49 Super Betting Angles
VegasInsider
Super Bowl XLIX between the Patriots and Seahawks will be the 49th installment of the big game on Sunday Feb. 1, 2015 from Glendale Arizona.
Before you start your handicapping the matchup and prop bets, you might want to check out 49 angles that our Editorial staff have uncovered for the Super Bowl.
1 – In the first 49 Super Bowls, only one was decided by exactly one point – Super Bowl XXV in in 1991 when the Giants defeated the Bills 17-16 from Tampa, Florida as seven-point underdogs.
2 – There have been two Super Bowls played in Arizona. The Cowboys defeated the Steelers 27-17 in SBXXX (1996) from Sun Devil Stadium before the Giants stunned the Patriots 17-14 in SBXLII (2008). The underdog cashed in both of these games and the ‘under’ connected as well.
3 – The Patriots own a 3-4 record in Super Bowls. The margin was three in all three of the victories as New England captured wins over the Rams (20-17), Panthers (32-29) and Eagles (24-21).
4 – New England is one of four teams that has lost at least four Super Bowls. The other three are the Bills, Broncos and Vikings. Denver sits atop the group with five setbacks in the finale.
5 – Since 2000, five Super Bowl winning teams haven’t had a player that had at least 1,000 receiving yards. The Seahawks’ leading receiver this season is Doug Baldwin with 825 yards. Out of those five clubs, last year’s Seahawks and the 2003-04 Patriots made this list.
6 – Marshawn Lynch has rushed for over 100 yard six times this season. Seattle has won five times with the lone loss coming at Kansas City, while four of those victories came by 16 points or more.
7 – Pete Carroll owns a solid 7-2 record in the playoffs as head coach of the Seahawks. Carroll is looking to become the sixth coach in history to put together at least eight wins in his first 10 postseason games with a single team. The coach with the best record in this category? Bill Belichick, who started 10-0 with the Patriots.
8 – There have only been eight back-to-back Super Bowl champions. Seattle will look to be the ninth. Coincidentally, New England (2003-2004) was the last team to accomplish the feat.
9 - Since the University of Phoenix Stadium opened in 2006, Seattle has made nine trips to this venue and its struggled to a 3-6 record, both straight up and against the spread.
10 – Ten seasons since the Patriots last won a Super Bowl, which came in the 2004 season against the Eagles. In each of their three Super Bowl victories, New England built a double-digit lead at one point in the game. In all four losses, the Pats never led by more than eight points.
11 – The amount of times (11) that New England eclipsed the ‘over’ this season. However, the Pats went ‘over’ the total only once in four games against NFC opponents.
12 – New England quarterback Tom Brady wears No. 12 on his jersey. Including his five appearances in the finale, quarterbacks wearing No. 12 have produced a 14-12 overall record in Super Bowls, the last victory coming by Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers in SBXLV.
13 – This will be the 13th appearance by a team (Seattle) currently in the NFC West. The record by this group in the first 12 is 7-5.
14 – Head coaches appearing in their second Super Bowl are 14-8 all-time, as Seattle’s Pete Carroll is on the sidelines for his second crack at the Vince Lombardi Trophy.
15 – In the first 48 Super Bowls, the underdog has captured outright victories 15 times. The biggest upset came in SBIII (1969) when the New York Jets defeated the Baltimore Colts 16-7 as 18-point underdogs.
16 – Seattle allowed 16.3 PPG on defense this season, which is ranked first in the NFL. The Seahawks also lead the league in scoring defense last year and in 2012.
17 – There have been 17 Super Bowls played in a dome or a venue that has a retractable roof. Favorites have gone 12-5 SU and 9-6-2 ATS while the ‘under’ has produced a 10-7 mark.
18 – Since the start of the 2011 season, the Patriots have suffered 18 losses against the spread away from Foxboro. Overall, New England owns a 16-18 record versus the number over this span.
19 – Since Tom Brady became the starting quarterback for New England, the team has played 19 regular season games in the Mountain and Pacific Time Zones. The club has gone 10-9 both SU and ATS in those matchups and that record doesn’t include their loss in SBXLII (2008) against the Giants.
20 – Tom Brady and Bill Belichick have come together to win 20 playoff games since the 2001 season. In spite of a 20-8 SU record, New England has compiled a 12-15-1 ATS mark in the postseason during their partnership.
21 – According to the Nevada Gaming Commission, sportsbooks have posted a “profit” in 21 of the last 23 Super Bowls. The two matchups they lost on came in 1995 when San Francisco annihilated San Diego and in 2008 when the Giants upset the Patriots.
22 – New England (+12) and Seattle (+10) had a combined turnover differential of plus-22 this season. In the history of the Super Bowl, only three teams won with a negative turnover margin – Dallas (1971) and Pittsburgh (1980, 2006).
23 – In its last eight games, Seattle has allowed 23 combined points. The Seahawks have won all eight games (7-1 ATS) and cashed 2nd-half wagers in each contest as well.
24 – The ‘over’ has cashed in 24 of the first 48 Super Bowls and is on a 3-1 run (75%) the last four years.
25 – Last year’s Super Bowl MVP was Seattle linebacker Malcom Smith, an unlikely winner, was included in the Field (Any Other Player) bet at 25/1 odds to win the award.
26 – Quarterbacks have captured the Super Bowl Most Valuable Player award 26 times, which includes four of the last five years.
27 – The Seahawks allowed 27 touchdowns during the regular season, ranked second in the NFL. In the playoffs, they’ve allowed three touchdowns and none were rushing.
28 – Pete Carroll won 28 games during his three-year tenure (1997-1999) as head coach with the New England Patriots. He produced a 28-23 record, which includes a 1-2 record in the playoffs.
29 – In Super Bowl 29 (XXIX), San Francisco blasted San Diego 49-26 which was the highest scoring all-time finale.
30 – New England averaged a league-best 30.4 points per game this season. The last team to lead the league in scoring and win a Super Bowl was New Orleans, who captured SBXLIV in 2010.
31 – The highest point total scored by a losing team in a Super Bowl was 31, which happened twice. San Francisco dropped a 34-31 decision to Baltimore in SBXLVII (2013) and Dallas came up short to Pittsburgh 35-31 in SBXIII (1979).
32 – Terrell Davis captured the Super Bowl MVP in Super Bowl 32 (XXXII) as running back for the Denver Broncos, the last back to do so in the finale.
33 – It’s been 33 years since the Super Bowl has had a point-spread close at one-point, which occurred in San Francisco’s 26-21 win over Cincinnati in Super Bowl XVI (1982) from Michigan. The only other time this happened was in 1973 when Miami defeated Washington 14-7 in SBVII as a one-point favorite.
34 – The most completions by a quarterback in a Super Bowl was 34, which happened in last year’s title game by Peyton Manning. In seven postseason games, the most completions Russell Wilson produced was 24 and the Seahawks lost that game. Tom Brady has posted 30 or more completions three times in his 28 playoff games.
35 – The most points ever scored in a quarter of a Super Bowl was 35 by the Redskins in their 42-10 win against Denver in SBXXII. The highest point total for New England in a quarter this season was 31 points, while Seattle scored a season-high 21 points twice.
36 – Since Russell Wilson took over as starting quarterback in 2012 for Seattle, the team has produced 36 wins (ATS) at the betting counter. Under Wilson, the Seahawks are 36-18-1 (66.6%) against the spread.
37 – In SBXXXVII (2004), the Panthers and Patriots combined for 37 points in the fourth quarter, which was the most ever in the Super Bowl. This season, the Patriots gave up 3.6 PPG in the fourth quarter while Seattle allowed 4.4 PPG, ranked second and fourth respectively in the NFL.
38 – Seattle and New England’s defenses were very similar in allowing third down conversions. The Seahawks allowed opponents to convert 37.5% of their third downs, while the Patriots yielded 38.4% of third down opportunities from foes. The league average is 40%.
39 – In Super Bowl 39 (XXXIX), New England defeated Philadelphia 24-21 but failed to cover as a seven-point favorite. This was one of two games where the underdog, in this case the Eagles, scored late to affect the point-spread. The other backdoor cover came in SBXIII when Pittsburgh defeated Dallas 35-31. The Cowboys trailed 35-17 and scored 14 points in the final three minutes.
40 – New England tallied 40 sacks in 16 regular season games. In this year’s two playoff matchups, the Patriots have zero.
41 – The most points the Patriots gave up this season was 41, which came in Week 4’s loss to Kansas City (41-14). In New England’s three meaningful losses, the defense allowed an average of 33.3 PPG.
42 – After defeating the Eagles 24-14 in SBXXIX (2005), the Patriots have played 42 games against the NFC. They’ve posted an impressive 33-9 (79%) winning record.
43 – The Patriots averaged 43 points per game in the four contests in which tight end Rob Gronkowski eclipsed the 100-yard receiving mark this season. New England won all four of those games and the ‘over’ went 4-0 in those victories.
44 – There have been two Super Bowls that had 44 combined points scored. Coincidentally, one of them occurred in Arizona as Dallas defeated Pittsburgh 27-17 in SBXXX (1996).
45 – The most points New England has scored in the postseason under the Bill Belichick-Tom Brady regime was 45, which happened twice. In the 2011 playoffs, the Patriots blasted Denver 45-10. In this year’s AFC Championship, they dumped the Colts 45-7.
46 – Tampa Bay outscored Oakland 28-18 during the second-half of their 48-21 victory in SBXXXVII (2003). The 46 combined points was the most ever scored in the final two quarters of the Super Bowl.
47 – The longest kickoff return for the Seahawks this season was only 47 yards. Percy Harvin blew open last season’s Super Bowl with an 87-yard kickoff return for a score after halftime, but Seattle ranked 30th in the regular season in kickoff return average (21 yards/return). The Patriots were solid in this category, limiting opponents to the 5th fewest yards per kickoff return in the league.
48 – There has only been one Super Bowl where the combined score has landed exactly on 48 points. This occurred in SBXLIV when the Saints defeated the Colts 31-17 in 2010.
49 – Most betting shops opened the total for the Super Bowl at 49 points. The number is hovering between 48 and 49. There have been five Super Bowls with a closing total of 48 and the ‘under’ went 3-2 in those games. The Super Bowl has had three games close at 49 and the ‘over’ went 3-0 in those contests with an average combined score of 57.3 PPG.
