Sunday 3/1/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
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[superbeets]

Capital One Cup TODAY 16:00

Chelsea

v

Tottenham

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		7/10	3	9/2	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
HD*HDAWHWADHD​ Most recent​	3 - 5 3 - 0 4 - 0 1 - 1	AWHWALHDHDAL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Tottenham have avoided defeat in five of seven games against teams in the top five

EXPERT VERDICT: Chelsea and Tottenham have provided some cracking clashes in recent years, with the Blues ahead 6-5 on aggregate over the two Premier League matches, so this League Cup final is shaping up to be a belter at Wembley. Chelsea rightly deserve to be favourites, but Spurs can also make their mark.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
2


REFEREE: Anthony Taylor STADIUM: Wembley

 

[superbeets]

English Premier TODAY 12:00

Liverpool

v

Man City

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		23/10	5/2	13/10	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT LIVERPOOL	RECENT FORM
ADHWAWHWAWAL*​ Most recent​	3 - 2 2 - 2 2 - 2 1 - 1	HLADHDAWHWHL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Liverpool have won only six of their 13 home league matches this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Manchester City have lost only one of their 13 away Premier League matches, while Liverpool are also playing well so the draw looks the best bet. City’s title defence has lacked dynamism, with draws against the likes of QPR, Burnley and Hull but the Citizens are still the best-performing away side in the division.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: Mark Clattenburg STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

English Premier TODAY 14:05

Arsenal

v

Everton

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT1		4/7	7/2	9/2	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ARSENAL	RECENT FORM
HWALHWHWAWHL​ Most recent​	4 - 1 1 - 1 0 - 0 1 - 0	AWHDALAWHDHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Everton have won just three of their last 15 league games

EXPERT VERDICT: Arsenal enhanced their chances of a top-four finish with a win at Crystal Palace and can strengthen their position with victory over the inconsistent Toffees. That win was Arsenal’s eighth in ten outings and the in-form Gunners could brush aside an Everton team who are struggling to mix it with the top teams.

RECOMMENDATION: Arsenal
4


REFEREE: Andre Marriner STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Spanish Primera Liga TODAY 11:00

Valencia

v

Sociedad

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS5		4/7	3	5	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT VALENCIA	RECENT FORM
HWHWALAWHWAW​ Most recent​	1 - 2 2 - 5 0 - 1 3 - 0	HLHWALHDADHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Valencia have won 10 of their 12 home La Liga matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Sociedad have taken some noticeable home scalps but they side are still looking for their first road success this season. Sociedad are unlikely to break their duck at Valencia - Los Che have claimed ten victories in 12 home matches and can make it six on the spin at the Mestalla.

RECOMMENDATION: Valencia
1


REFEREE: STADIUM: Mestalla, Valencia

 

[superbeets]

Italian Serie A TODAY 11:30

Cagliari

v

Verona

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT2		19/20	5/2	3	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT CAGLIARI	RECENT FORM
ADHWALHLADHL​ Most recent​	1 - 0 0 - 1 3 - 2 4 - 0	ALHWALHLALHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Verona have won one of their last 11 away fixtures

EXPERT VERDICT: Struggling Cagliari have picked up two wins from four home games since Gianfranco Zola’s appointment in late December and can ease their relegation worries by beating out-of-form Verona. Both sides have taken just one point from the last four games but Cagliari have scored in their last eight matches and their positive approach can be rewarded.

RECOMMENDATION: Cagliari
1

 

[superbeets]

Scottish Premiership TODAY 12:00

Celtic

v

Aberdeen

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS3		4/7	14/5	5	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT CELTIC	RECENT FORM
AWAWAWHDHWAL​ Most recent​	2 - 1 5 - 2 1 - 2 3 - 1	HDADNLHWAWHW​ Most recent​

EXPERT VERDICT: Celtic have only failed to win six of 25 in the Premiership, but four of those were on the weekend after European action. The trip to Milan must have taken something out of Ronny Deila’s men and a well-rested Aberdeen, unbeaten in the top flight since November, can give the hosts a game.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: John Beaton STADIUM: Celtic Park

 

[alkimyst]

Dies anyone have Jersey Kid?

 

[alkimyst]

Does anyone have Jersey Kid? **

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL Grand Salami - February

The Grand Salami in pro hockey is decided by adding up all the goals scored in every game scheduled for that particular day. You can wager on 'over' or 'under' the Grand Salami total. The total is set by adding up all listed 'over/under' odds for each game on that particular day.

Note: The Grand Salami will have no action if any game is suspended or cancelled before the regulation time of three twenty minute periods. Also, regardless of the number of goals scored during the shoot out portion of the overtime, the final scored recorded for the game will give the winning team on more goal than its opponent based on the score at the end of regulation time.

*The majority of sportsbooks do not put out a total on the Grand Salami when there is only one game on the card. For tracking purposes, we will continue to show the 'over/under' for goals and combined goals scored on days with just one game.

NHL GRAND SALAMI

Date No. of Games Total Goals Combined Goals Scored Result
2/1 4 22.5 22 UNDER
2/2 3 15.5 25 OVER
2/3 11 60 55 UNDER
2/4 3 16.5 11 UNDER
2/5 9 49.5 43 UNDER
2/6 5 27 25 UNDER
2/7 11 58 57 UNDER
2/8 8 43 45 OVER
2/9 5 25.5 28 OVER
2/10 9 50.5 47 UNDER
2/11 3 16.5 23 OVER
2/12 9 49.5 57 OVER
2/13 5 26.5 26 UNDER
2/14 10 53 63 OVER
2/15 5 27.5 24 UNDER
2/16 8 42.5 55 OVER
2/17 7 38.5 35 UNDER
2/18 6 32.5 33 OVER
2/19 7 38.5 42 OVER
2/20 7 37 37 PUSH
2/21 11 59.5 61 OVER
2/22 8 42.5 50 OVER
2/23 2 10.5 10 UNDER
2/24 11 60.5 50 UNDER
2/25 3 15.5 14 UNDER
2/26 9 48.5 46 UNDER
2/27 6 31.5 30 UNDER
2/28 10 51.5 53 OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL Preview: Blues (40-18) at Canucks (35-23)

Date: March 01, 2015 9:30 PM EDT

The St. Louis Blues have been superb on the road recently, but their struggles with the Vancouver Canucks aren't limited to the Pacific Northwest.

The Blues look to remain perfect on this trip Sunday night by avoiding a slow start against the Canucks, who are coming off one of their worst efforts of the season.

St. Louis (40-18-4) is five points behind Nashville in the race for the Presidents' Trophy, and owning one of the best road records in the NHL is a big reason why.

The Blues have won nine of 10 games as the visitors, beating Edmonton 2-1 on Saturday after winning by the same score in Winnipeg two days earlier to open this five-game trip.

Still, coach Ken Hitchcock is concerned. St. Louis has totaled 11 shots combined in the opening period of those victories.

"We don't look like we get to our game near soon enough, and we're going to get challenged in the next three or four hockey games and we're going to have to find a way to get into our game a little bit earlier," he said.

Slow starts aren't the only issue against the Canucks (35-23-3), as the Blues have dropped seven of the past nine matchups (2-5-2) while totaling 12 goals.

Paul Stastny will try to change that after scoring the go-ahead goal and assisting on the other Saturday. The center scored twice in his last visit to Vancouver on April 10, leading Colorado to a 4-2 win.

Vladimir Tarasenko hasn't come close to being effective against the Canucks, going pointless in the last five games and failing to score a goal in seven lifetime games. The right wing has no goals in four games, but he still has team highs of 31 goals and 60 points.

Brian Elliott may be back in net on back-to-back nights for the first time this season since he's won seven of eight road games, and four straight there with a 1.44 goals-against average after making 21 stops Saturday. He also owns a 1.83 GAA despite a 1-4-0 mark at Rogers Arena.

Backup Jake Allen stopped 19 of 22 shots in a 4-1 home loss to the Canucks on Oct. 23. He had 18 saves in a 5-2 loss to Montreal in his most recent start Tuesday.

Vancouver, which is three points clear of the postseason cutoff in the Western Conference, is going for a season-high fourth straight home win. However, the Canucks concluded a 3-2-0 trip by falling 6-3 to league-worst Buffalo on Thursday.

Coach Willie Desjardins is well aware a better effort is needed versus the Blues.

"The Blues are a top team. They're going to come in and play hard. They want to establish their game," Desjardins said. "It's going to be a real hard game and we know that. We're back at home. We want to play good at home. We haven't played the way we wanted in some of our home games. We need a real hard effort and we know St. Louis is going to come with a real hard effort, and we have to match that."

Eddie Lack should get a third straight start with Ryan Miller sidelined with a sprained knee. He had a 40-save performance in a 2-1 win at Boston on Tuesday before finishing with 18 against the Sabres.

Lack, though, has won all three meetings with St. Louis behind a 0.97 GAA.

Henrik Sedin has nine points over the past nine games versus the Blues, and he's collected 10 during a six-game point streak overall after setting up Daniel Sedin's goal Thursday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Slumping Blue Jackets even worse without rest
Justin Hartling

The Columbus Blue Jackets have been slumping lately, but have been worse in the second game of back-to-back situations this season. In 11 games with no rest, the Jackets are 3-8.

The Blue Jackets have been outscored 39-29 in those 11 contests.

Columbus will visit the Pittsburgh Penguins Sunday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Auto Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500
By Micah Roberts

Las Vegas sports books enjoyed a great Daytona 500 with Joey Logano winning because hardly anyone bet him. The books all had Logano low to start with at 12/1, but when all the action started showing up on Jeff Gordon, Dale Earnhardt Jr. and Jimmie Johnson, they raised Logano to 18/1 and still not many takers. Like a broken record, once again, the house does extremely well in a restrictor-plate race.

The Sprint Cup series travels to Atlanta’s 1.5-mile track this week where value is usually shifted back to the bettors because instead of 35 drivers having a chance to win, there are only about 15 with a legitimate shot. But this is year is a little different because of the new rules package that will see horsepower cut down from 850 to 725 as well as the rear spoiler shortened from eight to six inches.

As much of a crap shoot as Daytona was coming in, the cars were exactly the same as what was run last season so it wasn’t hard to forecast that Hendrick Motorsports and Joe Gibbs Racing would be the cars to beat. They solidified that notion during practices, but still lost to Logano.

This week is much tougher because of less horsepower and down force. The cars figure to run a little more loose which may benefit a few drivers, but we still don’t know because there was no open testing in January to figure this new car out. The only testing that occurred happened with a few drivers in closed Goodyear tire testing. Most crew chiefs will be going off of notes from those sessions ran by a teammate and will be coming in cold with little idea of how they’ll run this weekend.

To get every team better acclimated to the new cars, NASCAR has scheduled five hours of testing on Thursday then they’ll start their regular race weekend schedule with practice and qualifying on Friday and the final two practices on Saturday.

So from an odds-making and bettors’ standpoint, you have to be careful here. The bookmaker can just lower odds on several drivers and wait to see what happens with testing. Regardless of the changes, the big-money teams like Hendrick, Gibbs and Penske Racing all figure to be fast right off the hauler, but there is still that hint of uncertainty compared to other 1.5-mile tracks over the past three seasons. For the bettor, there is almost no reason to bet early because you could get stuck with a driver that doesn’t perform well in Thursday’s test.

The best bet scenario for wagering this week is to wait until at least seeing Thursday’s practice times. There is really nothing you can go off of that makes any bet a good one prior to Thursday. Several of the drivers haven’t even been able to drive the cars with the new rules package and Thursday will be their first go-around.

Here’s the NASCAR betting strategy I follow each week that I’ll share with you. First, you start off with your core group of drivers based on history at track. This list can be anywhere from 15 to 20 drivers, but it’ll be based on how they’ve done in recent history, the past five years and the past 10 years. Certain drivers like certain tracks and over the long haul, it’s easy to identify who the best are.

After that, you’ll look at current form. In the case this week, we only have one race and Daytona doesn’t apply in any way to Atlanta and the only nugget from last week that can be found is that someone like Logano could go all out for wins with no regret since he’s already made the Chase.

Past history and current form are two pieces of information that is the foundation to set weekly NASCAR odds, but it also applies to betting. I would then forecast practices based on similar past practices and come out with an early rating on each driver. And then after seeing the practices and start position, I would upgrade or downgrade each driver and finally have a finished product ready for action.

This week in Atlanta, there is only half of the equation in play here and the remainder won’t be known until Thursday with even more solid information gained Saturday as crew chiefs do the final tuning and set-up of the car we’ll see race Sunday.

There’s only half of the equation in, so why bet now? You’ll probably have a better chance of wining a bet by just taking red or black in roulette. Isn’t that why we all wager, because we think we have some type of advantage over the odds? So my advice this week is to slow play it and see what the books do and if they make a mistake after Thursday’s all-telling practice, then you should bet the drivers who shines that weren’t updated enough.

The most likely of candidates to be good again are the big names with the new rules package, but who knows? We didn’t see a Gibbs car win on any 1.5-mile track while Keselowski and Logano combined to win five of the 11. Kevin Harvick dominated on 1.5-miles last season even though he won only one of them. Kasey Kahne’s only win of 2014 came at Atlanta, which gave him three there for his career. Jeff Gordon also makes his final start at Atlanta, a track he made his Cup debut at in 1992. He’ll be going for his sixth career Atlanta win.

One driver I know I’ll be rooting for will be Brendan Gaughan driving the No. 62 Chevy, who is now Las Vegas’ only representative in the Cup Series driving with both Kyle and Kurt Busch out. Gaughan’s last Atlanta appearance in the Cup Series was in 2004 when he finished 18th.

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1 #88 Dale Earnhardt Jr. (12/1)
2) #2 Brad Keselowski (7/1)
3) #24 Jeff Gordon (6/1)
4) #48 Jimmie Johnson (7/1)
5) #22 Joey Logano (8/1)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer EPL Best Bets - Week 26
By Toby Maxtone-Smith

Chelsea’s shock draw at home to Burnley combined with Manchester City’s demolition of Newcastle bridged the gap at the top of the Premier League to five points last weekend. City have the chance to close that gap even further at the weekend, as they face Liverpool while Chelsea take a break from league action with the League Cup final against fierce rivals Tottenham Hotspur taking precedence. Chelsea remain favourites, but have drifted to 1/4 with City in at 7/2.

It was a bad week for English teams in Europe: Man City and Arsenal both lost home first-legs, and made many of the same mistakes that has seen English teams struggle in the Champions League in the last few years. In the Europa League, only Everton progressed; Liverpool and Spurs both exited.

Let's handicap Week 26 of the Premier League and the Capital One Cup finale.

The Banker: Both teams to score in Chelsea vs. Tottenham Hotspur at 4/6

The last time Chelsea played Spurs at Wembley, the Blues came away 5-1 winners in an FA Cup semi-final. They are favourites this time around at 4/6 to win inside 90 minutes, and 1/3 to win the cup. Spurs are 19/4 to see off Chelsea in normal time, and 5/2 to win outright.

On the face of it, this game looks set for an upset: Spurs dismantled Chelsea 5-3 in an extraordinary league game on New Year’s Day. Chelsea are without influential defensive midfielder Nemanja Matic, and have been some way off their best recently. However, the big factor against Spurs is that they played away in Italy just three days before this match kicks off. Their performance in Florence was a tiring one. Teams in the Europa League, because of their relatively small squads, tend to suffer the weekend after playing in Europe, and Chelsea’s freshness might just see them home. However, Spurs have been excellent going forward of late. Harry Kane, who tormented Chelsea in January, was rested for their game in Europe, and so both teams to score looks a good bet at 4/6.

The Solid Bet: Manchester City to win at Liverpool and both teams to score at 3/1

This is another match where how a team responds to playing in Europe a few days before will count for a lot. Liverpool huffed and puffed their way through 120 minutes of football only to be knocked out by Besiktas on Thursday. They would be shorter than the 21/10 quoted if they had played no games in midweek. City are 11/8, with a draw 13/5.

English football has become far more open in recent years, particularly games between the big teams. This party explains their struggles in Europe, where good defending and counter-attacking count for much more. This fixture last year ended 3-2 to Liverpool, and it is very likely to be a similar scoreline this time. Liverpool attack in every game, and City will play on the front foot as well, as a draw is not good enough for a team five points off the top with 12 games to go. Liverpool are likely to tire as the match goes on, giving City more opportunities, and 3/1 is a good bet on Manchester City to win and both teams to score.

The Outsider: West Bromwich Albion to beat Southampton at 12/5

Earlier in the season Southampton were almost always a value bet, but those times are at an end, and they have to be opposed as 11/8 favourites away to a West Brom side rejuvenated under Tony Pulis. Southampton are struggling desperately for goals, which won’t be easy to come by at The Hawthorns. They have managed just one in their last four games, and main striker Graziano Pellè hasn’t scored in the league since mid-December. West Brom have won three of their four home games under Tony Pulis, all to nil, and as well as backing the home win at 12/5, it could be worth taking the Baggies to win to nil at 4/1 in what looks likely to be a cagey game.

The First Goalscorer: Diafra Sakho for West Ham United against Crystal Palace at 5/1

With nine goals in just 14 starts, West Ham’s Diafra Sakho has been one of the signings of the season for just £4.5 from French club Metz. He looks a good bet to open the scoring for West Ham in an East-South London derby with Crystal Palace. The Irons have drawn their last three Premier League games, and all were tough games against Spurs, Southampton and Manchester United. Sakho netted in the 2-2 draw at Tottenham, and has looked particularly dangerous in home games this season. He is a good first goalscorer bet at 5/1.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 11 - Post: 9:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$3500 - HORSES & GELDINGS - CLAIMING $5000.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 6 TKRS METRO SPECS 7/2


# 4 MASADA ROCKS 8/5


# 1 WESTERN SENATOR 5/1


The consensus for this one is that TKRS METRO SPECS is the one to beat. Can't overlook based on speed ratings which have been great (78 avg) recently. Good for a win bet just off the amazing prior class markings. Have to like this race horse. MASADA ROCKS - If performance in the last race is representative, this race horse will have a very very good shot in this contest. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating. Always strong driver-trainer twosome. 31 percent winners when they team up. WESTERN SENATOR - Could quite possibly dominate this pack given the 69 speed rating recorded in his most recent race. Pace ratings say this gathering should shape up nicely for this gelding. Looking for a big effort.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pompano Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Post: 7:30 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$6300 - CLAIMING $8,000 WALLIS PICKED 3 OVER 1


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 IAIN'TNOMOMALUKE 5/2


# 4 GROOVEY KID 4/1


# 6 NOMAD 8/1


Look no further than IAIN'TNOMOMALUKE as the wager for this one. Overall percentages look very nice. Can't throw him out of the picture. May be the best in the grouping here, showing good figures of late. Average speed is a solid 81. This gelding has been squaring off against some of the most competitive horses in this field of starters recently. GROOVEY KID - May provide us a victory based on respectable recent TrackMaster Speed Ratings - earning an average of 79. This harness racer has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 81 average class number. Should play well in this contest. NOMAD - Pompano Park has been playing to this harness racer's running style, we're looking for a formidable effort. Should be in the hunt again in here, looking to add to that already high lifetime winning percent.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $5475 Class Rating: 75

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 STOLEN STARS 2/1


# 1 TAC IT ON TIGGER B 4/1


# 5 RGR LOVINTHISEFFORT 10/1


STOLEN STARS is the strongest wager in this race. Put up a strong speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. Is a strong contender based on figs put up recently under today's conditions. TAC IT ON TIGGER B - He has been running solidly as of late while recording sharp speed figures. Lately Odell has provided players with a very strong winning percentage with horses racing in short races. RGR LOVINTHISEFFORT - Dominguez has this gelding moving well and is a respectable selection based on the strong speed figs posted in short races as of late. Looks solid to be on the front end at the first call.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Rillito

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $2100 Class Rating: 58

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND OLDER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 P THREE 3/1


# 2 SKRILLEX 2/1


# 3 STORMIN HOTSTUFF 10/1


I've got to go with P THREE. Looks very good to be on the front end at the first call. The average Equibase class rating of 46 makes this one difficult to beat. Bazurto is very serious with this one, wheeling him back almost immediately. SKRILLEX - Will almost certainly come out sharp - I have liked the way this gelding has moved promptly to the front end recently. This animal has to be in sound condition coming back to the track so soon. STORMIN HOTSTUFF - The almost immediate return to the races points to a sound effort today.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Aqueduct - Race #3 - Post: 2:18pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 TALK TO ME (ML=8/1)
#9 WARM HEART (ML=3/1)
#6 RAELYN JANE (ML=6/1)
#4 GINGEE (ML=10/1)


TALK TO ME - Taking a trip down the ladder based on class rating points; has the capability to make her presence felt. This thoroughbred ran outside the top 3 at Parx Racing last out on a track listed as good. She should improve in today's race with the benefit of a fast track. WARM HEART - I like the fact that this mare's last fig, 68, is tops in this bunch. This horse coming off a solid contest in the last 30 days is a serious competitor in my humble opinion. Is ranked totally number one in the field in earnings per start. A solid try in today's race will boost the lifetime earnings. RAELYN JANE - Taking a class drop in class figure points from her July 14th race at Finger Lakes. Based on that data, I will give this one the advantage. You probably want to discount that last affair at Finger Lakes in the mud where she finished out of the top three. Should do well in this race without a sloppy track. GINGEE - When a thoroughbred drops at least 5 lbs (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but should make the difference. The addition of blinkers usually means that a trainer wants a thoroughbred to show more early zip or to keep her attention focused.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MISSY BAY (ML=5/2), #10 BELLA FACHI (ML=4/1),

MISSY BAY - I'd like to see more conducive recent outings with oddsmaker's morning line of 5/2. BELLA FACHI - Doubtful that this horse will finish better than she did last time out of the box when finishing fifth. Difficult to put your dough on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as frequently as this horse does.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #7 TALK TO ME to win. Have to have odds of at least 4/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,7] Box [4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Tampa Bay - Race #2 - Post: 1:10pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 80

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 MONSTRIP (ML=6/1)
#8 CLASSICSISTER JILL (ML=5/2)


MONSTRIP - The ROI when Arterburn and Arterburn partner up is good. This horse coming off a solid race in the last month is a strong challenger in my humble opinion. Mare looks like the lone speed here. She may turn the race into a procession. CLASSICSISTER JILL - The 73 recent race speed rating looks strong on paper. Recent speed figs show dominant pattern of improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 NAIGUATA (ML=7/2), #6 LIL NATE'S DATE (ML=4/1), #4 MINDFULNESS (ML=9/2),

NAIGUATA - This less than sharp equine hasn't been close to the winner at the wire recently. LIL NATE'S DATE - Tough for this closer animal to get up today. Without a hot pace to stir things up, the lone front speed is going to make it awfully hard to get the job done. MINDFULNESS - Difficult to put your cash on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as regularly as this thoroughbred does.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #3 MONSTRIP to win. Have to have odds of at least 9/5 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass