Sunday 7/12/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wimbledon: Federer, Djokovic set up final rematch
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

Roger Federer beat Andy Murray in straight sets on Friday and will play Novak Djokovic for a record eighth Wimbledon title in a rematch of last year’s final.

Federer, a 17-time major champion, beat Murray 7-5, 7-5, 6-4 in the semifinals to reach the championship match at the All England Club for the 10th time.

Djokovic, the defending champion, is back in the Wimbledon final for the fourth time in five years after beating Richard Gasquet in straight sets 7-6 (2), 6-4, 6-4.

The 33-year-old Federer held serve easily in almost every game and broke Murray, the country’s favorite son, at the end of each set. The Swiss won 70 of 81 points on serve, piled up 56 winners and had only 11 unforced errors.

“I played so well on the biggest occasion today, and that’s probably why I got it,” Federer said after the win that sent him into his 26th Grand Slam final. “I’ve been serving very well for the entire tournament.”

Federer and Djokovic will meet in the final rematch on Sunday. Djokovic, a two-time Wimbledon champion, beat Federer in five sets in last year’s final.

“Novak’s been the best player for a few years now,” Federer said. “He’s made it extremely difficult for the guys to win big tournaments. … I know how I can beat him, but this is a different occasion. We’ve been both been there before. I really hope I can get this one on Sunday.”

Djokovic produced big serves at crucial times and pulled away against Gasquet on Centre Court.

“It was a very good performance, considering the occasion,” said Djokovic, reaching his 17th Grand Slam final.

Djokovic was twice treated by a trainer on his left shoulder near the end of the second set.

“It’s nothing that worries me, honestly,” said Djokovic, who is now one win away from a third Wimbledon championship and ninth major title. “It’ll be fine for the next match.

“I’m definitely living the dream, being here in Wimbledon, playing in the most renowned tennis court in the world. I try to take the best out of myself and I have a responsibility to play well and just glad to reach another final.”

Djokovic, 28, extended his dominance over the 29-year-old Gasquet to 12-1. The Serbian dropped just one set to the Frenchman in their last 10 meetings.

Serena Williams will face Garbine Muguruza in the women’s final on Saturday. Williams will be going for her 21st career Grand Slam victory and the so-called Serena Slam, winning four consecutive tennis majors. She has five Wimbledon singles titles and is in the final for the eighth time.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

UFC TUF 21 Betting preview: Thompson looks to climb ladder agasint Ellenberger
By MMAODDSBREAKER

The main event of the TUF 21 Finale is a five-round welterweight bout between Stephen Thompson and Jake Ellenberger.

Thompson (10-1) is trying to climb into the top 15. The 32-year-old American comes from a karate and kickboxing background and is not surprisingly one of the top strikers in the UFC welterweight division. He uses a variety of unique kicks in his attacks and comes from different angles, and not many fighters in the division can deal with it.

He is currently 5-1 in the UFC with withs over the likes of Patrick Cote, Robert Whittaker and Chris Clements, and his only loss came to Matt Brown three years ago. He got outwrestled by Brown, but since then has been working on his takedown defense. Still, he’s a one-dimensional fighter. But that one dimension is elite.

There are very few fighters who can stand and trade with Thompson in the division. His wrestling, though, needs work. If he can keep his fights standing, he’ll win the majority of them. But if he gets taken down, he can be grinded out. We’ll see this weekend just how much he’s improved that aspect of his game when he takes on the top-10 ranked Ellenberger.

Ellenberger (30-9) is one of the top-10 welterweights in the UFC. The 30-year-old American is 9-5 overall in the UFC with wins over the likes of Josh Koscheck, Nate Marquardt, Jake Shields, Mike Pyle, and Diego Sanchez, with his losses all coming against elite fighters in Kelvin Gastelum, Rory MacDonald, Robbie Lawler, Martin Kampmann and Carlos Condit.

Ellenberger is primarily a knockout artist who comes from a wrestling background. He likes to sprawl-and-brawl and keep his fights standing and knock his opponents out. He has 18 knockout wins in his career, so it’s clear he can knock opponents out on the feet. In his last fight against Koscheck, he showed a new wrinkle in his game as he won by submission. The biggest issue with Ellenberger in his fights has been him freezing up. It must be confidence issues, and he’s talked about how he’s had to improve his focus.

When he is confident, he can finish most welterweights. But when he freezes up, he tends to be inactive and can get finished. He’s a talented guy, but he’s been very inconsistent in the last few years. Perhaps he’s turned the page, but until we see it against an opponent better than Koscheck, that remains to be seen.

I think Thompson is going to be able to stuff Ellenberger’s takedown attempts, keep this fight standing, and batter him on the feet. Thompson’s takedown defence has most likely improved working with UFC middleweight champion Chris Weidman during his training camp and if he can keep this fight on the feet he’s a far superior striker.

Ellenberger does have knockout power, though, so Thompson will have to be careful, but as long as he doesn’t get caught on the chin he should win.

Having said that, I think the odds are bit too high given we don’t know how Thompson will fare in a five-round fight, so I’ll pass on a bet, but I will be picking Thompson to win this fight by T/KO.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Five To Follow MLB Betting: Sunday, July 12, 2015 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

With the first half of the season coming to a close on Sunday night, this is when trade talks will really heat up as general managers now have a dead period to get down to business with one another. You could see something during the All-Star Break, although probably not before Wednesday as MLB doesn’t want anything interfering with All-Star festivities. I would say there are only five sellers for sure right now: Miami, Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Cincinnati and Colorado, San Diego, Oakland (Ben Zobrist is a goner), and the Chicago White Sox are close. The New York Mets are 100 percent going to make some sort of trade for a bat — they are talking with the Brewers again about third baseman Aramis Ramirez and now also shortstop Jean Segura. Houston, the Dodgers and the Cubs are pretty much locks to add a starting pitcher. Otherwise it likely will be minor pieces that are on the move.

A’s at Indians (-128, 7)

Stellar pitching matchup here, and I expect both to dominate with the early start after a night game. It’s All-Star Sonny Gray (9-3, 2.20) for Oakland, and the fact he’s pitching Sunday might ends his chances of starting Tuesday’s Midsummer Classic. Gray had 11 days between starts when he took on the Yankees last time out due to a bout with Salmonella. He wasn’t razor-sharp, allowing three runs and six hits over seven innings. That dropped him from first to second in the AL in ERA. Gray hasn’t faced the Tribe this season. Michael Brantley is 3-for-6 with two doubles off him. Jason Kipnis 0-for-3 with two strikeouts. Cleveland’s Corey Kluber (4-9, 3.45) shut out the Astros over 6.2 innings on five hits last time out. He leads the AL with 148 strikeouts. Oakland’s Marcus Semien is 2-for-6 with a homer off him. Billy Butler is 4-for-24 with eight strikeouts.

Key trends: The A’s have won 11 straight Gray starts on Sunday. The Tribe are 1-4 in Kluber’s past five vs. teams with a losing record. The “over/under” has gone under in five straight Kluber home starts.

Early lean: Get this total while it’s at 7. Go under big.


Yankees at Red Sox (-134, 8.5)

It irritates me previewing Yankees-Red Sox games, but this one is on TBS and I try to preview those games that will have live betting at sportsbooks as this will. The Bombers will lead the AL East into the break, and I didn’t see that coming. Nathan Eovaldi (8-2, 4.45) goes here. That trade with the Marlins to get him has worked out pretty well. Eovaldi hasn’t allowed more than two runs in any of his past four outings. He is 1-0 with a 3.75 ERA in two starts this year against Boston. go to askthebookie. Pablo Sandoval murders the guy, going 12-for-17 with three doubles, a homer and 10 RBIs. That’s T-ball stuff. Red Sox lefty Wade Miley (8-7, 4.50) struck out a season-high nine last time out in a no-decision against the Marlins. Miley is 0-1 with a 3.65 ERA in two starts against the Yankees this season. Carlos Beltran is 1-for-7 with three RBIs against him. Brian McCann is 3-for-8.

Key trends: The Red Sox are 5-0 in Miley’s past five at home. The under is 5-1 in his past six there.

Early lean: Red Sox, a Sandoval hitting prop and over.


Reds at Marlins (+125, 6.5)

Could this be Johnny Cueto’s final start for the Reds? He’s a goner, no doubt about it. Shoot, if I’m the Reds I deal Cueto (6-5, 2.61) before he takes the mound because his value will never be higher. He was way better than Nationals ace Max Scherzer last time out, throwing a complete-game two hitter and striking out a season-high 11. Cueto was the first Reds pitcher to toss a shutout with so few hits and that many strikeouts since Jose Rijo in 1990. Cueto hasn’t faced Miami this season. Dee Gordon is 4-for-12 off him. The Marlins’ Dan Haren (6-5, 3.34) is also a goner. He had his 12th quality start of the season last time out, holding the Red Sox to a run over six innings. Haren lost in Cincinnati on June 19, allowing two runs over 6.1 innings. Marlon Byrd feasts off him, going 14-for-30 with five doubles, three homers and six RBIs.

Key trends: The Reds are 5-1 in Cueto’s past six starts. The Marlins are 0-4 in Haren’s past four against teams with a losing record.

Early lean: Marlins and under.


White Sox at Cubs (-157, TBA)

One of the biggest All-Star snubs among pitchers in the National League was the Cubs’ Jake Arrieta (9-5, 2.80). He has better numbers than the Giants’ Madison Bumgarner, for example, but Bumgarner was chosen by his manager, Bruce Bochy, for the NL team. Arrieta is also rolling with a 3-0 record and 1.17 ERA over his last three starts. He has a 3.67 ERA in 27 interleague innings this season. The White Sox’s Gordon Beckham is 2-for-10 off him. Melky Cabrera is 1-for-5 with a homer. It’s Pale Hose lefty Jose Quintana (4-8, 3.69). He was a tough-luck loser last time out vs. Toronto, allowing two runs and four hits over eight innings. Quintana hasn’t allowed more than three runs in his past eight starts. Anthony Rizzo is 1-for-6 off him. Starling Castro is 0-for-5.

Key trends: The Sox are 2-5 in Quintana’s past seven road starts. The Cubs are 2-5 in Arrieta’s past seven at home. The under is 7-1 in Arrieta’s past eight at home vs. teams with a losing record.

Early lean: Cubs and under regardless of number.


Cardinals at Pirates (-168, 6.5)

This is your first-half finale, the Sunday night game on ESPN and also will have live betting. It’s rookie left-hander Tim Cooney (0-0, 3.95) for St. Louis. He was solid at the Cubs last time out, allowing a run and three hits over 5.1 innings. The team is turning to Cooney again over Tyler Lyons as one of the two had to remain in the rotation while Jaime Garcia recovers from a left groin strain. Cooney has never faced the Pirates. Pittsburgh has won three straight started by lefty Francisco Liriano (5-6, 2.99). He has allowed just four combined runs in that stretch. Liriano is 0-1 with a 3.77 ERA in two starts this season against the Cardinals. All-Star Jhonny Peralta is a .327 hitter with three homers, seven RBIs and 14 strikeouts in 49 at-bats against him. Yadier Molina is 3-for-19. Mark Reynolds just 1-for-18 with eight strikeouts. Maybe those two get the night off.

Key trends: The Cards are 2-6 in their past eight against lefties. The Pirates are 6-1 in their past seven against lefties. Pittsburgh is 1-10 in its past 11 when Liriano starts vs. the NL Central. The over has hit in three of Liriano’s past five vs. St. Louis.

Early lean: Pirates and over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gray cruising on the road for the Athletics
Justin Hartling

The Oakland A’s have won their past five road games when Sonny Gray takes to the mound.

Gray has been showing up in a big way in those starts, only allowing 26 hits and seven runs through 33.2 innings pitched. During that span, Gray has also held two teams scoreless.

The A’s will be in Progressive Field Sunday.

 

[superbeets]

CONCACAF Gold Cup TODAY 23:30

Trinidad

v

Cuba

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BTX		—	—	—	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
–-–-–-ADHLNW​ Most recent​	0 - 1 1 - 0 0 - 2 1 - 2	–-ALALADHDAL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: In Cuba's opening match, they had only three shots compared to Mexico's 44

EXPERT VERDICT: After Trinidad's win against Guatemala and Cuba's thrashing at the hands of Mexico, the Soca Warriors look set to inflict more misery for the Cubans as another big defeat looks likely. Cuba only managed 24% possession so expect Trinidad to dominate proceedings and create plenty of chances.

RECOMMENDATION: Trinidad to win 4-0
2

 

[superbeets]

CONCACAF Gold Cup Mo 13Jul 02:00

Guatemala

v

Mexico

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT1		25	10	1/14	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
ALALHDAWALNL​ Most recent​	0 - 3 1 - 2 0 - 0 3 - 2	NDADHLHDNDHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Guatemala have scored only three goals in their last nine outings

EXPERT VERDICT: Mexico's 6-0 annihilation of Cuba and Guatemala's 3-1 loss to Trinidad suggests this should be a resounding Mexico victory. If there is any hope for the Guatemalans, they improved in the second half against Trinidad, bagging a goal, but even so Mexico would have to have a major off-day for them to get a point, especially with Oribe Peralta in confident mood after scoring a hat-trick against Cuba.

RECOMMENDATION: O Peralta to score first
2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

D'Backs
Reds
Pirates(RL)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Cardinals @ Pirates
Cooney is 0-0, 4.61 in his first three starts (over 2-1).

Liriano is 1-0, 1.80 in his last three starts; three of his last four stayed under.

St Louis lost four of last five games with Pittsburgh; home side won 11 of last 13 series games. Cardinals lost four of last six games overall; five of last six went over total. Pirates won ten of last 12 games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.

Reds @ Marlins
Cueto is 3-1, 2.13 in his last six starts; under is 8-4-1 in his last 13 starts.

Haren is 0-3, 4.20 in his last five starts; fiveof his last six stayed under.

Cincinnati lost nine of last 14 games overall; five of their last six tilts stayed under total. Marlins lost five of last seven games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight- they lost four of last seven games with the Reds- seven of last nine series games stayed under.

Diamondbacks @ Mets
de la Rosa is 0-1, 4.58 in his last thee starts; six of his last nine went over.

Niese is 1-1, 1.29 in his last three starts; his last four stayed under.

Arizona lost last three games against the Mets; under is 8-1-1 in the last ten. D'backs won five of last eight games but lost last two- three of their last four games stayed under. Mets won six of last eight games; their last five games stayed under the total.

Braves @ Rockies
Wood got rained out of Friday's start after two pitches; he is 2-1, 3.08 in his last five starts, four of which stayed under.

Bettis is 2-4, 7.42 in his last six starts; four of his last six home starts went over the total.

Braves lost last four games (under 8-2-1 in last 11); they lost last five games with Colorado (under 7-2-1 in last ten), which won last three games- their last four games stayed under.

Brewers @ Dodgers
Lohse is 2-4, 5.71 in his last six starts; six of his last nine went over.

Anderson is 3-1, 2.45 in his last five starts; three of his last four went over.

Brewers split last six games with the Dodgers; over is 5-1-1 in last seven series games. Milwaukee lost three of last five games; four of last six went over total. Dodgers won seven of last 11 games; four of their last five went over the total.

Phillies @ Giants
Billingsley is 1-2, 7.33 in his five starts; four of the five went over.

Heston is 2-0, 2.77 in his last four starts; over is 9-3 in his last twelve.

Philly lost 11 of last 13 games; over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 . Phillies lost six of last seven games with the Giants; seven of last eight series games went over total. Giants won three of last four games; five of last eight stayed under.

American League
Astros @ Rays
McCullers is 1-0, 1.50 in his last three starts; five of his last seven stayed under the total.

Moore is 0-0, 8.00 in his two starts this season (over 2-0).

Astros lost nine of last 11 games with Tampa Bay; ten of last twelve went under total. Houston lost seven of last eight games; last five stayed under- they are 9-22 in last 31 road games. Rays lost 10 of last 13 games (over 9-3-1).

A's @ Indians
Gray is 5-1, 2.85 in his last eight starts; three of his last four went over.

Kluber is 1-0, 2.91 in his last three starts;eight of his last 11 stayed under.

Oakland lost four of its last six games; seven of last 11 stayed under total- they won six of last nine games with Indians- five of last six series games went over. Cleveland won nine of last 13 games; six of their last nine stayed under the total.

Bronx @ Red Sox
Eovaldi is 3-0, 2.38 in his last four starts; his last three stayed under.

Miley is 3-1, 3.16 in his last five starts;four of his last six went over.

Bronx won five of last six games with Boston; four of last five series games stayed under total. Bombers won six of last nine games; under is 8-3-1 in their last 12. Red Sox won nine of last 12 games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six.

Blue Jays @ Royals
Doubront allowed one run in 6.2 IP (94 PT) in his first '15 start.

Volquez is 4-0, 3.67 in his last six starts (over 5-0-1).

Toronto lost nine of last 13 games; over is 6-4-1 in their last 11. Jays are 4-6 in last ten games with KC; under is 7-4-1 in last 12. Royals won seven of last nine games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six.

Tigers @ Twins
Greene is 0-4, 13.50 in his last four starts; his last three all went over.

Gibson is 3-0, 1.74 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Twins won six of last eight games; over is 3-1-1 in their last five games; they lost nine of last 13 games with Detroit (over 3-1 in last four). Tigers are 3-4 in their last seven games; 19 of their last 20 games went over.

Angels @ Mariners
Heaney is 2-0, 1.77 in his first three starts; (under 2-1).

Walker is 5-0, 2.58 in his last six starts; three of his last four went over.

Angels won nine of last 12 games; five of their last seven went over. Angels won six of last ten games with Seattle- five of last seven series games stayed under total. Mariners are 0-5 in game following their last five wins- five of last six Seattle games went over

Interleague
White Sox @ Cubs
Quintana is 2-2, 2.70 in his last six starts; six of his last eight stayed under.

Arrieta is 3-0, 1.17 in his last four starts; under is 5-2-1 in his last eight.

White Sox won five of last six games with the Cubs; over is 4-4-1 in last nine series games. Pale Hose won nine of last 11 games; seven of their last nine stayed under. Cubs lost last three games; over is 3-1-1 in their last five.

Nationals @ Orioles
Scherzer is 3-2, 2.08 in his last five starts, but lost his last two; Nationals scored one run in the two games- under is 7-2-1 in his last ten.

Chen is 3-0, 2.33 in his last six starts; his last ten starts stayed under.

Washington lost eight of last 11 games with Baltimore; over is 6-4 in last ten series games. Nationals lost four of last six road games; seven of their last nine games overall stayed under. Orioles lost seven of last nine games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten.

Padres @ Rangers
Ross is 2-0, 2.35 in his last four starts; over is 3-2 in his last five.

Gallardo is 2-1, 1.20 in his last seven starts, six of which stayed under.

San Diego lost six of last nine games with Texas; five of last seven stayed under the total. Padres lost six of last seven games; in their last eight games, under is 6-1-1. Rangers lost six of last seven games, outscored 54-22.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
StL-Pitt-- Cooney 1-2; Liriano 7-10
Cin-Mia-- Cueto 10-6; Haren 9-8
Az-NY-- de la Rosa 9-8; Niese 5-11
Atl-Colo-- Wood 7-11; Bettis 7-4
Mil-LA-- Lohse 7-11; Anderson 9-8
Phil-SF-- Billingsley 2-3; Heston 10-7

Hst-TB-- McCullers 5-5; Moore 0-2
A's-Clev-- Gray 10-7; Kluber 5-13
NY-Bos-- Eovaldi 10-7; Miley 10-7
Tor-KC-- Doubront 1-0; Volquez 12-5
Det-Min-- Ryan 1-4; Gibson 9-8
LAA-Sea-- Heaney 3-0; Walker 9-8

Chi-Chi-- Quintana 7-10; Arrieta 10-7
Wsh-Balt-- Scherzer 10-7; Chen 10-6
SD-Tex-- Ross 8-10; Gallardo 9-9

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
StL-Pitt-- Cooney 0-3; Liriano 2-17
Cin-Mia-- Cueto 5-16; Haren 1-17
Az-NY-- de la Rosa 5-17; Niese 6-16
Atl-Colo-- Wood 4-17; Bettis 3-11
Mil-LA-- Lohse 8-18; Anderson 5-17
Phil-SF-- Billingsley 2-5; Heston 1-17

Hst-TB-- McCullers 1-10; Moore 0-2
A's-Clev-- Gray 2-17; Kluber 9-18
NY-Bos-- Eovaldi 7-17; Miley 4-17
Tor-KC-- Doubront 0-1; Volquez 4-17
Det-Min-- Ryan 1-5; Gibson 3-17
LAA-Sea-- Heaney 0-3; Walker 4-17

Chi-Chi-- Quintana 9-17; Arrieta 4-17
Wsh-Balt-- Scherzer 2-17; Chen 4-16
SD-Tex-- Ross 5-18; Gallardo 6-18

Umpires
Az-NY-- Five of last six HGibson games went over.
Atl-Colo-- Three of last four Blaser games went over.
Cin-Mia-- Six of last eight Cooper games stayed under; underdogs are 7-3 in last ten Cooper games.
StL-Pitt-- Four of last five Knight games stayed under.
Phil-SF-- Favorites won 11 of last 13 Morales games.
Mil-LA-- Five of last seven Danley games went over.

Tor-KC-- Home side won 13 of last 15 Meals games.
Det-Min-- Underdogs are 7-4 in last eleven Wegner games.
Hst-TB-- Last ten Basner games stayed under the total.
A's-Clev-- Eight of last ten Segal games went over.
NY-Bos-- Last five Hernandez games went over total.
LA-Sea-- Eight of last eleven Fletcher games stayed under.

Chi-Chi-- Underdogs won nine of last twelve Everitt games.
Wsh-Balt-- Under is 5-2-2 in last nine Reynolds games.
SD-Tex-- Over is 10-4 in Hickox games this season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Balmoral Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Post: 9:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$5400 - FILLIES & MARES, NON-WINNERS OF $4,000 LAST 5 STARTS


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 LOVE THIS PLACE 8/1


# 5 JOYFUL GAME 9/2


# 4 JUST BY DESIGN 3/1

If you want a respectable play in here, feast your eyes on LOVE THIS PLACE especially at a long price. Always magnificent driver-conditioner duo. 20 percent winners when they team up to do work. With superior win figures, Oosting should have this mare in excellent position to win the contest. JOYFUL GAME - Racing solidly, recorded a bang-up TrackMaster Speed Rating in her most recent gathering (76). Should be in the hunt again in this race, looking to improve that already high lifetime winning rate. JUST BY DESIGN - Handicappers love to play the driver of this mare - excellent win clip in recent times.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Century Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Post: 3:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$11500 - OPEN


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 3 SOTALLY TOBER 6/1


# 2 GHOST PINE 4/1


# 1 BLUE EYED COWBOY 10/1

The consensus in this event is that SOTALLY TOBER is the one to beat. Horoscope said take a chance today, this nice horse is as good as any to take a shot with. GHOST PINE - More than likely the class of the field of starters with an average rating of 87. A nice contender. Racing sharply, achieved a very promising speed rating in his last race (82). BLUE EYED COWBOY - You have to support a horse that wins a lot, very high win percentage. Post 1 has been winning at an above average percentage, suggesting good probability of success in here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $10750 Class Rating: 94

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 6 CLOSING TIME 9/5


# 4 LOVE AFTER WAR 7/2


# 7 PERSONAL HIGH 5/2


CLOSING TIME looks like the wager in here. With a strong 86 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. Glenn has him trained soundly to break rapidly out of the gate. With a competitive 89 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this contest. LOVE AFTER WAR - Must be carefully examined - I like the numbers from the last race. He has earned respectable figures under today's conditions and will probably fare well versus this group of animals. PERSONAL HIGH - Mendez will probably be able to get this filly to break out early in this competition. The speed rating of 86 from her latest race looks respectable in here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Wyoming Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 46

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 ZIGGILINA 3/1


# 9 STORMIN BLESSING 4/1


# 8 DANCING COURAGE 8/1


ZIGGILINA is the most respectable bet in this race. Greene has a strong win percent with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Opposing a much easier bunch than last time out. With a nice Equibase class figure average of 70, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group. STORMIN BLESSING - This filly with James in the saddle makes her a solid contender. Don't overlook this filly in your bets - very dangerous with James aboard.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:55pm - Allowance - 12.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 98

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#9 DYE FORE (ML=12/1)
#4 COCODIMAMA (ML=5/1)
#5 VERNE (ML=15/1)
#7 MAGGIE NEARY (IRE) (ML=20/1)


DYE FORE - This gelding is in first-rate condition right now. Finished first last time out and comes back quickly. COCODIMAMA - Watts and Gomena perform well when they team up. It's hard to beat a +152 return on investment for a jockey and trainer. A little change in scenery has got to do this horse well. Reading the PPs, it seems like he likes to visit the winner's circle at different racing venues. Getting a break of 5 pounds from last race at FAI. He should make the most of this advantage. VERNE - This horse likes to win on different ovals. The switch in venue today may be a wake up call. Sub-par performance last out at MTP was due to the off-going (he finished seventh). Have to give a better effort today on a fast track. MAGGIE NEARY (IRE) - True, this pony is coming off a layoff, but this mare runs well fresh. The recent bullet 116.0 work should put this mare on track for today's effort. I do like foreign imports that have run well at a big time foreign racing venue.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 KINGS GIANT (ML=5/2), #6 DEMONSTRATIVE (ML=7/2), #10 ALWAARY (ML=9/2),

KINGS GIANT - Shouldn't bet on this one as the favorite with little to offer for the risk involved. This morning-line choice ran on May 9th and hasn't had a blow out since. DEMONSTRATIVE - All types of crazy speed signed up for this affair. Little chance for this early speedball. ALWAARY - Going to have a hard go of it with all of the other early speed in this contest.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 DYE FORE is going to be the play if we are getting 6/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Chippewa Downs - Race #3 - Post: 2:30pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $2,100 Class Rating: 37

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 MISS SUNNY MERREE (ML=8/1)
#5 SKIPPY T (ML=5/2)


MISS SUNNY MERREE - Taking a trip down the class scale; has the ability to make her presence felt. I think this filly is ready to run a good one. She's had enough races since the layoff and should be fit. SKIPPY T - I like to wager on this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a nice race within the last month. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back. I like this mare. Has the highest earnings per start in this one.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 BRITE ATLANTIS (ML=3/1), #2 RIDIN ROYAL (ML=7/2), #4 NORTH DAKOTA KID (ML=9/2),

BRITE ATLANTIS - This horse hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two races. No success for this racer in a sprint contest over the last two months tells me that this horse is in a difficult circumstance This horse registered a speed rating in his last contest which probably isn't good enough in today's race. RIDIN ROYAL - This gelding finished out of the money on June 6th and wasn't close to victory last time around the track either. Finished fourth in his most recent effort with a mediocre rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SKIPPY T - Having the best speed fig last race of 31 at Chippewa Downs on June 27th. This mare has an excellent chance to win here.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #7 MISS SUNNY MERREE on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #9 - BELMONT PARK - 5:28 PM EASTERN POST

The Manila Stakes

8.0 FURLONGS TURF THREE YEAR OLDS STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#5 A LOT
#2 HIGH NOON RIDER
#6 GALLERY
#1 NONNA'S BOY

Well folks ... any list of the best American grass horses of all time would be incomplete without Hall of Famer Manila. Belmont Park was where the Leroy Jolley trainee made his graded stakes debut, in the G2 Saranac for owner B. M. Shannon. It would be one of just three defeats he'd ever experience on the lawn. Manila was back at Belmont the following year to take the G1 Turf Classic during a phenomenal campaign that earned him an Eclipse Award. Here in just the 2nd running of this stakes test, #5 A LOT, the pace profile leader in this field racing at today's distance of a mile on the turf, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four straight starts, including a pair of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency. #2 HIGH NOON RIDER is the overall speed leader in this field this afternoon, drops in class (-4), and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in two of his last three "adventures" including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 2nd race back.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Balmoral: Sunday 7/12 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (27 - 44 / $98.40): JETOMATT (8th)

Spot Play: TAL WI WI (6th)


Race 1

(3) SARA'S TERROR filly has tons of upside and should only improve off her nice efforts. (2) CHAR N MARG filly makes her third career start for proven connections. The 2-year old pacer has came flying late in all her races. (4) FAT AND POE could be the sleeper in the field coming off a deceptively nice effort.

Race 2

(10) DREAMS OF HER well bred filly will need to find a way into the race but has a nice pedigree against a weak bunch. (5) MR STRATA just needs a similar effort to his last start to hit the ticket. (4) EARLS PRINCE was parked the mile last out against much better. The 3-year-old should offer a big price in a field full of question marks.

Race 3

In a tough race to gauge, (5) VITAL TERROR paced a big mile last week against much better. (3) SHHRAYRAY gelding can pace up a storm when he minds his manners but has had breaking issues; command a price. (1) PAINKILLER also looks to have some of the kinks worked out after some hiccups.

Race 4

In a field with three contenders, (2) SOUTHERN SPECIAL three-year-old trotted a huge mile last out and any repeat of that effort puts him right there. (3) CAPTAIN GREEDY will look to make it five straight wins; short price. (6) FOX VALLEY QATAR two-year-old champ looks to have come back to the pack some after a promising start to the year.

Race 5

(8) DRY CREEK DIAMOND should offer a big price in a wide-open and evenly matched field of first-time starters. (3) LEXIROSE filly pacer should probably be considered the horse to beat, however the trainer has a very poor record with horses making their first start of the year. The 2-year-old could look to sit on a helmet and try for a piece late. (9) PRETTY STELLA kicked home nicely in his first start over the track and just needs to find a way into the race; threat.

Race 6

(7) TAL WI WI was very impressive last week setting a lifetime mark. The sophomore trotter could be ready for another big effort. (4) PERSAUSIVE LOOK has been racing gamely and just needs a good setup to score. (3) FOX VALLEY YOKO filly was brought along slowly this year and is just now clicking on all cylinders.

Race 7

(5) OFFICIALLY YOURS four-year-old will offer another big price and could use some racing luck in an evenly matched field. (7) DUPAGE'S Z TAM has a nice pedigree and comes into the race off a career effort. (4) SIR ARTHER D just missed in two straight at this level; threat.

Race 8

(2) JETOMATT filly has been driven conservatively in her first two lifetime starts both showing good ability. (5) FRONTIER SARAH just missed last start pacing a big mile. (1) FOX VALLEY LYN comes into the race off a solid qualifier but probably needs a start; use underneath.

Race 9

(5) JOYFUL GAME has been racing gamely finishing in second place in four straight. The 5-year-old mare will need a fast pace to close into for her best chance; fires late. (4) JUST BY DESIGN scored a victory against much weaker last week and will need more; command a price. (8) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH if ready could handle this bunch no problem, however the mare has been off her game for awhile.

Race 10

(6) FOX VALLEY PIPA always starts slow but can come a big back half and just needs to be close turning for home. (8) ALWAYS REESE Indiana bred filly has much more talent than what she shows on paper; threat. (5) FOXY ELLIE drops back down to a level she can compete.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Sunday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Arlington Park (3rd) Make It Snappy, 6-1
(8th) Epsilon, 5-1

Belmont Park (2nd) Mr. Palmer, 3-1
(4th) Privately Speaking, 3-1

Belterra Park (3rd) Go Patti Wagon, 3-1
(8th) Sagittars Stars, 4-1


Canterbury Park (7th) Ebony Elegance, 6-1
(8th) Captains Glory, 7-2


Ellis Park (5th) Cash Control, 7-2
(9th) Enduring Honor, 4-1


Emerald Downs (3rd) Freedomofthehills, 3-1
(5th) Forte Feroce, 4-1


Gulfstream Park (1st) Abran Paso, 3-1
(9th) Roy Aire, 4-1


Laurel Park (2nd) Grecian Star, 3-1
(8th) Hard to Want, 3-1


Lone Star Park (3rd) Paradizing, 6-1
(7th) Signature Event, 7-2


Los Alamitos (5th) Vegas Street, 7-2
(8th) Ralis, 3-1


Monmouth Park (1st) Awesome Ghost, 3-1
(7th) Subpoena, 3-1


Mountaineer (4th) Gallery of Storms, 9-2
(6th) Ib's Mystery, 3-1


Parx Racing (7th) Lawyer Dave, 4-1
(10th) Steel Sky, 3-1


Prairie Meadows (5th) Zack's Billie, 4-1
(6th) Tour to Glory, 9-2


Presque Isle Downs (1st) Hildy, 5-1
(3rd) Cognac Cutie, 4-1


Sacramento (1st) Voodoo Doll, 3-1
(6th) Warrens Casino Guy, 7-2


Woodbine (1st) True Executive, 3-1
(5th) Chiefroll'nthunder, 6-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Preview: Angels (47-40) at Mariners (41-47)

Game: 4
Venue: Safeco Field
Date: July 12, 2015 4:10 PM EDT

Though the Los Angeles Angels have been cooled off a bit by the Seattle Mariners, they still have a chance to head into the All-Star break atop the AL West.

The Angels can possibly find themselves in that position by managing a split of their four-game road set with the Mariners on Sunday.

Los Angeles (47-40) has been held to two runs in its two losses over the first three of this set, but can take a one-half game lead in the division with a victory Sunday and loss by first-place Houston. Despite falling 5-0 on Saturday, the Angels are 36-25 since they were seven games out of first on May 4 and had won nine of 10 prior to facing Seattle (41-47).

The Angels, who last sat alone atop the West on April 17, are focused on the long haul.

"Everybody's sticking together right now," shortstop Erick Aybar told MLB's official website. "We'll see what happens (after the All-Star break)."

Hisashi Iwakuma survived a no-out, bases-loaded jam in the first and allowed three of Los Angeles' four hits over eight strong innings. Mike Trout had one of those hits, and is batting .375 in his last 11 contests.

The Angels might feel confident they can rebound behind Andrew Heaney (2-0, 1.77 ERA), who has allowed four runs, struck out 17 and walked three in 20 1-3 innings over three starts since making his Angels debut June 24. He gave up half of those runs and overcame eight hits in 7 1-3 innings of Tuesday's 10-2 rout of Colorado.

"I'm just comfortable with what I'm doing," the left-hander said. "I'm confident in what I'm doing and being able to just be aggressive with what I've got."

Considered the Angels' top prospect after being acquired in the December deal that sent second baseman Howie Kendrick to the Dodgers, Heaney is making a case to remain in the rotation when veteran Jered Weaver returns from a hip issue.

"I do my thing, I go out there and pitch, and whatever happens, happens," Heaney said. "I'd like to think I've given myself an opportunity."

He'll try to tame a Mariners' lineup that received a combined seven hits from Nelson Cruz, Kyle Seager and ex-Angel Mark Trumbo on Saturday. Trumbo, who drove in a pair of runs, is 12 for 22 in his last seven contests.

Cruz is hitting .464 (13 for 28) in the last seven games against Los Angeles after going 2 for 19 in the first five meetings this season.

Seattle's Taijuan Walker (7-6, 4.53) posted a 1.68 ERA while winning six of seven prior to giving up five runs on three homers in six innings of a 7-6, 11-inning home victory over Detroit on Tuesday. The right-hander, who last lost June 3 to the New York Yankees, was much better June 26 when he yielded a homer to Trout and didn't walk anybody over seven innings of a 3-1 victory at Anaheim.

Teammate Austin Jackson went 0 for 5 on Saturday in his return from missing the previous two contests with back spasms. Though Jackson is 4 for 32 with nine strikeouts in nine games this month, Mariners manager Lloyd McClendon doesn't seem too concerned.

"I believe Austin is going to be just fine,' he said.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tigers sign RHP Feliz to bolster bullpen
The Sports Xchange

The Detroit Tigers made a move to shore up their sagging bullpen on Saturday by signing right-hander Neftali Feliz, who was released a week earlier by the Texas Rangers.

To make room for Feliz, rookie right-hander Jeff Ferrell was optioned to Triple-A Toledo.

Feliz entered this season with a 2.53 career earned-run average, but lost his job as closer for the Rangers by blowing three of nine save chances.

In 2010 and 2011, Feliz had 72 saves and helped the Rangers reach the World Series both years.

The Tigers had the sixth-worst relief ERA in the majors at 4.04 entering their game on Saturday against the Minnesota Twins. Manager Brad Ausmus said closer Joakim Soria is the only pitcher in the bullpen whose role is secure.