Sunday 6/29/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

rxb@ll

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[superbeets]

World Cup Su 29Jun 17:00

Holland

v

Mexico

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		11/10	5/2	14/5	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
HDHWHWNWNWNW​ Most recent​	2 - 1 2 - 1 2 - 2 3 - 2	NWNLNLNWADNW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Holland have lost one of their last 24 matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Holland are in fine form but they face a tough test against Mexico and we could be heading for extra-time. The Dutch have been delightful in forward positions with Robin van Persie and Arjen Robben but Mexico scored three against Croatia and kept a clean sheet against Brazil.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[superbeets]

World Cup Su 29Jun 21:00

Costa Rica

v

Greece

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		6/4	11/5	11/5	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
NWNLNDNWNWND​ Most recent​	Unknown	ADNDNWNLNDNW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Three of Greece's last six matches have finished 0-0

EXPERT VERDICT: Greece played more positively when beating Ivory Coast 2-1 but may fall back on their defensive strength when battling Costa Rica for a place in the last eight. Both prefer to play on the counter-attack and there is a strong possibility of them producing a dour match which may have to be settled by extra-time or penalties.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 1

Sunday, June 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAMILTON (12 - 9) at SASKATCHEWAN (14 - 7) - 6/29/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL

Week 1

Trend Report

Sunday, June 29

7:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Hamilton is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Hamilton's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Saskatchewan's last 10 games

 

[superbeets]

Netherlands

-

Mexico

[h=2]2014 FIFA WORLD CUP[/h]

• Venue: Fortaleza
• Date: Sunday, 29 June
• Kick-off: 17:00 BST

[h=2]TEAM NEWS[/h]Netherlands coach Louis van Gaal welcomes back captain Robin van Persie from suspension.
Bruno Martins Indi will only be on the bench so Dirk Kuyt continues at left back.
Mexico coach Miguel Herrera is without Jose Vasquez, who serves a one-match ban, so Carlos Salcido is expected to take his place.
Aside from that, they are expected to be unchanged from the side that beat Croatia.
[h=2]MATCH PREVIEW[/h]This last-16 clash pits the top scorers of the group stage against the country with the joint-best defence.
The Netherlands reached double figures in Group G and their firepower is boosted for this match by the return of in-form captain Robin van Persie.
But, despite their 10-goal haul, coach Louis van Gaal came under attack from Chile counterpart Jorge Sampaoli, who said the Dutch employed negative tactics in their final group game and "only aspired to long shots".


The new Manchester United boss seemed baffled by the accusations. "One has to develop a strategy that can win" he said, and it does seem puzzling how they can be criticised given how the likes of van Persie, Arjen Robben and youngster Memphis Depay have dazzled so far.
The only goal the rock solid Mexicans let in at the group stage was a late consolation strike by Croatia.
Goalkeeper Guillermo Ochoa may be getting all the headlines for a string of eye-catching displays, but in front of him the imperious Rafael Marquez continues to show what a special player he has been for Los Aztecas.
The only player in history to have captained his nation at four World Cups has now also scored in three of them following his header against the Croats.
"When you see a guy who's won everything he has, who's 35 and is in this kind of form at his fourth World Cup, we don't need him to say too much - just watching him on the pitch is enough," said team-mate Andres Guardado.
Confidence is high among the squad and they have real belief they can end their disappointing run of five successive second-round exits.
Their coach, Miguel Herrera, is pure box office due to his touchline and Twitter theatrics. He described qualifying for the last 16 as "one of the happiest days of my life" and celebrated in some style with his players. Imagine the celebrations if they manage to beat the Netherlands and reach the quarter-finals for the first time ever outside of Mexico.
[h=2]MATCH FACTS[/h]Head-to-head

• Mexico have lost three and drawn one of their last four encounters with the Netherlands, conceding at least two goals on each of these occasions.
• The only previous World Cup meeting between these two sides came in 1998 when Mexico came from 2-0 down with 15 minutes remaining to draw 2-2 in the group stage.
• Mexico are the only North, Central American or Caribbean nation to beat a European side in a World Cup knockout tie in the post-war era, doing so against Bulgaria in 1986.
• Ten of the last 12 World Cup goals scored by Mexico have come after half time, while the Netherlands have scored eight of their last nine World Cup goals in the second half.

Netherlands

• The Netherlands have won nine of their last 10 World Cup matches, with the only defeat coming in the 2010 final against Spain.
• If selected, Dirk Kuyt will become the seventh Dutch player to win 100 caps.
• Memphis Depay can become the first player to score as a substitute in his first three appearances at a World Cup.
• Arjen Robben has scored eight goals in his last nine appearances for the Dutch and he has scored or assisted seven goals (five goals, two assists) in his last seven World Cup appearances.
• Robin van Persie has scored 21 goals in his last 25 international appearances.
• Robben (six) and van Persie (five) are closing in on Johnny Rep's (seven) all-time World Cup scoring record for the Netherlands.

Mexico

• Mexico were one of three teams to concede only one goal in the group stage along with Costa Rica and Belgium.
• They have scored a goal in each of their last 11 World Cup matches against European nations, losing just two of these games (W4, D5, L2).
• Javier Hernandez and Rafael Marquez have scored three goals for Mexico at World Cups; only Luis Hernandez has scored more (four).
• Mexico have now reached the knockout stage in their last seven World Cup appearances.

 

[superbeets]

Costa Rica

-

Greece

[h=2]2014 FIFA WORLD CUP[/h]

• Venue: Recife
• Date: Sunday, 29 June
• Kick-off: 21:00 BST

[h=2]TEAM NEWS[/h]Costa Rica are expected to revert to the same side that beat Italy in their second group game.
That would see experienced centre-back Michael Umana and left-sided midfielder Christian Bolanos come back in for Roy Miller and Randall Brenes.
Greece captain Kostas Katsouranis is available once again, having been suspended for the Ivory Coast match.
Goalkeeper Orestis Karnezis looks to have shaken off a knock, but Panagiotis Kone is out injured.
[h=2]MATCH PREVIEW[/h]Written off before the tournament, Costa Rica are the headline act in Recife. The Central American side have earned their moment in the spotlight after topping a group that included three previous World Cup-winning nations and conceding just one goal in the process.
How they cope with the pressure of being favourites against the resilient Greeks is now the big question.
Both countries have been doing some last-minute homework, having not expected to face each other. Energetic midfielder Yeltsin Tejeda admitted: "We were thinking more about Colombia and the Ivory Coast. Now we have to change the video cassette."




The footage will reveal a dogged Greek side that adopt the ultra-defensive Italian catenaccio system. Their never-say-die attitude enabled them to recover from a 3-0 opening defeat by Colombia to eventually pip Ivory Coast to second spot, albeit with acontroversial last-minute penalty, and secure qualification to the last 16 for the first time.
If they make it to the quarter-finals, the Greek Federation may have a problem as coach Fernando Santos's contract expires on Monday. He has previously said he doesn't intend staying a day longer.
Santos has dismissed criticism of Greece's perceived dour approach: "I can only laugh as it is a joke. In football one attacks and one defends. We know how to defend well and we are very good on the counter-attack. This big success belongs to the players."
In Joel Campbell, Costa Rica have a spy in the camp. The Arsenal youngster spent last season on loan at Greek champions Olympiakos, scoring 11 goals in all competitions.
He could be key to his country's game plan, with technical assistant Luis Marin revealing that the Ticos are targeting an early goal. He has said: "It's crucial for us to score early, especially as Greece are known to tighten up at the back once they score."
The strength of these two proud nations is their team ethic, and for one of them the uncharted waters of a World Cup quarter-final await.
Head-to-head

• This will be the first ever meeting between Costa Rica and Greece.

Costa Rica

• Costa Rica have reached the last 16 of the World Cup only once before, in 1990, when they lost 4-1 to Czechoslovakia. Current squad members Yeltsin Tejeda, Joel Campbell, Waylon Francis and Diego Calvo were not born then.
• The last team from CONCACAF to go further than the last 16 at the World Cup are the USA in 2002.
• Costa Rica are yet to let in a goal from open play at this World Cup, having only conceded a penalty against Uruguay's Edinson Cavani. They conceded the equal fewest goals in the group stage along with Mexico and Belgium.
• Keylor Navas has saved seven of the eight shots on target he has faced in this World Cup.

Greece

• This is the first time that Greece have ever reached the knockout stage of the World Cup.
• Greece's seven wins at major tournaments have never been by more than one clear goal (four 1-0 victories and three 2-1 wins).
• They have only won two of their nine World Cup games, both 2-1 wins and both against African sides (v Nigeria in 2010 and Ivory Coast in 2014). Those victories are the only games in which they have managed to score.
• Their only clean sheet in those nine matches came against Japan earlier in this tournament.
• Greece are the only nation in the last 16 that ended the group phase with a negative goal difference (-2).
• Georgios Samaras' goal against Ivory Coast in Greece's last game ended his goalscoring drought of 1,478 minutes (24 hr 38 min) with the national team. His penalty against Ivory Coast is his only shot on target at this World Cup (270 minutes).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arapahoe

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12500 Class Rating: 75

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 MAHNA 5/2


# 5 DEE'S DREAM 3/1


# 7 DATWATDADDYDO 8/1


MAHNA has a solid shot to take this race. Prominent in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field of horses. Is hard not to consider given the company run in lately. She has earned very good figs under today's conditions and will probably fare well against this group of horses in this race. DEE'S DREAM - Had one of the most favorable Speed Figures of this field in her last contest. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the most respectable class numbers of this group. DATWATDADDYDO - Reliable average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this animal a definite contender.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $23600 Class Rating: 70

FOR REGISTERED OHIO FOALS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 28 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 VENUSIAN GODDESS 4/1


# 1 REDO THE COURT 5/1


# 5 RICK'S PICK 6/1


VENUSIAN GODDESS is the most respectable wager in this race. Myers has her trained solidly to break swiftly out of the gate. Posted a formidable speed figure last time out. REDO THE COURT - Has competitive speed figures and has to be considered for a wager in this race. Delacruz has been sizzling the last month, winning at a nifty 20 percent clip. RICK'S PICK - Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is solid for this pony. Has performed soundly as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 63 avg speed fig.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #3 - Post: 1:19pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 WISHING LILLY (ML=6/1)


WISHING LILLY - Filly looks like the lone speed here. She may turn the race into a procession. This horse could be tough in this race, especially since Cora rode last out and now should be better acquainted with this one. Here is an appropriate handicapping angle that I've used many times before. Play a filly (like this one) getting Lasix for the second time. The addition of the 'shades' usually means that a trainer wants a horse to show more speed or to keep her attention focused.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 LEATHER PANTS (ML=8/5), #5 FUZZY DICE (ML=5/2), #1 PERSUASIVE GIRL (ML=4/1),

LEATHER PANTS - This come from behinder looks to have little chance without an early speed duel on the front end. Finished second in her most recent race with a most unsatisfactory speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field. FUZZY DICE - Should be difficult for this racer to beat this field off of that last rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list. PERSUASIVE GIRL - This horse ran a run-of-the-mill speed figure in the last race. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely get beat in today's event running that number.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#7 WISHING LILLY is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Suffolk Downs - Race #4 - Post: 2:12pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 75

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 GOLD STRIKE BEGINS (ML=6/1)
#7 FRENCH HOLIDAY (ML=5/2)
#4 TORCELLO (ML=3/1)


GOLD STRIKE BEGINS - Pascucci drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more from the horse's history to believe this horse has a darn good chance at this level. This pony should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could wire the field. Earnings per race entered is something that I believe can be a crucial handicapping factor. This horse is ranked number one in this field. FRENCH HOLIDAY - Reardon drops him down to this class. You don't need too much more data to figure that this animal has a darn good chance at this level. This gelding's last speed rating is good enough to win here, I'll wager on him back again this time around. TORCELLO - Last race was at Suffolk Downs in a race with a class figure of 84. Dropping significantly in Equibase class figure this time out puts him in a solid position right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 FOUR F'S AND A D (ML=7/2), #3 PRIMAL HUMOR (ML=5/1), #6 HE'S A SCROOGE (ML=8/1),

FOUR F'S AND A D - I'd like to see more preferred recent showings with morning line odds of 7/2. PRIMAL HUMOR - On a downward moving cycle. Speed ratings keep dropping. Tough for anyone who saw this mount in his last event to bet on him this time around. Will be tough for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put him on the vulnerable competitors list. HE'S A SCROOGE - Hard to put any cash on this gelding on the front end. Likes to land in the top three though.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#2 GOLD STRIKE BEGINS is the play if we get odds of 3/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #4 - BELMONT PARK - 2:53 PM EASTERN POST


The Mother Goose Stakes

8½ FURLONGS DIRT GRADE I FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $300,000.00 PURSE

#2 UNTAPABLE
#6 STOPCHARGINGMARIA
#1 HOUSE RULES
#3 PRINCESS VIOLET

For you folks who enjoy a little Thoroughbred Racing Trivia to accompany your handicapping efforts this afternoon ... The Mother Goose is named after Harry Payne Whitney's filly who defeated the colts in the 1924 Futurity. She is one of only 13 fillies to have won the Futurity since it was first run in 1888. Here in the 58th running of "The Goose," #2 UNTAPABLE has hit the board in each of her last four outings, including back-to-back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her last three starts. #6 STOPCHARGINGMARIA, an 8-1 shot, has scored with a trio of wins in her respective last five "adventures," and goes to the post with the skills of the Jockey/Trainer tandem of Javier Castellano and Todd Pletcher in her corner ... they've "whacked the tote board" with 67% of nearly 300 entries saddled as a team to date.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Santa Anita Park

RACE #8 - SANTA ANITA PARK - 4:45 PM PACIFIC POST


The Santa Anita Gold Cup Stakes

10.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE I THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $500,000.00 PURSE

#2 FURY KAPCORI
#1 GAME ON DUDE
#4 IMPERATIVE
#3 CLUBHOUSE RIDE

Well folks .... the "goal" here is to try and beat the 4-5 favorite, #1 GAME ON DUDE who topped the first edition of the Longines World's Best Racehorse Rankings for 2014, and heads the seven-horse field for the 75th renewal of the Gold Cup at Santa Anita Handicap here at Santa Anita Park. The Gold Cup, which will air on NBCSN from 7-8 p.m. (EDT), is a Breeders' Cup Challenge Series "Win and You're In" race that will award the winner an automatic berth to the $5 million Breeders' Cup Classic (gr. I) at Santa Anita. Game On Dude, who has earned $6.4 million, will be seeking his third consecutive victory in the 1 1/4-mile, $500,000 race that was run as the Hollywood Gold Cup at the now-shuttered Hollywood Park when he won in 2012 and 2013. The 7-year-old Awesome Again gelding is trained by Hall of Famer Bob Baffert, who tabs Jockey Mike Smith to ride ... this tandem has hit the board with 56% of more than 50 entries saddled as a team to date ... Smith has been in his irons on 10 previous occasions, hitting the board in eight .. winning 6 times. My pick for the upset is #2 FURY KAPCORI, a 9-2 shot, who has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in five straight, and this recent streak of racing consistency also includes a quartet of "POWER RUN WINS!"

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Balmoral: Sunday 6/29 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (23 - 38 / $98.40): MY LITTLE BIT (6th)

Spot Play: POWERFUL POE (8th)


Race 1

(5) ROLLETTE filly has been progressing nicely and finds a spot to gain some confidence. (6) POWERFUL FORCE raced gamely last out going a big effort but does have some breaking issues. (1) GUMCORNER BLACK mare needed her first race and should be much sharper second start back.

Race 2

(7) MAZEPPA HANOVER raced well in her first start back for a new trainer. The pacer looks to have some ability in an evenly matched race. (2) FOX VALLEY KYLEE had a tough time from a tough post last start but the 3-year-old has shown a good burst of speed; threat. (4) SISTER'S KEEPER has lacked stamina late in her first few starts; use underneath.

Race 3

(2) LD'S DASH gelding gets an enticing morning line and has been sharp in his last two. (4) ME TARZAN is a threat at this level with a trip. (3) JPS MINI ME looks terrible on paper but does have the ability to upset at a price.

Race 4

(6) ONE JAZZY LADY filly has a ton of upside but has yet to reach her potential. A good effort wins convincingly. (4) IGETAGOODFEELING has started to show some improvement and could be the only threat to the top choice. (5) MATTE ROYALE lightly raced filly made a break last out halfway down the stretch but has flashed some talent in her brief career.

Race 5

(6) FOX VALLEY ABSOLUT mare just missed last out getting snapped by the horse sitting a perfect trip. The mare owns some back class and should be able to handle this group. (3) ALWAYS A ROBIN faces a much softer bunch and could be ready for a better effort. (1) LIZZABELLE made a break going for the lead but had been sharp prior; use underneath.

Race 6

(4) MY LITTLE BIT should have been much better at Maywood last out but that could boost the price. (2) BUONCAMMINO filly has a big engine and could upset if she minds her manners. (7) FOX VALLEY AMANDA pulled the upset last out off a perfect pocket trip but will have to do much more; use underneath.

Race 7

(7) HEATH fits at this level and should offer a big price. (3) CASINO CAPTOR will look to fire second start in a new barn; big chance. (2) SHISWELL'S DELIGHT was sharp off the layoff but has been dull in his last two. The gelding finds a suspect bunch and a good effort puts him in the money.

Race 8

(6) POWERFUL POE four-year-old was awesome in the qualifier, has the most ability in the field, and will be tough to beat if he stays trotting. (5) NEW ZION drops in class and faces a much easier field. (4) SUPER SONIC FLASH gelding is streaky but seems to race better off a layoff. The trotter has a ton of speed and does have two qualifiers under his belt.

Race 9

(3) ALWAYS TALKING has always had ability and could finally be rounding into racing shape. (6) SECONDS LATER 3-year-old filly went from awesome to empty last start off a perfect trip. If she races back to the start prior she could be the horse to beat. (7) BONJOUR MADAM closed nicely last out of a ground saving trip last start; threat.

Race 10

(4) READY drops back down to a spot where the pacer can do some damage. (5) WELL DUNE has shown signs of stepping his game up in the last two; threat. (2) COTTONLAND GEM eight-year-old stallion has been consistently pacing good miles but needs an ideal trip to hit the top spot.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Sunday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Arlington Park (1st) Bluedacious, 3-1
(8th) Sugar Kate, 4-1

Belmont Park (2nd) Brendan G, 5-1
(9th) Transplendid, 4-1


Belterra Park (2nd) Strategic Decision, 8-1
(4th) Champion Kid, 6-1


Calder Race Course (2nd) Super Doc, 3-1
(3rd) Redemption Road, 6-1


Canterbury Park (5th) Deadly Black Eagle, 4-1
(6th) Genuine Cowboy, 6-1


Churchill Downs (2nd) Lookn Mighty Fast, 3-1
(3rd) Tyler T, 3-1


Emerald Downs (4th) Moonee Beach, 3-1
(6th) Miss Jazzie Harbor, 8-1


Fort Erie (2nd) Come Out Ahead, 9-2
(4th) Duke of Langfuhr, 3-1


Gulfstream Park (2nd) Film Star, 5-1
(7th) Dreaminofauntdiane, 4-1


Hastings Park (1st) Willamette, 4-1
(6th) Run Stormy Run, 5-1


Louisiana Downs (3rd) My Bello Vita, 9-2
(4th) Amozan Ruler, 9-2


Monmouth Park (4th) Call to Action, 7-2
(6th) George Cross, 9-2


Mountaineer (1st) Indian Excess, 3-1
(5th) Tour for Love, 6-1


Parx Racing (1st) De Rage Girl, 7-2
(5th) Funded, 4-1


Pleasanton (2nd) Cazadero, 5-1
(6th) Two Pump, 5-1

Prairie Meadows (1st) Bright Dame, 4-1
(7th) Lonely Lover, 3-1

Presque Isle Downs (2nd) Rage and Ruin, 7-2
(3rd) Channel Quest, 5-1


Santa Anita (4th) Storm Power, 3-1
(7th) Play Maker, 6-1


Thistledown (5th) Brush to Clear, 6-1
(6th) Silent Kip, 9-2


Woodbine (3rd) Sky Racer, 7-2
(5th) Travelin Dream, 6-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Wynn

Bonus Play

Oakland w/Milone -135 Over Miami

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

#1 Sports

Sunday's free selection:

Los Angeles Angels - 115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Totals4U

Sunday's Free Selection

Minnesota Twins/Texas Rangers over 9 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Sunday Bonus Play 4:10 PM

MLB (911) ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (912) SAN DIEGO PADRES

Take: (911) ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS +110

I try to make it a point to watch as many big league pitching debuts as I possibly can. It’s one things to gather all the available data on first-time starters, but there’s much more that can be learned by actually viewing the pitcher in action. So I was a very interested observer on Monday night when Odrisamer Despaigne took the mound for the Padres at San Francisco.

On paper, it looks like Despaigne was an impressive winner against the Giants. Four hits and no runs in seven innings is a great debut. But I’m not buying Despaigne off what I saw. I’ll have to give him points for deception, as he has a substantial array of pitches and comes at hitters from a variety of arm slots. But he’s more style than substance. The sinker is probably his best offering, and he’s going to throw his variety pack of offerings from the high 60?s to the low 90?s. I won’t argue that he could be deceptive to hitters unfamiliar with him. But my take is that once there’s a book on Despaigne, he won’t be much of a mystery to big league bats. I actually see him having a better future in the bullpen than as a starter, as I just can’t see how he’ll be much more than a once through the lineup guy.

Despaigne’s opponent here will be Mike Bolsinger, another rookie who I would say has qualified as a mild surprise thus far. It doesn’t show in his base stats, as Bolsinger is only 1-3 with a 4.78 ERA. But he’s a strike thrower and while he’s certainly not a dominating type, I’m starting to believe Bolsinger might be capable of holding down a back of the rotation spot. Bolsinger does need to find a way to avoid getting destroyed by the long ball. But it’s also likely that his HR/FB rate, which is absurdly high right now, should get at least some correction.

I see Bolsinger as the better option here, and there can’t be much doubt as to which team has the offensive edge. If it’s tight late, that would favor the Padres as they’ve got a very strong bullpen. But with the Snakes having already captured the first two in this series, and with the Padres back into another dreadful offensive funk, it looks to me like there’s a legit case to be made that Arizona ought to be favored here. At a small plus price, I’m willing to side with the Diamondbacks.