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Sunday’s NBA Playoffs Betting Preview and Odds

Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics (-4.5, 215)

ABOUT THE WIZARDS (53-35 SU, 45-42-1 ATS, 54-33-1 O/U): John Wall scored a postseason career-high 42 points in Friday's closeout game at Atlanta and drew raves for his defensive effort, especially a chase-down block in the fourth quarter that helped cut off a Hawks run. "It’s really not fair - a point guard being able to do what he does," Washington coach Scott Brooks told reporters. "It’s only one player in the league who does that, and we all know who that is. But (Wall) does it every game. That’s a sign of a champion. You chase down plays. You stay in plays." Wall, who averaged 29.5 points and 10.3 assists in the first round, was held to 17.8 points on 37.3 percent shooting in four meetings with Boston in the regular season.

ABOUT THE CELTICS (57-31 SU, 44-42-2 ATS, 42-42-4 O/U): Isaiah Thomas averaged 28.9 points in the regular season but watched his shooting numbers take a dip as he averaged 23 points in the six games against Chicago and went a combined 3-of-26 from 3-point range in the final three games of the series. Boston's other players picked up their hurting leader over the final four games, with Avery Bradley emerging as the hero of Friday's 105-83 Game 6 triumph. "I was really proud of our guys for how they treated each other, how they stood together, stuck together, and how nobody pointed fingers," coach Brad Stevens told reporters. "They were just a great support network for one another, and especially for Isaiah."

LINE HISTORY: The Celtics opened as 4.5-point home chalk in this opening game of the Eastern Conference semifinals and that number has held. The total hit the betting books at 214.5 and has gone up slightly to 215.

INJURY REPORT:

Wizards - C Ian Mahinmi (Out Indefinitely, calf).

Celtics - No injuries to report.

TRENDS:

* Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Wizards last 4 road games.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Celtics last 4 home games.
* Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
* Wizards are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston.



Utah Jazz at Los Angeles Clippers (-3.5, 189.5)

Series tied 3-3

ABOUT THE JAZZ (54-34 SU, 40-44-4 ATS, 44-44-0 O/U): Utah hasn't won a playoff series since 2010 and it squandered a big opportunity by losing Game 6 at home. The Jazz received poor shooting performances from series star Joe Johnson (nine points on 3-of-9 shooting) and backup shooting guard Rodney Hood (four points on 2-of-10 shooting) and that sabotaged their ability to score. "I'm not sure if we got tired or got tired of missing," Utah coach Quin Snyder told reporters. "(The Clippers) were the more energetic team. Their physicality on the defensive end, we didn't respond offensively the way that we needed to, or as forceful as we needed to be. When you're not aggressive enough with your frame of mind, I don't think you shoot the ball as well."

ABOUT THE CELTICS (54-34 SU, 42-45-1 ATS, 46-41-1 O/U): Los Angeles held a 91-77 edge with 3:58 left in Game 6 and had to hold off a frantic Utah charge to even the series. Chris Paul helped quell the comeback attempt and will again be counted on heavily Sunday in a series in which he is averaging 27.3 points and 10 assists and topped 20 points in all six games. "He's so unselfish he wants to get other guys going, but sometimes we need him to get going," Jordan told reporters of Paul. "He's been able to do that in this series and just take advantage of whatever they're giving him and then still be able to get other guys involved and keep everybody engaged. As one of the leaders of this team, he's done a great job of that all season and even more in the playoffs."

LINE HISTORY: The Clippers opened as 3.5-point home favorites in this single elimination game and some early action on the chalk bumped that number to -4 before returning to the opening number of -3.5 Sunday morning. The total opened at 193 and has been bet all of the way down to 189.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Jazz - SG Alec Burks (Doubtful Friday, knee).

Clippers - PF Blake Griffin (Out for Season, toe), C Diamond Stone (Out Indefinitely, knee).

TRENDS:

* Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss.
* Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.
* Under is 5-0 in Jazz last five road games.
* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Los Angeles.
* Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
 
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Game 1's in second round of NBA Playoffs producing a crazy total trend

The total for Game 1 of the Raptors-Cavaliers series on Monday has a total of 208.5 and the Over has been cashing at a remarkable rate in opening games of the second round since 2010.

The first round of the NBA playoffs is winding down. Teams like the Warriors and Cavaliers have already advanced while most other series are nearing their conclusions. So that means it’s time to start looking ahead to Round 2.

The second round may be the most interesting to bet in the NBA playoffs. Some teams are coming off long breaks while others are riding the momentum of battling through a tough series.

The big difference between the first and second round seems to be on the offensive side of the ball. Where no matter how you got to the second round, you are more than likely used to the bright lights of the postseason and the jitters of the first round as passed.

This has created one of the most profitable wagering opportunities in the NBA playoffs – betting the Over in Game 1 of Round 2.

The Over is a remarkable 21-7 in Game 1’s in the second round since 2010. That’s a success rate of 75 percent.

What makes the number more remarkable is while obviously scoring is up in the NBA over that past few years, it appears sportsbooks have tried to adjust to this trend and it still hasn’t worked.

Between 2010 and 2013 the average total in these second round Game 1’s was 189.1 with the Over going 12-4, once again a 75 percent success rate. Compare that to the last three years and the average total is over 10 points higher per game at 199.8 and yet the Overs still went 9-3, for, say it with us, a 75 percent success rate.

What's worth more to NBA playoff oddsmakers: rest or rhythm?: Live From Las Vegas
As we enter the second round of the NBA playoffs, teams like Cleveland will be well rested after sweeping its first round opponent while other teams will be coming off grueling series battles. How do those situations impact the oddsmaking for series and Game 1 prices? We talk to Jay Rood, vice president of race and sports for MGM Resorts.

Last year the Overs went 3-1 (75 percent) in second round Game 1’s with an average total of 200.4. It was the highest average total in second round Game 1’s since 2010. Not only did those three of the four games go Over last season, they did so easily, doing so by a margin of 17.3 points per contest.

Looking ahead to this year, there are only three of the four second round Game 1’s on the board, but a quick look tells you two things: scoring is up once again in the NBA and books are still trying to catch up to this trend.

The average total for the three games this year is currently 212.8. That’s another 10 points higher even just compared to last year. Not to mention the fact, that number may go even higher with Golden State still waiting in the wings for the winner of Utah and Los Angeles.

Heck, the highest total in the Game 1’s last year was 210 and that was between the Warriors and Trail Blazers.

So while this trend is red-hot, make sure to study the matchups wisely and exercise caution when diving into your NBA Playoffs second round Game 1 total bets this year.
 
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Bruce Marshall

Tampa Bay at Toronto
Pick: Toronto

Aaron Sanchez returns to the mound for the Blue Jays after a near three-week absence, but will be facing one of his favorite teams in the Rays, Last season, Sanchez posted an 0.64 ERA in two starts vs. Tampa Bay and allowed just one run and four hits over 7 IP in an early April start at the Trop. Meanwhile, Rays starter Chris Archer has labored in his last two starts, allowing 9 runs and 13 hits while walking 7 in just 11 2/3 IP. Toronto needs to get winning again and took a step in the right direction with Saturday's win.
 
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Teddy Davis
Apr 30 '17, 2:15 PM
MLB | Reds vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals -1½ +130 at betonline

The Cardinals are rolling right now winning 3 straight and 6 of their last 7. I look for them to continue that streak here with Leake on the mound who has been terrific to start the season.

Leake is 3-1 with a 1.32 ERA in four games so far. He has a better ERA at home with a 1.26.

Arroyo just isn't the same and I don't see him turning it around. I will give him a little credit last game against the Cubs he did impress me. He still owns a 6.86 ERA and a terrible road ERA of 13.50.
 
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NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, April 30


Anaheim @ Edmonton

Game 11-12
April 30, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
11.494
Edmonton
12.217
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-130
5
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-130); Over

St. Louis @ Nashville

Game 9-10
April 30, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
12.689
Nashville
10.910
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-145
5
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+125); Over
 
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NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, April 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (51-31-0-7, 109 pts.) at NASHVILLE (46-30-0-12, 104 pts.) - 4/30/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 237-193 ATS (+533.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 26-16 ATS (+5.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NASHVILLE is 18-9 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 110-81 ATS (+1.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 43-30 ATS (+12.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) in road games in April games this season.
ST LOUIS is 32-20 ATS (+8.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 14-5 ATS (+8.4 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 9-4 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games after a division game this season.
ST LOUIS is 24-18 ATS (+5.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 14-9 ATS (+24.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NASHVILLE is 14-20 ATS (-10.8 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 9-8-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ANAHEIM (50-25-0-13, 113 pts.) at EDMONTON (53-27-0-10, 116 pts.) - 4/30/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 53-37 ATS (+14.6 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 34-18 ATS (+10.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
EDMONTON is 26-11 ATS (+10.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
EDMONTON is 16-8 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ANAHEIM is 32-18 ATS (+8.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
ANAHEIM is 52-37 ATS (+94.2 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 20-11 ATS (+7.2 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 244-184 ATS (+25.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 25-17 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ANAHEIM is 28-16 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 2-6 ATS (-8.3 Units) in home games on Sunday games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 10-6 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 10-6-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)
 
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Short Sheet

Sunday, April 30

Western Conference Semifinals – Best of 7 – Game 3 – Series Tied At 1-1

St Louis at Nashville, 3:00 PM ET
St Louis: 17-10 ATS in road games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days
Nashville: 10-2 OVER in road games after 3 consecutive division games

Western Conference Semifinals – Best of 7 – Game 3 – EDM Leads 2-0

Anaheim at Edmonton, 7:00 PM ET
Anaheim: 20-11 ATS in road games vs. division opponents
Edmonton: 18-7 UNDER in home games after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game
 
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NHL

Sunday, April 30

Trend Report

3:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. NASHVILLE
St. Louis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
St. Louis is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Nashville
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Nashville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis

7:00 PM
ANAHEIM vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Anaheim's last 16 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Anaheim is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Anaheim
Edmonton is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
 
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NHL

Sunday, April 30

Nashville is 5-1 in playoffs after 3-2 loss at St Louis in Game 2; Predators led 2-1 in 3rd period, but allowed GW goal with 3:51 left- they’ve only given up eight goals in six playoff games so far this spring. Over is 1-0-4 in their last five games. Home side is 8-3 in last 11 St Louis-Nashville tilts; Blues are 8-2 in last ten games overall, but they were outscored 14-4 in losing last three games in Music City. St Louis won their last five road games, with only two of those in regulation. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games, 6-3-2 in last 12 series games. St Louis blocked 24 shots in Game 2, after blocking only four shots in Game 1.

Edmonton won five of its last six games with Anaheim; they won Game 2 despite being outshot 40-23. Ducks lost their last two visits here, both 3-2 verdicts in OT. Under is 5-2-2 in last nine series games. Anaheim had won eight games in row before this series; Oilers won their last four games, three of them on road. Edmonton is 3-9 on power play in series, Ducks 2-7; Anaheim has yet to score a first period goal in series. Oilers won nine of last 11 games overall; they blocked 18 shots in Game 2, Anaheim only nine. Anaheim won its last three road games; all of them were in Calgary.

Second round NHL series
NY Rangers (-$150) vs Ottawa (+$130)
Ottawa 2-1
Ottawa 6-5 OT

Pittsburgh (+$110) vs Washington (-$130)
Penguins 3-2
Penguins 6-2

St Louis (+$110) vs Nashville (-$130)
Nash 4-3
St Louis 2-1

Anaheim (-$135) vs Edmonton (+$115)
Edmonton 5-3
Edmonton 3-2

Home: 3-5 (24-26)
Over: 4-1-1 (17-23-10)

NHL First round series:
East
Washington-Toronto
Wash 3-2 OT
Tor 4-3 2OT
Tor 4-3 OT
Wash 5-4
Wash 2-1 OT
Wash 2-1 OT
Capitals win series, 4-2

Pittsburgh-Columbus
Pitt 3-1
Pitt 4-1
Pitt 5-4 OT
CBJ 5-4
Pitt 5-2
Penguins win series, 4-1

Montreal-NY Rangers
NYR 2-0
Mtl 4-3 OT
Mtl 3-1
NYR 2-1
NYR 3-2 OT
NYR 3-1
Rangers win series 4-2

Ottawa-Boston
Bos 2-1
Ott 4-3 OT
Ott 4-3 OT
Ott 1-0
Bos 3-2 OT
Ott 2-1 OT
Senators win series, 4-2

West
Chicago-Nashville
Nash 1-0
Nash 5-0
Nash 3-2 OT
Nash 4-1
Predators win series, 4-0

Minnesota-St Louis
StL 2-1 ot
StL 2-1
StL 3-1
Minn 2-0
StL 4-2 OT
Blues win series, 4-1

Anaheim-Calgary
Ana, 3-2
Ana 3-2
Ana 5-4 OT
Ana 3-1
Ducks win series, 4-0

Edmonton-San Jose
SJ 3-2 ot
Edmonton 2-0
Edmonton 1-0
SJ 7-0
Edmonton 4-3 OT
Edmonton 3-1
Oilers win series, 4-2

Home teams: 20-22
Over: 13-21-8
 
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Sunday’s NHL Stanley Cup Betting Preview and Odds

Anaheim find themselves in unfamiliar territory, as the Pacific Division champions have suffered back-to-back regulation losses for the first time since October.

The second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs continues Sunday with two critical Game 3’s. The Oilers look to take a commanding 3-0 lead while the Predators look to take advantage of home ice. We break down all the betting angles to help you handicap the day's puck action.

Saint Louis Blues at Nashville Predators (-145, 5)

Series tied at 1

ABOUT THE BLUES (51-31-5-2 SU, 38-51 ATS, 36-39 O/U): Vladimir Tarasenko, who pumped in a team-high 39 goals this season after scoring 40 in 2015-16, had been limited to one tally and three points before breaking loose in Game 2. "What he's done in the playoffs speaks for itself," St. Louis coach Mike Yeo said of the Russian standout. "If you want to look up the stats and what he's done speaks for itself. ... It’s not like he’s been playing poorly.” Goaltender Jake Allen also stood tall when it mattered most, making 14 saves in the final 20 minutes after facing only nine shots in the first two periods.

ABOUT THE PREDATORS (46-30-8-4 SU, 45-43 ATS, 42-36 O/U): Despite its inability to hold the third-period lead and the fact that Nashville put St. Louis on the power play five times without having one of its own in Game 2, a bright spot was provided by forward James Neal. A 31-goal scorer for the Predators last season, Neal ended a 10-game goal drought with his first of the postseason after tallying four times in each of the previous two seasons. The Predators' blue-line corps continues to provide production, with Ryan Ellis following up P.K. Subban's three-point game with a goal and assist on Friday.

LINE HISTORY: The Predators opened as -140 moneyline favorites for Game 3 on home ice and the total opened at 5.

INJURY REPORT:

Blues - C Robby Fabbri (Out for Season, knee)

Predators - RW Craig Smith (Questionable Sunday, lower body), LW Pontus Aberg (Questionable Sunday, undisclosed), LW Vernon Fiddler (Questionable Sunday, possible suspension), LW Kevin Fail (Out for Season, leg)

TRENDS:

* Predators are 5-1 in their last six overall.
* Under is 5-1 in Blues last six games following a win.
* Under is 1-0-3 in Predators last four games playing on 1 days rest.
* Under is 3-0-2 in Predators last five home games.




Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers (-130, 5)

Oilers lead series 2-0

ABOUT THE DUCKS (50-25-10-3 SU, 46-42 ATS, 30-38 O/U): The "other" goaltender in this series is John Gibson, who rebounded from a four-goal performance in the series opener by stopping 21 shots on Friday - although he yielded his ninth power-play tally of the playoffs. "If you're going to play a long time, you're going to have adversity," the 23-year-old Gibson told the Orange County Register. "We have it now. If you want to have success, we have a job to get done." Jakob Silfverberg scored for the second time in as many games Friday to match captain Ryan Getzlaf with a team-leading four goals, while the 26-year-old Swede's point total resides at 28 in 29 playoff appearances since 2015.

ABOUT THE OILERS (53-27-5-5 SU, 49-41 ATS, 35-46 O/U): While likely Hart Trophy candidate and generational talent Connor McDavid traditionally commands the undivided attention of the opponent, several unsung Edmonton players temporarily have grabbed the spotlight in his stead. Andrej Sekera has joined fellow defenseman Adam Larsson and forwards Zack Kassian, David Desharnais and Anton Slepyshev in providing offense in the playoffs for the Oilers. Former Duck Patrick Maroon, who scored the game-winning tally on the power play Friday, has no trouble in that regard after setting career highs in both goals (27) and points (42) to go along with personal bests in rating (plus-13) and games played (81).

LINE HISTORY: The Oilers opened as -130 favorites and moved to -135 before returning to the opening number of -130. The total hit the betting board at 5 and hasn’t moved off the opening number.

INJURY REPORT:

Ducks - D Sami Valanen (Questionable Sunday, shoulder), LW Nick Ritchie (Questionable Sunday, flu), D Kevin Bieksa (Out Sunday, lower body), D Simon Desires (Out Indefinitely, concussion), D Clayton Stoner (Out Indefinitely, abdominal)

Oilers - LW Drake Caggiula (Questionable Sunday, lower body), D Andrew Ference (Out for Season, hip), RW Tyler Pitlick (Out for Season, knee)

TRENDS:

* Ducks are 12-3 in their last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Oilers are 11-1 in their last 12 home games.
* Over is 5-0-2 in Ducks last seven when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game.
* Over is 4-1-4 in Oilers last nine after allowing two goals or less in their previous game.
* Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in Edmonton.
 
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Tony Karpinski
Apr 30 '17, 1:10 PM
MLB | White Sox vs Tigers
Play on: White Sox -104 at 5Dimes

At this point, the Tigers’ bullpen has to be thrown in a trash can and start from ground zero. They are very bad. Dead arms, inexperienced arms, and more are a part of the bullpen disaster for the Tigers.

If Gonzalez keeps pitching like he has in April, there will be people taking note. He has an ERA of just 2.00, including a solid WHIP of 1.07. His last two starts have been impressive, as he’s allowed just 1 run in 16.1 inning pitched. Additionally, Gonzalez surrendered only 6 hits. More good news for Gonzalez against the Tigers, as he gave up 0 runs this past September against them in 2016.

As I noted earlier, Zimmermann has been struggling mightily. He enters with a 6.35 ERA overall, including a 8.10 ERA in his last three starts.
Get on the White Sox for our Sunday afternoon MLB pick.
 
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Jimmy Boyd
Apr 30 '17, 2:15 PM
MLB | Twins vs Royals
Play on: Royals -125 at GTBets

Sunday's Free MLB Pick on Kansas City Royals -

After Saturday's game was rained out, we get the same starting matchup on Sunday and I'm sticking with my Bonus Play on the Royals.

The losing streak stops here for Kansas City. The Royals head into Sunday's game against the Twins having lost 8 straight, including a 4-6 defeat to these Twins in Friday's series opener. The big thing to keep in mind with Kansas City's recent slump is that 7 of the 8 losses came on the road. They have a winning record at home on the season and I like the pitching matchup here.

Jason Hammel has been up and down to start, but did pitch extremely well in his last start at home, allowing just 1 run on 6 hits in 6 innings against the Giants. He's more than capable of shutting down this Minnesota offense. The Twins will counter with Phil Hughes, who despite a 3-1 record has a less than impressive 4.71 ERA and 1.333 WHIP. Hughes also owns a 4.97 ERA in 13 career starts against the Royals.

Twins are 5-15 in their last 20 road games against a right-handed starter, 7-19 in their last 26 following a win and 6-20 in their last 26 after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game. Take Kansas City!
 
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Brandon Lee
Apr 30 '17, 1:05 PM
MLB | Rays vs Blue Jays
Play on: Rays -109 at BMaker

10* Free MLB Pick (Rays -109)

Tampa Bay is worth a look here against the Blue Jays. The Rays will send out Chris Archer, who has struggled in his last two outings after a great first 3 starts of the season. I like Archer's chances of returning to form here against a Blue Jays offense that has struggle in the first month. Toronto is only scoring 3.6 runs/game (3.0 runs/game at home) and hitting a mere .229 as a team. I also think this is a good spot to go against Blue Jays starter Aaron Sanchez. He hasn't pitched since 4/14 because of a blister and they are going to be cautious with him, which means there's a good chance Tampa Bay's offense gets into that Toronto bullpen early (5.97 ERA at home). Give me the Rays -109!
 
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Brad Wilton

Game Seven! Are there any better words in the world of sports!?!?!

Here we are with the Jazz and Clippers all knotted at 3-3 and the winner getting the pleasure of facing the rested Golden State Warriors for what will likely be a quick dispatching, but I digress...Someone is winning this game today, and while I suspect the Clippers will take it, I think the Jazz are getting enough to warrant a play on the points.

Home court is "supposed" to mean something in the playoffs, but the nature of this series has not shown that to the case very often, as the visitor has won 4 of the 6 games played straight up, including the last pair.

The underdog has gone 4-2 against the spread in this series, and the Utah Jazz are one of the better road teams in the league this season, sporting a 24-20 straight up mark. The Jazzmen have also covered in 6 of their last 8 visits to the Staples Center, so let's look for a game that heads right down to the wire, and for the Jazz plus the points to get the bacon.

Utah the call.

3* UTAH
 
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Chris Jordan

Anyone else notice what is going on in San Francisco? The San Diego Padres can win their second road series of the season with another win over the Giants. I don't know if I want to poke the bear, and go against the home team, but I will count on an offensive onslaught and play this one high.

The Padres may be the losingest road team in the majors, with a 5-12 mark on the highway, but they erased a 3-1 yesterday to win 12-4, finding their offense during an eight-run sixth inning.

The momentum will carry over to Sunday, as the season-high 12 runs were the most the Padres scored at AT&T Park. Now the Giants will be out for revenge with bats of their own, and will help take this total high.

5* Padres/Giants Over
 
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Jack Brayman

My Bonus Play is the St. Louis Cardinals on the Run Line, against their National League Central rival Cincinnati Reds. The teams were rained out yesterday, and that game will be made up at another date. But they're back on the field for this one, and the game is easy.

Provided there is a break from rain and hail, the Cardinals will keep their momentum going, as they've won three in a row, while the Reds have lost four straight.

Though pitchers are automatically listed when making Run Line wagers, I am insisting you DO NOT worry about who the scheduled starters are. In the event of a scratch, you MUST re-wager the game with the new pitcher(s) who are scheduled. This play will stand no matter who pitches for either team.

The Reds on the road, having to wait out the weather, will come out sluggish and playing with no vigor. On the other hand, we have the Redbirds, who can head into the week with a wealth of momentum by scoring a big win.

Lay the Run line.

3* CARDINALS -1.5
 
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Jeff Benton

After a Friday loss, the Cubs came back on Saturday afternoon in their game at Boston and dumped the Red Sox to even the weekend set. Rubber game tonight, and I side with Chicago to head back home with a win behind Kyle Hendricks.

I have a feeling Hendricks is ready to go on a bit of a run as we head to the second month of the season. Hendricks is off his best start in 4 turns through the rotation, limiting the Pirates to just 4 hits and no runs in his 6 innings of work in a Cubs 1-0 win.

The Cubs have now won 7 of their last 10 games, while the Red Sox have been on the wrong side in 6 of their past 9. Boston's offense is showing some signs of life, but they are still not consistent enough to be trusted.

Eduardo Rodriguez is off his best outing of the young season, as he blanked the Orioles over 6 innings with 7 big strikeouts. That start was on the road. In his lone home start, Rodriguez did allow 3 runs in his 5-plus innings against Pittsburgh. The issue for Rodriguez has been his control, as he has whiffed 22 batters, but he has also walked 12.

Chicago has been the steadier side of late, so side with them to take the rubber game here on Sunday night.

5* CUBS
 
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Eric Schroeder

On the heels of nailing my Bonus Play on the New York Mets as a big underdog over the Washington Nationals on Saturday, I'm headed 15 minutes north to the Bronx, and will play the New York Yankees over the Baltimore Orioles.

The Yankees have won four in a row, while the Baltimore Orioles have lost four of six and don't necessarily look like a team that is playing cohesive at the moment.

And when you have a team like the Yankees streaking like this, and it is playing at home on a weekend against a rival like the Orioles, you ride the wave of momentum.

The Orioles took two of three from the Yankees earlier this month, in Baltimore, so New York will be looking to return the favor.

The Yankees offense is playing extremely well, ranking sixth in the league right now with a .264 batting average. They also rank third in the bigs with 78 runs scored at home, where they're hitting .276.

Baltimore, on the other hand, falls in the lower half of the league with a mere 94 runs scored and a .242 batting average.

Let's take the Yanks today as your freebie.

3* YANKEES
 
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Oskeim Sports

Atlanta vs. Milwaukee
Play: Atlanta -101

Milwaukee right-hander Matt Garza just made his first start of the season after being on the 10-day disabled list with a right groin strain. The 33-year-old allowed one run on four hits in 4 innings of work, issuing three walks and striking out four batters.

Garza had his worst season of his professional career in 2015 where he finished with a 5.63 ERA and struck out a career low (6.30 K/9). While his peripherals were slightly better (4.94 FIP; 4.50 xFIP), his skill set was showing signs of regression throughout the 2015 campaign.
Looking for a bounce back season in 2016, Garza once again struggled with a 4.51 ERA, 4.33 FIP and 4.49 xFIP across 101.2 innings. The one positive surrounding Garza is his 54.8% ground ball rate, but inducing worm burners does little good for a pitcher with control issues, a declining strikeout rate and a woefully inadequate infield defense behind him. Let's also note that Garza is 1-4 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in seven career starts against the Braves.

Atlanta starter Mike Foltynewicz is off to a decent start with a 2.55 ERA in his first three outings this season. He has also enjoyed success against the Brewers as evidenced by his career 1.35 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in two outings.

The 25-year-old has newfound command of his electric fastball and has done an excellent job with keeping the ball in play (0.46 HR/9). A 3.45 FIP substantiates the young hurler's early success in 2017, and he provides excellent value at Miller Park this afternoon.

With Atlanta standing at 21-8 following a win and 4-0 in its last four games overall, take the Braves and invest with confidence.

Note: Milwaukee is 0-5 in its last five home games versus teams with a losing road record and 3-7 in its last ten home games versus right-handed starters. The Braves are 8-3 in their last 11 meetings in Milwaukee.
 
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Dave Essler

Tigers -110 1st Half

Not to be confused with any other five innings. Detroit has fared well against Gonzalez, who at times is under valued, but here he's coming off of a high-pitch count game, and two WAY above average games for him. He's a flyball pitcher against the wrong team here. I'm adding the OVER for Baroo, really, (kidding) because Zimmerman hasn't been great - but he and the Tigers for five innings, at home, is a good bet with not juice, per se. Yes, of course there's some - -110 or whatever and I'll have it graded at whatever # you want since lines aren't up yet for that.

Of course we're not taking Detroit for the game because they've got no bullpen, which Zimmerman is aware of, so perhaps he tries just a BIT harder, who knows. What I do know is if it weren't chilly with a left-to right wind we'd never be able to get this total - and after yesterday even the White Sox VERY GOOD bullpen (which is why I cannot take Detroit for the game) had to be used a fair bit.
 

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