well yesterday actually made money, i did win 2 parlays out of 2 and 2 of 3 teasers, did well late winning UCI,WASH, OVER 1st half wash game, Belmont, parlay UCI/Over marymount, Drake easier than i thought , losing ariz st
today got
Miami Fl+2
Ball st-3 (BIG)
Ball st is 7-2 this year and 4-0 ats at home, and 3-1 ats as a favorite, Ball st is shooting better than SIU, 45% to 41%, from 2 its 51.5% to 45.3%, eff shooting is 51.5% to 47.8%, and SIu us not having many assist each game, but they do not turn it over very much averaging just 9 a game to 14 for Ball st, but Ball st does not foul much averaging just 12 to 16 for SIU, Ball st been playing well winning 4 of last 5 and winning all home games so far and SIU has lost every road game this year, they just seem to struggle on the road, losing every road game by at least 12 points
Ole Miss is 8-0 this year with only 1 road game a close win 77-76 at Temple, and they did only beat Detroit by 1 at home, and had a very close game with SH at home, UCF has played well but have lost at home to stetson and lost on the road to Miami, Miss is only 2-6 ats this year, and 0-1 ats on the road, while UCF is 4-1 ats at home this year, and they are 6-2 OVER this year and 5-0 OVER after a win ...shooting stats are about even, Rebounding edge to UCF, and UCF has been averaging about 5 more shots a game and making about 2 more, I am going with UCF at home -2, buying a half pt, do see a closer game, but i think UCF wins this ...both teams are giving up 67 points on defense and UCF is avg 79 pts a game while Miss is avg 73
UCF-2 76-70 1 unit -120
Going with St Joes pk over Princeton, st joes has won the last 4 vs Princeton, and i just think they are the better team, and better defense here, and they both shoot the same
St Joes-pk 1 unit -110
grabbing Michigan +4 Michigan did win last year at Iowa as a 5 pt dog 84-79, Iowa whi is avg 85 points a game have not come close to that in their last 2 games, and Michigan has lost 2 very close games in a row coming into this, i expect a very close game, and the way Iowa has been playing i see no reason why Michigan could not win this, i would expect a higher scoring game, because i feel if you like Michigan you have to think they are going to score some pts, they are shooting beter than Iowa in all phases, from 2 from 3 eff% all better , so ill go with them today
Michigan +4 1 unit 81-79 not sure who wins
Going to go OVER 150 St Johns/BC both teams have been scoring, BC has scored over 78 pts last 4 games, and are coming off a 95 pt game in their last one, i do expect a faster tempo here, i would think maybe a 1st half over might be good also should be about 71 , st johns is averaging 41 at half abd BC 37 st Johns should have the rebounding edge as long as Soriano stays out of foul trouble, they do that they should win and cover today, i would buy down from 6 , like to lay 5 but if they shoot well they should win by 9+ and they have to keep the fouls down, BC very good FT team 80%, if St Johns can end up with 4-5 more shots will help, if we can get 25 or more made ft's the over should be good
OVER 150 st johns/BC 1 unit
St Thomas-4 at Chicago st st thomas has played well on the road this year, and they are on a 2 game winning streak with a win on the road at W.Michigan, they beat Chicago st last year at home by 20+, they do not turn it over a lot either only 10 a game, Chicago st does struggle from 3, only 27%
St Thomas -4 Half unit play
OVER 157 Winthrop/Ark LR 1 unit
i do favor Fordham, St Johns, and i think Lipscomb will be happy to be back home,
gl 151
today got
Miami Fl+2
Ball st-3 (BIG)
Ball st is 7-2 this year and 4-0 ats at home, and 3-1 ats as a favorite, Ball st is shooting better than SIU, 45% to 41%, from 2 its 51.5% to 45.3%, eff shooting is 51.5% to 47.8%, and SIu us not having many assist each game, but they do not turn it over very much averaging just 9 a game to 14 for Ball st, but Ball st does not foul much averaging just 12 to 16 for SIU, Ball st been playing well winning 4 of last 5 and winning all home games so far and SIU has lost every road game this year, they just seem to struggle on the road, losing every road game by at least 12 points
Ole Miss is 8-0 this year with only 1 road game a close win 77-76 at Temple, and they did only beat Detroit by 1 at home, and had a very close game with SH at home, UCF has played well but have lost at home to stetson and lost on the road to Miami, Miss is only 2-6 ats this year, and 0-1 ats on the road, while UCF is 4-1 ats at home this year, and they are 6-2 OVER this year and 5-0 OVER after a win ...shooting stats are about even, Rebounding edge to UCF, and UCF has been averaging about 5 more shots a game and making about 2 more, I am going with UCF at home -2, buying a half pt, do see a closer game, but i think UCF wins this ...both teams are giving up 67 points on defense and UCF is avg 79 pts a game while Miss is avg 73
UCF-2 76-70 1 unit -120
Going with St Joes pk over Princeton, st joes has won the last 4 vs Princeton, and i just think they are the better team, and better defense here, and they both shoot the same
St Joes-pk 1 unit -110
grabbing Michigan +4 Michigan did win last year at Iowa as a 5 pt dog 84-79, Iowa whi is avg 85 points a game have not come close to that in their last 2 games, and Michigan has lost 2 very close games in a row coming into this, i expect a very close game, and the way Iowa has been playing i see no reason why Michigan could not win this, i would expect a higher scoring game, because i feel if you like Michigan you have to think they are going to score some pts, they are shooting beter than Iowa in all phases, from 2 from 3 eff% all better , so ill go with them today
Michigan +4 1 unit 81-79 not sure who wins
Going to go OVER 150 St Johns/BC both teams have been scoring, BC has scored over 78 pts last 4 games, and are coming off a 95 pt game in their last one, i do expect a faster tempo here, i would think maybe a 1st half over might be good also should be about 71 , st johns is averaging 41 at half abd BC 37 st Johns should have the rebounding edge as long as Soriano stays out of foul trouble, they do that they should win and cover today, i would buy down from 6 , like to lay 5 but if they shoot well they should win by 9+ and they have to keep the fouls down, BC very good FT team 80%, if St Johns can end up with 4-5 more shots will help, if we can get 25 or more made ft's the over should be good
OVER 150 st johns/BC 1 unit
St Thomas-4 at Chicago st st thomas has played well on the road this year, and they are on a 2 game winning streak with a win on the road at W.Michigan, they beat Chicago st last year at home by 20+, they do not turn it over a lot either only 10 a game, Chicago st does struggle from 3, only 27%
St Thomas -4 Half unit play
OVER 157 Winthrop/Ark LR 1 unit
i do favor Fordham, St Johns, and i think Lipscomb will be happy to be back home,
gl 151
