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Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Sunday, March 5, 2017

3/05 01:30 PM CB (881) PURDUE VS (882) NORTHWESTERN. Play (881) PURDUE
 
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Roz Wins

Roz's Sunday, March 5, 2017, Free Pick

03/05 08:00 PM EST CB (849) MICHIGAN VS (850) NEBRASKA.

Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.

Reason: Your free pick for Sunday, March 5, 2017 comes in college hoops in the Big 10 as Michigan and Nebraska battle. Michigan heads out on the road, #3 in the Big 10 in scoring defense. The Under is 11-5 in the Wolverines last 16 road games, plus 11-5 under away against a team with a winning home record. Nebraska prefers a slower tempo, #13 in the conference in scoring (second to last). The Under is 6-2 in Cornhuskers last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentages of less than .400. Play Michigan/Nebraska Under the total.
 
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Sunday's six-pack

— Duke and North Carolina have met only once in last 12 ACC tournaments. Duke won 75-58 in 2011 tournament final.

— Heat 120, Cavaliers 92— Cleveland is 0-8 vs spread on road if they played night before.

— South Dakota 78, Western Illinois 69 OT— Top seed in Summit League dodges a bullet.

— Justin Thomas leads the PGA event in Mexico; he had a hole-in-one on 13th hole.

— Penn 75, Harvard 72— Quakers qualify for Ivy tourney, which is next week on their home court, the Palestra.

— IUPUI 76, North Dakota State 57- -#7 seed upsets #2 seed in Summit League
 
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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 5

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MINNESOTA (23 - 7) at WISCONSIN (22 - 8) - 3/5/2017, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 84-118 ATS (-45.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
WISCONSIN is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
MINNESOTA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CINCINNATI (26 - 4) at CONNECTICUT (14 - 15) - 3/5/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) in March games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-3 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PENN ST (14 - 16) at IOWA (17 - 13) - 3/5/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-2 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-2 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TEMPLE (15 - 15) at S FLORIDA (7 - 21) - 3/5/2017, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 200-161 ATS (+22.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 3-3 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 6-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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E CAROLINA (14 - 16) at HOUSTON (21 - 9) - 3/5/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 147-190 ATS (-62.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 138-180 ATS (-60.0 Units) after a conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TULSA (14 - 15) at TULANE (5 - 24) - 3/5/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all home games this season.
TULANE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home lined games this season.
TULANE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
TULANE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 3-1 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 5-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MICHIGAN (19 - 11) at NEBRASKA (12 - 17) - 3/5/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games this season.
MICHIGAN is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 64-37 ATS (+23.3 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 2-1 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WM & MARY (16 - 13) vs. UNC-WILMINGTON (26 - 5) - 3/5/2017, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
WM & MARY is 4-2 against the spread versus UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WM & MARY is 4-2 straight up against UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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IL-CHICAGO (14 - 17) vs. WI-GREEN BAY (18 - 12) - 3/5/2017, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-GREEN BAY is 111-82 ATS (+20.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
WI-GREEN BAY is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in March games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
IL-CHICAGO is 4-3 against the spread versus WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
WI-GREEN BAY is 7-0 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WRIGHT ST (20 - 11) vs. N KENTUCKY (21 - 10) - 3/5/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WRIGHT ST is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
N KENTUCKY is 3-1 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
N KENTUCKY is 2-2 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WOFFORD (15 - 16) vs. UNC-GREENSBORO (23 - 8) - 3/5/2017, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
WOFFORD is 5-2 against the spread versus UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
WOFFORD is 5-2 straight up against UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DENVER (16 - 13) vs. S DAKOTA ST (15 - 16) - 3/5/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S DAKOTA ST is 78-52 ATS (+20.8 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
S DAKOTA ST is 84-57 ATS (+21.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
S DAKOTA ST is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-3 against the spread versus S DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
S DAKOTA ST is 5-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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IUPU-FT WAYNE (19 - 11) vs. NEBRASKA-OMAHA (16 - 13) - 3/5/2017, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all games this season.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 3-2 against the spread versus NEBRASKA-OMAHA over the last 3 seasons
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 5-1 straight up against NEBRASKA-OMAHA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NAVY (16 - 15) at BUCKNELL (24 - 8) - 3/5/2017, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUCKNELL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
BUCKNELL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUCKNELL is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
BUCKNELL is 6-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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LEHIGH (19 - 11) at BOSTON U (18 - 13) - 3/5/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LEHIGH is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
LEHIGH is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LEHIGH is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
LEHIGH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON U is 1-1 against the spread versus LEHIGH over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON U is 4-2 straight up against LEHIGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CAMPBELL (17 - 16) at WINTHROP (25 - 6) - 3/5/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINTHROP is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all home games since 1997.
WINTHROP is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
WINTHROP is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
WINTHROP is 4-2 straight up against CAMPBELL over the last 3 seasons




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N FLORIDA (15 - 18) at FLA GULF COAST (25 - 7) - 3/5/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA GULF COAST is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) in all games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA GULF COAST is 1-0 against the spread versus N FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
FLA GULF COAST is 4-3 straight up against N FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PURDUE (24 - 6) at NORTHWESTERN (21 - 9) - 3/5/2017, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
PURDUE is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
PURDUE is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 2-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 3-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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Sunday, March 5

Trend Report

12:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CONNECTICUT
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games at home
Connecticut is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 1:00 PM
PENN STATE vs. IOWA
Penn State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa's last 7 games when playing Penn State
Iowa is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 2:00 PM
WILLIAM & MARY vs. UNC WILMINGTON
No trends available
UNC Wilmington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing William & Mary
UNC Wilmington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 2:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Temple is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Temple is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of South Florida's last 12 games
South Florida is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 2:00 PM
WICHITA STATE vs. ILLINOIS STATE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois State's last 5 games
Illinois State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 4:00 PM
TULSA vs. TULANE
Tulsa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tulane
Tulsa is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tulane is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Tulsa
Tulane is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulsa

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 4:00 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 7 games on the road
East Carolina is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing East Carolina
Houston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 4:30 PM
PURDUE vs. NORTHWESTERN
Purdue is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Purdue is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games when playing Purdue
Northwestern is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Purdue

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 4:30 PM
TOWSON vs. COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON
No trends available
College of Charleston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of College of Charleston's last 5 games when playing Towson

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 4:30 PM
SIENA vs. MONMOUTH
No trends available
Monmouth is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Siena
Monmouth is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 5:00 PM
WOFFORD vs. UNC GREENSBORO
No trends available
UNC Greensboro is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UNC Greensboro's last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 5:00 PM
ILLINOIS-CHICAGO vs. WISC-GREEN BAY
No trends available
Wisc-Green Bay is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
Wisc-Green Bay is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Illinois-Chicago

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 6:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. WISCONSIN
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
Minnesota is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Wisconsin is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
IONA vs. SAINT PETER'S
No trends available
Saint Peter's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saint Peter's last 7 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 8:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. NEBRASKA
Michigan is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Michigan's last 9 games on the road
Nebraska is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
Nebraska is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
 
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Sunday, March 5

Northwestern won its last game at buzzer over Michigan; pundits have them in NCAA’s; they’re 4-3 in last seven games, 5-3 SU at home. Purdue won seven of last eight games, is 5-3 on big 14 road, 2-5 vs spread as a road favorite, with wins by 1-11-1-5-4 points. Purdue made 12-23 on arc, pounded Northwestern 80-59 at home Feb 1, game that was 45-23 at the half. Boilers won last three series games by 8-10-21 points, but they’re just 4-3 in last seven games vs Wildcats, losing two of last three games in Evanston.

Wisconsin lost five of its last six games, is 6-2 at home in league, 4-4 as a home favorite, with wins by 20-23-4-27-5-11 points- they lost at home to Iowa/Northwestern. Badgers won 78-76 in OT at Minnesota Jan 21; both teams hit 50%+ from arc. Wisconsin won last six series games; they won last five series games played here, by 8-7-1-8-10 points. Minnesota won its last eight games (7-1 vs spread); they’re 5-3 on Big 14 road, 4-3 as a road underdog- their road losses are by 18 at Michigan State, 2 at Penn State, 6 at Ohio State.

MVC final, St Louis
Last seven years, Wichita State is 110-16 in Missouri Valley regular season games, but they only won Arch Madness once, three years ago. Shockers split pair with Illinois State this year, losing by 14 in Normal Jan 14, then avenging that loss 86-45 three weeks later, when McIntosh was out of lineup for ISU. Redbirds are 3-2 in last five games vs Wichita; they upset Shockers in semis here two years ago. Both teams had fairly easy wins yesterday; only two Shockers played more than 26:00. Illinois State didn’t anyone more than 24:00 yesterday, or 29:00 Friday.

CAA semifinals, Charleston
NC-Wilmington is 41-13 in CAA regular season games under Keatts; they won this tourney LY. UNCW won their last five games, all by nine or less points. Wm & Mary has never played in NCAA’s; since 2008, they’re 4-2 in their second tournament game, losing by 3 to Hofstra in this round LY. Tribe split pair with NC-Wilmington this year, losing 101-77 in Wilmington (-10 in turnovers), then upsetting Seahawks 96-78 in rematch, when they turned ball over only 8 times. W&M played three starters 33:00+ in tight 71-66 win over Elon yesterday.

Home side won both Charleston-Towson games this year; Cougars won by 5, then lost rematch by 6 in OT (Towson was 23-33 on line that night, 7-16 in first meeting). Cougars lost in this round of CAA tourney last three years, by 11-25-2 points- they used three guys 33:00+ in 67-62 win over JMU last nite, tough game. Tigers pounded Northeastern last nite, had stress-free game; 2009 was last time they won two games in same CAA tournament. Towson is 5-3 vs Charleston in CAA meetings. This tourney is in North Charleston, not in Cougars’ arena.

Horizon tournament. Detroit
Northern Kentucky beat Wright State twice this year, by 4-7 points; Norse won seven of last eight games overall. Wright State won five of its last seven games. Raiders lost Horizon tourney final three of last four years, which is why they fired the coach LY after a 22-13 season. New coach Nagy won three of last five Summit tourneys at South Dakota State. Raiders are 7-4 in this event the last four years. NKU is 0-2 in conference tourney games, losing by 17 to Milwaukee LY in first Horizon tourney- they lost to Lipscomb in A-Sun the year before.

Green Bay swept Ill-Chicago this year, winning by 4-8 points; UIC led first game by 10 with 9:36 left, led rematch by 7 at the half. Green Bay outscored Flames 22-7 on foul line in their home win. Phoenix won last ten series games overall; they also won this Horizon tourney LY, after going 11-7 in regular season. Flames lost last four games, allowing average of 87.7 pts/game; UIC is 3-7 in this tourney last seven years- this was their best regular season (7-11) in last four years. Green Bay split its last six games, with three wins by 24-8-8 points.

MAAC tournament, beautiful downtown Albany
St Peter’s won its last seven games, allowing 60+ points only once; they start three seniors, two juniors. Iona swept Peacocks this season, winning by 14-3(ot) points, still finished behind St Peter’s in MAAC standings. Gaels made 23-47 on arc in two wins over St Peter’s; they’re 11-2 in this tourney the last five years, winning 2+ games the last four years. Iona split its last eight games overall; they used three starters 31:00+ in last night’s fairly easy win over Rider. Peacocks didn’t play last night; since ’06, they’re 3-1 in second tourney game.

Monmouth won its last 17 games, but unless they win this tourney, they’re NIT-bound. Hawks swept Siena this year, winning 102-82 on this floor Feb 13 (made 13-24 on arc), then nipping Saints 77-73 at home in rematch nine days ago (7-22 on arc). Monmouth is 48-12 in regular season last three years, but only 4-2 in this event- they won NEC tourneys in ’04, ’06. Siena starts four seniors who all scored 1,000+ points; Saints won six of last eight games, the last five times they won their first tourney game, they lost second one, by 30-10-12-3-11 points.

Southern Conference semis, Asheville, NC
Wofford won five of last seven games with NC-Greensboro; Terriers won 93-74 in first meeting this year (were 11-25 on arc), then lost rematch 74-55 (7-22 on arc). Wofford won this tourney two of last three years; last four times they won first tourney game, they also won second game. Since ’06, NC-Greensboro is 1-6 in second tourney game; Spartans won last eight games overall; they used three starters 31:00+ yesterday. Wofford used four starters 32:00+ in their win over injury-riddled Chattanooga. Terriers split their last six games overall.

East Tennessee State beat Samford twice this year, in double OT on road Jan 25 (blew 14-point lead in 2nd half), then by hoop at home three weeks later (trailed by 7 with 4:36 left). Bucs won five of six SoCon meetings with Samford; all five wins were by 4 or less points or in OT. ETSU won seven of its last eight games overall; they used only two guys more than 27:00 in win over Mercer last nite. Samford is playing for third nite in row after going 2-6 at end of regular season. Bulldogs played three starters 31:00+ last night- they were just 19-32 on line in 67-63 win.

Summit League tournament, Sioux Falls
Denver lost its last three games, allowing 85 pts/game; they beat South Dakota State 91-82 at home in first meeting (SDS was 15-26 on arc and lost), then lost 86-64 in Brookings eight days ago, when Jackrabbits went 14-28 on line. State won six of last eight games to finish 8-8 in Summit; they won this tourney three of last five years (12-2) but have new coach this season. Denver is 2-3 in Summit tourney games since joining league; Pioneers are 2-7 vs Jackrabbits in Summit games- they lost 54-53 to them here LY. This is basically a Jackrabbit home game.

Fort Wayne went 5-7 in its last 12 games after starting season 14-4 with win over Indiana; Mastodons are 3-1 in first Summit tourney game the last four years- they beat Omaha twice this year, 80-78 on road in first meeting (trailed by 11 with 14:36 left), then 108-101 in OT in rematch at home (trailed by 9 with 8:23 left). There were 81 3’s taken in second meeting; FW was 16-42. Omaha is 1-2 in its first two Summit tourneys; Mavericks won their last three games overall, by total of 12 points. Fort Wayne is 9-2 overall vs Omaha in Summit League meetings.
 
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NBA

Sunday, March 5

Indiana lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight road games. Last six Pacer games stayed under. Atlanta lost four of its last six games; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 4-1-2 in their last seven games. Hawks won six of last eight games with Indiana; four of last five series games stayed under the total. Pacers lost their last four visits to Atlanta (1-3 vs spread).

Warriors lost consecutive games for first time in two years; they’re 0-5 vs spread since All-Star break, 0-4 in last four road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. New York lost 8 of last 11 games; they’re 3-7 vs spread in last 10 home tilts. Four of their last five games stayed under. Knicks lost their last five games with Golden State (2-3 vs spread); Warriors won their last three visits to Manhattan, by 23-14-21 points. Five of last six series games stayed under.

Orlando lost seven of last ten games, is 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Wizards won six of last nine games, are 7-4-2 vs spread in last 13 home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Washington won eight of its last ten games with Orlando; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Magic lost four of last five games here (2-3 vs spread).

Boston won three of last four games; they covered five of last seven road games. Under is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Phoenix won four of its last five home games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games overall. Five of their last six games went over. Celtics won last three games with the Suns; road teams won four of last five series games. Over is 3-1 in last four series games. Boston won three of last four games in the desert.

Utah won four of its last six games; they covered four of last six road games (over 5-1). Kings lost last three games, all at home; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five games. Since the Cousins trade, all seven Sacramento games stayed under the total. Jazz won five of last eight games with the Kings; teams split last four meetings played here. Last three series games stayed under total.

Oklahoma City lost its last six road games (1-5 vs spread); home side covered their last seven games. Eight of last nine Thunder games went over total. Mavericks won three of last four games; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Thunder won nine of last ten games with Dallas; they won last four games in this building (3-1 vs spread). Six of last eight series games went over.

Pelicans lost four of last five games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Seven of their last eight games stayed under total. Lakers lost their last six games; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Lakers lost seven of last ten games with New Orleans; Pelicans won three of last four series games played here. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.
 
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NBA

Sunday, March 5

Trend Report

1:00 PM
INDIANA vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. NEW YORK
Golden State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
New York is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State

5:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. WASHINGTON
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Orlando is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Orlando
Washington is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games

5:00 PM
BOSTON vs. PHOENIX
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Boston is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Phoenix's last 14 games at home
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

6:00 PM
UTAH vs. SACRAMENTO
Utah is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing at home against Utah

8:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DALLAS
Oklahoma City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games
Dallas is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City

9:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games
LA Lakers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing New Orleans
 
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NHL

Sunday, March 5

Islanders won their last five games with Calgary, winning 2-1/2-1 in last two games played in Saddledome. Last five series games stayed under total. New York won four of last six games overall; they’re 3-4 in last seven road games. Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Flames won their last six games, allowing total of four goals in winning last three at home. Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

Penguins won nine of last ten games with Buffalo; three of last four series games went over the total. Sabres were outscored 21-8 in losing last five games in Steel City. Buffalo lost five of last six games overall; they lost 5-3/3-2 in last two road games. Four of their last five games went over total. Pittsburgh won four of last five home games but is 3-4 in its last seven games overall; their last four home games all went over.

Devils won their last two games with Columbus after losing previous six; Blue Jackets won three of last four games in the Garden State. Three of last four series games went over. Columbus is 5-0 in game following its last five losses; they’re 3-5 in last eight road games. Under is 6-4 in their last ten games. New Jersey lost its last six games; they lost last three road games, scoring total of six goals. Under is 5-3-3 in their last 11 games.

Sharks won six of last nine games with Minnesota; they won 4-3/3-0 in last two visits to the Twin Cities. Under is 5-4-1 in last ten series games. San Jose won its last three games, both overall and on road; under is 4-0-1 in their last five games- they allowed six goals in last five games. Minnesota won six of last nine games overall, three of last four overall; four of their last five games went over the total.

Vancouver/Anaheim split their last ten games; teams split last four meetings in Anaheim. Under is 6-2-2 in last ten series games. Canucks lost six of last eight games overall, three of last four on road. Four of their last six road games went over. Ducks are 0-4 in game following their last four wins; they won 1-0/5-2 in last two home games. Over is 2-0-1 in their last three games.

St Louis won its last three games with Colorado; home side won seven of last nine series games. Blues lost three of last four visits to Denver. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. St Louis was outscored 14-6 in losing its last five games; three of their last four games stayed under total. Blues lost last three road games. Avalanche lost their last four road games and six of last seven overall. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.

Carolina won five of last six games with Arizona; they won their last four games in the desert. Last three series games went over the total. Hurricanes lost four games in row and nine of last ten; they were outscored 17-7 in losing last four road games. Over is 2-0-1 in their last three games. Coyotes lost four of last six games, but won their last two at home. Four of their last six games went over total.
 
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NHL

Sunday, March 5

Trend Report

5:00 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. CALGARY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Islanders last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Islanders last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

6:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. PITTSBURGH
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 12 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home

6:00 PM
COLUMBUS vs. NEW JERSEY
Columbus is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
SAN JOSE vs. MINNESOTA
San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
San Jose is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against San Jose

9:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. COLORADO
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

9:00 PM
VANCOUVER vs. ANAHEIM
Vancouver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Vancouver is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver

9:30 PM
CAROLINA vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
 
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BRAD WILTON

My Sunday comp play will be to "lay it" with the Hawkeyes in the regular season home finale over the Nittany Lions.

Here we have "hot" versus "not" on Sunday, as Penn State has dropped 4 in a row and 6 of their last 8 straight up, and they have failed in 5 of their last 8 games against the spread.

Iowa's young talent is getting "bubbly" at the right time, as the Hawkeyes have claimed the win in 3 in a row both straight up and against the spread, and straight up victories in 6 of their last 9 overall both SU and ATS!

Penn State did win last year's lone meeting, and in doing so pushed the series mark for the home team to 13-6 against the spread the last 19 times the teams have faced one another.

Iowa thinking about some kind of postseason tournament stays hot today at home.

4* IOWA
 

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