Sunday 8/20/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[NewYorkKnight]

[h=3]Alex Smart[/h]Game Details
Aug 20 '17, 8:00 PM in 22h
NFLX | Saints vs Chargers

Play on: Chargers -2½ -130 at 5Dimes



Game Analysis



New Orleans is 0-10 ATS L/10 preseason games, as the teams coaching staff just go through the motions as they treat each exhibition game like a scrimage opportunity. The loss last week (20-14) to lowly Cleveland solidified their objectives as being disinterested to an extent. Meanwhile, the Chargers were clobbered by a 48-17 count in a loss to Seattle and after that embarrassing effort will need some redemption here, so that some semblance of competitiveness can take hold in the dressing room and field. I know its just preseason, but I expect for a red faced Chargers team to come out here with a proverbial slight chip on their shoulders and get us the cover.

Play on the Chargers to cover

 

[NewYorkKnight]

[h=3]Doc's Sports[/h]Game Details
Aug 20 '17, 4:00 PM in 18h
NFLX | Falcons vs Steelers

Play on: Falcons +1½ -115 at Bovada



Game Analysis



Bonus Play from Doc’s Sports. #427 Take Atlanta Falcons +1.5 over Pittsburgh Steelers (Sunday 4 pm)

The Steelers were a big underdog last week and beat the Giants straight-up. Now we see an overreaction for the line in this game Sunday afternoon. Atlanta dominated much of their week 1 game against Miami before a late rally by the Dolphins scoring the last 13 points to win by three points. Atlanta had three quarterbacks in that game complete 100% of their passes and they will win this game straight-up.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

[h=3]Marc Lawrence[/h]Game Details
Aug 20 '17, 4:40 PM in 18h
MLB | Nationals vs Padres

Play on: Nationals -106 at 5Dimes



Game Analysis



Play - Washington Nationals w/Gonzalez (Game 909).


Edges - Nationals: Gonzalez 5-1 with 1.50 ERA and 0.88 WHIP last six overall team starts; and 4-0 vs NL West this season, and 4-0 last four overall team starts during August… Padres: 6-12 on Sundays this season… With the Nats standing 12-7 on Sundays this campaign, we recommend a 1* play on Washington. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

[h=3]Brandon Lee[/h]
Aug 20 '17, 4:40 PM in 17h
MLB | WAS vs SDG


Play on: UNDER 7½ +100



10* FREE MLB PICK (Nationals/Padres Under 7.5)


Small total here but I still like the UNDER in Sunday's showdown between the Nationals and Padres. Both of these offenses come into the weekend struggling at the plate. Washington clearly misses Bryce Harper in the middle of the lineup and the Padres just don't have a ton of talent. More than anything, I like the pitching matchup. Nationals send out Gio Gonzalez, who has put up Cy Young type numbers with a 2.49 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in 24 starts. That includes an amazing 0.43 ERA and 0.762 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Padres will send out Dinelson Lamet, who is a strong talent that is throwing the ball exceptionally well right now with a 2.04 ERA and 0.792 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5!

 

[NewYorkKnight]

[h=3]Red Dog Sports[/h]
Aug 20 '17, 12:15 PM in 13h

Soccer | Panetolikos vs AEK Athens



Play on: UNDER 2½ -145

 

[NewYorkKnight]

[h=3]Vic Duke[/h]
Aug 20 '17, 8:00 PM in 20h
NFLX | Saints vs Chargers


Play on: OVER 42½ -110



Saints/Chargers 8:00: Chargers' offense can score as they have a plethora of weaponry and add rookie Mike Williams to the mix. Still not a fan of the Saint's defense, even with additions through the draft. It will take time to solidify the worst pass defense in the NFL. On the other hand, the Saints are deep at RB with the addition of Peterson and should jump on a Chargers' defense that allowed a ridiculous 458 yards to Seattle last week. We'll look for a higher scoring game.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

[h=3]Jimmy Boyd[/h]
Aug 20 '17, 1:30 PM in 14h
MLB | Yankees vs Red Sox


Play on: Yankees -106 at 5Dimes




I like the value here with New York, as they come in riding a huge wave of momentum after defeating Boston 4-3 on Saturday with the Red Sox having their ace Chris Sale on the mound. Now it's the Yankees that have the huge edge on the mound with Sonny Gray going up against Doug Fister.

Gray got his first win as a member of the Yankees last time out against cross-town rival Mets, allowing just 2 runs on 5 hits in 6 innings. That's now 9 straight starts dating back to June 25th in which Gray has completed at least 6 inning and allowed 2 earned runs or fewer. Fister just gave up 5 runs on 7 hits and 4 walks in his last start at home against the Indians and now owns a 6.27 ERA on the season with a ugly 6.48 ERA and 1.741 WHIP in 3 day starts. Take New York!

 

[superbeets]

Dutch Eredivisie TODAY 11:30

Excelsior

v

Feyenoord

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SKY		7	7/2	2/5	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT EXCELSIOR	RECENT FORM
AWHWAWHWALAW​ Most recent​	3 - 0 2 - 4 2 - 5 0 - 2	ADHWAWALHWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Feyenoord have lost only one of their last 11 clashes with Excelsior

EXPERT VERDICT: Eredivisie champions Feyenoord were quickly out of the block last term - winning their opening nine matches - and they should have little trouble seeing off their Rotterdam rivals Excelsior in their first away game of the campaign. However, in a match with bragging rights at stake it could be worth taking Excelsior to notch a consolation. The hosts have netted in nine of their last ten home games, while Giovanni van Bronckhorst’s side have shipped in five of their last six on their travels.

RECOMMENDATION: Feyenoord to win 2-1
1

 

[superbeets]

Premier League TODAY 13:30

Huddersfield

v

Newcastle

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SKY		6/4	9/4	11/5	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT HUDDERSFIELD	RECENT FORM
ALHLHDAD*ND*AW​ Most recent​	1 - 3 2 - 2 0 - 0 1 - 1	HDALHWAWHWHL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Both teams scored in both league meetings last term

EXPERT VERDICT: Huddersfield stunned Crystal Palace in their opening fixture, registering a 3-0 win at Selhurst Park, and a visit from Newcastle may not concern them. Both sides were promoted to the top-flight last term, with each winning away at their opponent’s ground in 2016-17, and it could be tough to split them.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: Craig Pawson STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Dutch Eredivisie TODAY 13:30

Ajax

v

FC Groningen

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SKY		2/7	17/4	9	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT AJAX	RECENT FORM
AWHLADHDALHL​ Most recent​	2 - 0 2 - 0 2 - 0 2 - 1	AWHDAWHLALHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Ajax are winless in six matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Ajax’s youthful bunch have had a troubled start to the campaign and they may take time to fight off visiting Groningen. The Amsterdam outfit have had their feathers ruffled by a number of key departures - Davy Klaassen and Jairo Riedewald have left for the Premier League - and defeat at Heracles in their season opener followed by a Europa League upset at home to Rosenborg make them a risky proposition.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[superbeets]

Italian Serie A TODAY 14:00

Atalanta

v

Roma

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT2		2	12/5	11/8	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ATALANTA	RECENT FORM
HWHDADHDAWHW​ Most recent​	2 - 1 3 - 3 1 - 2 1 - 1	AWHLAWHWAWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Only Juventus conceded fewer home goals than Atalanta's 18 in Serie A last season

EXPERT VERDICT: Atalanta are unlikely to match last season's fourth-place effort after losing Andrea Conti and Franck Kessie but they have been aggressive in the transfer market and are well up to giving Roma a test. Roma themselves look weaker without sold duo Mohamed Salah and Antonio Rudiger, while loan goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny has also departed and it may take time for new sporting director Monchi to work his magic in the capital.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[superbeets]

German Bundesliga TODAY 14:30

Freiburg

v

E Frankfurt

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT1		6/4	23/10	19/10	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT FREIBURG	RECENT FORM
HWHDALHWALAW​ Most recent​	1 - 0 4 - 1 1 - 1 0 - 0	ALHLALHDHLAW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Freiburg drew only two of their 17 home games in last season's Bundesliga

EXPERT VERDICT: Freiburg's seventh-placed finish in last season's Bundesliga was built on their solid home form as ten of their 14 league wins came at the Schwarzwald-Stadion. They did the double over an Eintracht Frankfurt who won only one of their last 15 Bundesliga matches and may struggle to make a flying start to 2017-18.

RECOMMENDATION: Freiburg
2

 

[superbeets]

Premier League TODAY 16:00

Tottenham

v

Chelsea

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SKY		23/20	5/2	13/5	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT TOTTENHAM	RECENT FORM
HWALHWAWAWAW​ Most recent​	2 - 0 0 - 0 5 - 3 1 - 1	AWHWHWNLADHL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Tottenham scored the most Premier League goals and conceded the fewest last season

EXPERT VERDICT: Depending on your take on temporary accommodation, this is either Tottenham’s first home match of the season or the second of 38 away road trips for Spurs during 2017-18. The potentially disruptive Wembley factor is certainly worthy of consideration but they are taking on Chelsea at the perfect time with the champions missing a number of key performers.

RECOMMENDATION: Tottenham
2


REFEREE: Anthony Taylor STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

SUNDAY

Huddersfield v Newcastle (13:30 BST)
I loved the comments of Huddersfield manager David Wagner after his side's win over Crystal Palace, which were along the lines of, 'we have made a really good start but we are not kidding ourselves'.
I thought that was the perfect way to approach it, because he knows there is a lot more hard work to go.


Newcastle were doing all right against Tottenham until Jonjo Shelvey got himself sent off, and that was the end of that.
Magpies boss Rafael Benitez will not want to start the season having played two, lost two, so I think they will be keeping things pretty tight.
A draw would not be a disaster for Huddersfield, though. That would leave them on four points, and they would only need another 36 to stay up.
Lawro's prediction: 1-1

Match preview

 

[superbeets]

Tottenham v Chelsea (16:00 BST)
This is Tottenham's first Premier League game at Wembley but it will not be quite the test that people were expecting when the fixtures came out.
I just think Chelsea are all over the place, as we saw against Burnley last week.


They are without suspended duo Gary Cahill and Cesc Fabregas after their red cards against the Clarets and Eden Hazard is not ready to return from injury yet.
Pedro and Tiemoue Bakayoko are also injured and there is no end in sight to the Diego Costa saga either, with the striker still in Brazil. The situation with him is just absurd.
So I am going to go for a Spurs win - if I am right, then Chelsea really are in crisis, aren't they?
Lawro's prediction: 2-0

Match preview

 

[NewYorkKnight]

[h=3]Cappers Club[/h]Game Details
Aug 20 '17, 4:05 PM in 8h
MLB | PHI vs SFO

Play on: OVER 7½ -110



Game Analysis



Giants vs Phillies Over 7.5


This play just missed out on our premium card.

The San Francisco Giants and the Philadelphia Phillies face off on Sunday afternoon, and with such a low total, the over has good value.

On the mound for the Giants is Madison Bumgarner, but this isn't the same pitcher from before his dirt bike injury.
In his last start against the Marlins he went six innings and really struggled giving up nine hits and four earned runs.
I think the Phillies will at least be able to score a couple runs off of him, to get closer to the over.
On the mound for the Phillies is Ben Lively who is good to give up a couple runs at least in every game.
The Giants have done better scoring runs as of late, and I think they will get to him early and often in this one.
Some trends to note. Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 home games. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco. Over is 4-1 in Bumgarners last 5 starts vs. Phillies.

5* Cappers Club Bonus Play on Over

 

[NewYorkKnight]

[h=3]Scott Rickenbach[/h]
Aug 20 '17, 1:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Mariners vs Rays


Play on: Mariners +128 at betonline



Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Free Pick Sunday MLB Seattle Mariners Money Line (+) @ Tampa Bay Rays @ 1:10 ET - While I am certainly not a huge fan of Yovani Gallardo, the right-hander did allow just 1 earned run in 5 innings the last time he pitched at Tampa Bay. Also, he does come up with some occasional solid starts. Though he got rocked by Baltimore in his most recent start, Gallardo went into that outing having allowed 3 earned runs or less in 4 straight starts. The big key here is that he is facing a Tampa Bay team that has just been simply awful at the plate for weeks now. The Rays have lost 10 of their last 12 games and have averaged only 2 runs per game in their last 15 games. That's right, even with yesterday's 6-run outburst at the plate, TB has still totaled only 30 runs in their last 15 games. As for the Mariners, they've scored 7 runs in each of their last 3 games and should stay hot here against Blake Snell. When the Rays southpaw faced him last season (his only start versus the M's in his career) Snell got rocked for 8 hits plus he walked 3 in an outing that lasted only 3 and 1/3 innings. The Mariners have won 4 straight games and also are currently on a 15-6 run in games against teams with a losing record. The Rays are 6-11 in home games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs the past 3 seasons combined. Road dog value here in going against struggling Tampa Bay. Free Pick SEATTLE on the money line goes EARLY Sunday. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach

 

[NewYorkKnight]

[h=3]Dave Price[/h]
Aug 20 '17, 2:10 PM in 3h
MLB | A's vs Astros


Play on: Astros -1½ -107 at 5Dimes



Dave's Sunday Bonus Play:

1* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-107)

The Key: The Houston Astros are starting to get healthy, which is why they are playing much better baseball of late. They have won 4 of their last 5 and once again have a big advantage on the mound over the A's today. Brad Peacock is 7-1 with a 3.73 ERA in 14 starts for the Astros with 95 K's in 72 1/3 innings. Peacock has faced the A's twice this season, going 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA while allowing just 2 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings with 15 K's. Jharel Cotton gave up 6 runs and 11 base runners in 4 1/3 innings in a 4-9 loss at Houston in his only start against the Astros this season on April 28th. Cotton is 5-10 with a 5.92 ERA in 18 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 7.94 ERA in his last 3 outings. The Astros are 8-1 in Peacock's last 9 starts. Take Houston on the Run Line.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

[h=3]John Martin[/h]
Aug 20 '17, 1:35 PM in 3h
MLB | Reds vs Braves


Play on: Reds -109 at 5Dimes



1 Unit Bonus Play on Cincinnati Reds -109

Luis Castillo is going to be a future star in this league. He has posted a 3.39 ERA and 1.18 WHIP with 66 K's in 66 1/3 innings across 11 starts this season for the Reds. He is 2-2 with a 2.48 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in six road starts. Castillo will be backed up by a Cincinnati offense that has scored a total of 35 runs in its past four games. The Braves will go with Sean Newcomb, who is 1-7 with a 4.45 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 12 starts, including 0-6 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in seven home starts. Given that the Reds have big edges on the mound and at the plate today, this is a very generous price for them.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

[h=3]Brian Hay[/h]
Aug 20 '17, 4:40 PM in 6h
MLB | Nationals vs Padres


Play on: Nationals -106 at betonline



MLB Bonus Play Washington Nationals -106


The Washington Nationals will trot Gio Gonzalez out to the hill to face San Diego. Gonzalez has a 11-5 record and a 2.49 ERA this year. San Diego will counter with Dinelson Lamet. He has a 7-4 record and a 4.78 ERA so far this season. The Nationals are 7-2 in their last nine Sunday games and 42-20 in their last 62 during game four of a series. Washington is also 4-0 in Gonzalez’s last four starts and 6-2 in Gonzalez’s last eight road starts. San Diego is 14-40 in their last 54 Sunday games. Gonzalez has been great over his last four starts, giving up just three earned on 15 hits in the span of 28.0 innings for a 3-0 mark. The Nationals offense will be key here today. We are getting the better pitcher and team at a great price.