You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
Sunday 9/17/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
- Thread starter Pesos
- Start date
NFL opening line report: NFC Championship rematch highlights Week 2
Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5)
Kansas City is arguably the biggest surprise team to emerge from Week 1, even though Andy Reid’s squad went 12-4 SU and was in the playoffs last year. The Chiefs traveled to New England for the Thursday nighter, hung tough with the Patriots through three quarters, then scored the last 21 points of the game in a 42-27 victory as a healthy 8-point underdog.
Philadelphia also started on the right foot on the road, dropping Washington 30-17 as a 2-point favorite Sunday. In the second half, the Eagles allowed only a field goal late in the third quarter.
“Bettors didn’t really like K.C. in the season opener, so we’ll see if they continue to pile on Philly like they did in Week 1,” Cooley said. “However, early sharp action has come in on the Chiefs. Both teams greatly exceeded expectations, so this opening number was dead for a reason.”
That early sharp action pushed the Chiefs to -5.
New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints (no line)
Perhaps New England is the biggest surprise team of Week 1, getting pantsed in the fourth quarter on its home field. The Patriots, coming off the greatest comeback in Super Bowl history as they beat Atlanta, fell flat late in a 42-27 loss to Kansas City as an 8-point home favorite.
Meanwhile, New Orleans is among the four teams who have some Monday night work to do in Week 1 at Minnesota, before beginning prep for Week 2. The Saints, for years a perennial NFC contender, haven’t made the playoffs the last three years.
“We’ll wait to post a line for this game until the Saints complete their Monday nighter,” Cooley said. “If everything goes accordingly, the Pats will likely surface as 4- to 5-point road chalk. You know they’ll be chomping at the bit to erase that ugly opener, and the public won’t hesitate to lay an awkward digit.”
Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos (no line)
Dallas didn’t light it up on offense, but had more than enough thanks to a stout defensive performance in the Sunday night game. The Cowboys gave up only a field goal to the NFC East rival New York Giants en route to a 19-3 home win laying 6 points.
Like New Orleans, Denver gets underway tonight, at home against the Los Angeles Chargers. The Broncos sent Peyton Manning into the sunset with a Super Bowl victory after the 2015 season, but last year went 9-7 SU and ATS, missing the playoffs.
With Dallas going late Sunday and Denver playing tonight, Bookmaker.eu is holding off on the opening line.
“We’ll likely open the road team as a 1-point favorite,” Cooley said. “There are certainly a lot of questions surrounding Denver, and hopefully some of those will be answered for everyone Monday night.”
Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons (-3)
It’s a rematch of last season’s NFC Championship Game, though not in the same venue, as Atlanta moves into its new digs at Mercedes-Benz Stadium under the Sunday night lights. The Falcons opened the season on the road, fending off Chicago 23-17 as a 6.5-point fave.
Green Bay, which lost that NFC title tilt 44-21 catching 6.5 points, got this season off to a solid start with a 17-9 victory over Seattle giving 2.5 points at home.
“A big early showdown in Hotlanta that should yield a huge ‘Sunday Night Football’ handle,” Cooley said. “Our power ratings have these two teams on a pretty even playing field, so we basically accounted for the home-field advantage. We’re expecting Packers money through and through.”
Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5)
Kansas City is arguably the biggest surprise team to emerge from Week 1, even though Andy Reid’s squad went 12-4 SU and was in the playoffs last year. The Chiefs traveled to New England for the Thursday nighter, hung tough with the Patriots through three quarters, then scored the last 21 points of the game in a 42-27 victory as a healthy 8-point underdog.
Philadelphia also started on the right foot on the road, dropping Washington 30-17 as a 2-point favorite Sunday. In the second half, the Eagles allowed only a field goal late in the third quarter.
“Bettors didn’t really like K.C. in the season opener, so we’ll see if they continue to pile on Philly like they did in Week 1,” Cooley said. “However, early sharp action has come in on the Chiefs. Both teams greatly exceeded expectations, so this opening number was dead for a reason.”
That early sharp action pushed the Chiefs to -5.
New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints (no line)
Perhaps New England is the biggest surprise team of Week 1, getting pantsed in the fourth quarter on its home field. The Patriots, coming off the greatest comeback in Super Bowl history as they beat Atlanta, fell flat late in a 42-27 loss to Kansas City as an 8-point home favorite.
Meanwhile, New Orleans is among the four teams who have some Monday night work to do in Week 1 at Minnesota, before beginning prep for Week 2. The Saints, for years a perennial NFC contender, haven’t made the playoffs the last three years.
“We’ll wait to post a line for this game until the Saints complete their Monday nighter,” Cooley said. “If everything goes accordingly, the Pats will likely surface as 4- to 5-point road chalk. You know they’ll be chomping at the bit to erase that ugly opener, and the public won’t hesitate to lay an awkward digit.”
Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos (no line)
Dallas didn’t light it up on offense, but had more than enough thanks to a stout defensive performance in the Sunday night game. The Cowboys gave up only a field goal to the NFC East rival New York Giants en route to a 19-3 home win laying 6 points.
Like New Orleans, Denver gets underway tonight, at home against the Los Angeles Chargers. The Broncos sent Peyton Manning into the sunset with a Super Bowl victory after the 2015 season, but last year went 9-7 SU and ATS, missing the playoffs.
With Dallas going late Sunday and Denver playing tonight, Bookmaker.eu is holding off on the opening line.
“We’ll likely open the road team as a 1-point favorite,” Cooley said. “There are certainly a lot of questions surrounding Denver, and hopefully some of those will be answered for everyone Monday night.”
Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons (-3)
It’s a rematch of last season’s NFC Championship Game, though not in the same venue, as Atlanta moves into its new digs at Mercedes-Benz Stadium under the Sunday night lights. The Falcons opened the season on the road, fending off Chicago 23-17 as a 6.5-point fave.
Green Bay, which lost that NFC title tilt 44-21 catching 6.5 points, got this season off to a solid start with a 17-9 victory over Seattle giving 2.5 points at home.
“A big early showdown in Hotlanta that should yield a huge ‘Sunday Night Football’ handle,” Cooley said. “Our power ratings have these two teams on a pretty even playing field, so we basically accounted for the home-field advantage. We’re expecting Packers money through and through.”
Will lowest scoring NFL Week 1 in years lead to more Unders in Week 2?
The Houston Texans allowed 10 sacks and turned the ball over four times against the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday.
The NFL is back with Week 1 in the books and thank goodness it’s behind us. Outside of a few games, Week 1 was a painful watch. Few games were competitive in the fourth quarter and many offenses looked uglier than Jason Whitlock’s fedora collection.
Low scoring is the story of the weekend with the Houston Texans, San Francisco 49ers, Cincinnati Bengals, Seattle Seahawks, New York Giants and the Indianapolis Colts all failing to put double digits on the scoreboard.
Last season, the St. Louis Rams – a squad with a historically horrendous offense – averaged a league-worst 262 yards per game. Eight teams tallied fewer than 250 yards of total offense in Week 1.
It’s no surprise that the Under was the best betting trend of the first weekend of the NFL season. The Under went 2-10 on Sunday and finished 5-10 for the week. The average points scored per game is 40.4 after the first 15 contests. The average points scored per game in Week 1 last season was about 4.5 points higher at 44.8.
The data tells us oddsmakers were hitting it out of the park with their Over/Under lines in Week 1 from 2013 to 2016. The differential between the average total and the average game score was less than a point in each year and the Over/Under record was never more than a game off an 8-8 mark.
We can also see that scoring in Week 1 is on a three-year decline and there’s a gulf of 8.5 points between the high year of the sample in 2012 when the average points scored per game was 49.4 and this season.
Bettors will be asking themselves if the low scoring will continue into Week 2. Oddsmakers adjusted to the Week 1 results by setting the lowest average game totals in Week 2 since 2011.
Despite Vegas’ re-calibration, sharp bettors still think there are opportunities moving forward betting the Under on the league’s worst offenses.
Ted Sevransky says he has concerns about the offensive production from the six teams held under 10 points in the first week.
“All six teams had significant offensive line concerns coming into the season, and all six of them failed their first test pretty badly,” Sevransky says. “I have already bet Unders on several of their matchups this week [Week 2] and may still bet more.”
Let’s review each of these offensively-challenged sides and where they play in Week 2.
Cincinnati Bengals
Quarterback Andy Dalton turned the ball over five times in what, very well, could have been his worst career outing as a pro player. The Bengals put up a goose egg on the scoreboard marking the first time they’ve been shut out since Week 7 in 2014.
After the game Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis said, “I don’t know if I’ve ever been in such a disappointing football game.”
Dating back to last year, the Under is now 8-1 in Cincy’s last nine regular season games. The Bengals have had a middle of the pack offense for the last three years. It’s safe to assume they’ll finish with around the 15th best offense again this season.
The lowest total (38.5) on the board is Thursday night’s game between the Texans and Bengals.
Houston Texans
Houston allowed 10 sacks and turned the ball over four times against Jacksonville on Sunday. Texans coach Bill O’Brien benched his starting quarterback after the first two quarters of the season.
We don’t know yet if the Texans will stick with rookie DeShaun Watson under center or if they’ll go back to Tom Savage on Thursday against Cincinnati.
The offensive line is a major concern and it sure would help if the team could come to terms with their best lineman. Left tackle Duane Brown, a three-time Pro Bowler, is still holding out for a new contract.
Five of the Jags’ 10 sacks on Sunday came when they rushed just four defenders.
Indianapolis Colts
Quarterback Andrew Luck is ruled out against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 2 which means bettors are likely to see another week with Scott Tolzien under center for the Colts. Without Luck, there’s a good argument to be made that Indy is the least talented team in the league.
The total for the Cards-Colts game opened at 44.5.
New York Giants
The G-Men are another case of a club that was missing its best player in Week 1. Receiver Odell Beckham Jr. didn’t play because of an ankle sprain, although the Giants lack of scoring punch isn’t a one-game problem.
New York hasn’t scored more than 20 points in a game since Week 12 of last season and that game was against the Cleveland Browns. The Under is now 8-1 in the Giants’ last nine regular season games.
The line on this game has yet to be released as oddsmakers wait to hear on the availability of Beckham Jr.
Seattle Seahawks
The offensive line continues to be a problem for the Seahawks. Their starting left tackle went on the IR in preseason and there was no real effort made at replacing him besides looking at their own depth chart.
Seattle’s offense used to be run-orientated but last year the club finished 25th in rushing yards per game. There’s still a lot of talent on the offensive side of the ball and Green Bay’s defense may prove to be an above average unit as the season progresses.
Seattle hosts its division rival San Fran on Sunday and the total is set at 43.5.
San Francisco 49ers
Speaking of those Niners – they’re coming off a game which they failed to find the end zone once. The Niners abandoned the run game after the Panthers scored on their first possession in the second half to make it 20-0.
A 70-30 pass/run ratio isn’t going to lead to many wins or scores for the 49ers considering Brian Hoyer is their starting quarterback and Pierre Garcon projects to be their best receiver.
The Houston Texans allowed 10 sacks and turned the ball over four times against the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday.
The NFL is back with Week 1 in the books and thank goodness it’s behind us. Outside of a few games, Week 1 was a painful watch. Few games were competitive in the fourth quarter and many offenses looked uglier than Jason Whitlock’s fedora collection.
Low scoring is the story of the weekend with the Houston Texans, San Francisco 49ers, Cincinnati Bengals, Seattle Seahawks, New York Giants and the Indianapolis Colts all failing to put double digits on the scoreboard.
Last season, the St. Louis Rams – a squad with a historically horrendous offense – averaged a league-worst 262 yards per game. Eight teams tallied fewer than 250 yards of total offense in Week 1.
It’s no surprise that the Under was the best betting trend of the first weekend of the NFL season. The Under went 2-10 on Sunday and finished 5-10 for the week. The average points scored per game is 40.4 after the first 15 contests. The average points scored per game in Week 1 last season was about 4.5 points higher at 44.8.
The data tells us oddsmakers were hitting it out of the park with their Over/Under lines in Week 1 from 2013 to 2016. The differential between the average total and the average game score was less than a point in each year and the Over/Under record was never more than a game off an 8-8 mark.
We can also see that scoring in Week 1 is on a three-year decline and there’s a gulf of 8.5 points between the high year of the sample in 2012 when the average points scored per game was 49.4 and this season.
Bettors will be asking themselves if the low scoring will continue into Week 2. Oddsmakers adjusted to the Week 1 results by setting the lowest average game totals in Week 2 since 2011.
Despite Vegas’ re-calibration, sharp bettors still think there are opportunities moving forward betting the Under on the league’s worst offenses.
Ted Sevransky says he has concerns about the offensive production from the six teams held under 10 points in the first week.
“All six teams had significant offensive line concerns coming into the season, and all six of them failed their first test pretty badly,” Sevransky says. “I have already bet Unders on several of their matchups this week [Week 2] and may still bet more.”
Let’s review each of these offensively-challenged sides and where they play in Week 2.
Cincinnati Bengals
Quarterback Andy Dalton turned the ball over five times in what, very well, could have been his worst career outing as a pro player. The Bengals put up a goose egg on the scoreboard marking the first time they’ve been shut out since Week 7 in 2014.
After the game Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis said, “I don’t know if I’ve ever been in such a disappointing football game.”
Dating back to last year, the Under is now 8-1 in Cincy’s last nine regular season games. The Bengals have had a middle of the pack offense for the last three years. It’s safe to assume they’ll finish with around the 15th best offense again this season.
The lowest total (38.5) on the board is Thursday night’s game between the Texans and Bengals.
Houston Texans
Houston allowed 10 sacks and turned the ball over four times against Jacksonville on Sunday. Texans coach Bill O’Brien benched his starting quarterback after the first two quarters of the season.
We don’t know yet if the Texans will stick with rookie DeShaun Watson under center or if they’ll go back to Tom Savage on Thursday against Cincinnati.
The offensive line is a major concern and it sure would help if the team could come to terms with their best lineman. Left tackle Duane Brown, a three-time Pro Bowler, is still holding out for a new contract.
Five of the Jags’ 10 sacks on Sunday came when they rushed just four defenders.
Indianapolis Colts
Quarterback Andrew Luck is ruled out against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 2 which means bettors are likely to see another week with Scott Tolzien under center for the Colts. Without Luck, there’s a good argument to be made that Indy is the least talented team in the league.
The total for the Cards-Colts game opened at 44.5.
New York Giants
The G-Men are another case of a club that was missing its best player in Week 1. Receiver Odell Beckham Jr. didn’t play because of an ankle sprain, although the Giants lack of scoring punch isn’t a one-game problem.
New York hasn’t scored more than 20 points in a game since Week 12 of last season and that game was against the Cleveland Browns. The Under is now 8-1 in the Giants’ last nine regular season games.
The line on this game has yet to be released as oddsmakers wait to hear on the availability of Beckham Jr.
Seattle Seahawks
The offensive line continues to be a problem for the Seahawks. Their starting left tackle went on the IR in preseason and there was no real effort made at replacing him besides looking at their own depth chart.
Seattle’s offense used to be run-orientated but last year the club finished 25th in rushing yards per game. There’s still a lot of talent on the offensive side of the ball and Green Bay’s defense may prove to be an above average unit as the season progresses.
Seattle hosts its division rival San Fran on Sunday and the total is set at 43.5.
San Francisco 49ers
Speaking of those Niners – they’re coming off a game which they failed to find the end zone once. The Niners abandoned the run game after the Panthers scored on their first possession in the second half to make it 20-0.
A 70-30 pass/run ratio isn’t going to lead to many wins or scores for the 49ers considering Brian Hoyer is their starting quarterback and Pierre Garcon projects to be their best receiver.
NFL Trend Report:
TENNESSEE (0 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 2-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
CLEVELAND (0 - 1) at BALTIMORE (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
BUFFALO (1 - 0) at CAROLINA (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
_____________________________________________________________________
NEW ENGLAND (0 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (0 - 1) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 108-77 ATS (+23.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
_____________________________________________________________________
ARIZONA (0 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 1) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
_____________________________________________________________________
PHILADELPHIA (1 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
_____________________________________________________________________
MINNESOTA (1 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 100-71 ATS (+21.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 88-62 ATS (+19.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
_____________________________________________________________________
CHICAGO (0 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (0-0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 46-71 ATS (-32.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
MIAMI (0-0) at LA CHARGERS (0 - 1) - 9/17/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
LA CHARGERS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
NY JETS (0 - 1) at OAKLAND (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 73-101 ATS (-38.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 73-101 ATS (-38.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OAKLAND is 73-101 ATS (-38.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
WASHINGTON (0 - 1) at LA RAMS (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
LA RAMS is 176-224 ATS (-70.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 176-224 ATS (-70.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 80-114 ATS (-45.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 126-176 ATS (-67.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 137-176 ATS (-56.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 58-90 ATS (-41.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
DALLAS (1 - 0) at DENVER (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
_____________________________________________________________________
SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 1) at SEATTLE (0 - 1) - 9/17/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
GREEN BAY (1 - 0) at ATLANTA (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 232-189 ATS (+24.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 232-189 ATS (+24.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE (0 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 2-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
CLEVELAND (0 - 1) at BALTIMORE (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
BUFFALO (1 - 0) at CAROLINA (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
_____________________________________________________________________
NEW ENGLAND (0 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (0 - 1) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 108-77 ATS (+23.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
_____________________________________________________________________
ARIZONA (0 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 1) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
_____________________________________________________________________
PHILADELPHIA (1 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
_____________________________________________________________________
MINNESOTA (1 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 100-71 ATS (+21.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 88-62 ATS (+19.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
_____________________________________________________________________
CHICAGO (0 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (0-0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 46-71 ATS (-32.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
MIAMI (0-0) at LA CHARGERS (0 - 1) - 9/17/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
LA CHARGERS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
NY JETS (0 - 1) at OAKLAND (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 73-101 ATS (-38.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 73-101 ATS (-38.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OAKLAND is 73-101 ATS (-38.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
WASHINGTON (0 - 1) at LA RAMS (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
LA RAMS is 176-224 ATS (-70.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 176-224 ATS (-70.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 80-114 ATS (-45.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 126-176 ATS (-67.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 137-176 ATS (-56.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 58-90 ATS (-41.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
DALLAS (1 - 0) at DENVER (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
_____________________________________________________________________
SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 1) at SEATTLE (0 - 1) - 9/17/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
GREEN BAY (1 - 0) at ATLANTA (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 232-189 ATS (+24.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 232-189 ATS (+24.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
2:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games at home
Kansas City is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
2:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. TAMPA BAY
Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
2:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
2:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Pittsburgh is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
2:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. JACKSONVILLE
Tennessee is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
2:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
2:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Baltimore is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
2:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. CAROLINA
Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games at home
5:05 PM
MIAMI vs. LOS ANGELES
Miami is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
5:05 PM
NY JETS vs. OAKLAND
NY Jets are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
Oakland is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
5:25 PM
DALLAS vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Dallas
5:25 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
5:25 PM
WASHINGTON vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 11 games when playing Washington
Los Angeles is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
9:30 PM
GREEN BAY vs. ATLANTA
Green Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Green Bay is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
PHILADELPHIA vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games at home
Kansas City is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
2:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. TAMPA BAY
Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
2:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
2:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Pittsburgh is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
2:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. JACKSONVILLE
Tennessee is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
2:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
2:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Baltimore is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
2:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. CAROLINA
Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games at home
5:05 PM
MIAMI vs. LOS ANGELES
Miami is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
5:05 PM
NY JETS vs. OAKLAND
NY Jets are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
Oakland is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
5:25 PM
DALLAS vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Dallas
5:25 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
5:25 PM
WASHINGTON vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 11 games when playing Washington
Los Angeles is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
9:30 PM
GREEN BAY vs. ATLANTA
Green Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Green Bay is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
NFL Week 2 lines that make you go hmmm...
Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7, 43)
Chicago visits Tampa Bay and I agree with the knee-jerk reaction of the early money on Tampa Bay.
This opened at -6.5 and by Tuesday was a universal -7. The advantage for chalk players in this game is that it will take a monumental amount of money to get off the key -7, so there’s no need to rush in on this game early in the week.
A huge advantage for Tampa Bay in having their opener canceled is that the Buccaneers don’t have any tape to give to the Bears to dissect. Tampa Bay torched this team last year in Florida and the circumstances seem right for the results to mirror that game. You always like to be on the side of the team that has the incentive and energy, and with this game being possibly the first major event since the horrific weather in the south, the unity of the team and its fans may peak perfectly for the home town Bucs. Emotion is a big factor for almost anything in life.
At -7, you might think the wise guys take the dog. I say let them. This line won’t get any higher. It’s the typical game that will be teased down to PK for most parlay players. Call this a gut feeling, but this game gets out of hand for Chicago and the white towel is raised early.
Minnesota Vikings at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5, 45)
Minnesota is at Pittsburgh in a game that’s been slow to be exposed by Bookmakers early in the week.
In a curious sequence of events, Pinnacle sported a -4 on the home favorites and within a minute, took down the game and reposted at -7. My feeling was that the original -4 was good. Those Bookmakers who like to copy the line and hang whatever is out there, posted -7’s and have already been hit on the dog and are resting at –6.5.
At this point, I definitely see more money being drawn to the underdog after a solid performance by the Vikings in Week 1. I know the public has a short memory, me being in that group as well, but seeing the Steelers struggle with the Browns and Minnesota’s sharp play, I have to think this line will be closer to the original -4 than -7 by kickoff.
So, with that being said, the value on Minnesota is to grab the line early in the week. If you like the Steelers, you might just want to come back on the weekend and see where the line sits and benefit from the over-reactionaries. My feeling is that this game is way closer than the spread indicates.
Pinnacle will realize that their first opinion was their best in this game. They, like the rest of the sportsbooks, will probably need Pittsburgh by the time this game closes.
Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7, 43)
Chicago visits Tampa Bay and I agree with the knee-jerk reaction of the early money on Tampa Bay.
This opened at -6.5 and by Tuesday was a universal -7. The advantage for chalk players in this game is that it will take a monumental amount of money to get off the key -7, so there’s no need to rush in on this game early in the week.
A huge advantage for Tampa Bay in having their opener canceled is that the Buccaneers don’t have any tape to give to the Bears to dissect. Tampa Bay torched this team last year in Florida and the circumstances seem right for the results to mirror that game. You always like to be on the side of the team that has the incentive and energy, and with this game being possibly the first major event since the horrific weather in the south, the unity of the team and its fans may peak perfectly for the home town Bucs. Emotion is a big factor for almost anything in life.
At -7, you might think the wise guys take the dog. I say let them. This line won’t get any higher. It’s the typical game that will be teased down to PK for most parlay players. Call this a gut feeling, but this game gets out of hand for Chicago and the white towel is raised early.
Minnesota Vikings at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5, 45)
Minnesota is at Pittsburgh in a game that’s been slow to be exposed by Bookmakers early in the week.
In a curious sequence of events, Pinnacle sported a -4 on the home favorites and within a minute, took down the game and reposted at -7. My feeling was that the original -4 was good. Those Bookmakers who like to copy the line and hang whatever is out there, posted -7’s and have already been hit on the dog and are resting at –6.5.
At this point, I definitely see more money being drawn to the underdog after a solid performance by the Vikings in Week 1. I know the public has a short memory, me being in that group as well, but seeing the Steelers struggle with the Browns and Minnesota’s sharp play, I have to think this line will be closer to the original -4 than -7 by kickoff.
So, with that being said, the value on Minnesota is to grab the line early in the week. If you like the Steelers, you might just want to come back on the weekend and see where the line sits and benefit from the over-reactionaries. My feeling is that this game is way closer than the spread indicates.
Pinnacle will realize that their first opinion was their best in this game. They, like the rest of the sportsbooks, will probably need Pittsburgh by the time this game closes.
Titans (0-1) @ Jaguars (1-0)— Hurricane Irma disrupted life in Jacksonville this week. Home side won last six series games; teams have split series last 8 years. Titans lost last three visits here, by 8-6-21 points. Tennessee won its last four road openers SU, all as an underdog, allowing 12 pts/game- under is 16-3 in their last 19 AO’s. Home side won last six series games; Titans lost last three visits here, by 8-6-21 points. Average total in last three series games, 64.7. Jaguars lost last five home openers, losing 4 of 5 games by 11+ points. Under is 8-4-1 in their last 13 HO’s. Jax is 5-4 as a home underdog the last two years- since 2011, they’re 7-14 vs spread coming off a win. Last three years, Titans are 0-2-1 as a road favorite.
Browns (0-1) @ Ravens (1-0)— Since 2012, Baltimore is 13-18-1 as a home favorite; last there years, they’re 11-11 coming off a win. Ravens forced five turnovers (+4), allowed only 221 yards in 20-0 win at Cincy LW. Browns are 1-15 SU on road, 6-10 as road underdogs last two years; they lost home opener 21-18 to Pitt- they were 3-17 on 3rd down, had punt blocked for TD. Cleveland lost its last five road openers, is 1-10 in its last 11; over is 8-4 in their last 12 AO’s. Ravens are 10-2 in last 12 home openers; three of last four stayed under. Ravens won five of last six series games; Browns lost 8 of last 9 visits here. Baltimore swept series 25-20/28-7 LY. Over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. First road tilt for rookie QB Kiser, who was sacked 7 times by Steelers LW.
Bills (1-0) @ Panthers (1-0)— Buffalo ran ball for 190 yards in 21-12 win over Jets LW; they were 8-17 on 3rd down, had 8 plays of 20+ yards, TD drives of 77-64-80 yards. Bills are 9-6 vs spread in last 15 road openers, 3-5 SU in last eight. Over is 4-2 in their last six AO’s. Carolina won its opener easily at SF; red flag is their two TD drives were just 42-28 yards- they held 49ers to 217 yards, started three drives in SF territory. Panthers won four of last five home openers, covered five of last six; under is 3-1 in their last four. Buffalo is 5-1 in this seldom-played series, winning both visits here, 30-14/20-9. Carolina’s only series win was in 2005. Last three years, NFC South home teams are 17-25-2 vs spread as a non-divisional home favorite.
Patriots (0-1) @ Saints (0-1)— Last three times New England lost in Week 1, they won Super Bowl that year- they went 2-1 in Week 2 those years. Last four years, NE is 10-2 vs spread coming off a loss; they were 6-1 as a road favorite LY, after being 4-12 from 2013-15. Short week for Saints coming off 29-19 loss in Minnesota; NO drove to red zone five time in eight drives Monday, but had only one TD, kicked four goals- they miss WR Snead (suspended) in red zone. Patriots won five of last six road openers; they were underdog in last two. Patriots are 9-4 in series, winning four of five visits to Bourbon Street- they lost last visit here, 38-17 in 2009. Saints are 2-3 in last five home openers; under is 5-2 in last seven.
Cardinals (0-1) @ Colts (0-1)— Indy has severe QB issues until Luck returns; he is out here. They haven’t said if Tolzien/Brissett will start; to me, Brissett is better choice. Colts offense was outscored 16-9 by LA’s defense LW. Colts are 8-2 as home underdog under Pagano. Arizona is 10-5 as a road favorite under Arians; they turned ball over four times (-3) in Detroit LW, ran ball for only 45 yards, scored only 16 points in 4 red zone drives. Arians returns to Indy, where he was interim coach for Colts when Pagano was ill a few years back. Indy won four of last five series games, losing last matchup 40-11 in desert in ’13. Redbirds lost last three visits here; their last win in Indy was in 1984. Colts are 0-3 in last three home openers; over is 7-5 in their last 12— they lost last four Week 2 games.
Eagles (1-0) @ Chiefs (1-0)— Andy Reid hosts his old team here. Last 15 years, NFL teams coming off the Week 1 Thursday game are 17-13 vs spread in Week 2; Chiefs rang up 537 yards on Patriots in Foxboro; five of their six TD drives were 75+ yards. KC is 6-10 as a home favorite the last two years; they lost S Berry for year (achilles) in Foxboro. Eagles are 11-10 as road dogs the last four years; they’re 10-2 vs spread vs AFC teams, 14-20 coming off a win. Wentz is 2-7 as a road starter; their road drives last week were 56-39 yards. Philly is 4-3 in series where road team won five of seven games- they’re 3-1 in four visits to Arrowhead. Chiefs are 3-6 in last nine HO’s (over 4-2 in last six)- last six years, they’re 1-5 in Week 2.
Vikings (1-0) @ Steelers (1-0)— Short week off a win for Viking squad that gained 470 yards with no turnovers in 29-19 home win Monday nite; they had 10 plays of 20+ yards. Under Zimmer, they’re 15-6 vs spread coming off a win, 11-6 as road dogs. Last five years, Steelers are 19-12 as home faves, 28-17-1 coming off a win- they had 7 sacks LW. Pitt won three of last four series games; Vikings won last meeting 34-27 in London 4 years ago. Vikes lost last two visits here, 21-16/27-17. Minnesota is 4-9 in last 13 road openers; under is 5-2 in last seven. Steelers are 13-1 in last 14 home openers, 9-3 vs spread in last 12— under is 6-2 in their last eight. Big Ben was 11-11/182 targeting Brown LW; he was 12-25/73 with all his other passes. Vikings will try and take Brown away.
Bears (0-1) @ Buccaneers (0-0)— Hurricane Irma disrupted things in Bay Area, but game will go on as scheduled. Bucs didn’t play LW; they’re 2-8 vs spread as a home favorite last three years, 1-2 under Koetter. Chicago is 7-7-1 as a road underdog under Fox; they’re 9-11-1 coming off a loss. Bears had chance to win opener- they had ball on 10-yard line down 23-17 in last 30 seconds. Tampa Bay (+2.5) waxed the Bears 36-10 here LY, ending 3-game skid vs Chicago. Teams split last six series games played here. Chicago is 2-4 in last six road openers; under is 11-2 in their last 13. Tampa Bay is 3-8 in last 11 openers; they lost last four home openers, and were favored in last three. Under is 8-4-1 in their last 13 HO’s.
Dolphins (0-0) @ Chargers (0-1)— Dolphins practiced in Oxnard all week after re-gathering after their makeshift bye week; Fish are 3-1 in last four season openers. Miami is 15-17 SU on road last four years, 7-10 as road underdog since ’14. Short week for Chargers after their late rally in Denver fell just short Monday nite. LA ran ball for just 64 yards; 2 of their 3 TD drives started in Denver territory. Home opener for Bolts in their new, smaller temporary home venue. Miami won three of last four series games; they lost three of last four visits to San Diego. Home side won six of last seven series games. Miami is 3-9 in last 12 road openers; under is 13-2 in their last 15. Bolts are 6-1 in last seven HO’s, covering last five, but this is a new home for them.
Jets (0-1) @ Raiders (1-0)— Jets are 2-5-2 as road underdogs under Bowles; they ran ball for only 38 yards, were outgained 408-214 LW in 21-12 loss at Buffalo. Last 2+ years, Gang Green is 12-16 vs spread coming off a loss. Raiders gained 359 yards, didn’t turn ball over in 26-16 win at Tennessee LW. Oakland is 4-5 as home favorite under Del Rio- this is first time since ‘03 they’ve been a double digit favorite. Home side won last four series games; Jets lost last three visits to Oakland, by 3-10-14 points. Jets’ last win in Oakland was in ’03. Raiders won last two home openers; they’re 7-2-1 vs spread in last ten. Over is 12-5-1 in their last 18 HO’s. Since 2010, Jets are 3-1-1 against the spread as a double digit underdog.
Redskins (0-1) @ Rams (1-0)— Sean McVay worked for Washington the last six years, so lot of familiarity here. Redskins allowed 298 PY to Eagles LW, were outgained 356-264 as Philly was 8-14 on 3rd down. Skins are 11-11 as road underdogs under Gruden, 9-4 coming off a loss the last two years. Rams threw for 310 yards LW, held Colts to 0-10 on 3rd down, but that was vs backup QB’s. Since 2013, LA is 7-6 as a home favorite; they’re 10-14 vs spread coming off a win. Teams split last six meetings; 5 of last 7 series totals were 36 or less. Washington is 2-7 in last nine road openers; over is 6-2 in their last eight. Rams had a 13-yard edge in field position last week- their TD drives were 69-58-57 yards.
Cowboys (1-0) @ Broncos (1-0)— Dallas held Giants to 233 yards, 3 points in opening win LW; Cowboys are 7-3 as road favorite the last three years- they’re 16-7-1 in last 24 games vs AFC foes. Dallas had only one TD, kicked four FG’s last week, a red flag. Short week for Broncos after they held on for 24-21 win after almost blowing 24-7 lead; Denver is 3-1 as a home underdog the last four years- they’re 14-6 vs spread in last 20 games vs NFC teams. Denver won last five series games, winning last one 51-48 in 2013, but that was with now-retired Manning at QB. Cowboys lost four of last five visits here, with last Mile High win in 1992. Dallas covered its last six road openers (4-2 SU); four of last five stayed under total.
49ers (0-1) @ Seahawks (0-1)— Under Carroll, Seattle is 25-14-1 vs spread coming off a loss, 26-15 as a home favorite- last three years, they’re 8-3 as a double digit favorite. Seahawks’ D held Rodgers to 17 points LW; one of the two TD’s was a 6-yard drive. 49ers gained only 217 yards, had 73 penalty yards in 23-3 home loss to Carolina; Niners are 5-10 as road underdogs the last two years. Seattle won its last eight home openers (7-1 vs spread); under is 13-2-1 in their last 16. Seahawks won last seven series games; 49ers lost last last six visits here, with four of six losses by 16+ points. Seattle is 10-1-1 vs spread in last 12 series games. 49ers lost three of last four road openers; over is 8-5-1 in their last 14. 49ers are 1-5 as a double digit underdog the last two years.
Packers (1-0) @ Falcons (1-0)— New dome opens in Atlanta. Falcons beat Green Bay twice LY, 33-32, 44-21, both in GeorgiaDome— home side won last four series games. Falcons threw for 392 yards in the 44-21 playoff win. Green Bay held Seattle to 225 yards LW; the last four years they’re 3-8 as a road underdog. Last three years, Pack is 17-12-1 vs spread coming off a win. Atlanta held on at end to win its opener in Chicago; they’re 6-16 as home favorites the last four years, 3-10 under Quinn. Average total in last three series games is 70. Packers won last two road openers (31-23/27-23); over is 9-2 in their last 11. Falcons won/covered 8 of last 9 home openers, but this is a new home for them.
Browns (0-1) @ Ravens (1-0)— Since 2012, Baltimore is 13-18-1 as a home favorite; last there years, they’re 11-11 coming off a win. Ravens forced five turnovers (+4), allowed only 221 yards in 20-0 win at Cincy LW. Browns are 1-15 SU on road, 6-10 as road underdogs last two years; they lost home opener 21-18 to Pitt- they were 3-17 on 3rd down, had punt blocked for TD. Cleveland lost its last five road openers, is 1-10 in its last 11; over is 8-4 in their last 12 AO’s. Ravens are 10-2 in last 12 home openers; three of last four stayed under. Ravens won five of last six series games; Browns lost 8 of last 9 visits here. Baltimore swept series 25-20/28-7 LY. Over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. First road tilt for rookie QB Kiser, who was sacked 7 times by Steelers LW.
Bills (1-0) @ Panthers (1-0)— Buffalo ran ball for 190 yards in 21-12 win over Jets LW; they were 8-17 on 3rd down, had 8 plays of 20+ yards, TD drives of 77-64-80 yards. Bills are 9-6 vs spread in last 15 road openers, 3-5 SU in last eight. Over is 4-2 in their last six AO’s. Carolina won its opener easily at SF; red flag is their two TD drives were just 42-28 yards- they held 49ers to 217 yards, started three drives in SF territory. Panthers won four of last five home openers, covered five of last six; under is 3-1 in their last four. Buffalo is 5-1 in this seldom-played series, winning both visits here, 30-14/20-9. Carolina’s only series win was in 2005. Last three years, NFC South home teams are 17-25-2 vs spread as a non-divisional home favorite.
Patriots (0-1) @ Saints (0-1)— Last three times New England lost in Week 1, they won Super Bowl that year- they went 2-1 in Week 2 those years. Last four years, NE is 10-2 vs spread coming off a loss; they were 6-1 as a road favorite LY, after being 4-12 from 2013-15. Short week for Saints coming off 29-19 loss in Minnesota; NO drove to red zone five time in eight drives Monday, but had only one TD, kicked four goals- they miss WR Snead (suspended) in red zone. Patriots won five of last six road openers; they were underdog in last two. Patriots are 9-4 in series, winning four of five visits to Bourbon Street- they lost last visit here, 38-17 in 2009. Saints are 2-3 in last five home openers; under is 5-2 in last seven.
Cardinals (0-1) @ Colts (0-1)— Indy has severe QB issues until Luck returns; he is out here. They haven’t said if Tolzien/Brissett will start; to me, Brissett is better choice. Colts offense was outscored 16-9 by LA’s defense LW. Colts are 8-2 as home underdog under Pagano. Arizona is 10-5 as a road favorite under Arians; they turned ball over four times (-3) in Detroit LW, ran ball for only 45 yards, scored only 16 points in 4 red zone drives. Arians returns to Indy, where he was interim coach for Colts when Pagano was ill a few years back. Indy won four of last five series games, losing last matchup 40-11 in desert in ’13. Redbirds lost last three visits here; their last win in Indy was in 1984. Colts are 0-3 in last three home openers; over is 7-5 in their last 12— they lost last four Week 2 games.
Eagles (1-0) @ Chiefs (1-0)— Andy Reid hosts his old team here. Last 15 years, NFL teams coming off the Week 1 Thursday game are 17-13 vs spread in Week 2; Chiefs rang up 537 yards on Patriots in Foxboro; five of their six TD drives were 75+ yards. KC is 6-10 as a home favorite the last two years; they lost S Berry for year (achilles) in Foxboro. Eagles are 11-10 as road dogs the last four years; they’re 10-2 vs spread vs AFC teams, 14-20 coming off a win. Wentz is 2-7 as a road starter; their road drives last week were 56-39 yards. Philly is 4-3 in series where road team won five of seven games- they’re 3-1 in four visits to Arrowhead. Chiefs are 3-6 in last nine HO’s (over 4-2 in last six)- last six years, they’re 1-5 in Week 2.
Vikings (1-0) @ Steelers (1-0)— Short week off a win for Viking squad that gained 470 yards with no turnovers in 29-19 home win Monday nite; they had 10 plays of 20+ yards. Under Zimmer, they’re 15-6 vs spread coming off a win, 11-6 as road dogs. Last five years, Steelers are 19-12 as home faves, 28-17-1 coming off a win- they had 7 sacks LW. Pitt won three of last four series games; Vikings won last meeting 34-27 in London 4 years ago. Vikes lost last two visits here, 21-16/27-17. Minnesota is 4-9 in last 13 road openers; under is 5-2 in last seven. Steelers are 13-1 in last 14 home openers, 9-3 vs spread in last 12— under is 6-2 in their last eight. Big Ben was 11-11/182 targeting Brown LW; he was 12-25/73 with all his other passes. Vikings will try and take Brown away.
Bears (0-1) @ Buccaneers (0-0)— Hurricane Irma disrupted things in Bay Area, but game will go on as scheduled. Bucs didn’t play LW; they’re 2-8 vs spread as a home favorite last three years, 1-2 under Koetter. Chicago is 7-7-1 as a road underdog under Fox; they’re 9-11-1 coming off a loss. Bears had chance to win opener- they had ball on 10-yard line down 23-17 in last 30 seconds. Tampa Bay (+2.5) waxed the Bears 36-10 here LY, ending 3-game skid vs Chicago. Teams split last six series games played here. Chicago is 2-4 in last six road openers; under is 11-2 in their last 13. Tampa Bay is 3-8 in last 11 openers; they lost last four home openers, and were favored in last three. Under is 8-4-1 in their last 13 HO’s.
Dolphins (0-0) @ Chargers (0-1)— Dolphins practiced in Oxnard all week after re-gathering after their makeshift bye week; Fish are 3-1 in last four season openers. Miami is 15-17 SU on road last four years, 7-10 as road underdog since ’14. Short week for Chargers after their late rally in Denver fell just short Monday nite. LA ran ball for just 64 yards; 2 of their 3 TD drives started in Denver territory. Home opener for Bolts in their new, smaller temporary home venue. Miami won three of last four series games; they lost three of last four visits to San Diego. Home side won six of last seven series games. Miami is 3-9 in last 12 road openers; under is 13-2 in their last 15. Bolts are 6-1 in last seven HO’s, covering last five, but this is a new home for them.
Jets (0-1) @ Raiders (1-0)— Jets are 2-5-2 as road underdogs under Bowles; they ran ball for only 38 yards, were outgained 408-214 LW in 21-12 loss at Buffalo. Last 2+ years, Gang Green is 12-16 vs spread coming off a loss. Raiders gained 359 yards, didn’t turn ball over in 26-16 win at Tennessee LW. Oakland is 4-5 as home favorite under Del Rio- this is first time since ‘03 they’ve been a double digit favorite. Home side won last four series games; Jets lost last three visits to Oakland, by 3-10-14 points. Jets’ last win in Oakland was in ’03. Raiders won last two home openers; they’re 7-2-1 vs spread in last ten. Over is 12-5-1 in their last 18 HO’s. Since 2010, Jets are 3-1-1 against the spread as a double digit underdog.
Redskins (0-1) @ Rams (1-0)— Sean McVay worked for Washington the last six years, so lot of familiarity here. Redskins allowed 298 PY to Eagles LW, were outgained 356-264 as Philly was 8-14 on 3rd down. Skins are 11-11 as road underdogs under Gruden, 9-4 coming off a loss the last two years. Rams threw for 310 yards LW, held Colts to 0-10 on 3rd down, but that was vs backup QB’s. Since 2013, LA is 7-6 as a home favorite; they’re 10-14 vs spread coming off a win. Teams split last six meetings; 5 of last 7 series totals were 36 or less. Washington is 2-7 in last nine road openers; over is 6-2 in their last eight. Rams had a 13-yard edge in field position last week- their TD drives were 69-58-57 yards.
Cowboys (1-0) @ Broncos (1-0)— Dallas held Giants to 233 yards, 3 points in opening win LW; Cowboys are 7-3 as road favorite the last three years- they’re 16-7-1 in last 24 games vs AFC foes. Dallas had only one TD, kicked four FG’s last week, a red flag. Short week for Broncos after they held on for 24-21 win after almost blowing 24-7 lead; Denver is 3-1 as a home underdog the last four years- they’re 14-6 vs spread in last 20 games vs NFC teams. Denver won last five series games, winning last one 51-48 in 2013, but that was with now-retired Manning at QB. Cowboys lost four of last five visits here, with last Mile High win in 1992. Dallas covered its last six road openers (4-2 SU); four of last five stayed under total.
49ers (0-1) @ Seahawks (0-1)— Under Carroll, Seattle is 25-14-1 vs spread coming off a loss, 26-15 as a home favorite- last three years, they’re 8-3 as a double digit favorite. Seahawks’ D held Rodgers to 17 points LW; one of the two TD’s was a 6-yard drive. 49ers gained only 217 yards, had 73 penalty yards in 23-3 home loss to Carolina; Niners are 5-10 as road underdogs the last two years. Seattle won its last eight home openers (7-1 vs spread); under is 13-2-1 in their last 16. Seahawks won last seven series games; 49ers lost last last six visits here, with four of six losses by 16+ points. Seattle is 10-1-1 vs spread in last 12 series games. 49ers lost three of last four road openers; over is 8-5-1 in their last 14. 49ers are 1-5 as a double digit underdog the last two years.
Packers (1-0) @ Falcons (1-0)— New dome opens in Atlanta. Falcons beat Green Bay twice LY, 33-32, 44-21, both in GeorgiaDome— home side won last four series games. Falcons threw for 392 yards in the 44-21 playoff win. Green Bay held Seattle to 225 yards LW; the last four years they’re 3-8 as a road underdog. Last three years, Pack is 17-12-1 vs spread coming off a win. Atlanta held on at end to win its opener in Chicago; they’re 6-16 as home favorites the last four years, 3-10 under Quinn. Average total in last three series games is 70. Packers won last two road openers (31-23/27-23); over is 9-2 in their last 11. Falcons won/covered 8 of last 9 home openers, but this is a new home for them.
CFL Trend Report
OTTAWA (4 - 7 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 8 ) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 7-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 7-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Montreal's last 15 games
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
_____________________________________________________________________
OTTAWA @ MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
OTTAWA (4 - 7 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 8 ) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 7-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 7-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_____________________________________________________________________
OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Montreal's last 15 games
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
_____________________________________________________________________
OTTAWA @ MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa (4-7-1) @ Montreal (3-8 ) — Ottawa won six of last seven games with Montreal, beating them twice this year, 24-19 (-4.5) at home, then 32-4 (pick) here two weeks ago. RedBlacks won their last four visits to Montreal. Under is 4-1 in last five series games. Ottawa had 3-game win streak ended by Hamilton last week; they’re 2-3 SU on road, 4-1 vs spread, 2-1 as road underdogs. Under is 7-1-2 in their last ten games. Alouettes lost their last four games, allowing 36.4 pts/game; they’re 3-3 at home. Under is 7-4 in their games this season.
CFL Betting Notes
Ottawa RedBlacks (4-7-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -2
Total: 48
Game Overview
Ottawa’s recent three-game run both SU and ATS came to a sudden end last week, but it still has the slight edge in the East to repeat as division champions. The total stayed UNDER in that loss to the Tiger-Cats and it has now stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in nine of the RedBlacks’ last 10 games. Adding injury to insult, quarterback Trevor Harris is expected to be out several weeks after badly bruising his shoulder in that loss.
With Harris out of the lineup for Ottawa, Montreal has an excellent opportunity to make up some ground in the East, but it is going to need a much better effort from its defense. The one strength of this team coming into this season was its defense, but going back to a 41-40 loss to Winnipeg on July 27, the Alouettes have allowed at least 32 points in five of their last six games.
Betting Trends
Ottawa has won seven of the last eight meetings both SU and ATS including a 32-4 victory against Montreal on Aug. 31 in a game that closed as a PICK. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings.
Ottawa RedBlacks (4-7-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -2
Total: 48
Game Overview
Ottawa’s recent three-game run both SU and ATS came to a sudden end last week, but it still has the slight edge in the East to repeat as division champions. The total stayed UNDER in that loss to the Tiger-Cats and it has now stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in nine of the RedBlacks’ last 10 games. Adding injury to insult, quarterback Trevor Harris is expected to be out several weeks after badly bruising his shoulder in that loss.
With Harris out of the lineup for Ottawa, Montreal has an excellent opportunity to make up some ground in the East, but it is going to need a much better effort from its defense. The one strength of this team coming into this season was its defense, but going back to a 41-40 loss to Winnipeg on July 27, the Alouettes have allowed at least 32 points in five of their last six games.
Betting Trends
Ottawa has won seven of the last eight meetings both SU and ATS including a 32-4 victory against Montreal on Aug. 31 in a game that closed as a PICK. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings.
Soccer
Spain - La Liga
6am ET
Alaves v Villarreal
Last Head-To-Heads at Alaves:
2-1 (Alaves win)
1-1
1-0 (Alaves win)
2-1 (Alaves win)
Recent Form:
Alaves: 1-4-1
Villarreal: 3-2-1
KEY STAT: Alaves have not scored in La Liga this season
EXPERT VERDICT: Alaves did the double over Villarreal last season, a campaign which saw the Basque side finish a creditable ninth. This season has started poorly, however, with three straight defeats, though they have been competitive in all three. Villarreal visit after Europa League success against Astana and may have to settle for a point.
RECOMMENDATION: Draw (1)
Spain - La Liga
6am ET
Alaves v Villarreal
Last Head-To-Heads at Alaves:
2-1 (Alaves win)
1-1
1-0 (Alaves win)
2-1 (Alaves win)
Recent Form:
Alaves: 1-4-1
Villarreal: 3-2-1
KEY STAT: Alaves have not scored in La Liga this season
EXPERT VERDICT: Alaves did the double over Villarreal last season, a campaign which saw the Basque side finish a creditable ninth. This season has started poorly, however, with three straight defeats, though they have been competitive in all three. Villarreal visit after Europa League success against Astana and may have to settle for a point.
RECOMMENDATION: Draw (1)
Soccer
Italy - Serie A
6:30am ET
Sassuolo v Juventus
Last Head-To-Heads at Sassuolo:
0-2 (Juventus Win)
1-0 (Sassuolo Win)
1-1
1-3 (Juventus Win)
Recent Form:
Sassuolo: 2-3-1
Juventus: 3-3
KEY STAT: Juventus have won three of the last five meetings without conceding
EXPERT VERDICT: Juventus are not hanging about in a bid to defend their crown - they have notched ten goals in recording their opening three wins - and should have little problem maintaining their 100 per cent record at struggling Sassuolo. The Old Lady have a number of key injuries to deal with but they have conceded just once in the league this term and are a cut above the hosts, who have notched only once from three games.
RECOMMENDATION: Juventus to win 2-0 (1)
Italy - Serie A
6:30am ET
Sassuolo v Juventus
Last Head-To-Heads at Sassuolo:
0-2 (Juventus Win)
1-0 (Sassuolo Win)
1-1
1-3 (Juventus Win)
Recent Form:
Sassuolo: 2-3-1
Juventus: 3-3
KEY STAT: Juventus have won three of the last five meetings without conceding
EXPERT VERDICT: Juventus are not hanging about in a bid to defend their crown - they have notched ten goals in recording their opening three wins - and should have little problem maintaining their 100 per cent record at struggling Sassuolo. The Old Lady have a number of key injuries to deal with but they have conceded just once in the league this term and are a cut above the hosts, who have notched only once from three games.
RECOMMENDATION: Juventus to win 2-0 (1)
Soccer
Germany - Bundesliga
7:30am ET
Hoffenheim v Hertha Berlin
Last Head-To-Heads at Hoffenheim:
1-0 (Hoffenheim win)
2-1 (Hoffenheim win)
2-1 (Hoffenheim win)
2-3 (Hertha Berlin win)
Recent Form:
Hoffenheim: 2-3-1
Hertha Berlin: 2-2-2
KEY STAT: Hoffenheim were unbeaten at home in the Bundesliga last season
EXPERT VERDICT: Hoffenheim are struggling in Europe after being knocked out of the Champions League by Liverpool and then losing in their opening Europa League fixture against Braga but this should be more comfortable back in the Bundesliga. Bayern have already been toppled at Hoffenheim, while Hertha have lost ten of their last 11 away Bundesliga fixtures.
RECOMMENDATION: Hoffenheim (1)
Germany - Bundesliga
7:30am ET
Hoffenheim v Hertha Berlin
Last Head-To-Heads at Hoffenheim:
1-0 (Hoffenheim win)
2-1 (Hoffenheim win)
2-1 (Hoffenheim win)
2-3 (Hertha Berlin win)
Recent Form:
Hoffenheim: 2-3-1
Hertha Berlin: 2-2-2
KEY STAT: Hoffenheim were unbeaten at home in the Bundesliga last season
EXPERT VERDICT: Hoffenheim are struggling in Europe after being knocked out of the Champions League by Liverpool and then losing in their opening Europa League fixture against Braga but this should be more comfortable back in the Bundesliga. Bayern have already been toppled at Hoffenheim, while Hertha have lost ten of their last 11 away Bundesliga fixtures.
RECOMMENDATION: Hoffenheim (1)
Soccer
England - Premier League
8:30am ET
Chelsea v Arsenal
Referee: Michael Oliver
Last Head-To-Heads at Chelsea:
3-1 (Chelsea win)
2-0 (Chelsea win)
2-0 (Chelsea win)
6-0 (Chelsea win)
Recent Form:
Chelsea: 4-1-1
Arsenal: 3-2-1
KEY STAT: Arsenal have lost each of their last five away meetings with Chelsea
EXPERT VERDICT: Champions Chelsea lost the opening game of their title defence when they were unexpectedly downed by Burnley on the first day of the season, but Antonio Conte’s men have roared back with three consecutive victories and that could spell trouble for Arsenal. The Gunners were thrashed 4-0 at Liverpool on their last away day and seem too soft on the road.
RECOMMENDATION: Chelsea (3)
England - Premier League
8:30am ET
Chelsea v Arsenal
Referee: Michael Oliver
Last Head-To-Heads at Chelsea:
3-1 (Chelsea win)
2-0 (Chelsea win)
2-0 (Chelsea win)
6-0 (Chelsea win)
Recent Form:
Chelsea: 4-1-1
Arsenal: 3-2-1
KEY STAT: Arsenal have lost each of their last five away meetings with Chelsea
EXPERT VERDICT: Champions Chelsea lost the opening game of their title defence when they were unexpectedly downed by Burnley on the first day of the season, but Antonio Conte’s men have roared back with three consecutive victories and that could spell trouble for Arsenal. The Gunners were thrashed 4-0 at Liverpool on their last away day and seem too soft on the road.
RECOMMENDATION: Chelsea (3)
Soccer
Netherlands - Eredivisie
8:30am ET
Den Haag v Ajax
Last Head-To-Heads at Den Haag:
0-2 (Ajax win)
0-1 (Ajax win)
1-1
0-4 (Ajax win)
Recent Form:
Den Haag: 2-4
Ajax: 3-3
KEY STAT: Ajax have won the last five meetings with Den Haag without conceding a goal
EXPERT VERDICT: Ajax have responded well to losing their opening Eredivisie fixture and exiting the Europa League and Marcel Keizer’s youthful bunch should make it four consecutive league wins at Den Haag. The hosts finished just four points above the drop last term and back-to-back home defeats against Heerenveen and Utrecht suggests another difficult campaign is in the offing.
RECOMMENDATION: Ajax to win 3-0 (1)
Netherlands - Eredivisie
8:30am ET
Den Haag v Ajax
Last Head-To-Heads at Den Haag:
0-2 (Ajax win)
0-1 (Ajax win)
1-1
0-4 (Ajax win)
Recent Form:
Den Haag: 2-4
Ajax: 3-3
KEY STAT: Ajax have won the last five meetings with Den Haag without conceding a goal
EXPERT VERDICT: Ajax have responded well to losing their opening Eredivisie fixture and exiting the Europa League and Marcel Keizer’s youthful bunch should make it four consecutive league wins at Den Haag. The hosts finished just four points above the drop last term and back-to-back home defeats against Heerenveen and Utrecht suggests another difficult campaign is in the offing.
RECOMMENDATION: Ajax to win 3-0 (1)
Soccer
Italy - Serie A
9am ET
Milan v Udinese
Last Head-To-Heads at Milan:
0-1 (Udinese win)
1-1
2-0 (Milan win)
1-2 (Udinese win)
Recent Form:
Milan: 5-1
Udinese: 2-3-1
KEY STAT: Udinese have won just one of their last 12 away league games.
EXPERT VERDICT: There have been 11 goals scored in Milan's three league games, so no surprise that they opened their Europa League campaign with a 5-1 win at Austria Vienna. Milan are shipping as well as scoring which will give Udinese hope, though their away form is terrible.
RECOMMENDATION: Milan to win 2-1 (1)
Italy - Serie A
9am ET
Milan v Udinese
Last Head-To-Heads at Milan:
0-1 (Udinese win)
1-1
2-0 (Milan win)
1-2 (Udinese win)
Recent Form:
Milan: 5-1
Udinese: 2-3-1
KEY STAT: Udinese have won just one of their last 12 away league games.
EXPERT VERDICT: There have been 11 goals scored in Milan's three league games, so no surprise that they opened their Europa League campaign with a 5-1 win at Austria Vienna. Milan are shipping as well as scoring which will give Udinese hope, though their away form is terrible.
RECOMMENDATION: Milan to win 2-1 (1)
Soccer
Netherlands - Eredivisie
10:45am ET
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord
Last Head-To-Heads at PSV Eindhoven:
0-1 (Feyenoord Win)
3-1 (PSV Eindhoven Win)
4-3 (PSV Eindhoven Win)
0-2 (Feyenoord Win)
Recent Form:
PSV Eindhoven: 3-3
Feyenoord: 4-1-1
KEY STAT: Feyenoord have won all four Eredivisie matches this season
EXPERT VERDICT: PSV host Feyenoord in a battle of Dutch giants and the visiting Eredivisie champions could represent decent value in Eindhoven. They were humbled by Manchester City on Wednesday but there's a huge gulf in class between the Premier League and Holland's top-flight and Feyenoord, who have an unbeaten record this season, should find it easier domestically.
RECOMMENDATION: Feyenoord (1)
Netherlands - Eredivisie
10:45am ET
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord
Last Head-To-Heads at PSV Eindhoven:
0-1 (Feyenoord Win)
3-1 (PSV Eindhoven Win)
4-3 (PSV Eindhoven Win)
0-2 (Feyenoord Win)
Recent Form:
PSV Eindhoven: 3-3
Feyenoord: 4-1-1
KEY STAT: Feyenoord have won all four Eredivisie matches this season
EXPERT VERDICT: PSV host Feyenoord in a battle of Dutch giants and the visiting Eredivisie champions could represent decent value in Eindhoven. They were humbled by Manchester City on Wednesday but there's a huge gulf in class between the Premier League and Holland's top-flight and Feyenoord, who have an unbeaten record this season, should find it easier domestically.
RECOMMENDATION: Feyenoord (1)
Soccer
England - Premier League
11am ET
Manchester United v Everton
Referee: Andre Marriner
Last Head-To-Heads at Manchester United:
1-1
1-0 (Manchester United win)
2-1 (Manchester United win)
0-1 (Everton win)
Recent Form:
Manchester United: 4-1-1
Everton: 1-3-2
KEY STAT: Manchester United have won to nil in their three home matches this season
EXPERT VERDICT: Much was made of Everton’s high-profile transfer business this summer and while they added some quality to their squad it’s worth remembering their best asset Romelu Lukaku was sold to Manchester United. It’s been a sticky start to the Premier League for the Toffees. And while there is no shame in losing to big boys Chelsea and Tottenham, the manner of those defeats has to be of some concern to manager Ronald Koeman.
RECOMMENDATION: Manchester United-Manchester United Double Result (2)
England - Premier League
11am ET
Manchester United v Everton
Referee: Andre Marriner
Last Head-To-Heads at Manchester United:
1-1
1-0 (Manchester United win)
2-1 (Manchester United win)
0-1 (Everton win)
Recent Form:
Manchester United: 4-1-1
Everton: 1-3-2
KEY STAT: Manchester United have won to nil in their three home matches this season
EXPERT VERDICT: Much was made of Everton’s high-profile transfer business this summer and while they added some quality to their squad it’s worth remembering their best asset Romelu Lukaku was sold to Manchester United. It’s been a sticky start to the Premier League for the Toffees. And while there is no shame in losing to big boys Chelsea and Tottenham, the manner of those defeats has to be of some concern to manager Ronald Koeman.
RECOMMENDATION: Manchester United-Manchester United Double Result (2)
Soccer
France - Ligue 1
11am ET
Rennes v Nice
Last Head-To-Heads at Rennes:
2-2
1-4 (Nice win)
2-1 (Rennes win)
0-0
Recent Form:
Rennes: 1-3-2
Nice: 3-3
KEY STAT: Nice are unbeaten in their last five matches against Rennes
EXPERT VERDICT: It's been an inconsistent start to the campaign for Nice but they are in decent nick with a brilliant 4-0 derby win over Monaco before beating Zulte-Waregem 5-1 in the road in the Europa League. Alassane Plea and Mario Balotelli provide Nice with a twin scoring threat and Juan Seri has put his transfer woes behind him now the chance to leave in August has past.
RECOMMENDATION: Nice (2)
France - Ligue 1
11am ET
Rennes v Nice
Last Head-To-Heads at Rennes:
2-2
1-4 (Nice win)
2-1 (Rennes win)
0-0
Recent Form:
Rennes: 1-3-2
Nice: 3-3
KEY STAT: Nice are unbeaten in their last five matches against Rennes
EXPERT VERDICT: It's been an inconsistent start to the campaign for Nice but they are in decent nick with a brilliant 4-0 derby win over Monaco before beating Zulte-Waregem 5-1 in the road in the Europa League. Alassane Plea and Mario Balotelli provide Nice with a twin scoring threat and Juan Seri has put his transfer woes behind him now the chance to leave in August has past.
RECOMMENDATION: Nice (2)
Soccer
Germany - Bundesliga
12pm ET
Borussia Dortmund v Coloogne
Last Head-To-Heads at Borussia Dortmund:
0-0
2-2
0-0
5-0 (Borussia Dortmund win)
Recent Form:
Borussia Dortmund: 3-1-2
Cologne: 2-4
KEY STAT: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored six goals in six games in all competitions this season
EXPERT VERDICT: Borussia Dortmund were beaten 3-1 by Tottenham on Wednesday but the Germans looked sharp and were unlucky to have a goal ruled out at 2-1 in the second half. Cologne played Arsenal in the Europa League on Thursday night so Dortmund should win with an extra days recuperation on their side and home dangerman Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang can be backed to open the scoring.
RECOMMENDATION: P-E Aubameyang first scorer (1)
Germany - Bundesliga
12pm ET
Borussia Dortmund v Coloogne
Last Head-To-Heads at Borussia Dortmund:
0-0
2-2
0-0
5-0 (Borussia Dortmund win)
Recent Form:
Borussia Dortmund: 3-1-2
Cologne: 2-4
KEY STAT: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored six goals in six games in all competitions this season
EXPERT VERDICT: Borussia Dortmund were beaten 3-1 by Tottenham on Wednesday but the Germans looked sharp and were unlucky to have a goal ruled out at 2-1 in the second half. Cologne played Arsenal in the Europa League on Thursday night so Dortmund should win with an extra days recuperation on their side and home dangerman Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang can be backed to open the scoring.
RECOMMENDATION: P-E Aubameyang first scorer (1)
