	19/4	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT SOUTHAMPTON	RECENT FORM
HWHDALHDALHW​ Most recent​	3 - 1 0 - 1 2 - 0 1 - 1	HDAWHLAWALHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Swansea have scored in ten of their last 12 league away games

EXPERT VERDICT: Swansea put in a battling display to earn a draw against Chelsea on Sunday and should not fear a trip to St Mary’s. Southampton have found it hard to find their feet this season and look vulnerable here. Sunderland and Watford have earned draws on the south coast and the Swans can as well.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: Mike Jones STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Premier League TODAY 14:15

C Palace

v

Stoke

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		21/20	5/2	3	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT C PALACE	RECENT FORM
ND*HLALHWHDAW​ Most recent​	2 - 1 1 - 0 1 - 1 1 - 0	HWADHLAWALHL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Just four Premier League teams scored fewer away goals than Stoke last term

EXPERT VERDICT: Crystal Palace’s victory against Middlesbrough last weekend was their first league win of the season, but they have a good record against Stoke, going unbeaten in five meetings and winning four of those. Stoke are rock-bottom with just one point taken from four league games.

RECOMMENDATION: Crystal Palace
2


REFEREE: Craig Pawson STADIUM:

 

[OleBlueEyes]

Can anyone find the Philly Godfather NFL ? 71-27 since last year, no joke. I can buy next week, waiting for a damn check to clear by Tuesday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Sunday, Sept. 18 is:

Houston Astros (Fister) and Seattle Mariners (Miranda) 'over' 8.5.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS
(NFL)
Ravens
Bengals
Raiders
Vikings

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL DUNKEL

Sunday, September 18

Tennessee @ Detroit

Game 261-262
September 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
125.301
Detroit
127.930
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 2 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 6
47
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(+6); Over

Atlanta @ Oakland

Game 283-284
September 18, 2016 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
125.034
Oakland
133.592
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 8 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 4 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-4 1/2); Under

Kansas City @ Houston

Game 263-264
September 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
137.011
Houston
133.903
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 3
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 3
43
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+3); Over

Jacksonville @ San Diego

Game 285-286
September 18, 2016 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
132.516
San Diego
130.356
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
by 3
47
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(+3); Over

Miami @ New England

Game 265-266
September 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
128.913
New England
139.720
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 11
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 6 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-6 1/2); Over

Green Bay @ Minnesota

Game 287-288
September 18, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
134.309
Minnesota
135.811
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 2 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+2 1/2); Under

Baltimore @ Cleveland

Game 267-268
September 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
131.457
Cleveland
123.018
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 8 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 6 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-6 1/2); Over

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh

Game 269-270
September 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
139.575
Pittsburgh
137.389
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+3 1/2); Over

Dallas @ Washington

Game 271-272
September 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
130.797
Washington
129.374
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 3
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+3); Under

New Orleans @ NY Giants

Game 273-274
September 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
126.828
NY Giants
133.971
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 7
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 4 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(-4 1/2); Over

San Francisco @ Carolina

Game 275-276
September 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
125.352
Carolina
142.710
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 17 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 13
45
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-13); Over

Tampa Bay @ Arizona

Game 277-278
September 18, 2016 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
131.811
Arizona
135.965
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 4
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 7
50
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+7); Over

Seattle @ Los Angeles

Game 279-280
September 18, 2016 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
136.657
Los Angeles
126.279
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 10
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 7
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-7); Under

Indianapolis @ Denver

Game 281-282
September 18, 2016 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
132.260
Denver
135.399
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 3
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 6 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(+6 1/2); Under


Monday, September 19

Philadelphia @ Chicago

Game 289-290
September 19, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
131.278
Chicago
129.341
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3
43
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+3); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Mercury (15-18) at Stars (7-26)

Date: September 18, 2016 4:30 PM EDT

The Phoenix Mercury are hoping to improve their playoff positioning when they visit the San Antonio Stars on the final day of the regular season on Sunday at AT&T Center in San Antonio.

Phoenix (15-18) and the Seattle Storm are tied for third in the WNBA's Western Conference, four games ahead of the fifth-place Dallas Wings. Phoenix and Seattle have clinched playoff berths and both have one game remaining. One will enter the playoffs as the No. 7 seed, the other as the No. 8 seed.

Seattle won the season series against Phoenix and would hold the tiebreaker if the teams finish with identical records. Neither can move past the Atlanta Dream or Indiana Fever for the fifth or sixth seeds because the Dream and Fever won their respective season series against Seattle and Phoenix.

San Antonio (7-26) is last in the Western Conference and has the worst record in the WNBA. The Stars have lost seven of their last eight games and 13 of their last 15.

Phoenix secured the final playoff berth with a resounding 86-62 victory over Seattle on Thursday. Brittney Griner scored 21 points, Diana Taurasi had 15 points and Candice Dupree added 14 points and seven rebounds for the Mercury.

Penny Taylor, a three-time WNBA All-Star who announced in July that she will retire at the end of the season, had eight points and four steals in her final regular-season home game.

San Antonio is coming off a 71-65 loss to the Los Angeles Sparks. The Stars were down by 14 in the third quarter and trailed by 11 in the fourth but stormed back to take a momentary lead before fading in the final minutes.

Moriah Jefferson scored 18 points and Monique Currie had 17 for the Stars.

Taurasi leads Phoenix in scoring, averaging 17.8 points per game. DeWanna Bonner averages 14.6 points, Griner 14.5 and Taylor 12.6.

Jefferson averages 13.8 points per game and Currie 10.5 for San Antonio.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Sky (18-15) at Storm (15-18)

Date: September 18, 2016 7:00 PM EDT

The Chicago Sky are locked in as the No. 4 seed in the upcoming WNBA playoffs, but the Seattle Storm will be jockeying for position when the teams meet in the final game of the regular season on Sunday at KeyArena in Seattle.

Chicago (18-15) is second in the Eastern Conference, 2 1/2 games behind the New York Liberty and 1 1/2 games ahead of the Atlanta Dream, which lost to the Minnesota Lynx on Saturday.

The Sky, who will be without star Elena Delle Donne when they play Seattle, will enjoy a first-round bye as the fourth seed in the playoffs regardless of the outcome of Sunday's game.

Seattle (15-18) and the Phoenix Mercury are tied for third in the Western Conference. Seattle and Phoenix both have clinched playoff berths with one game remaining on their regular-season schedules. One will enter the playoffs as the No. 7 seed, the other as the No. 8 seed.

Seattle won the season series against Phoenix and would hold the tiebreaker advantage if it finishes with identical records. Neither team can move ahead of the Indiana Fever for the sixth seed because the Fever won the season series against Seattle and Phoenix.

Seattle has won six of nine games since the Olympic break. The Storm are coming off an 86-62 loss to Phoenix. Breanna Stewart had 14 points and nine rebounds, and Jewell Loyd and Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis had 11 points apiece for Seattle.

Chicago has won three in a row and seven of nine since the Olympic break. The Sky are coming off a 92-68 victory over the New York Liberty. Both teams sat key starters, including Delle Donne and Tina Charles. Tamera Young had 22 points and nine rebounds for Chicago. Allie Quigley came off the bench to score 18 points.

Delle Donne, who is second in the WNBA in scoring at 21.5 points per game, underwent surgery on her injured right thumb on Tuesday. The team has provided no timetable for the return of the reigning WNBA MVP, but Delle Donne tweeted that she will "be back on the court in no time."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Wings (11-22) at Fever (16-17)

Date: September 18, 2016 4:00 PM EDT

Dallas will play its final regular season game on Sunday when it hosts Indiana, which will use the game against the Wings as a tune-up for the postseason.

But something bigger than a game will be taking place at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis as future Hall-of-Famer Tamika Catchings of the Fever will be playing her final regular season game.

A native of Duncanville, Texas, Catchings goes up against the Dallas, which is a 20-minute car ride up I-35.

Catchings' accomplishments are numerous -- she has earned five Defensive Player of the Year awards, was the 2011 MVP, a 2012 champion and the Most Valuable Player of the Finals. But her most important accomplishment has been the impact she has left on the game, on and off the court.

In 2015, she was the first winner of the ESPN Sports Humanitarian of the Year award.

While emotions are certain to be high, there's still a game to be played. The Fever (16-17) have split their past five games and hope to build some consistency heading into the postseason.

The Wings (11-22) had a two-game winning streak snapped in a blowout loss to Connecticut on Friday.

Theresa Plaisance made her second start and led Dallas with 22 points. Karima Christmas and Skylar Diggins each added 12 points for the Wings.

The Fever were still fighting for the fourth seed and a first-round bye in the playoffs when they lost to the Minnesota Lynx on Friday.

Catchings passed Lisa Leslie to become the all-time leader in rebounds with 3,308 in the loss.

Marissa Coleman had 19 points, including four 3-pointers, to lead the Fever, who can finish no worse than the sixth seed.

Catchings has started every game for the Fever this season and is averaging 12.6 points and 4.7 rebounds to lead the team. Catchings has a solid supporting cast led by Shenise Johnson and Briann January average 9.8 points per game, each.

Odyssey Sims is averaging 14.2 points and 3.8 assists for the Wings. Christmas adds in 12.5 points and 5.9 rebounds per game.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Sun (13-20) at Mystics (13-20)

Date: September 18, 2016 4:00 PM EDT

When Washington and Connecticut look back at the 2016 season, what they will see are two teams that are more similar than different.

Both have 13-20 records. Washington is 5-11 at home while Connecticut is 5-11 on the road. The Mystics are 8-9 on the road while the Sun are 8-9 at home.

But the main similarity is that both are on the outside, looking in as the regular season concludes for the two at Washington on Sunday.

The Mystics and Sun will look back at this season and see a pair of losing streaks that doomed their chances.

Losing the first three games of the season set the tone for the Mystics.

Washington bounced back and was 9-8 entering play in July. Then came a seven-game losing skid and the Summer Olympics break, and the Mystics' hopes had long since faded.

Hopes were sky-high for the Sun after they won all three preseason games. But those hopes came crashing won when they promptly opened the season by losing seven of their first eight games.

Connecticut never did find a rhythm until right before the Olympics break. The Sun played better and had a three-game win streak that provided a bit of false hope.

On Sunday, players can make a statement with only their pride on the line.

Alex Bentley leads the Sun in scoring at 13.0 points per game, but she has struggled a bit of late. Chiney Ogwumike has been a constant. She is coming off a double-double -- 13 points and 13 rebounds-- in a 33-point win over the Dallas Wings on Friday. For the season, Ogwumike has pumped in 12.7 points per game and grabbed a team-high 6.6 rebounds per game.

Looking to next season, the Sun will have Morgan Tuck back. Tuck, the third overall pick in the 2016 draft, played in 26 games before suffering a season-ending knee injury. She finished the season averaging 7.0 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game.

The silver lining for the Mystics this season has been the play of center Emma Meesseman. Second on the team in scoring at 15.2 points per game, the fourth-year pro has developed into the league's top 3-point threat.

She leads the league at 45.5 percent from beyond the arc and overall she connects on 53 percent from the field, which ranks her just outside the top 10.

Between Meesseman and Tayler Hill, who leads the team at 15.6 points per game, the Sun have a solid one-two punch on offense.

The Mystics beat the Sun on May 21, 84-76. Hill made 10of 11 free throws and scored 24 in that game.

On June 14, the Mystics won an epic three-overtime game, 109-106. Meesseman led the way with 23 in the victory.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA*|*CHICAGO*at*SEATTLE
Play On - Home teams (SEATTLE) off a road loss by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games
67-31*since 1997.**(*68.4%*|*32.9 units*)
0-1*this year.**(*0.0%*|*-1.1 units*)

WNBA*|*CONNECTICUT*at*WASHINGTON
Play On - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CONNECTICUT) off an home win scoring 85 or more points, on Sunday games
29-10*since 1997.**(*74.4%*|*0.0 units*)
4-1*this year.**(*80.0%*|*0.0 units*)

WNBA*|*DALLAS*at*INDIANA
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (DALLAS) poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=44% on the season, after a game - shooting 37% or lower, allowing 48% or higher
44-17*since 1997.**(*72.1%*|*25.3 units*)
1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.1 units*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 13
By David Schwab

It has been a tough go of things betting home favorites in the CFL this season with a 34.4 winning percentage, but British Columbia was able to buck that trend to get Week 12 started with a 38-27 victory against Montreal on Friday night as a nine-point favorite at home.

The road team covered in the next two games when Saskatchewan lost to Winnipeg 17-10 as an eight point underdog and Calgary pulled off the home-and-home sweep over Edmonton with a 34-28 victory as a 2 ½-point favorite.

The week’s action closed things out on Sunday with Toronto stunning Hamilton 33-21 as a 6 ½-point home underdog to climb right back into the East Division title race.

Here is a look at all four CFL matchups in Week 13.

Sunday, Sept. 18

Edmonton Eskimos (5-6 SU, 3-7-1) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-10 SU, 5-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -4 ½
Total: 55 ½

Game Overview

The defending champs have once again fallen below .500 with last week’s loss and the Eskimos have now failed to cover in their last three games. The total went OVER 55 in the Week 12 loss to Calgary and it has gone OVER in Edmonton’s last four contests. This team continues to find the end zone at a clip of 29.5 points a game, but the Eskimos’ defense has been torched all season long with a matching points-allowed average of 29.6.

The Roughriders would probably opt to call it quits right now if given the chance, but they have been a decent betting team lately with three covers in a row. The one bright spot has been the play of veteran quarterback Darian Durant in one losing cause after another. Last week against Calgary, he completed 64 percent of his passes for 283 yards and a touchdown. On the year, he is fifth in the CFL in total passing yards with 2,476.

Betting Trends

This will be the third meeting this season in this bitter West Division rivalry. Edmonton has won the first two games SU, but the Roughriders have been able to cover as heavy road underdogs each time. Going back over the past 10 meetings, the Eskimos have an 8-2 edge SU with a 7-3 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in the last three games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview Edmonton Eskimos at Saskatchewan Roughriders
Sunday, September 18, 2016 4:30 PM

CFL Free Pick -Edmonton Eskimos v Saskatchewan Rough Riders

We will study past meetings in the Eskimos vs Rough Riders showdown, including the trends, pointspread, moneyline and over/under numbers from top online sportsbooks. We will examine where the line opened, where the line is now and where it might go by game time. We will look at who is betting on the Edmonton Eskimos and why. Who is betting on the Saskatchewan Rough Riders and why. Who is the public betting on this game? Which side of the total is getting the most action? We will look at which of the world's best handicappers are betting the game and why? We'll look at the top CFL handicapper in the world right now and find out what bets, if any, they have on the game. Most important, we'll give you the winning free picks on the side, total and moneyline in this game. Lots to look at. So let's get busy!

Chris Jones leads the Eskimos of Edmonton (6-6) into Saskatchewan to take on the Rough Riders (1-11) .
Edmonton Eskimos vs Saskatchewan Rough Riders Series Betting Trends

The Edmonton Eskimos travel to Saskatchewan to play the Rough Riders at 4:30 PM on Sunday, September 18, 2016. Saskatchewan is the underdog in this matchup, getting 5.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 54.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any CFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Eskimos/Rough Riders Series

Date Away Score Home Score Line Total

August 26, 2016 Saskatchewan 25 Edmonton 33 -13.5 56.0
July 8, 2016 Saskatchewan 36 Edmonton 39 -9.5 54.0
June 18, 2016 Saskatchewan 11 Edmonton 25
October 24, 2015 Edmonton 35 Saskatchewan 24 9.0 48.0
July 31, 2015 Saskatchewan 5 Edmonton 30
*All Lines shown are Home Lines

When looking at the last 73 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 51 games compared to 22 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Edmonton/Saskatchewan series is 27.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 20.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 7.2 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 73 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 7.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 12.7 when meassured against the offered line of 5.5, suggesting a wager on Saskatchewan makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 73 games between the Eskimos and the Rough Riders is 48.2 per game. That creates a differential of 6.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 54.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Edmonton as the road team and with Saskatchewan as the home team.

Recent Results when Edmonton visits Saskatchewan

Date Away Score Home Score Line Total

October 24, 2015 Edmonton 35 Saskatchewan 24 9.0 48.0
November 8, 2014 Edmonton 17 Saskatchewan 24 -1.5 45.5
October 19, 2014 Edmonton 24 Saskatchewan 19 4.5 48.5
November 2, 2013 Edmonton 30 Saskatchewan 26 -4.0 51.5
October 12, 2013 Edmonton 9 Saskatchewan 14 -9.5 54.5

When looking at the last 32 games in this series while Saskatchewan has been the home team, we can see the Rough Riders have won 19 games compared to 13 wins for the Eskimos. Average points scored per game by Saskatchewan in this situation is is 27.7 ppg while Edmonton has put up 21.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5.9 favoring the Rough Riders.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5.9 ppg. That represents a value number of 11.4 when meassured against the offered line of 5.5, suggesting a wager on the Rough Riders makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 32 games between the Eskimos and the Rough Riders is 49.5 per game. That creates a differential of 5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 54.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Can the Edmonton Eskimos Cover the Spread?

This season the Edmonton Eskimos have played 12 games, averaging 29.1 points per game, while allowing 28.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-6. Let's have a closer look at recent Edmonton Eskimos results.

Recent Edmonton Eskimos Results
Date Away Score Home Score Line Total

September 10, 2016 Calgary 34 Edmonton 28 2.5 54.0
September 5, 2016 Edmonton 24 Calgary 45 -7.0 54.0
August 26, 2016 Saskatchewan 25 Edmonton 33 -13.5 56.0
August 20, 2016 Edmonton 46 Toronto 23 3.0 52.5
August 11, 2016 Montreal 12 Edmonton 23 -7.0 51.5

This season the Edmonton Eskimos have played 4 games on the road, averaging 27.5 points per game, while allowing 26.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Edmonton Eskimos results on the road.

Recent Edmonton Eskimos Road Results
Date Away Score Home Score Line Total

September 5, 2016 Edmonton 24 Calgary 45 -7.0 54.0
August 20, 2016 Edmonton 46 Toronto 23 3.0 52.5
August 6, 2016 Edmonton 20 Ottawa 23 -3.5 58.0
July 14, 2016 Edmonton 20 Winnipeg 16 3.5 55.5
October 24, 2015 Edmonton 35 Saskatchewan 24 9.0 48.0

Can the Saskatchewan Rough Riders Cover the Spread?

This season the Saskatchewan Rough Riders have played 12 games, averaging 18.0 points per game, while allowing 32.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-6. Let's have a closer look at recent Saskatchewan Rough Riders results.

Recent Saskatchewan Rough Riders Results
Date Away Score Home Score Line Total

September 10, 2016 Saskatchewan 10 Winnipeg 17 -8.0 52.0
September 4, 2016 Winnipeg 28 Saskatchewan 25 4.5 51.0
August 26, 2016 Saskatchewan 25 Edmonton 33 -13.5 56.0
August 20, 2016 Saskatchewan 7 Hamilton 53 -10.0 54.0
August 13, 2016 Calgary 19 Saskatchewan 10 6.0 55.0

This season the Saskatchewan Rough Riders have played 5 games here at home, averaging 21.8 points per game, while allowing 29.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Saskatchewan Rough Riders results when playing at home.

Recent Saskatchewan Rough Riders Home Results
Date Away Score Home Score Line Total

September 4, 2016 Winnipeg 28 Saskatchewan 25 4.5 51.0
August 13, 2016 Calgary 19 Saskatchewan 10 6.0 55.0
July 22, 2016 Ottawa 29 Saskatchewan 30 6.0 54.0
July 16, 2016 BC 40 Saskatchewan 27 -1.5 49.5
June 30, 2016 Toronto 30 Saskatchewan 17 -3.5 51.5

Predicted Final Score: Edmonton Eskimos 29 - Saskatchewan Rough Riders 25

Point Spread Spread bettors will find value betting the Saskatchewan Rough Riders (+5.5 /-106 ) against the spread.

Total Go UNDER the posted Total of 54.5

Money lineFor those so inclined, take the Edmonton Eskimos ( -223 ) to win the game straight up on the money line.